This article focuses on building lineups with a quality foundation by utilizing the powerful Groups and Rules/Limits tools within the industry’s optimization tools. All of the concepts and pairings included below can also apply to hand-building. The goal is to create lineups with strong correlations among likely point-scorers to maximize the gains from infrequent scoring events within stacks while limiting the likelihood of building inefficient or negatively correlated entries for a full slate of NFL DFS lineups.
This video was made in a former life and features a detailed demonstration of how to apply these concepts in one leading optimizer tool: Fantasy Cruncher – How-To Video
All references to Sims were done via friends of the site: acemind.io
Don’t miss the Above/Below feature article for a few of our top picks, coming Sunday morning
Game notes are updated during the week and initially posted as “work in progress” as they take a long time to create, if teams are missing notes simply check back later in the day/week and they should be updated.
2025 Week 14 DraftKings & FanDuel NFL DFS Stack Rankings
The following stack rankings were created by pairing each team quarterback with his top three scoring options, whether they are three wide receivers, two wide receivers and a tight end, a wide receiver, tight end, and running back, or any viable combination. In some cases, an expensive running back can push the overall price point of his team stack in the value rankings.
| TEAM | OPP | FD$ | FDpRank | FDvalRank | DK$ | DkpRank | DKvalRank | Vegas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | JAC | $28,300 | 3 | 1 | $23,000 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| JAC | BUF | $28,800 | 4 | 4 | $22,900 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| LAC | NE | $27,100 | 6 | 6 | $22,900 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| NE | LAC | $27,700 | 5 | 5 | $24,900 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| PHI | SF | $31,900 | 1 | 2 | $26,100 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| SF | PHI | $29,800 | 2 | 3 | $26,300 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Week 14 DraftKings & FanDuel NFL DFS Stacks & Optimizer Groups
Overview
Rules and limits are powerful tools for lineup creation for NFL DFS where our primary focus is creating highly correlated lineups via stacking players from the same game. Lineups will typically be coordinated around the quarterback selection, which informs at least one pass-catcher choice, establishes a budget, eliminates a defense, and sets the tone for the lineup. We will typically look to correlate a quarterback and at least one of his pass-catchers in every lineup, with many of those including a skill player from the opposing team. This player is included to support the stack in a high-scoring game that drives offense on both sides, creating additional correlated scoring potential. Stacking multiple pass-catchers in the same lineup is a sound approach, though there are typically overall ceilings on how much volume is available at any given position. While pass-catching running backs can be prioritized in stacks and group tools, including running backs who are not involved in the passing game is less important at this stage, they will fall naturally into shares as needed. High-volume backs and pass catchers out of the backfield can be included in the groups utilized below, but it is frequently not necessary to do so with the very best players, they arrive in lineups without help.
Rules and limits are typically applied in an optimizer’s Advanced Options menu. Notes are included to illustrate the reasons behind each rule and explain what it does during the lineup creation process. These settings can typically be saved for re-use, which is highly recommended. Saving the groups created below is also a good idea that will save time with updates instead of recreation each week. These groups are created manually, but most optimizers include automated group creators that can help accelerate the curation process.
DraftKings + FanDuel Settings & Advanced Options
Note – Terminology may vary from site to site but these are common functions across most industry tools.
Unique Players Per Lineup– This setting forces the optimizer to utilize at least X new players who were not in Lineup 1 when it creates Lineup 2, and so on. We recommend a setting of at least two unique players, more can be applied depending on the degree of differentiation desired within lineups.
Team Salary– a minimum or maximum salary spend can be applied here as needed, although leaving salary on the table is an easy path toward creating unique lineups while not necessarily making a negative expected value play.
FLEX position– allows restrictions on what positions can be rostered at the FLEX spot. The primary position to restrict is the tight end so that lineups do not include two players from the position. In many industry tools this is a separate option via a checkbox, it can also be handled specifically within groups.
Global Exposure Setting – allows caps on the maximum percentage of lineups a player can appear in within a given pool of lineup construction. This is a powerful tool for shaping lineups but if settings are too low, attempts to build a full set will fall short due to a lack of available players, one of the most common errors in optimizer building. Most optimizers include the ability to calculate ownership caps continuously or at the end of the pool creation process. If caps are calculated continuously, a player with a 25% cap who is utilized in Lineup 1 will not be available for use again until Lineup 5, we recommend turning OFF continuous calculation.
Randomness – provides a random multiplier to each player’s projected point total based on the set values. This valuable tool helps differentiate lineups instead of simply creating them in order of the highest median projected scores. Using some randomness for lineup generation is strongly recommended but the degree to which it is applied is down to personal preference, 15-25% is fine to get started. We suggest heavier randomness to more event-based players like wide receivers while tracking volume-based positions like running backs more toward their median or ceiling projections.
DraftKings + FanDuel Team Stack Rules
This set of rules will force optimizers to build lineups with certain combinations. We are looking to stack at least one skill player, almost always a pass-catcher, with his quarterback while frequently playing a skill player from the opposing team in the lineup. The theory behind this build is that a high-scoring stack will require some response from the opposing team to deliver a ceiling score in most situations. Most optimizers utilize a “complete the sentence” approach for rule creation with selections from drop-down menus following a very straightforward logic. Exceptions to these rules can be added for specific teams and players on most optimizer products.
- QB with at least one WR/TE from Same Team (note: It is fine to set this to two or to utilize two versions of this rule, one with WR/TE and one with RB/WR/TE, but we can also refine this via Groups)
- optional – QB with at least one RB/WR/TE from the Opposing Team (we typically prefer the pass-catchers but high-volume running backs can be effective here)
- QB with at most zero DST from the Same Team (this is a personal preference; high-scoring teams and quarterbacks tend to leave their defenses on the field, exposing them to simple point-scoring negatives)
Limits & Custom Rules and Requirements
Limit rules can be applied to restrict certain combinations from coming together. This is powerful for limiting multiple running backs from the same team or getting overweight to a certain stack within a lineup.
- Limit QB/RB/WR/TE from Same Team to three
- Limit RB/WR/TE from the Same Team to one unless paired with QB from the Same Team OR the Opposing Team (this prevents multiple players from a team that is not a primary quarterback-based stack)
- optional – Limit RB from Same Team to one (we can also do this with WR in a separate rule that adds an “unless paired with QB or opposing QB” but it’s a personal preference for NFL DFS, we typically do not want two pass-catchers from the same team without their quarterback)
We will maintain the list of rules and limits throughout the season, with occasional tweaks. Each week sees another fresh crop of value plays as situations change and injuries create opportunities around the league. These changing roles and emergent value plays are accounted for in creating these groups from week to week. After a large pool of lineups is created utilizing these groups, it is still critical to filter them for factors including ceiling projections and leverage potential. These groups should help ensure that a highly correlated premium set of options that rotates through various combinations is utilized to create the full lineup pool.
Sunday Updates
Any changes and recommended boosts to specific players will be provided in an early morning update each Sunday.
NFL DFS Week 14 Features & Projections
- Week 14 Projections
- Week 14 Above/Below
- Week 14 Quarterback Scoring & Value Rankings
- Week 14 Running Back Scoring & Value Rankings
- Week 14 Pass-Catcher Scoring & Value Rankings
- Week 14 Defense Scoring & Value Rankings
Construction Concept
Team groups are built by utilizing the quarterback as the KEY player in group settings. The quarterback decision is the driving factor in determining which stack the lineup utilizes and which corresponding plays are made to work within the structured requirements. In Fantasy Cruncher, built to specification, each team will have two groups, a team group, and an opponent group, both of which utilize the same quarterback as the key player. Each game will have a total of four groups. This is the best approach to truly capture the requirement of playing individual “run-back” plays from the opposing team. A more basic approach would be to include all of the skill players from a game in each quarterback’s group and rely on rules and limits to restrict any potential overflow. It is highly recommended to save the early season groups as a foundation that will be updated for the rest of the season. The recommended groups will include skill players who have an active role in their offense and provide significant correlation with their quarterback’s scoring, often bell-cow running backs who do not specialize in the passing game will not be included in groups as they are projected highly and appear on their own in basically correct distributions, while also not always providing the strongest positive correlation plays. Stacking quarterbacks with pass-catchers and allowing running backs to fall into the lanes created by settings, available salary, and randomness should create a well-distributed set of quality lineups. These groups are updated weekly to account for changes in utilization, schemes, injuries, target shares, and more.
Team Groups for DraftKings & FanDuel – Week 14
The goal is to create a large pool of well-built lineups that can be utilized in any large-field GPP contest. Our approach is to build far more lineups than needed and utilize a sorting table or sim process to filter to the best set of entries. The lineups created in these crunches should provide a broad distribution that includes some of the lower-owned high-upside skill players from each stack. Applying boosts is critical in pushing and pulling ownership to individual players within their team’s stacked lineups if they appear too much or too little.
The groups below are designed so that each quarterback will have two groups to create, one with his skill players and another with the opposing team. A more basic approach would be to add them all to one large group with an “at least three” and let rules and limits set things, but there is a more granular level of control in creating them separately.
Utilizing two groups also allows us to place running backs into the “run-back” position in certain teams while not including them in the primary stack for their team. This is useful when a situation has an extremely highly projected running back that does not necessarily fit into his team’s passing game. These players are threaded throughout the following construction recommendations.
Note for all optimizers the rules can be utilized to force bring-back plays in some sets of crunches and turned off for others as a global function instead of changing each group to “exactly one” bring-back play, wherever applicable, but it will apply to all teams.
Arizona Cardinals
Game Total: 48.0 / ARI +10.5 (18.75)
Offense: 35.58% rush / 64.42% pass / 22.1 ppg / 4.3 ypa rush / 6.8 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.9 ypa rush / 6.5 ypa pass / 17.5 ppg / 7.32% sack / 2.87% int
Key Player: Jacoby Brissett
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Trey McBride, Michael Wilson, Zonovan “Bam” Knight (on/off), Michael Carter (on/off), Elijah Higgins, Andre Baccellia (large field), Jalen Brooks (large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Puka Nacua, Devante Adams, Kyren Williams, Blake Corum (on/off), Colby Parkinson, Terrance Ferguson (on/off), Jordan Whittington (large field)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Jacoby Brissett has directed the offense for much of the season for Arizona and he slides into Week 14 down a few weapons but still ranking as QB11 by points and QB13 by value on DraftKings and QB11 by points and QB8 by value on FanDuel. The quarterback averages 312.57 passing yards per game on 43.14 attempts, delivering 7.2 yards per pass attempt. He has thrown 13 touchdowns against four interceptions this season and is completing passes 2.5% over expectation by CPOE. The Cardinals signal-caller is in a familiar situation with Trey McBride and Michael Wilson as his top two options in Week 14, he could lead a skinny stack around the two pass-catchers to big things but faces a Rams defense that has been very tough on the pass.
Running Backs
Zonovan “Bam” Knight leads the rushing attack, ranking as RB22 by points and RB24 by value on DraftKings and RB21 by points and RB20 by value on FanDuel. He handles 7.4 rushing attempts per game, averaging 3.4 yards per carry. Knight flashes marginal burst with a 4.05% explosive run rate and creates 1.7 yards after contact per attempt, forcing broken tackles on 6.76% of his runs. Overall, the running back is not much more than a dart at moderate volume and a cheap potential touchdown. Knight carried the ball 11 times for 62 yards and scored a touchdown on one of his three catches in Week 13.
Michael Carter provides depth in the backfield, ranking as RB31 by points and RB29 by value on DraftKings and RB29 by points and RB29 by value on FanDuel. He averages just 6.3 rushing attempts per game with 3.0 yards per carry overall but could see added involvement in the depleted backfield. Carter contributes in the passing game as well, averaging 2.8 receptions per game for 22.0 yards. The backup saw 10 total touches with five carries and five catches on six targets, albeit for a total of just 67 yards with no score, in Week 13.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Trey McBride stands out as the Cardinals’ primary receiving threat, ranking as TE1 by points and TE15 by value on DraftKings and TE1 by points and TE4 by value on FanDuel. McBride commands a massive 26.6% target share on routes run and delivers 1.77 yards per route run for the season, while leading all tight end categories by miles. The superstar operates with a 7.2-yard average depth of target and accounts for 27.92% of the team air yards, keeping him close enough to big play territory to matter. He is a high-volume option, securing 7.3 receptions on 9.8 weekly targets, with 22 of those chances coming in the red zone. McBride has eight touchdown catches this year and is a good bet to push that total if the Cardinals can break through in Week 14.
Michael Wilson steps into the top spot in the wide receiver room once again and offers a strong perimeter option, ranking as WR5 by points and WR1 by value both DraftKings and FanDuel in Week 14. For the season, he draws just a 17.6% target share and averages 1.24 yards per route run but the receiver exploded for upside and value in previous weeks in which Marvin Harrison Jr. has been out. Wilson works downfield with an 11.0-yard average depth of target and claims 21.97% of the team air yards overall. In Weeks 11 and 12 combined, that aggressive downfield targeting led Wilson to more than 300 yards on 25 catches, with a 15-18 day going for 185 yards and a 10-15 day for 118. Wilson’s lone flaw was failing to score a touchdown in either of those contests, he has only hit paydirt once this season, a one-catch game in Week 2 against the Panthers.
Elijah Higgins adds depth at tight end, ranking as TE31 by points and TE30 by value on DraftKings and TE30 by points and TE26 by value on FanDuel. He sees a 5.0% target share and averages 1.14 yards per route run.
Andre Baccellia rounds out the receiving corps, ranking as WR62 by points and WR59 by value on DraftKings and WR59 by points and WR48 by value on FanDuel, while Trent Sherfield Sr. could see a few chances as WR93 across the board. Neither seems like a good option in Week 14; Sherfield Sr. has not played in the last four games and has three catches all year, while Baccellia has one catch on the season after playing in small portions of the last three games.
The Cardinals offense enters the slate with moderate expectations, ranking 10th in stack points and 17th in value on DraftKings while landing 10th in points and sixth in value on FanDuel, they are one of the simply OK options but the team possesses a bit of breakout magic around the obvious capable trio. The matchup against the Rams presents a stiff challenge. The defense ranks fifth in yards allowed per rush attempt, holding opponents to just 3.9 yards per carry while the secondary is also formidable, ranking seventh in yards allowed per pass attempt, surrendering just 6.5 yards per dropback. Overall, the Cardinals are best rostered as a +2 stack with the Brissett-McBride-Wilson build firmly in mind, or as pieces in other lineups, primarily around the potential of both of those pass-catchers.
Atlanta Falcons
Game Total: 44.5 / ATL +7.0 (18.75)
Offense: 45.02% rush / 54.98% pass / 20.3 ppg / 4.5 ypa rush / 6.9 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.8 ypa rush / 6.1 ypa pass / 18.1 ppg / 8.28% sack / 2.93% int
Key Player: Kirk Cousins
Setting: exactly one
Team Group: Bijan Robinson, Kyle Pitts Sr., Darnell Mooney, Tyler Allgeier (on/off), David Sills V, Dylan Drummond, Deven Thompkins (on/off; large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Kenneth Walker III (on/off), Zach Charbonnet (on/off), Cooper Kupp, AJ Barner, Rashid Shaheed, Elijah Arroyo (on/off)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Kirk Cousins helms the offense, ranking as QB18 by points but hopping up to QB8 by value on a purely cheap $4,500 DraftKings price. Cousins is QB18 by points and QB16 by value on FanDuel. The quarterback averages 227.67 passing yards per game on 36.0 attempts, delivering just 6.3 yards per pass attempt. He has thrown three touchdowns against one interception in the limited stretch of games. Over the past two outings, both full starts, Cousins has thrown for all three of those touchdowns and the interception, while posting 199 yards on 16-23 passing in Week 12 and 234 yards on 21-33 passing last week. He is a very limited option against a truly good Seattle defense.
Running Backs
Bijan Robinson dominates the backfield usage, ranking as RB4 by points and RB13 by value on DraftKings and RB4 by points and RB8 by value on FanDuel, if anything from the Atlanta side looks likely to provide upside, it is Robinson. He handles 16.3 rushing attempts per game, averaging a fantastic 5.1 yards per carry. Robinson displays explosiveness with an 8.72% explosive run rate and forces broken tackles on 10.26% of his attempts, while creating a robust 2.5 yards after contact per attempt. He is a focal point in the passing game as well, securing 4.5 catches per game and averaging 49.5 receiving yards on 5.7 weekly targets that push his potential touch mark all the way to 22.0. Even against a stifling Seattle squad, Robinson has clear potential on volume alone, if he manages to find his sixth rushing or third receiving touchdown, so much the better.
The issue with Robinson’s rushing touchdowns is not a deficiency on the superstar’s part, it is partially the presence of the league’s most formidable poacher, Tyler Allgeier as the team’s depth option. Allgeier sees regular involvement but gains just 3.5 yards per rush attempt or -0.4 yards over expectation per attempt. He ranks as RB32 by points and RB32 by value on DraftKings and RB32 by points and RB32 by value on FanDuel. The running back averages 8.1 rushing attempts per game but runs with power, posting an 8.25% explosive run rate and averaging 1.7 yards after contact per attempt while bursting into the end zone a whopping eight times on the season.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Kyle Pitts Sr. serves as a potential primary option in the passing attack with Drake London out of action in Week 14. Pitts Sr. slots in ranking as TE4 by points and by value on DraftKings while landing as TE4 by points and TE1 by value on FanDuel. Under normal circumstances, the tight end commands a 20.5% target share on routes run and averages 1.41 yards per route run. Pitts Sr. operates with a fair 7.1-yard average depth of target but accounts for just 15.98% of the team air yards while hauling in 4.7 receptions per game. The tight end broke out for seven catches and 82 yards to lead his team last week against the Jets, with London also out, though his two-catch 25-yard game the week before in the same situation is probably a better comparison point.
Darnell Mooney has the potential to stretch the field and ranks as WR28 by points and WR33 by value on DraftKings and WR29 by points and WR30 by value on FanDuel. Mooney only drew three targets in Week 12 when stepping up for the absent London, but he caught them all, gaining 74 yards and scoring a touchdown. The following week he fell to just two catches on five targets for 25 measly yards. The receiver is a boom-or-bust option who typically earns a limiting 13.7% target share and averages 1.08 yards per route run, but works downfield with a 14.1-yard average depth of target, claiming 23.10% of the team air yards even with the limited chances.
David Sills V adds depth to the receiver room, ranking as WR57 by points and WR66 by value on DraftKings and WR54 by points and WR57 by value on FanDuel. He sees a limited role with a 4.4% target share and averages 0.31 yards per route run under normal conditions, but did see an uptick over the last two weeks. Sills V was targeted three times in Week 12 and four times last week, catching two passes in both games. While he gained just 16 yards in one game and 15 in the other, the wide receiver managed to find cheap touchdowns in both outings and could work his way to another interesting score in Week 14.
Dylan Drummond rounds out the group, ranking as WR70 by points and WR68 by value on DraftKings and WR63 by points and WR62 by value on FanDuel. Drummond picked up three more targets in Week 13 but caught only one for three yards, he had three catches for 18 yards on three targets in Week 12.
The Falcons offense faces a difficult test this week and ranks as Stack 13 by points and Stack 11 by value on DraftKings while sitting 13th in points and 14th in value on FanDuel. The matchup against the Seahawks is formidable on all fronts. The defense ranks third in yards allowed per rush attempt, stifling opponents to just 3.8 yards per carry, which puts a dent in even a volume hog like Bijan Robinson. The team’s pass defense is even more imposing, Seattle ranks at the top of the heap, surrendering a meager 6.1 yards per pass attempt this season. Of course, any concerns about the defense would overlook the larger problem, that Atlanta’s stunted offense is driven by Kirk Cousins and is missing its top receiver.
Baltimore Ravens
Game Total: 43.0 / BAL -6.0 (24.5)
Offense: 48.46% rush / 51.54% pass / 24.1 ppg / 5.0 ypa rush / 7.6 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.3 ypa rush / 7.0 ypa pass / 24.1 ppg / 6.95% sack / 2.20% int
Key Player: Lamar Jackson
Setting: at most two
Team Group: Derrick Henry, Zay Flowers, Mark Andrews, Isaiah Likely, Rashod Bateman, DeAndre Hopkins
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Jaylen Warren (on/off), DK Metcalf, Kenneth Gainwell (on/off), Calvin Austin III, Darnell Washington (on/off), Jonnu Smith (on/off), Pat Freiermuth (on/off), Roman Wilson (on/off; large field), Adam Thielen (on/off; large field)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Look, on the level, it is our fault that Lamar Jackson has been tanking fantasy teams for the past few weeks. While working on a second-straight title in a Yahoo season-long league, a trade was made in an effort to consolidate talent around a few stars, and, well, we apparently were not buying low on the Baltimore superstar. Jackson directs the Ravens offense and still looks like a go-to, despite recent returns, ranking as QB4 by points but an ugly QB16 by value on DraftKings while sitting similarly as QB4 by points and QB12 by value on FanDuel. The quarterback averages just 204.56 passing yards per game on a limited 25.22 attempts but delivers an impressive 8.1 yards per pass attempt. Jackson has thrown 15 touchdowns against only four interceptions and is completing passes 0.9% over expectation by CPOE in his nine games this season. Jackson remains a potent rushing threat on talent and previous results but he is averaging just 5.8 attempts per game and has only scored once on the ground while picking up a strong 5.1 yards per carry. Somehow, the quarterback has not thrown a touchdown in the past three games and has only thrown one since his four-score game against Miami in Week 9. Jackson has thrown three interceptions and has not thrown more than 32 passes in a game all season. If fully unleashed against a Pittsburgh team that yields 7.0 yards per pass attempt while picking up average pressure and coverage marks, Jackson could pop for under-owned value if the field hesitates on recent history.
Running Backs
Derrick Henry still dominates the backfield work for the Ravens, such as it is, ranking as RB7 by points and RB15 by value on DraftKings and RB6 by points and RB12 by value on FanDuel in Week 14. Henry handles 16.4 rushing attempts per game and picks up another 1.5 potential touches via targeting, pushing him to 17.9 potential touches each week, down several chances year-over-year. Henry is not to blame, the veteran wrecking ball is still averaging 4.7 yards per carry in 2025. The running back displays burst with an 8.12% explosive run rate and creates 2.1 yards after contact per attempt, forcing broken tackles on 3.55% of his runs while punching the ball in for 10 rushing touchdowns. Henry catches a little more than one pass per game and has not scored in limited targeting, but there is a tiny pinch of added potential just in keeping him on the field.
Keaton Mitchell adds a change of pace, ranking as RB37 by points and RB39 by value on DraftKings and RB36 by points and RB33 by value on FanDuel. He averages just 3.1 attempts per game but boasts an electric 6.1 yards per carry and a massive 16.00% explosive run rate in the limited work. Mitchell has one rushing touchdown on the season and gains 19.1 yards per game, he would be nothing more than a deep dart throw at an explosive scoring play.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Zay Flowers leads the Ravens receiving corps, ranking as a playable WR13 by points and WR28 by value on DraftKings and WR12 by points and WR18 by value on FanDuel where his price fits with a bit more ease. Flowers commands a 27.5% target share and produces a terrific 2.15 yards per route run, he is an extremely efficient receiver whose 76.19% catchable target rate leads this group. Flowers operates with a 9.6-yard average depth of target, accounting for 31.23% of the team air yards, and is effective after the catch with 5.9 yards after the catch per reception good for 0.4 yards over expectation after the catch each time he catches the ball. Flowers is a solid mixer who plays up in stacks and stands out as a mid-board option at fair-not-special pricing on both sites.
Mark Andrews serves as a reliable tight end option, ranking as TE6 by points and TE9 by value on DraftKings and TE6 by points and TE6 by value on FanDuel with plenty of scoring upside. Andrews has seen 10 red zone targets and has five touchdown catches this season. The tight end does his damage with just a 17.0% target share and averages 1.28 yards per route run. Andrews works the intermediate areas with a 7.2-yard average depth of target and only catches 3.1 passes per game, but he knows how to make them hit the DFS board at reasonable prices.
Isaiah Likely provides depth at tight end, ranking as a loosely playable depth piece as TE17 by points and TE12 by value on DraftKings and TE17 by points and TE16 by value on FanDuel. Likely draws just an 8.2% target share while running 18.6 routes per game and averaging 1.34 yards per route run with an 8.6-yard average depth of target. The tight end needs to find the end zone to make any real noise, he is yet to do so this season.
Rashod Bateman offers a vertical threat, ranking as WR43 by points and WR35 by value on DraftKings and WR42 by points and WR39 by value on FanDuel, making him a dart at one big play. Bateman sees a limiting 10.5% target share on routes run in the team’s light overall passing attack. The receiver averages a pathetic 0.78 yards per route run, doing more sprints than damage to opposing defenses, though part of that can be blamed on just a 56.25% catchable target rate on the year. Bateman stretches the field with a 12.7-yard average depth of target, claiming 31.00% of the team air yards despite the limited raw chances. The receiver works as stack padding in +2 builds or as a cheap one-off dart.
DeAndre Hopkins adds a veteran presence but ranks as just WR52 by points and WR46 by value on DraftKings and WR50 by points and WR53 by value on FanDuel. He earns a 9.5% target share and produces a moderately efficient 1.60 yards per route run with a deep 14.1-yard average depth of target, but has not improved on the two touchdowns he scored all the way back at the beginning of the season. Hopkins is a lower-end option best left for Showdown formats.
The Ravens offense faces a challenging divisional matchup, they rank as Stack 9 by points and Stack 15 by value on DraftKings while dropping in as Stack 9 by points and 13 by value on FanDuel, with most of the upside coming from a few individuals rather than the collective. Baltimore does have a workable 24.5-point implied team total against a gettable middle-of-the-road Steelers defense against both the pass and the run. At worst, Lamar Jackson is on the board with +1 and +2 or “naked” builds all viable. The quarterback is joined by a few capable wideouts, a big touchdown option at tight end, and a premium running back, there is plenty to work with in and out of group builds.
Buffalo Bills
Game Total: 53.0 / BUF -6.0 (29.5)
Offense: 49.47% rush / 50.53% pass / 28.1 ppg / 5.0 ypa rush / 8.1 ypa pass
oppDEF: 5.1 ypa rush / 7.9 ypa pass / 31.2 ppg / 4.26% sack / 2.47% int
Key Player: Josh Allen
Setting: at least one / at most two (for “naked” Allen possibilities) / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: James Cook III, Khalil Shakir, Dalton Kincaid, Keon Coleman, Gabe Davis, Ty Johnson, Dawson Knox (on/off), Tyrell Shavers (large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Ja’Marr Chase, Chase Brown, Tee Higgins, Samaje Perine (on/off), Mike Gesicki, Andrei Iosivas, Noah Fant
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Josh Allen is the most highly-projected player on the entire slate, ranking as QB1 by points and QB6 by value on DraftKings and QB1/1 on FanDuel. The quarterback averages just 236.0 passing yards on 29.17 attempts per game but manages a robust 8.1 yards per pass attempt. More importantly, Allen has a nose for the end zone. The quarterback has thrown 19 touchdowns against 10 interceptions this season and is completing passes 2.0% over expectation by CPOE while remaining a dominant force on the ground for his position. Allen runs the ball 6.5 times per game and picks up a tremendous 5.2 yards per carry, and has run the ball into the end zone for an additional 11 touchdowns that have added rocket fuel to his DFS potential in 2025, a matchup against the terrible Bengals defense should do the same in Week 14.
Running Backs
James Cook III headlines the Buffalo backfield, ranking as RB3 by points and by value on DraftKings and RB3/RB4 on FanDuel. Cook III handles a heavy workload with 19.3 rushing attempts per game, averaging a hyper-efficient 5.3 yards per carry. Cook III flashes burst with a 9.52% explosive run rate and creates 2.3 yards after contact per attempt, forcing broken tackles on 8.23% of his runs while breaking away for 102.3 rushing yards per game, one of the league’s leading overall totals. He is also a reliable option in the passing game, securing 2.3 receptions on 2.4 targets per game, essentially catching everything Allen throws his way. Cook III has only scored once in the passing game but he has potential to add to that total. The running back is a sound investment both in and out of stacks against one of the worst defenses in football.
Ty Johnson provides depth, ranking as RB36 by points and RB37 by value on DraftKings and RB38 by points and RB37 by value on FanDuel. Behind the workhorse running back, Johnson averages just 1.9 rushing attempts per game with 4.1 yards per carry and contributes in the passing game with 1.2 receptions per game but does notdo much in the scoring department. Johnson has a touchdown catch on the board in 2025 but it is difficult to see him truly providing DFS value this week.
Ray Davis rounds out the rushing attack, ranking as RB51 by points and RB51 by value on DraftKings and RB51 by points and RB51 by value on FanDuel. He averages just 2.8 rushing attempts per game and 3.2 yards per carry. Davis demonstrates big-play potential with a 9.09% explosive run rate but does not see enough involvement for that to truly matter. Davis has one touchdown catch on the board this season, he sees just 0.6 targets per week but has three looks in the red zone this year, by comparison, Cook III has only drawn two red zone targets this season.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Khalil Shakir serves as a primary receiving option for Josh Allen. Shakir works mostly underneath with just a 3.8-yard ADOT. The receiver does most of his damage after the catch, where he gains 8.0 yards per reception with the ball in his hands, a mark good for 1.9 yards over expectation after the catch per catch for 1.79 yards per route run overall. Shakir has tremendous explosive play potential on any given slate but it comes in a different form than receivers that operate downfield for a few big chances. The volume and talent make the receiver worthwhile at fair prices that have him ranking as WR18 by points and WR15 by value on DraftKings and WR20 by points and WR11 by value on FanDuel. Shakir looks particularly good on the blue site, he is the top option to pair with Allen in skinny builds against the terrible defense and makes for a good standalone mixer who is rarely owned at appropriate levels.
Dalton Kincaid is now expected to play after missing three straight games. He offers a playable tight end option, ranking as TE9 by points and TE13 by value on DraftKings and TE9 by points and TE13 by value on FanDuel. Kincaid draws just a 10.4% target share on routes run but delivers an impressive 2.93 yards per route run over 19.1 routes per game. The tight end works the intermediate areas with a 9.6-yard average depth of target and secures 3.6 receptions per game while sharing a few chances with Dawson Knox and, possibly, one or two with other depth plays. Kincaid has caught four touchdowns and has two 100-yard games in the eight times he has taken the field this season.
Despite bouncing around on the depth chart a bit recently, Keon Coleman adds a vertical threat to the offense and ranks in playable territory after a cheap touchdown catch last week. Coleman slots into Week 14 ranking as WR39 by points and WR41 by value on DraftKings and WR43 by points and WR45 by value on FanDuel, his chances are likely to be limited to about the three targets he saw last week, but he managed to turn those chances into nine yards and a score. Coleman sees a 15.0% target share and averages a limited 1.28 yards per route run but stretches the field with an 11.2-yard average depth of target, accounting for 24.12% of the team air yards even in limited action. If he sees a bit better than his season-long average of 69.23% catchable targets from his superstar quarterback, Coleman could bend a slate with a big play or two.
Gabe Davis returned to the Bills wide receiver corps a few weeks ago and contributes as another deep threat. To this point, it is mostly only a threat, of course. Despite a 10.0-yard average depth of target, Davis has managed just 1.06 yards per route run. The veteran checks in ranking as WR46 by points and WR39 by value on DraftKings and WR41 by points and WR36 by value on FanDuel. Davis caught three of four chances for 40 yards in Week 11 but only had one catch for 22 yards on two targets the following week and had one for five yards on two targets last week. Davis is not much more than a dart at a cheap big play in +2 builds.
Dawson Knox adds depth at tight end but is less likely to hit the board as long as Kincaid is active. Knox is currently ranking as TE30 by points and TE32 by value on DraftKings and TE29 by points and TE30 by value on FanDuel. He earns an 8.4% target share and averages a mere 0.93 yards per route run with a 7.4-yard average depth of target for the season and has only caught one touchdown.
Brandin Cooks is another veteran addition from the scrap heap, ranking as WR61 by points and WR58 by value on DraftKings and WR65 by points and WR66 by value on FanDuel in Week 14. Cooks played 17 snaps in his Buffalo debut last week after drawing limited targets over the first 10 Weeks of the season in New Orleans. The veteran caught his lone Week 13 target for 13 yards but did not score or impact the DFS slate in any way.
Tyrell Shavers provides depth, ranking as WR67 by points and WR63 by value on DraftKings and WR60 by points and WR56 by value on FanDuel. He sees a 4.9% target share and averages 1.23 yards per route run but that comes on an appealing 12.8-yard average depth of target that could put him in reach of one big scoring play as a wildcard in +2 builds.
The Bills offense enters the slate with elite expectations. Buffalo ranks as Stack 3 by points and Stack 2 by value on DraftKings while placing as Stack 2 in both points and value on FanDuel. The matchup against the Bengals is a potential goldmine for fantasy production. Cincinnati’s defense struggles mightily on all fronts, ranking 29th in yards allowed per rush attempt while giving up 5.1 yards per carry and also ranking 29th in the secondary with 7.9 yards allowed per pass attempt. The Bengals are getting beat up for more than 32 points per game and the Bills score a robust 28.1 each week, this is an excellent collision of factors that puts all things Bills into the DFS mix at any popularity or price.
Chicago Bears
Game Total: 44.5 / CHI +7.0 (18.75)
Offense: 47.04% rush / 52.96% pass / 26.1 ppg / 4.9 ypa rush / 6.9 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.9 ypa rush / 6.2 ypa pass / 18.8 ppg / 7.49% sack / 1.52% int
Key Player: Caleb Williams
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: D’Andre Swift (on/off), DJ Moore, Kyle Monangai (on/off), Luther Burden III, Colston Loveland, Olamide Zaccheaus, Cole Kmet (on/off)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Josh Jacobs, Christian Watson, Romeo Doubs, Jayden Reed, Matthew Golden, Dontayvion Wicks, Emanuel Wilson (on/off), Luke Musgrave (on/off),
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Second-year man Caleb Williams has been an up and down contributor again in 2025. Williams directs the Bears offense, ranking as just QB13 by points and QB14 by value on DraftKings and QB14 by points and QB17 by value on FanDuel, giving him only limited DFS relevance this week. Williams averages 226.83 passing yards per game on a fair 33.0 weekly throws, managing a limited 6.9 yards per pass attempt. He has thrown 17 touchdowns against only five interceptions, though his accuracy has been inconsistent with a completion percentage that sits a ridiculous 7.5% below expectation by CPOE. Williams adds value with his legs, averaging 5.1 rushing attempts per game and 5.0 yards per carry for the season but his three rushing touchdowns have not pushed the boundaries of average fantasy scoring. Williams has gobs of potential on any given slate but he will face a Green Bay defense that has been excellent with just 6.2 yards allowed per pass and 3.9 per rush this season. Williams is also without top receiver Rome Odunze in Week 14, another limiting factor when he does not pop for value.
Running Backs
D’Andre Swift leads the backfield but checks into the difficult matchup ranking as just RB18 by points and RB20 by value on DraftKings and RB19 by points and by value on FanDuel. Swift is a middling option with a rookie pushing his chances. On the season, the running back handles 14.5 rushing attempts per game and averages a strong 4.8 yards per carry. Swift displays explosiveness with a 10.63% explosive run rate but creates just 1.9 yards after contact per attempt while gaining 0.4 yards over expectation per rush attempt. Swift remains involved in the passing game, securing 2.3 receptions on 3.3 weekly targets to push his volume slightly. The running back has five rushing touchdowns and one bonus in the passing game.
Kyle Monangai provides significant depth, ranking as RB20 by points and RB23 by value on DraftKings and RB20 by points and RB22 by value on FanDuel, he does not sit far off the marks set by Swift in those categories. Monangai now averages 10.1 rush attempts per game with a strong 4.9 yards per carry. The rookie runs with power, posting a 7.44% explosive run rate and averaging 2.0 yards after contact per attempt, he also has five rushing touchdowns, and they come on far fewer overall touches than his veteran teammate has seen this season. Monangai gained 130 yards on 22 carries and scored a touchdown in a big game against the Eagles in Week 13. With Swift going for 125 yards and a score on 18 carries in the same game, there seems to be plenty for both of the Bears running backs, but this Packers defense has been standing running backs up all season.
Receivers & Tight Ends
DJ Moore headlines the receiving group with Rome Odunze out. The veteran receiver has been up and down with his quarterback this season, he caught just two passes for 17 yards in Week 13 but had five catches for 64 yards and a pair of touchdowns the week before, for example. Moore drops into Week 14 ranking as WR23 by points and a very playable WR10 by value on DraftKings and WR26 by points and WR26 by value on FanDuel. He picks up a 16.6% target share and averages a mediocre 1.28 yards per route run for the season but could see something like the seven targets he drew two weeks ago. Moore operates with a 10.3-yard average depth of target that keeps him interesting and accounts for 19.64% of the team air yards. He is effective after the catch with 5.9 yards after the catch per reception, which amounts to 1.1 yards after the catch over expectation per reception.
Luther Burden III adds a dynamic element and has a chance for a true breakout in Week 14. The fantasy community seems to be rooting for Burden III overall, the popular preseason sleeper/late round pick (how good is your league?) has produced only in drips early in his promising career, but the talent is clear. After a quiet first two games, Burden III exploded in Week 3 against Dallas, putting up 101 yards and a touchdown on just three catches over three targets on only nine routes run. The receiver went back on the shelf for a few games, he did catch four of four targets for 51 yards in Week 6 but nothing was added to make his score relevant, but otherwise did not land again until Week 10. In a matchup against the Giants’ terrible defense, Burden caught another three of three targets for 51 yards. The rookie has slowly gained ground, he has at least three catches in four straight games, peaking with four last week, though he still only has one touchdown and has not been back over the century mark all year. Burden III is an interesting potential wrinkle, ranking as WR29 by points but vaulting to WR6 by value on DraftKings, he is just WR30 by points and WR22 by value on FanDuel.
Colston Loveland serves as a key tight end target, ranking as TE11 by points and exploding to the top of the board as TE1 by value on DraftKings, he is far less appealing on FanDuel where he is just TE12 by points and TE10 by value. Loveland sees an 11.6% target share and averages 1.64 yards per route run with a 9.3-yard average depth of target for the year but has seen at least four targets in seven straight games while gaining more responsibility and upside. Loveland had his big breakout in Week 9 against the terrible Bengals with six catches for 118 yards and two touchdowns. The tight end has three touchdowns on the season and sees regular action and a 72.72% catchable target rate that sits second on the team. Loveland is an interesting +2 option for the bold Bears boosters, he is more of a value mixer with a priority value sticker on the DraftKings slate.
Olamide Zaccheaus contributes as a slot option, but ranks as just WR55 by points and WR53 by value on DraftKings and WR57 by points and WR58 by value on FanDuel. He sees a 14.2% target share and averages 1.13 yards per route run on the year but can pop for big gains and has a relevant Week 9 performance that saw him spike a cheap 58 yards and a score on six catches over eight targets on a season-high 32 routes run.
Cole Kmet rounds out the tight end group, ranking as TE28 by points and TE29 by value on DraftKings and TE32 by points and TE32 by value on FanDuel. He earns an 8.4% target share and averages 1.00 yards per route run but has a pair of touchdown catches in limited overall involvement.
The Bears offense faces a daunting task this week, ranking 19th in stack points and 20th in value on DraftKings while placing 19th in points and 18th in value on FanDuel in a game in which they are drawing just an 18.75-point implied team total against a good defense. The matchup against the Packers is exceptionally tough. The defense ranks fifth in yards allowed per rush attempt, stifling opponents to just 3.9 yards per carry. The secondary is even more restrictive, ranking second in surrendering merely 6.2 yards per pass attempt. Chicago is fine for a few darts at the widespread talent but their pricing does not pop for enough value (Loveland on DraftKings is an exceptional value and the exclusion here), to make them relevant in full builds.
Cincinnati Bengals
Game Total: 53.0 / CIN +6.0 (23.5)
Offense: 33.88% rush / 66.12% pass / 23.3 ppg / 4.3 ypa rush / 6.3 ypa pass
oppDEF: 5.2 ypa rush / 6.5 ypa pass / 21.6 ppg / 7.65% sack / 2.45% int
Key Player: Joe Burrow
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Ja’Marr Chase, Chase Brown, Tee Higgins, Samaje Perine (on/off), Mike Gesicki, Andrei Iosivas, Noah Fant
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: James Cook III, Khalil Shakir, Dalton Kincaid, Keon Coleman, Gabe Davis, Ty Johnson, Dawson Knox (on/off), Tyrell Shavers (large field)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Joe Burrow’s mostly lost season began anew in Week 13 with the quarterback returning to complete 24 of 46 pass attempts for 261 yards and a pair of touchdowns to less-than-likely targets. Burrow checks into an interesting spot against a rival team ranking as QB7 by points and QB15 by value on DraftKings and QB8 by points and QB10 by value on FanDuel. While the Bengals have nothing to play for, there is plenty of upside appeal with both teams drawing interesting Vegas totals and plenty of star power up and down both depth charts. Burrow has been limited in his few games this season, managing merely 5.5 yards per pass attempt but there is far more upside than that available. The Bengals star quarterback has four touchdowns in limited play in 2025, he is on the board to approach that total in Week 14.
Running Backs
Chase Brown headlines the backfield, ranking as RB11 by points and RB12 by value on DraftKings and RB13 by points and RB11 by value on FanDuel in a great spot against a Buffalo defense that has been gouged for 5.2 yards per rush attempt to sit 30th and in similar territory to the inept New York Giants. The Bills are a gettable target for Brown, he handles 13.3 rushing attempts per game, averaging 4.4 yards per carry. Brown displays explosiveness with an 8.75% explosive run rate and creates 2.2 yards after contact per attempt and is also a significant factor in the passing game, averaging 4.0 receptions on 5.3 weekly targets that push his volume to nearly star levels. Brown was held down significantly in early action but he has rebounded with more capable play across the board from Cincinnati’s offense in the second-half, he is a playable target who could climb a few spots in morning revisions, particularly in full-PPR formats.
Samaje Perine provides depth, but ranks as just RB30 by points and RB27 by value on DraftKings and RB31 by points and RB31 by value on FanDuel. The running back averages just 4.6 attempts per game with a strong 5.2 yards per carry and an 8.70% explosive run rate with a touch of involvement in the passing game as well.
Receivers & Tight Ends
With Joe Burrow back under center, the team’s star receiver duo should pop for quality in what may well turn into an underappreciated shootout against the Bills. The Bengals have a 23.5-point implied team total despite being six-point underdogs in Week 14, they could pass their way to big DFS gains. Ja’Marr Chase dominates the perimeter for Cincinnati, ranking as WR3 by points and by value on DraftKings and WR3 by points and WR6 by value on FanDuel. Chase commands a 30.2% target share and delivers an elite 2.20 yards per route run while operating with a 9.0-yard average depth of target, accounting for 37.83% of the team air yards. The Bengals superstar is lethal after the catch, averaging 5.4 yards after the catch per reception, good for 1.3 yards over expectation after each catch. The receiver runs 40.1 routes per game, more than four more than Tee Higgins. With Higgins out of action in Burrow’s return last week, Chase led the team by far with 14 targets, which turned into seven catches for 110 yards but no touchdown. Chase will look to improve on his five touchdowns for the season against a capable Buffalo defense. Burrow’s touchdown passes frustratingly went to Tanner Hudson and wildcard receiver Andrei Iosivas instead of Chase.
Tee Higgins serves as a key receiving threat and a clear pivot point from his star teammate, as usual. Higgins is ranking as WR10 by points and WR12 by value on DraftKings and WR11 by points and WR12 by value on FanDuel. He earns a 16.1% target share on routes run and averages 1.46 yards per route over 35.9 routes per game, light work by comparison to Chase. Higgins works downfield with a 12.9-yard average depth of target, claiming 33.79% of the team air yards, and scoring seven times through the air on the season, mostly without Burrow involved.
Tight end Mike Gesicki offers a middling option, ranking as TE18 by points and TE23 by value on DraftKings and TE21 by points and TE20 by value on FanDuel. The veteran draws just a 6.0% target share and averages 0.82 yards per route run with an 8.5-yard average depth of target on 17.6 routes run each week, with an extended absence from Week 7 through 11. There is limited potential but Gesicki, like all of the Bengals, should see ongoing potential with Joe Burrow back in the mix, though that amounted to just two catches for 19 yards on four targets last week.
Andrei Iosivas adds depth to the receiver room, ranking as WR45 by points and WR54 by value on DraftKings and WR45 by points and WR43 by value on FanDuel. He sees a 10.1% target share and averages 0.84 yards per route run on a misleading 10.4-yard ADOT that has not resulted in massive gains this season. Iosivas has been a boom-or-bust option with a pair of touchdowns and a 25.0% explosive play rate on his limited receptions.
Noah Fant rounds out the group, ranking as TE26 by points and TE26 by value on DraftKings and TE25 by points and TE27 by value on FanDuel. He earns an 8.5% target share and averages 1.47 yards per route run with three cheap touchdown catches on the season giving him a smidge of value.
The Bengals are Stack 2 by points and Stack 6 by value on DraftKings while placing as Stack 3 by points but Stack 10 by value on FanDuel in the week’s most highly-totaled game. Cincinnati is a big underdog on the board, but their 23.5-point total is appealing and they have plenty of ammunition for both primary builds and bring-back plays in stacks of Buffalo options. The matchup against the Bills presents a tale of two efficiencies. The defense struggles against the run, ranking 30th in yards allowed per rush attempt and giving up 5.2 yards per carry. However, the secondary is reasonably sound, ranking seventh, surrendering just 6.5 yards per pass attempt. Burrow +2 builds are a strong option on both sites, and the Bengals offer a mix of depth receivers and running back talent that is involved in the passing game. Both of the team’s primary pass-catchers and Chase Brown have upside in individual roles or bring-back plays as well.
Cleveland Browns
Game Total: 34.0 / CLE +4.0 (19.0)
Offense: 40.99% rush / 59.01% pass / 16.2 ppg / 3.9 ypa rush / 5.3 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.6 ypa rush / 7.9 ypa pass / 27.3 ppg / 7.71% sack / 1.39% int
Key Player: Shedeur Sanders
Setting: exactly one
Team Group: Quinshon Judkins (on/off), Jerry Jeudy, Harold Fannin Jr., Cedric Tillman, David Njoku, Jerome Ford (on/off), Isaiah Bond (large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Tony Pollard (on/off), Tyjae Spears (on/off), Elic Ayomanor, Chimere Dike, Chig Okonkwo, Gunnar Helm, Van Jefferson
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Rookie Shedeur Sanders is at the head of the Browns’ messy offense again in Week 14, ranking as QB21 by points and QB19 by value on DraftKings and QB20 by points and QB19 by value on FanDuel and providing little-to-no visible fantasy value in any format. Sanders threw a touchdown for the second-straight game last week, one of his 16 completions on 25 attempts. The rookie finished with 149 yards after completing 11 of 20 attempts for 209 yards the week before. He managed to avoid throwing an interception for the first time but has been limited overall to just 6.6 yards per pass attempt and 4.2 yards per carry on limited rush attempts.
Running Backs
Quinshon Judkins headlines the backfield, ranking as RB13 by points and RB14 by value on DraftKings and RB11 by points and RB15 by value on FanDuel, he managed a strong Week 13 performance in spite of the poor overall team play. Judkins gained 91 yards on 23 carries over 37 snaps with the offense and could see similar action in Week 14. He had two touchdowns while gaining 47 yards on 16 carries over 25 snaps the week before but had been at 34 or more carries in two games immediate prior to that contest. The running back handles a significant workload with 17.8 rushing attempts per game but he has been held to a limited 3.9 yards per carry over his rookie campaign, though 2.4 yards of that comes after contact per attempt, suggesting much of the limitation may not be his fault. Judkins has seven rushing touchdowns on the season and remains, by far, the most likely path to success if one is forced to play the Browns by some malevolent spirit in their, presumably, Chicagoland basement.
Jerome Ford provides depth, ranking as RB42 by points and RB38 by value on DraftKings and RB43 by points and RB41 by value on FanDuel. He averages a pair of rush attempts and a pair of catches per game, with little-to-no path to quality for DFS scoring. Similarly, Dylan Sampson rounds out the rushing attack, ranking as RB47 by points and RB50 by value on DraftKings and RB50 by points and RB52 by value on FanDuel. His 3.5 rushing attempts per game and 2.7 yards per carry are unlikely to make a dent in DFS scoreboards anytime soon.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Jerry Jeudy serves as the primary receiving option in a terrible passing game, he ranks as WR27 by points but does climb to WR11 by value at a cheap $4.200 on DraftKings. Jeudy is WR32 by points and WR33 by value on FanDuel, where his $5,600 price tag does not have appeal. The receiver earns a 20.9% target share and averages just 1.01 yards per route run while pulling an extremely limiting 56.25% catchable target rate from Cleveland quarterbacks. With just about 3.5 actually catchable targets per game, Jeudy has very little chance to do anything with his talents, despite an appealing 12.1-yard ADOT and 37.68% of the team air yards.
Harold Fannin Jr. offers a lightly playable tight end target, ranking as TE14 by points and TE14 by value on DraftKings and TE11 by points and TE11 by value on FanDuel. Fannin Jr. would need to crack the end zone for six to provide any true upside, given a moderate 1.60 yards per route run and a 5.7-yard average depth of target. His 4.3 catches per game can push a bit of low-end PPR quality but there is not much to work with overall.
Cedric Tillman adds a perimeter threat, ranking as a lousy WR41 by points and WR31 by value on DraftKings and WR46 by points and WR44 by value on FanDuel. The receiver sees an 8.4% target share and averages an irrelevant 0.77 yards per route run despite a 10.3-yard average depth of target. Like Jeudy, Tillman only sees a few chances each week, given a 56.25% catchable target rate that matches his teammates’ draw.
David Njoku contributes as a veteran tight end, ranking as TE23 by points and TE16 by value on DraftKings and TE26 by points and TE25 by value on FanDuel with his 70.21% catchable target rate on short chances sitting second only to Fannin Jr.s’ quality of chances. He earns a 12.3% target share and averages an extremely light 1.08 yards per route run on just a 5.8-yard ADOT, while turning seven red zone targets into three touchdown catches this year.
Isaiah Bond stretches the field, ranking as WR63 by points and WR60 by value on DraftKings and WR64 by points and WR64 by value on FanDuel. Bond draws only a few looks each week, averaging a 9.2% target share and 0.85 yards per route run but seeing a deep 14.6-yard average depth of target and claiming a surprising 31.00% of the team air yards in his limited action. If anyone could get the ball to him, Bond could provide a bit of an any-given-slate surprise, he has seen just a 48.57% catchable target rate on the deep chances this year.
The Browns offense enters the week with no expectations, ranking 21st in stack points and 16th in value on DraftKings while placing 21st in both points and value on FanDuel. The matchup against the Titans offers opportunities, particularly through the air. The Tennessee defense ranks 25th in yards allowed per rush attempt, giving up 4.6 yards per carry but the secondary is even more generous, ranking 29th in yards allowed per pass attempt, surrendering 7.9 yards per dropback. Unfortunately, Cleveland is simply not poised to capitalize on those numbers, the team is pulling a 19.0-point implied total as underdogs in the dog game of the week with a 34.0 overall total. Quinshon Judkins is probably the top option, as his quality runs independent of the lousy rookie quarterback, anyone else is a wildcard and stacks are a bad idea.
Denver Broncos
Game Total: 40.5 / DEN -7.5 (24.0)
Offense: 41.26% rush / 58.74% pass / 23.7 ppg / 4.6 ypa rush / 6.3 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.8 ypa rush / 7.2 ypa pass / 25.7 ppg / 5.82% sack / 2.15% int
Key Player: Bo Nix
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: RJ Harvey, Courtland Sutton, Troy Franklin, Evan Engram, Pat Bryant, Jaleel McLaughlin (on/off), Marvin Mims Jr. (large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Ashton Jeanty (on/off), Brock Bowers, Tre Tucker, Tyler Lockett, Jack Bech, Raheem Mostert (on/off)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
The Broncos are pulling a respectable mid-board total at 24.0 implied points as heavy favorites against a terrible Las Vegas squad. With quality options in tow, Bo Nix ranks as QB6 by points and QB10 by value on DraftKings while spiking to QB6 by points and QB5 by value on FanDuel. The second-year quarterback averages 228.5 passing yards per game on a healthy 36.0 attempts, though that amounts to just 6.3 yards per pass attempt. With Las Vegas yielding 7.2 yards per attempt to rank 21st and not putting much pressure on opposing passers, Nix has a strong chance to push production. He has thrown 19 touchdowns against nine interceptions this season and is completing passes 3.2% below expectation by CPOE but adds a bit of value with his legs with three rushing touchdowns this season. The quarterback offers inexpensive quality at $6,100/$7,700, he is a playable piece with +2 stacking potential on both sites.
Running Backs
RJ Harvey leads the Denver backfield, ranking as RB14 by points but leaping to RB6 by value on DraftKings. He is similarly ranked as RB14 by points but RB6 by value on FanDuel. Harvey handles just 6.2 rushing attempts per game, averaging 3.8 yards per carry and 2.6 receptions per game so far this season. The running back did not make value the first time around, putting up a Week 11 clunker against Kansas City with 30 yards on 11 carries over a season-high 38 snaps with the offense. After the team’s Week 12 bye, Harvey was somewhat better, he gained just 35 yards, this time on 13 carries over 33 snaps with the offense, but scored two rushing touchdowns. The running back added 27 yards on three catches over four targets, continuing his regular involvement in the passing game. With an expectation of affordable, if not strong, value spot for about 15 potential touches, Harvey hits the board on both sites. The Raiders have been holding opponents to a rough 3.8 yards per rush attempt, ranking them a surprising third on the board, but Harvey will only need his usual involvement and a score at a cheap sticker.
Jaleel McLaughlin provides a change of pace, ranking as RB34 by points and RB33 by value on DraftKings and RB34 by points and RB35 by value on FanDuel. He averages 4.3 attempts per game and just 3.3 yards per carry, with a 7.69% explosive run rate and just 1.4 yards after contact per attempt. McLaughlin hardly registers even as a cheap dart throw against a decent rush defense.
Receivers & Tight Ends
With 62 yards and his fifth touchdown catch of the season, Courtland Sutton was the standout option from Denver’s receiving group once again in Week 13. The capable pass-catcher headlines the receiving corps, ranking as WR16 by points and WR22 by value on DraftKings and WR16 by points and WR15 by value on FanDuel where he has a bit more value-based appeal. Sutton draws just a 19.5% target share and produces an average 1.61 yards per route run but those are good numbers for this group. The receiver operates with a 12.2-yard average depth of target that keeps him in big play territory at all times, he accounts for 30.38% of the team air yards, and secures 4.2 receptions per game to also lead the group, while his five touchdown catches are in a tie for the team lead.
Troy Franklin offers a strong complementary option, ranking as WR24 by points and WR36 by value on DraftKings and WR22 by points and WR24 by value on FanDuel. Franklin is tied with Sutton with five touchdown catches, he earns a 20.5% target share and averages a limited 1.41 yards per route run on the season but, like his teammate, stretches the field with a 13.8-yard average depth of target, claiming a massive 37.48% of the team air yards. Franklin has seen a 61.90% catchable target rate from Nix while Sutton draws a 67.5% mark from the quarterback, both fail to compete with the team’s tight end at a 76.27% catchable target rate, though that comes on a vastly different 4.5-yard average depth of target. Sutton and Franklin are an interesting value pairing that could double-dip against an inviting pass defense.
Evan Engram serves as a key tight end target, ranking as TE10 by points and springing his way to a relevant TE3 by value on DraftKings, he is less impactful as TE13 by points and TE9 by value on FanDuel. Engram sees a 14.4% target share and averages 1.28 yards per route run on the previously mentioned limited 4.5-yard ADOT. The tight end picks up scoring potential but he has only found the end zone once this season, despite eight red zone targets. Engram is a fair mixer with plenty of potential for a slate-changing day if he finds paint.
Pat Bryant adds depth to the receiver room, ranking as WR35 by points and a surprising WR9 by value on DraftKings, giving the Broncos a bit of sneaky appeal in +2 formats. Bryant is just WR34 by points and WR31 by value on FanDuel, where he does not truly register for much more than dart throw action. The receiver draws a low 7.8% target share and averages 1.23 yards per route run on a 9.4-yard average depth of target, over which he has managed just 1.5 catches and 22.8 yards per game. Bryant has a touchdown on the board this season and has seen more involvement recently. He caught three of a season-high seven targets for 42 yards last week and had a season-high 82 yards and five catches on six targets in Week 11 before the bye. Bryant is a viable mixer at worst and a slate-bending value option for $3,400 in a playable stack at best.
Marvin Mims Jr. contributes as a versatile weapon, ranking as WR58 by points and WR64 by value on DraftKings and WR69 by points and WR71 by value on FanDuel. He averages 1.25 yards per route run and 2.1 yards after contact per attempt as a rusher.
Tyler Badie and Adam Trautman provide depth. Badie ranks as RB44 by points and RB44 by value on DraftKings and RB44 by points and RB44 by value on FanDuel. Trautman ranks as TE38 by points and TE38 by value on DraftKings and TE39 by points and TE39 by value on FanDuel, neither seems likely to hit the board for quality in Week 14.
The Broncos offense enters the slate with mid-tier appeal, ranking as Stack 12 by points and Stack 13 by value on DraftKings while placing as Stack 11/9 on the FanDuel slate. The matchup against the Raiders favors the passing game, Las Vegas has been surprisingly tough against the run and sits third in yards allowed per rush attempt, stifling opponents to just 3.8 yards per carry. However, the secondary is more generous, ranking 21st in yards allowed per pass attempt, surrendering 7.2 yards per throw and giving up 1.58 passing touchdowns per game.
Green Bay Packers
Game Total: 44.5 / GB -7.0 (25.75)
Offense: 47.88% rush / 52.12% pass / 24.5 ppg / 4.0 ypa rush / 7.7 ypa pass
oppDEF: 5.2 ypa rush / 7.6 ypa pass / 25.6 ppg / 5.79% sack / 4.55% int
Key Player: Jordan Love
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Josh Jacobs (on/off), Christian Watson, Romeo Doubs, Jayden Reed, Matthew Golden, Dontayvion Wicks, Emanuel Wilson (on/off), Luke Musgrave (on/off)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: D’Andre Swift (on/off), DJ Moore, Kyle Monangai (on/off), Luther Burden III, Colston Loveland, Olamide Zaccheaus, Cole Kmet (on/off)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Another year, another Toyotahon explosion for Packers quarterback and apparent Japanese car enthusiast Jordan Love, who helms the offense, ranking as QB3 by points and QB3 by value on DraftKings and QB3 by points and QB2 by value on FanDuel. Love averages a fair 232.83 passing yards per game on 30.08 attempts, delivering 7.7 yards per pass attempt to a cadre of capable pass-catching cohorts. The quarterback has thrown 19 touchdowns against just three interceptions in the season-long sample and is completing passes 4.2% over expectation by CPOE. At the head of Stack 1 by value on both sites, the quarterback looks like a tremendous DFS option against a ludicrously gettable division-rival defense. Love’s Packers are drawing a 25.75-point implied team total with what looks to be a fully healthy rack of weapons (cut to Cam Ward: “I don’t even own a weapon, let alone many weapons, which would necessitate an entire rack…” in a quick Wayne’s World paraphrase). With plenty of available stacking combinations and reasons to get there, Jordan Love is a go-to option on both sites in Week 14.
(Per PFF, Love has a 91.9 Passing Grade with 4,005 yards, 33 touchdown passes against just one interception, and 31 deep completions in his career during Toyotathon)
Running Backs
Josh Jacobs anchors the Green Bay backfield, averaging just 3.9 yards per rush attempt over a healthy 16.9 tries per game. The veteran slots into Week 14 ranking as RB5 by points and RB1 by value on DraftKings and RB5 by points and RB7 by value on FanDuel as part of the Packers scoring mechanism. Jacobs displays burst with a 6.45% explosive run rate and forces broken tackles on 6.99% of his attempts, creating 2.3 yards after contact per attempt. He contributes in the passing game with 2.6 receptions per game coming from steady involvement with 3.3 weekly targets, though he has not scored and draws most of his looks well behind the line of scrimmage. Jacobs has plenty of any-given-slate potential and an elite matchup against a defense that has been beat up for 5.2 yards per rush attempt to rank 30th this season.
Emanuel Wilson provides depth, ranking as RB40 by points and RB42 by value on DraftKings and RB40 by points and RB40 by value on FanDuel. He averages 7.1 rushing attempts per game with 4.0 yards per carry but stood in admirably two weeks ago when Jacobs was out and would do the same in the veteran’s absence at any point. Wilson 2.4 yards after contact per attempt in his limited action and he posted 107 yards and two touchdowns on 28 carries over 37 snaps with the offense in Week 12. As it stands, Wilson is no more than a cheap low-expectation dart at one explosive scoring play.
Receivers & Tight Ends
The Packers have football’s deepest receiving group in the rare instance that they are all available. While the team’s elite tight end is still absent, the Packers should be whole at wide receiver with Jayden Reed expected to return from an 11-week absence and Matthew Golden expected to be available. Christian Watson leads the receiving corps in projection, ranking as WR11 by points and rocketing to WR2 by value on DraftKings while landing as WR9 by points and WR2 by value on FanDuel. Watson has missed most of 2025 and earns a 9.9% target share when he is active. The receiver has been incredibly efficient with 2.25 yards per route run in limited action, but he has come on over the past few games and drew 10 targets, of which he caught four for 80 yards and a touchdown in Week 13. Watson operates as a deep threat with a meaningful 19.4-yard average depth of target, he has been in the end zone three times since returning to action in Week 8, with all three of those scores coming since his true return to relevance in Week 11.
Still, it is underrated Romeo Doubs who draws the eye as well, ranking as WR26 by points and WR29 by value on DraftKings and WR25 by points and WR23 by value on FanDuel. Doubs commands a 20.8% target share and averages 1.65 yards per route run on routes mostly in the big play range on an 11.6-yard average depth of target, accounting for 34.97% of the team air yards. While the return of Reed, who had a 14.0-yard ADOT in the season’s first two games, will bite into the potential for Doubs somewhat, there should be plenty to go around if the team comes out firing as-expected. Love +2 builds are easy around his affordable teammates.
Jayden Reed’s return adds a dynamic element to the top of the pass-catching board with yet another primary downfield weapon in play. Reed slots into Week 14 ranking as WR42 by points and WR47 by value on DraftKings and WR47 by points and WR49 by value on FanDuel. He has been highly productive in extremely limited action with 3.21 yards per route run over seven routes per game, which amounts simply to three catches for 45 yards and a touchdown on five targets over 14 routes and 18 snaps in Week 1 and no involvement on two routes run over five snaps before departing in Week 2. Reed operates with a 14.0-yard average depth of target that puts him in big play range, though that mark stood at just 8.5 yards over 17 games last season and 10.0 in 16 games the year before, so expectations should be for normalization toward those marks. Reed is a strong +2 option with scoring potential.
Rookie Matthew Golden is the least-likely option and is still technically questionable to play. The pass-catcher has had difficulty staying on the field or contributing at all, even as a rotational receiver. He drops into Week 14 ranking as WR47 by points and WR51 by value on DraftKings and WR56 by points and WR59 by value on FanDuel. In his limited snaps, Golden sees a 9.4% target share and averages 1.43 yards per route run with a 12.6-yard average depth of target that puts him in similar big play range to his teammates.
Dontayvion Wicks provides depth, ranking as WR51 by points and WR56 by value on DraftKings and WR49 by points and WR55 by value on FanDuel, he is a more appealing dart than Matthew Golden in most formats. Wicks has seen a 12.0% target share and returned 1.54 yards per route run with an 11.7-yard average depth of target, claiming 30.00% of the team air yards despite running just 19.0 routes per game on the season. The receiver has been more involved recently but could take a backseat with Reed’s return, he is a sneaky angle at a fair price at worst.
Luke Musgrave serves as the replacement tight end, ranking as TE29 by points and TE28 by value on DraftKings and TE28 by points and TE29 by value on FanDuel. He sees a 5.3% target share and averages 0.97 yards per route run and drew just one target, which he caught for 23 yards, in Week 13 under similar circumstances. The team does not need to look to Musgrave, he would require an unlikely touchdown to hit the board.
Chris Brooks and Josh Whyle offer depth options. Brooks ranks as RB50 by points and RB49 by value on DraftKings and RB47 by points and RB46 by value on FanDuel. Whyle ranks as TE40 by points and TE40 by value on DraftKings and TE38 by points and TE38 by value on FanDuel. Neither is likely to contribute more than a few limited DFS points.
Green Bay arrives with elite expectations, ranking as Stack 7/Stack 1 on DraftKings and similarly as Stack 5/1 on FanDuel. The matchup against the Bears is highly favorable for offensive production, Chicago ranks near the bottom of the league against both the pass and the run but the Bears have at least a puncher’s chance of staying in this game to push the Green Bay offense. Chicago ranks 30th in yards allowed per rush attempt, giving up 5.2 yards per carry. The secondary is similarly vulnerable, ranking 27th in yards allowed per pass attempt, surrendering 7.6 yards per dropback, marks that should allow Love and Co. to feast in Week 14, the question is where does the wheel stop when scoring time comes?
Indianapolis Colts
Game Total: 46.0 / IND -1.5 (23.75)
Offense: 43.89% rush / 56.11% pass / 29.8 ppg / 5.1 ypa rush / 8.0 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.9 ypa rush / 6.4 ypa pass / 21.1 ppg / 5.01% sack / 2.86% int
Key Player: Daniel Jones
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Jonathan Taylor, Tyler Warren, Michael Pittman Jr., Alec Pierce, Josh Downs
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Travis Etienne Jr., Jakobi Meyers, Brian Thomas Jr., Brenton Strange, Bhayshul Tuten (on/off), Parker Washington, Dyami Brown (on/off; large field)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Daniel Jones has been difficult to nail down at times this season. The quarterback famously played last week’s game on a broken leg and still managed to complete 14 of 27 passes for 201 yards and two touchdowns. What did you do with your unbroken legs? The Colts offense has weapons that keep the suddenly capable quarterback in fantasy-relevant range, ranking as QB10 by points but QB17 by value on DraftKings and QB10 by points and QB9 by value on FanDuel. Jones averages a good 253.42 passing yards per game on 31.42 attempts, delivering an impressive 8.1 yards per pass attempt. He has thrown 19 touchdowns against seven interceptions in 2025 and is completing passes 5.7% over expectation by CPOE. While that mark has slid somewhat, and four of Jones’ interceptions came in either Week 9 (three) or Week 10 (one), Jones adds plenty of potential value with his legs, assuming they work, averaging 3.7 rushing attempts per game and 3.6 yards per carry but putting up five rushing touchdowns to pad those early slate-bending games. Jones is playable and in the mix but falls short of the appeal of more robust and fully healthy passers on both sites.
Running Backs
Jonathan Taylor is the go-to in this offense as usual. Taylor just dominates the backfield usage with 18.8 carries and 3.3 targets each week. The running back joins James Cook III and few others in that range of potential touches on this slate, ranking him as RB2 by points and RB11 by value on DraftKings and RB2 by points and RB2 by value on FanDuel. Taylor earns his massive workload, averaging 5.7 yards per carry with elite burst and an 11.06% explosive run rate while forcing broken tackles at a 10.18% clip and creating 2.9 yards after contact per attempt. He is also involved in the passing game, securing 2.9 receptions per game on the fair but not exaggerated targeting and just a -1.2 yard ADOT that does not stop him from gaining 7.6 yards per target. Taylor has two touchdown catches to go with his league-leading 15 rushing touchdowns this season, he is elite in every sense.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Rookie tight end Tyler Warren stands out as a primary receiving option, ranking as TE3 by points and TE5 by value on DraftKings and TE2 by points and TE2 by value on FanDuel. Warren sees a 21.1% target share on his 30.0 routes per game, delivering a terrific 1.90 yards per route run that puts him among positional leaders. Warren operates underneath with a 5.1-yard average depth of target but is electric after the catch, averaging 7.9 yards after the catch per reception for 0.9 yards over expectation after each catch. The rookie has four touchdown catches on the board and has been targeted in the red zone 14 times this season, giving him major scoring potential if Jones connects.
Michael Pittman Jr. serves as a key perimeter target, ranking as WR20 by points and WR25 by value on DraftKings and WR24 by points and WR19 by value on FanDuel. Pittman Jr. is the nominal top target in the wide receiver group, earning a 22.2% target share and averaging 1.65 yards per route run, modest numbers at best. The receiver’s flaw for DFS, can be that he works the intermediate areas with an 8.2-yard average depth of target that has him accounting for a fair but unspectacular 21.39% of the team air yards. Pittman Jr. has, of course, overcome this potential snag with seven touchdown catches to lead the team by several this season.
Anyone who reads this far into this article already knows that Alec Pierce is one of our favorite weapons when the Colts are in play. Pierce offers a nearly unrivaled vertical threat at his 19.8-yard average depth of target. The receiver checks into Week 14 ranking as WR22 by points and WR20 by value on DraftKings and standing out as WR15 by points and WR8 by value on FanDuel. Pierce only gets a few chances each week, he sees a 15.9% target share but is highly productive with 2.16 yards per route run on the elite depth of opportunity. The receiver has seen a 55.93% catchable target rate from Jones this year, he could do so much more with a touch of accuracy on the deep ball.
Josh Downs contributes as a slot option, ranking as WR30 by points and WR30 by value on DraftKings and WR33 by points and WR34 by value on FanDuel. He earns a 16.2% target share and averages 1.52 yards per route run but that comes on a limiting 6.8-yard average depth of target. Downs has found the end zone three times on the year while pulling in a viable 70.0% catchable target rate, he is not irrelevant but he is not special against a decent pass defense.
The Colts offense enters the slate with high expectations, ranking fourth in stack points and ninth in value on DraftKings while placing fourth in points and third in value on FanDuel despite a capable Jaguars defense. Indianapolis sees a bit of stack padding from the elite production expectations of their standout running back and a strong group of pass-catchers, they will land on any given slate but the value of stacking can live and die with pricing. The matchup against the Jaguars presents a stiff challenge on defense. The unit ranks fifth in yards allowed per rush attempt, holding opponents to 3.9 yards per carry while also ranking fifth in yards allowed per pass attempt, surrendering just 6.4 yards per attempt. Jonathan Taylor is always on the board, the team’s pass-catching group creates options for stacking and there is quality in an interesting contest that has the Colts at a 23.75-point implied team total but as just -1.5-point favorites on the road in Jacksonville.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Game Total: 46.0 / JAC +1.5 (22.25)
Offense: 45.05% rush / 54.96% pass / 24.3 ppg / 4.2 ypa rush / 6.7 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.9 ypa rush / 7.0 ypa pass / 20.8 ppg / 7.11% sack / 2.63% int
Key Player: Trevor Lawrence
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Travis Etienne Jr., Jakobi Meyers, Brian Thomas Jr., Brenton Strange, Bhayshul Tuten (on/off), Parker Washington, Dyami Brown (on/off; large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Jonathan Taylor, Tyler Warren, Michael Pittman Jr., Alec Pierce, Josh Downs
Game Notes:
Quarterback
On the other side of a game with some bent appeal for the depraved desperate degenerates, Trevor Lawrence rides again, ranking as QB9 by points but QB1 by value on DraftKings for just $5,400 and QB9 by points and QB4 by value on FanDuel for a fair $7,100. The quarterback fool’s gold averages just 219.67 passing yards per game on 32.92 attempts, managing a mere 6.7 yards per pass attempt. Lawrence has managed to throw just 16 touchdowns against 11 interceptions while completing passes 5.6% below expectation by CPOE and seemingly regressing by most measures. The disappointing passer is on the short side of a 46.0-point game that he will be expected to at least keep close for the home fans. Lawrence is a cheap shot at a few touchdown chances, he did throw for three scores in the team’s Week 12 shootout against Arizona, though he also threw three interceptions and totaled just 256 yards on 18-30 passing in that game overall. Lawrence completed just 16 0f 27 passes for 229 yards while throwing two touchdowns and zero interceptions last week against a terrible Titans squad, giving him seven touchdown passes and six interceptions in five games since the team’s Week 8 bye. Lawrence is partially bolstered by excellent weapons at all of the skill positions, he is playable at worst given the inoffensive pricing.
Running Backs
Travis Etienne Jr. is gaining 4.7 yards per rush attempt in the midst of a breakout campaign. The running back should be a bigger overall story, anyone who took him late in fantasy drafts has gotten plenty for their money when he has made his way into lineups. The running back drops into Week 14 as RB15 by points and RB18 by value on DraftKings and RB15 by points and RB17 by value on FanDuel, making him a middling overall play for DFS purposes against a quality Colts defense. Etienne Jr. is playable outside of stacks and has a bit of value within them as well, he handles 15.1 rushing attempts per game, and displays explosiveness while creating 2.4 yards after contact per attempt. With 2.1 catches coming from 3.2 weekly targets, Etienne Jr. has more than enough involvement in the passing game to keep him relevant in +1 or +2 builds.
Bhayshul Tuten provides depth, ranking as RB29 by points and RB31 by value on DraftKings and RB30 by points and RB30 by value on FanDuel. Tuten averages just 6.3 rushing attempts per game with 3.6 yards per carry, creating 2.1 yards after contact per attempt. The running back has found the end zone four times on the ground and once in the passing game in limited action this season but would need to do so again to make hay in Week 14. Tuten had eight carries for 17 yards last week after putting up 17 yards on seven carries the week before, but he has three rushing touchdowns in the last five games and did spike to 15 carries for 74 yards and one of those score in Week 11.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Jakobi Meyers headlines the receiving corps, drawing a slight edge over Brian Thomas Jr., and ranking as WR12 by points and WR14 by value on DraftKings and WR14 by points and WR9 by value on FanDuel. Meyers picked up six targets and hauled them all in, gaining 90 yards and scoring for the second-straight week in the team’s Week 13 game, he delivers 1.81 yards per route run for the season and is a relevant option in all formats. Meyers operates with a reasonable 9.0-yard average depth of target, accounting for 27.71% of the team air yards, and secures 4.6 receptions per game overall this season, with steady involvement since joining the Jaguars. Meyers slightly outperformed and was targeted slightly more while running more routes than his teammate last week, similar expectations are not radical.
Disappointing receiver Brian Thomas Jr. offers a strong perimeter option, ranking as WR15 by points and WR24 by value on DraftKings and WR18 by points and WR17 by value on FanDuel. Thomas Jr. missed several weeks and has been limited for quality in most of his appearances this season. Overall, he earns just a 16.4% target share and averages 1.43 yards per route run in 2025, far off of the market’s general expectations. Thomas Jr. works downfield with a 13.0-yard average depth of target, claiming 27.88% of the team air yards while running 34.8 routes per game, easily pacing the team. The receiver should be the top option, he probably has a higher true ceiling than Meyers but he has failed to deliver throughout much of the year, including in his Week 13 return to action. Thomas Jr. was on the field for 46 snaps and ran 26 routes in last week’s game, his first since Week 9. The receiver caught two of three targets and gained 28 yards while managing to avoid re-injuring himself.
Brenton Strange serves as a key tight end target who is a favorite of his mediocre quarterback. Strange missed Weeks 7 through 11 but came back for five catches for 93 yards on five targets in Week 12 and another 45 yards on three catches, including a touchdown catch, over four targets last week, while running 24 routes in each of the games. Strange is currently ranking as TE5 by points and TE2 by value on DraftKings and TE5 by points and TE3 by value on FanDuel, putting him easily in the mix both in and out of stacks. He produces 1.92 yards per route run, a mark that is on par with stars at the position, and averages 48.9 receiving yards per game over six full contests this season, his first touchdown catch of the season came last week and he could double the total in Week 14.
Parker Washington adds depth to the receiver room, ranking as WR65 by points and WR73 by value on DraftKings and WR66 by points and WR68 by value on FanDuel and offering only dart throw appeal in the crowded room. Washington sees a 16.4% target share on routes run over his 24.3 routes per game, and averages 1.54 yards per route run on a 12.0-yard average depth of target that puts him in big play territory. The receiver has three touchdown catches and a fair 23.49% air yards share on the season but he is questionable to play and only drew three targets in Thomas Jr.’s return last week. Washington did catch five of seven targets for 71 yards and a score in a wild one in Week 12 against the Cardinals.
Dyami Brown rounds out the group, ranking as WR73 by points and WR72 by value on DraftKings and WR76 by points and WR77 by value on FanDuel and barely registers as a dart throw. Brown sees a 9.4% target share and averages 1.10 yards per route run with a deep 14.2-yard average depth of target that has him at a 19.19% air yards share on just 19.9 routes per game. Brown has one touchdown on the board this season and is no more than a total wildcard for one big strike.
The Jaguars offense enters the week with moderate expectations, ranking as Stack 11 by points and Stack 14 by value on DraftKings while placing as Stack 12/11 on the FanDuel slate. The team may be better deployed for standalone shares or bring-back options in better-looking Colts stacks, but they do offer some cheap scoring potential. Travis Etienne Jr. is a threat in and out of stacks, the team’s pass-catching group is more of a collection of mixers with upside, though Brenton Strange as an interesting value prop at tight end.
Las Vegas Raiders
Game Total: 40.5 / LV +7.5 (16.5)
Offense: 38.41% rush / 61.59% pass / 14.9 ppg / 3.4 ypa rush / 6.7 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.7 ypa rush / 6.3 ypa pass / 18.2 ppg / 10.85% sack / 1.67% int
Key Player: Geno Smith
Setting: exactly one
Team Group: Brock Bowers, Ashton Jeanty (on/off), Tre Tucker, Tyler Lockett, Jack Bech, Raheem Mostert (on/off)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: RJ Harvey, Courtland Sutton, Troy Franklin, Evan Engram, Pat Bryant, Jaleel McLaughlin (on/off), Marvin Mims Jr. (large field)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
The inept Raiders are pulling just a 16.5-point implied team total in an entirely unappealing spot against an excellent Broncs defense. Geno Smith barely registers as an option, ranking as QB22 by points and QB18 by value on DraftKings and QB22 by points and QB22 by value on FanDuel. The quarterback averages 211.0 passing yards per game on 31.33 attempts while managing a limited 6.7 yards per pass attempt. He has thrown 15 touchdowns against 14 interceptions this season and is completing passes 1.7% below expectation by CPOE. Smith has little upside against a pass defense that has kept better passers to just 6.5 yards per attempt to rank third while putting pressure on the quarterback at a 27.2% rate and finding a whopping 51 team sacks already this season. Denver’s defense is the option in this head-to-head.
Running Backs
Ashton Jeanty tops the board in the Las Vegas rushing attack, ranking as RB9 by points and RB4 by value on DraftKings and RB9 by points and RB3 by value on FanDuel, with a cheap $6,100/$6,800 keeping him in trap territory against the league’s top-ranked rush defense for YPA. Denver has allowed just 3.7 yards per rush attempt and 0.75 rushing touchdowns per game this season. Jeanty has upside in the passing game, but Denver excels in that department as well, this is simply a good spot in which the player’s projection may need a bit of a nudge. The rookie running back handles 15.1 rushing attempts per game, averaging a lousy 3.5 yards per carry. Jeanty displays limited burst with a 6.63% explosive run rate but creates 2.3 yards after contact per attempt, forcing broken tackles on 9.94% of his runs. He also contributes in the passing game, securing 3.6 receptions per game coming from ready-made targeting in a broken offense with 4.5 chances each week. Jeanty does have volume-and-price potential for GPP builds but he is in a truly bad spot.
Raheem Mostert is a low-end option in the backfield rotation, ranking as RB43 by points and RB43 by value on DraftKings and RB42 by points and RB43 by value on FanDuel. He averages just 2.3 rushing attempts per game but a strong 4.7 yards per carry. Mostert posts a 9.52% explosive run rate and creates 3.0 yards after contact per attempt but does not see many chances to stand out and has no expectations for fantasy value outside of a broken play.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Elite tight end Brock Bowers is second only to Trey McBride at the position. Bowers serves as a focal point in the passing game for the low-end Las Vegas attack, he ranks as TE2 by points but slips all the way to TE18 by value on DraftKings and TE3 by points and just TE12 by value on FanDuel. Bowers missed time this season but still has five touchdown catches on the board while delivering 1.89 yards per route run. The star tight end operates with a 7.2-yard average depth of target, accounting for 20.98% of the team air yards, and is a threat after the catch with 5.9 yards after the catch per reception amounting to 1.2 yards over expectation after each catch. Bowers is one of two playable skill options for standalone use and a vital part of any misguided Raiders stack.
Tre Tucker offers a dynamic element, ranking as WR32 by points and WR37 by value on DraftKings and WR27 by points and WR25 by value on FanDuel. He sees an 18.4% target share and averages 1.34 yards per route run while running 34.3 routes per game. Tucker works the intermediate areas with a 10.0-yard average depth of target, claiming 25.04% of the team air yards, and is dangerous after the catch with 5.9 yards after the catch per reception good for 0.3 yards over expectation per reception. Tucker had one big three-touchdown game this season, he has five total scores and is only somewhat relevant to the Week 14 discussion.
Tyler Lockett provides a steady presence, ranking as WR48 by points and WR45 by value on DraftKings and WR51 by points and WR54 by value on FanDuel. He earns a 9.7% target share and averages 0.84 yards per route run with a 7.6-yard average depth of target overall this season. Since joining Las Vegas, Lockett has caught 13 of 16 passes for 150 yards, but had just one catch on his only target for just 11 yards last week. The veteran was targeted at least three times in each of the three prior games. Lockett is yet to score in 2025, he is a dull dart throw at best.
Jack Bech adds depth to the receiver room, ranking as WR53 by points and WR48 by value on DraftKings and WR52 by points and WR47 by value on FanDuel. The rookie has drawn just a 4.1% target share on routes run over his 8.4 routes per game and averages 1.13 yards per route run on the season. Bech was drafted 58th overall, a second round pick, one would think the team will look to involve him for more than two or three (his season high) catches at some point. Bech is also no more than a dart throw option at best.
The Raiders offense faces a brutal matchup, ranking 17th in stack points and 18th in value on DraftKings while placing 18th in points and 17th in value on FanDuel with the potential to slip even lower in the morning update. The Broncos defense is elite on all fronts. The unit ranks first in yards allowed per rush attempt, stopping opponents at just 3.7 yards per carry. The team’s secondary has been almost as good, ranking third in yards allowed per pass attempt, surrendering a meager 6.3 yards each try. The Broncos defense is a big part of the low expectations for anything Raiders. Brock Bowers standalone shares are probably the best option from this team’s lousy overall selection.
Los Angeles Rams
Game Total: 48.0 / LAR -10.5 (29.25)
Offense: 42.52% rush / 57.48% pass / 27.8 ppg / 4.4 ypa rush / 7.6 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.3 ypa rush / 7.0 ypa pass / 25.3 ppg / 5.65% sack / 2.24% int
Key Player: Matthew Stafford
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Puka Nacua, Davante Adams, Kyren Williams (on/off), Blake Corum (on/off), Colby Parkinson, Xavier Smith (large field), Terrance Ferguson (on/off; large field), Jordan Whittington (on/off; large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Trey McBride, Michael Wilson, Zonovan “Bam” Knight (on/off), Michael Carter (on/off), Elijah Higgins, Andre Baccellia
Game Notes:
Quarterback
With the Rams pulling up major potential on the board in Vegas once again, Matthew Stafford looks like an appealing option who is in the midst of a probable MVP campaign. The veteran signal-caller has done it all in 2025, throwing an absurd 32 touchdown passes against just four interceptions, though two of those came in a stunning turn of events last week. Stafford directs the high-powered Rams offense for a price, ranking as QB2 by points but QB12 by value on DraftKings and QB2 by points and QB3 by value on FanDuel where his potential to make value looks better. The quarterback averages 256.08 passing yards per game on 33.42 attempts, managing 7.7 yards per pass attempt and is completing passes 2.1% over expectation by CPOE. Stafford has an elite connection with Davante Adams and Puka Nacua, those are easy but expensive stacking options who are far more likely than their teammates to make good on the promise of a slate-leading implied team total.
Running Backs
Kyren Williams leads the backfield, ranking as RB8 by points and RB7 by value on DraftKings and RB8 by points and RB14 by value on FanDuel where his price bounces up the board at $8,200 to make him far less appealing. Williams handles 15.3 rush attempts per game, averaging 4.7 yards per carry and delivering more quality on fewer tries than he did in a volume-dependent 2024 season. The running back has just a bit of burst with a 6.01% explosive run rate and 1.8 yards after contact per attempt, forcing broken tackles on 9.29% of his runs and picking up 0.7 yards over expectation per rush. Williams’ best attribute is his ability to fall into the end zone for six, which he has managed to do seven times on the ground and another three times on steady involvement in the passing game from 2.8 targets per game. Williams is an upside option on both sites this week but his value is more correct on DraftKings.
Blake Corum adds simple depth, ranking as RB27 by points and RB25 by value on DraftKings and RB27 by points and RB28 by value on FanDuel. He averages 7.4 rushing attempts per game with 4.7 yards per carry and flashes plenty of explosiveness with a 12.36% explosive run rate and matching 12.36% broken tackle rate. Corum succeeds when he sees chances but the volume simply goes elsewhere in this offense.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Ranking as the top option on the slate among wide receivers once again, Puka Nacua looks as elite as ever in Week 14. While Davante Adams may steal headlines among those in Los Angeles who know the team has not just one but two football teams, given his 14 touchdown catches, it is Nacua who gets most of the work for the Rams. The wideout demands a 27.4% target share on 27.4 routes run per game and delivers a ridiculous 3.39 yards per route run. Nacua operates with an 8.8-yard average depth of target that puts him in the middle of all things, accounting for 25.67% of the team air yards, and is lethal after the catch, averaging 4.7 yards after the catch per reception for 1.1 yards above expectation after each reception. Nacua does everything well and draws 9.7 targets per game, the one thing he lacks, slightly, is scoring reliability with only four touchdowns and 10 red zone targets to Adams’ 14 scores and 27 red zone chances.
With those 27 red zone chances, Davante Adams provides a dangerous multi-touchdown threat that has him ranking as WR4 by points and WR13 by value on DraftKings and WR4 by points and WR10 by value on FanDuel. Adams is purely elite in scoring territory, he has gotten home 14 times on the season and gains 1.91 yards per route run on 30.1 routes per game to lead the team in the latter category. Adams earns a 25.3% target share on routes run, he and Nacua dominate the passing game while significant volume goes to the team’s running backs as well. Adams works downfield with a 12.5-yard average depth of target, claiming 37.89% of the team air yards but he truly shines with that red zone scoring devastation, with only a mid-board Arizona pass defense in the way Davante Adams could rampage once again this week.
Colby Parkinson serves as the primary tight end with Tyler Higbee out of commission. Parkinson checks in ranking as TE20 by points and TE22 by value on DraftKings and TE18 by points and TE18 by value on FanDuel, he has only limited appeal for a few looks. He sees a 6.6% target share and averages 1.77 yards per route run with a 2.3-yard average depth of target and three touchdowns on a dozen red zone targets. The chances in scoring territory keep Parkinson as a part of the +2 conversation when looking to pivot for cost or popularity.
Terrance Ferguson contributes as a vertical tight end threat, ranking as TE32 by points and TE31 by value on DraftKings and TE33 by points and TE34 by value on FanDuel. He averages 1.94 yards per route run with a massive 21.2-yard average depth of target but only a few limited chances each week and no catches since Week 10, though he was targeted twice last week and once the week before while running single digit routes in both games.
Xavier Smith rounds out the receiver group, ranking as WR72 by points and WR71 by value on DraftKings and WR68 by points and WR67 by value on FanDuel. He sees limited volume with a 3.3% target share but is highly efficient, averaging 2.23 yards per route run on his 6.8 routes per contest, with a 15.5-yard average depth of target helping quite a bit. Smith caught three passes for 82 yards on three targets while running 15 routes on 20 snaps with the offense in Week 13 and could play a similar role this week. If he finds paydirt at just $3,100/$4,700 in an elite stack, the value check writes itself.
Davis Allen adds depth at tight end, ranking as TE37 by points and TE37 by value on DraftKings and TE37 by points and TE37 by value on FanDuel. He earns a 5.4% target share and averages 1.20 yards per route run, he is less interesting but potentially slightly more involved than Ferguson.
At a slate-leading 29.25-point implied team total, the high-octane Rams offense enters the slate with elite expectations, ranking as Stack 1 by points and Stack 4 by value on both DraftKings and FanDuel in Week 14. The Rams have elite weapons at the wide receiver position with more than enough ability to boost value at running back and a premium veteran passer who tends not to steal touchdown value on the ground. This is an excellent option for stacking once again, despite popularity and price concerns, against a middling Arizona defense.
Miami Dolphins
Game Total: 41.0 / MIA -3.0 (22.0)
Offense: 43.45% rush / 56.55% pass / 20.6 ppg / 4.8 ypa rush / 6.7 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.3 ypa rush / 7.0 ypa pass / 26.3 ppg / 5.54% sack / 0.0% int
Key Player: Tua Tagovailoa
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: De’Von Achane, Jaylen Waddle, Darren Waller, Malik Washington, Ollie Gordon II (on/off), Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (on/off; large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Breece Hall, Adonai Mitchell, John Metchie III, Mason Taylor, Isaiah Davis (on/off)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Miami lands as a low-end stack around quarterback Tua Tagovailoa in Week 14, the team plays up better as individual pieces though they do rank as Stack 8/8 and Stack 8/5 across sites. Tagovailoa directs the offense for Miami and has a few good weapons in tow but ranks as just QB17 by points and QB20 by value on DraftKings and QB17 by points and QB18 by value on FanDuel. The quarterback averages only 190.0 passing yards per game on a light 27.92 passes, managing 6.8 yards per pass attempt. He has thrown 17 touchdowns against 14 interceptions this season and is completing passes 0.3% below expectation by CPOE, putting him on the fringes of any kind of value. If Tagovailoa has a big day it is likely because either De’Von Achane, Jaylen Waddle, or both, popped for big gains on correlated scoring plays.
Running Backs
Ranking as the top running back by points and fifth by value on DraftKings and sitting as RB1 across the board on FanDuel,, De’Von Achane looks like an elite scoring option once again. Achane draws down against a defense that is middle-of-the-board at 4.3 yards allowed per rush attempt and 7.0 per pass, the running back gains a ridiculous 5.6 yards per rush attempt and 5.1 per target, so he is well-aligned for success. Achane handles 15.5 rushing attempts and 6.0 targets per game, putting him well into magic number territory. The running back creates an elite 2.9 yards after contact per attempt and forces broken tackles on 8.60% of his run, he has six rushing touchdowns and four more in the passing game this season and is capable of multi-touchdown games against better defenses than this.
Ollie Gordon II provides depth in the backfield, ranking as RB35 by points and RB36 by value on DraftKings and RB37 by points and RB38 by value on FanDuel on expectations of very light involvement. He averages 4.4 rushing attempts per game with 3.3 yards per carry, though he has forced a broken tackle on 11.32% of his attempts. Jaylen Wright contributes little to nothing as a rotational back, ranking as RB49 by points and RB48 by value on DraftKings and RB48 by points and RB48 by value on FanDuel. He averages 3.6 rushing attempts per game and 3.6 yards per carry, with a 5.56% explosive run rate.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Jaylen Waddle leads the Miami receiving corps, ranking as WR8 by points but WR21 by value on DraftKings and WR7 by points and climbing to WR4 by value on FanDuel. As the primary option in the passing game for most of the season, Waddle now commands a 23.2% target share on his 27.5 routes run per game and delivers a strong 2.31 yards per route run. Waddle operates as the deep threat with a 13.5-yard average depth of target, accounting for a comical 43.03% of the team air yards, over which Waddle has drawn a solid 70.89% catchable target rate.
Darren Waller offers a reliable tight end target with scoring potential and ranks as TE12 by points and TE10 by value on DraftKings and TE10 by points and TE8 by value on FanDuel. Waller gains an average 1.74 yards per route run but draws an 11.5-yard average depth of target in his limited overall chances this season. The tight end has four touchdowns and five red zone targets in just four full contests this season. Waller is an involved option when healthy, he pads +2 builds but falls well behind both Achane and Waddle in most regards.
Malik Washington contributes as a slot option, ranking as WR40 by points and WR43 by value on DraftKings and WR37 by points and WR41 by value on FanDuel. Washington earns a limiting 15.3% target share on 21.8 routes run per game and averages just 1.01 yards per route run. The receiver has seen a 73.08% catchable target rate on a 4.4-yard ADOT, Washington excels after the catch, averaging 5.9 yards after the catch per reception for 0.7 yards over expectation after each catch.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine adds depth to the receiver room, ranking as WR64 by points and WR61 by value on DraftKings and WR67 by points and WR65 by value on FanDuel. The receiver has barely been involved with a 5.6% target share on 16.6 routes run per game and averages a lousy 0.45 yards per route run.
Greg Dulcich averages 1.55 yards per route run with a 4.8-yard average depth of target to round out the tight end group, ranking as TE36 by points and TE36 by value on DraftKings and TE35 by points and TE35 by value on FanDuel as nothing more than an alternative click with no expectations.
The Dolphins offense enters the week with solid stack appeal, ranking as Stack 8 in both points and value on DraftKings while placing as Stack 8 by points and Stack 5 by value on FanDuel with a significant portion of that quality driven through the team’s top two skill players. The Jets defense is mediocre at best but the Dolphins are drawing a middling implied team total against the division rival. Achane and Waddle may be better options out of stacks than in them in Week 14.
Minnesota Vikings
Game Total: 44.0 / MIN -1.5 (22.75)
Offense: 38.62% rush / 61.38% pass / 18.7 ppg / 4.6 ypa rush / 6.4 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.7 ypa rush / 8.7 ypa pass / 26.9 ppg / 6.52% sack / 1.61% int
Key Player: JJ McCarthy
Setting: exactly one
Team Group: Justin Jefferson, Aaron Jones Sr. (on/off), Jordan Mason (on/off), Jordan Addison, TJ Hockenson, Jalen Nailor, Josh Oliver (on/off)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Terry McLaurin, Deebo Samuel Sr., Zach Ertz, Chris Rodriguez Jr. (on/off), Jacory Croskey-Merritt (on/off), Noah Brown, Jeremy McNichols (on/off), Treylon Burks (on/off; large field)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
And here we are again, sophomore quarterback J.J. McCarthy returns to action at the head of an offense that he helped kill in 2025, ranking as QB16 by points but floating to QB9 by value on DraftKings and QB16 by points and QB13 by value on FanDuel. Much of the reason for the slightly appealing marks for the terrible second-year quarterback is an extremely user-friendly Washington defense in opposition. The quarterback averages just 154.83 passing yards per game on 26.5 attempts, managing only 5.8 yards per pass attempt, pathetic marks by any measure. While he has a few hero throws to his credit, McCarthy has been bad overall, he has thrown six touchdowns against 10 interceptions this season and is completing passes 7.3% below expectation by CPOE. With a bit of added value from a pair of rushing touchdowns, there could be something to build from, but McCarthy’s quality is mostly pushed by a bad opponent and a few quality skill players helping him in correlated scoring configurations.
Running Backs
Veteran running back Aaron Jones Sr. leads the backfield, ranking as a mid-board option at RB17 by points but RB10 by value on DraftKings and RB17 by points and RB13 by value on FanDuel. Jones Sr. is down to just 8.4 rushing attempts per game, but still averages 4.5 yards per carry with a 7.46% explosive run rate but only 1.8 yards after contact per attempt. The veteran draws upside from involvement in the passing game, where he sees 3.8 targets and catches 2.5 passes per game. Jones Sr. has one score on the ground and one in the air this season, hampering his overall quality, which is a familiar story in Vikings land.
Jordan Mason provides depth, ranking as RB26 by points and RB30 by value on DraftKings and RB25 by points and RB25 by value on FanDuel. The explosive backup averages 10.2 rushing attempts per game with 4.7 yards per carry and runs with power, posting a 10.66% explosive run rate and creating 2.2 yards after contact per attempt. Mason has five rushing touchdowns on the board this season and gains 0.8 yards over expectation per rush attempt but is only truly an option if we hear he will be taking on a larger role.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Justin Jefferson is having a disappointing season by most measures. The superstar receiver has managed just 1.88 yards per route run on 35.4 routes per game, while pulling in a team-leading 29.7% target share on those routes. Of course, a 60.0% catchable target rate from the mix of Vikings quarterbacks is doing no favors for Jefferson. The receiver has only caught two touchdown passes this season but he continues to dominate the team’s air yards with a 38.55% share while pulling an 11.2-yard average depth of target. Jefferson gains 5.4 yards after the catch for 0.8 yards over expectation after each reception. The receiver is steady but unspectacular in 2025, but his nuclear upside remains intact.
Jordan Addison is a fair option in a complementary role, ranking as WR31 by points and WR38 by value on DraftKings and WR31 by points and WR32 by value on FanDuel. He earns a 17.8% target share and averages merely 1.36 yards per route run. Addison stretches the field with a 13.6-yard average depth of target, claiming 29.06% of the team air yards but seeing just a 60.32% catchable target rate to land him in similar territory to Jefferson in that department. The receivers are both capable, the fault lies mostly with the team’s quarterback play but that will be a problem even against a bad pass defense that allows a ridiculous 8.7 yards per attempt to sit 32nd in football this season.
Veteran T.J. Hockenson is a playable but uninteresting tight end target, ranking as TE15 by points but TE7 by value on DraftKings and TE16 by points and TE17 by value on FanDuel. Hockenson sees a 16.1% target share and averages only 0.98 yards per route run with a 4.8-yard average depth of target over his 4.8 chances per game, though his 82.46% catchable target rate on the short chances leads the team by a wide margin.
Jalen Nailor contributes as a rotational receiver, ranking as WR59 by points and WR57 by value on DraftKings and WR61 by points and WR61 by value on FanDuel. He sees an 11.0% target share but averages just 1.01 yards per route run despite a healthy 13.3-yard average depth of target that should result in bigger plays, were he to catch anything. Nailor has seen just a 51.28% catchable target rate that severely cuts into his 3.3 targets per game. Given 1.7 catches per week, Nailor has actually managed to haul in anything reasonably close all season.
Josh Oliver rounds out the tight end group, ranking as TE39 by points and TE39 by value on DraftKings and TE41 by points and TE42 by value on FanDuel. He earns a 2.5% target share and averages 1.03 yards per route run and would only see value with an oddball touchdown call; he does have two touchdown catches and four red zone targets this season.
The Vikings offense enters the slate with modest-to-low expectations even against one of the NFL’s worst defenses. Minnesota slots in ranking as just Stack 15/19 on DraftKings and Stack 16 in both points and value on FanDuel. This comes in spite of an elite matchup against the Commanders. The defense struggles mightily against the pass, ranking 32nd in yards allowed per pass attempt, surrendering a massive 8.7 yards per dropback. The run defense is slightly better but still vulnerable, ranking 26th in yards allowed per rush attempt and giving up a whopping 4.7 yards per carry. Minnesota skill players should feast, the quality of their quarterback, even as a value option, is very much in doubt.
New Orleans Saints
Game Total: 42.0 / NO +8.5 (16.75)
Offense: 39.90% rush / 60.11% pass / 15.2 ppg / 3.6 ypa rush / 6.3 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.2 ypa rush / 7.7 ypa pass / 25.1 ppg / 6.53% sack / 2.65% int
Key Player: Tyler Shough
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Chris Olave, Devin Neal, Juwan Johnson, Devaughn Vele, Mason Tipton, Foster Moreau (on/off), Taysom Hill (on/off)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Bucky Irving, Emeka Egbuka, Chris Godwin Jr., Cade Otton, Rachaad White, Tez Johnson, Sterling Shepard
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Rookie Tyler Shough was a bit all over the map in Week 13 against Miami after drawing a bit of a nod in this space. Shough manages to complete 26 of 38 pass attempts for 239 yards with a pair of touchdowns but also an interception, giving him decent but not slate-changing value upside. With the quarterback ranking as QB15 by points but QB5 by value on DraftKings and QB15 by points and QB14 by value on FanDuel, he is at least in play for similar price-based potential on the DraftKings slate in Week 14. Shough could benefit from a matchup against a Buccaneers defense that allows 7.7 yards per pass attempt and 25.1 points per game on the season. The quarterback averages 267.0 passing yards per game on 41.0 attempts, managing just 6.5 yards per pass attempt overall. He has five touchdown passes against four interceptions this season and has taken a few shots with an 8.1-yard intended air yards per attempt mark. Shough has good options at skill spots, he could make a sneaky value angle on the DraftKings slate.
Running Backs
Devin Neal will step in for Alvin Kamara once again in Week 14. Operating as the primary back, Neal managed just 47 yards on 14 carries with another 22 yards on three catches over three targets on 33 routes run in Week 13 against Miami. That performance was not entirely a wipeout but it was low against the running back’s value-based popularity. Neal was one of the primary waiver wire pickups in season-long and a buzzy DFS option at a fair price last week, he slots into Week 14 ranking as RB19 by points and RB17 by value on DraftKings and RB18 by points and RB16 by value on FanDuel and does not show nearly the potential for obvious quality. Neal has a 3.23% explosive run rate and creates 2.1 yards after contact per attempt in his limited overall involvement but he is a steady option in the passing game, securing 1.9 receptions per game.
Evan Hull will provide a bit of depth but he is not fantasy-relevant as RB45 by points and RB45 by value on DraftKings and RB45 by points and RB45 by value on FanDuel.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Chris Olave is a target hog of a wide receiver, he easily leads this group of pass catchers and stands as a good play overall with a terrible pass defense in opposition. Olave is currently ranking as WR9 by points and WR16 by value on DraftKings and WR10 by points and WR13 by value on FanDuel. The receiver commands a 28.3% target share and delivers 1.75 yards per route run over a team-leading 37.2 routes per game. He picked up 10 red zone targets over the course of the season and has managed to score five times overall in 2025. Olave works downfield with a 10.8-yard average depth of target, accounting for 37.88% of the team air yards, and secures 6.1 receptions on a whopping 9.6 raw targets per game. Olave has even more appeal in full-PPR scoring but he is easily on the board in all situations.
Juwan Johnson serves as a fair play tight end, ranking as TE8 by points and TE8 by value on DraftKings and TE8 by points and TE7 by value on FanDuel. Johnson has 11 catches for mid-board yardage over the past two games combined. The tight end draws an 18.7% target share on routes run over his 32.6 routes per game and averages 1.47 yards per route run. Johnson operates with a 7.1-yard average depth of target and gains 5.4 yards after the catch per reception, though that mark lands 0.4 points below expectation after the catch per catch. Johnson is a playable tight end who looks better in stacks than in standalone shares in Week 14.
Devaughn Vele adds depth to the receiver room, he gained major upside in last week’s matchup, hauling in all eight of his targets for 93 yards and a touchdown catch. The score was Vele’s first of the season. It was also the first time he caught more than three passes or gained more than 37 yards, both prior season highs were established the week before. Vele slots into Week 14 ranking as WR37 by points and WR34 by value on DraftKings and WR36 by points and WR40 by value on FanDuel. Overall, the receiver sees a 6.9% target share and averages 0.90 yards per route run with an 11.1-yard average depth of target that puts him on the board to continue seeing chances in the role vacated by Rashid Shaheed’s trade to Seattle. Vele is a tournament mixer with scoring-dependent upside.
Mason Tipton offers a vertical element, ranking as WR56 by points and WR55 by value on DraftKings and WR55 by points and WR51 by value on FanDuel. He averages 0.41 yards per route run with a 10.1-yard average depth of target.
Taysom Hill contributes in his versatile role, ranking as TE35 by points and TE35 by value on DraftKings and TE31 by points and TE33 by value on FanDuel. He averages 4.1 rushing attempts per game and 2.2 yards per carry while also contributing 4.6 yards per target on 0.6 targets per game and rushing for a touchdown on the season.
Foster Moreau rounds out the tight end group, ranking as TE34 by points and TE34 by value on DraftKings and TE34 by points and TE31 by value on FanDuel. He earns a 2.0% target share and averages 0.83 yards per route run and sees little-to-no fantasy value in any format.
The Saints offense enters the slate only value-based expectations, ranking 18th in stack points and 12th in value on DraftKings while placing 17th in points and 15th in value on FanDuel. The matchup against the Buccaneers presents a clear path through the air. The defense is solid against the run, ranking 14th in yards allowed per rush attempt and holding opponents to 4.2 yards per carry. However, the secondary struggles significantly, ranking 28th in surrendering 7.7 yards per pass attempt. The stack upside will come down to Shough and how frequently he is able to deliver passes to anyone not named Olave. The receiver should be able to stand tall in most situations both in and out of stacks, his PPR value alone could push him to individual quality.
New York Jets
Game Total: 41.0 / NYJ +3.0 (19.0)
Offense: 47.12% rush / 52.88% pass / 20.5 ppg / 4.8 ypa rush / 6.1 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.8 ypa rush / 7.5 ypa pass / 23.8 ppg / 6.58% sack / 1.13% int
Key Player: Tyrod Taylor
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Breece Hall, Adonai Mitchell, John Metchie III, Mason Taylor, Isaiah Davis (on/off), Arian Smith (large field), Allen Lazard (large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: De’Von Achane, Jaylen Waddle, Darren Waller, Malik Washington, Ollie Gordon II (on/off), Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (on/off)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Veteran backup Tyrod Taylor has always been a reasonably talented multi-faceted quarterback, something he has proved to varying degrees of relevance over the past two weeks. Taylor threw for 222 yards with one touchdown and one interception on 17-28 passing in Week 12 against Baltimore, dropping 19 rushing yards on five attempts on the top of the heap for good measure. He repeated the task with a 19-33 performance for 172 yards and one touchdown pass against Atlanta, adding his first rushing touchdown of the year while gaining 44 yards on eight attempts. Taylor is QB14 by points but soars to QB2 by value on DraftKings, he is QB13 by points and QB6 by value on FanDuel and has some appeal on the blue site as well. The quarterback is managing just 5.9 yards per pass attempt in his limited action, it seems best to not chase the option. Taylor has thrown five touchdowns against four interceptions this season though he does gain 5.3 yards per carry.
Running Backs
Breece Hall leads the New York running backs and stands as a reasonable option on the Week 14 Sunday slate, ranking as RB10 by points and RB9 by value on DraftKings and RB10/10 on FanDuel. Hall sees 15.6 rushing attempts per game, averaging 4.5 yards per carry in 2025. Hall displays burst with a 9.63% explosive run rate and forces broken tackles on 5.35% of his attempts, creating 2.0 yards after contact per attempt while punching the ball in for three rushing touchdowns, a lower total than one might expect. The running back is active in the passing game, securing 2.5 receptions on 3.3 targets per game. Hall has another touchdown on the board in the passing attack but needs to find paint more frequently overall.
Isaiah Davis provides a low-end dart at a cheap poaching event, ranking as RB38 by points and RB35 by value on DraftKings and RB35 by points and RB34 by value on FanDuel. He averages 2.2 rushing attempts per game with a strong 5.3 yards per carry. Davis flashes efficiency with a 7.69% explosive run rate and a 7.69% broken tackle rate, averaging 3.3 yards after contact per attempt, which would be spectacular in a more extended sample.
Receivers & Tight Ends
After two weeks of teasing with six then seven targets, Adonai Mitchell delivered his expected monster breakthrough performance as the lead option for the Jets in Week 13. Mitchell caught eight of a whopping 12 targets for 102 yards and scored his first touchdown of the season, reminding the world of his elite talent level. The receiver has similar potential this week, ranking as WR25 by points and WR17 by value on DraftKings and WR21 by points and WR16 by value on FanDuel.
John Metchie III contributes to the receiver corps, ranking as WR34 by points and WR40 by value on DraftKings and WR28 by points and WR27 by value on FanDuel but slips behind Mitchell in quality and opportunity again if all goes to plan. Metchie III caught a touchdown in each of Weeks 11 and 12, and had a six-catch 65-yard day in the Week 12 game. The receiver took a step back with only four catches for 19 yards on eight targets over a season-high 40 routes run last week, a mixed bag of results for go-forward outlook.
Mason Taylor offers a tight end option that is loosely on the board as the third play in the passing game. The Jets are a limited bunch overall, +2 builds are the outside. Taylor slots in ranking as TE19 by points and TE21 by value on DraftKings and TE20 by points and TE21 by value on FanDuel. He draws a 17.8% target share and averages a measly 0.95 yards per route run but does have a low-cost low-owned touchdown catch on the board this season.
The Jets offense has light stack appeal, they land as Stack 16 in points and Stack 10 in value on DraftKings while sitting as Stack 14 in points and Stack 12 in value on FanDuel. The matchup against the Dolphins offers potential due to defensive struggles. The unit ranks 28th in yards allowed per rush attempt, giving up 4.8 yards per carry. The secondary is also vulnerable, ranking 26th in yards allowed per pass attempt, surrendering 7.5 yards per attempt. The Dolphins have given up some of fantasy’s biggest games this season but the Jets do not offer much in the way of reliability and their prices are slightly more normalized to their limited but visible potential.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Game Total: 43.0 / PIT +6.0 (18.5)
Offense: 42.43% rush / 57.57% pass / 23.4 ppg / 4.0 ypa rush / 6.6 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.4 ypa rush / 6.7 ypa pass / 24.4 ppg / 4.18% sack / 1.61% int
Key Player: Aaron Rodgers
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Jaylen Warren (on/off), DK Metcalf, Kenneth Gainwell (on/off), Calvin Austin III, Darnell Washington (on/off), Jonnu Smith (on/off), Pat Freiermuth (on/off), Roman Wilson (on/off; large field), Adam Thielen (on/off; large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Derrick Henry, Zay Flowers, Mark Andrews, Isaiah Likely, Rashod Bateman, DeAndre Hopkins
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Veteran Aaron Rodgers has looked nothing but washed this season. The quarterback has managed to hurl 19 touchdown passes against just six interceptions but that comes at a low risk 6.7 yards per pass and 5.8 intended air yards per attempt. Rodgers ranks as QB19 by points and QB21 by value on DraftKings and QB19 by points and QB20 by value on FanDuel. With only 189.64 passing yards per game on 28.18 attempts, both the quality and volume are light and most gains are made via explosive plays after the catch. Rodgers is completing passes 1.0% below expectation by CPOE and offers minimal rushing upside these days with 1.4 rushing attempts per game and zero rushing touchdowns this year.
Running Backs
Jaylen Warren tops the Steelers backfield, ranking as RB16 by points and RB16 by value on DraftKings and RB16 by points and RB18 by value on FanDuel, which does not have much appeal even against a bad rush defense. Warren handles 13.7 rushing attempts per game while sharing duties with Kenneth Gainwell, who picks up steady action on the ground and in the air. Warren is averaging 4.2 yards per carry with limited burst at a 5.96% explosive run rate and forces broken tackles on 11.26% of his attempts, creating a solid 2.5 yards after contact per attempt. Warren draws 2.9 targets per game and catches 2.5 of them for 7.1 yards per target, he has four rushing and one receiving touchdown this season.
Kenneth Gainwell provides a change of pace, ranking as a lightly-playable RB25 by points and RB26 by value on DraftKings and RB23 by points and RB24 by value on FanDuel. He averages 6.3 rushing attempts per game with a strong 4.7 yards per carry with a bit of explosiveness at a 9.21% explosive run rate. Gainwell catches 3.7 passes on 4.3 targets per game and gains 6.3 yards per target this season, he is steadily involved but takes an overall backseat to Jaylen Warren. Gainwell has three rushing and two receiving touchdowns on the board this season.
Kaleb Johnson slots in as just RB48 by points and RB47 by value on DraftKings and RB52 by points and RB50 by value on FanDuel. He averages 3.0 rushing attempts per game with 2.5 yards per carry and has no appeal unless multiple unfortunate events befall the options above him.
Receivers & Tight Ends
DK Metcalf headlines the receiving corps, ranking as WR17 by points and WR19 by value on DraftKings and WR17 by points and WR28 by value on FanDuel. The veteran receiver draws a 21.9% target share on routes run over his 27.4 routes per game and delivers a good-not-great 1.84 yards per route run. Metcalf operates downfield, accounting for 36.64% of the team air yards, and is a threat after the catch with 9.0 yards after the catch per reception, good for an explosive unrivaled 4.1 yards over expectation after each reception. Metcalf remains the most appealing piece of the Steelers, he is an explosive play waiting to happen and has found the end zone five times this season, including a score in each of Weeks 2-6 (with a bye in Week 5) as well as in Week 8. The receiver has not been in the end zone since the Week 8 touchdown and has peaked at just 49 receiving yards on five catches in subsequent performances. Metcalf has plenty of potential but Rodgers does not push the upside in most situations.
Calvin Austin III offers a pivot point in a spot that does not even demand the original share. Austin III is just a dart throw option, ranking as WR49 by points and WR44 by value on DraftKings and WR48 by points and WR50 by value on FanDuel. He sees a 12.8% target share and averages 1.39 yards per route run. The receiver works at a decent range with a 10.4-yard average depth of target, he has a pair of touchdowns on the board with a bit of explosive play potential on any given slate.
The Steelers have a bit of a log jam at the tight end spot but Darnell Washington serves as the leading target, ranking as TE24 by points and TE20 by value on DraftKings and TE22 by points and TE22 by value on FanDuel. Washington draws a 9.3% target share and produces 1.70 yards per route run with a 6.5-yard average depth of target over his 13.5 routes per game. The tight end has one touchdown on the board after missing time.
Jonnu Smith adds another option at tight end, ranking as TE25 by points and TE24 by value on DraftKings and TE24 by points and TE24 by value on FanDuel. Smith sees a 12.5% target share but manages just 0.86 yards per route run. Pat Freiermuth rounds out the deep but low-end tight end group, ranking as TE27 by points and TE27 by value on DraftKings and TE27 by points and TE28 by value on FanDuel. He earns a 9.3% target share on his 15.4 routes per game and averages 1.61 yards per route run.
Roman Wilson and Adam Thielen provide depth to the receiver room. but both rank outside of the top-70 or so by points and value across both sites while seeing limited chances. Neither option is likely to contribute much in Week 14.
The Steelers offense enters the slate as a lousy option that ranks as Stack 20/21 on DraftKings and Stack 20 by both points and value on FanDuel. There is not much to like at any spot from the Steelers, the team has a low-end quarterback, a shared backfield, and middling pass-catchers with a shared tight end spot. Pittsburgh is drawing a low 18.5-point total even against a middling Ravens defense that has yielded upside on the ground this season. If anything, perhaps a dart or two on a running back is an option, but taking nothing is probably better.
Seattle Seahawks
Game Total: 44.5 / SEA -7.0 (25.75)
Offense: 51.14% rush / 48.86% pass / 29.2 ppg / 3.9 ypa rush / 8.9 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.5 ypa rush / 7.0 ypa pass / 23.0 ppg / 10.20% sack / 2.49% int
Key Player: Sam Darnold
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Kenneth Walker III (on/off), Zach Charbonnet (on/off), Cooper Kupp, AJ Barner, Rashid Shaheed, Elijah Arroyo (on/off), Jake Bobo (large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Bijan Robinson, Kyle Pitts Sr., Darnell Mooney, Tyler Allgeier (on/off), David Sills V, Dylan Drummond
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Highly accurate quarterback Sam Darnold helms the Seattle offense, ranking as QB12 by points and QB11 by value on DraftKings and QB12 by points and QB11 by value on FanDuel and landing in familiar playable but “meh” territory for DFS purposes. Darnold is rarely bad, the quarterback averages 242.75 passing yards per game on 27.0 attempts, managing 9.0 yards per pass attempt to sit at this most significant mark on the slate. He has thrown 19 touchdowns against 10 interceptions this season and is completing passes 8.8% over expectation by CPOE. Darnold adds next to nothing on the ground, putting the weight of his production on his highly capable arm and excellent pass-catching group. The stack is live for upside as Stack 5/5 and Stack 6/8 across sites, the value of the whole outweighs Darnold’s middling individual rankings in this instance.
Running Backs
Ranking as a top value option on the slate, Kenneth Walker III is the slight favorite to lead the Seattle backfield as usual. He handles 13.3 rushing attempts per game, averaging 4.6 yards per carry. Walker III displays burst with a 10.63% explosive run rate and forces broken tackles on 9.38% of his attempts but manages to create just 1.8 yards after contact per attempt. The running back picks up ok involvement with 1.7 catches per game but loses major scoring potential on the whole to Zach Charbonnet.
Charbonnet provides significant depth, ranking as RB21 by points and RB22 by value on DraftKings and RB24 by points and RB27 by value on FanDuel. He averages 11.4 rushing attempts per game with just 3.5 yards per carry but has scored eight times on the ground this season. The running back poaches touchdowns at every turn, Charbonnet posts a 4.80% explosive run rate and a 9.60% broken tackle rate, averaging only 1.9 yards after contact per attempt, he has not been special he just regularly punches a ticket for six cheap points.
Receivers & Tight Ends
With a dominant 35.9% target share on routes run over his 27.0 routes per game, Jaxon Smith-Njigba stands out as the primary receiving threat. The receiver dips into Week 14 in familiar territory as WR1 by points and WR8 by value on DraftKings and WR1 by points and WR5 by value on FanDuel. “JSN” delivers a ludicrous probably plaid-colored 4.12 yards per route run and operates with a 12.2-yard average depth of target, accounting for a simply stupid 47.80% of the team air yards. He has connected with Darnold for seven touchdowns which feels light for the ridiculous targeting.
Cooper Kupp offers a reliable perimeter target that falls well behind “JSN” in overall expectations. Kupp is ranking as WR33 by points and WR26 by value on DraftKings and WR35 by points and WR35 by value on FanDuel. He sees a only a 16.2% target share on his limited 25.2 routes per game and averages 1.58 yards per route run, though he continues to excels after the catch, averaging 6.6 yards after the catch per reception for 2.4 yards over expectation after each catch. The veteran receiver only has one touchdown on the board but he is an explosive play in a bottle just waiting to be freed by a bad defense.
AJ Barner serves as a key tight end target, ranking as TE16 by points and TE6 by value on DraftKings and TE14 by points and TE14 by value on FanDuel. He earns a 14.9% target share and secures 3.1 receptions per game with four touchdown catches and eight overall red zone targets this season.
Rashid Shaheed adds another vertical element to the passing attack, he ranks as WR36 by points and WR42 by value on DraftKings and WR39 by points and WR38 by value on FanDuel. Shaheed sees a 19.0% target share and averages 1.42 yards per route run with an 11.3-yard average depth of target, claiming a 33.55% air yards share overall, though he only has four catches for no relevant gains over the last four weeks.
Elijah Arroyo fills the second tight end role, ranking as TE33 by points and TE33 by value on DraftKings and TE36 by points and TE36 by value on FanDuel. He earns an 8.1% target share and averages 1.17 yards per route run with an 8.1-yard average depth of target and one touchdown catch. Arroyo is the type of lightly involved but available tight end who is likely best left for Showdown formats.
The Seahawks offense is a strong consideration on the back of capable quarterback play and the elite production of one receiver. Seattle is ranking as Stack 5/5 on DraftKings while placing as Stack 6/8 on the FanDuel board. The Falcons defense ranks 21st in yards allowed per rush attempt, giving up 4.5 yards per carry but the secondary is slightly more formidable, ranking 12th in yards allowed per pass attempt, surrendering 7.0 yards per dropback. Atlanta should be gettable, the team applies fair pressure to the quarterback but Darnold has an innate ability to get the ball downfield with accuracy, he should be in play for upside but his defense may squash the limited opposition to undesirable degrees. Individual shares of the primary skill players are fine in any sense.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Game Total: 42.0 / TB -8.5 (25.25)
Offense: 42.78% rush / 57.22% pass / 23.3 ppg / 4.1 ypa rush / 6.6 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.1 ypa rush / 7.4 ypa pass / 24.6 ppg / 7.82% sack / 2.12% int
Key Player: Baker Mayfield
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Bucky Irving, Emeka Egbuka, Chris Godwin Jr., Cade Otton, Rachaad White (on/off), Tez Johnson, Sterling Shepard, Kameron Johnson (large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Devin Neal, Chris Olave, Juwan Johnson, Devaughn Vele, Mason Tipton, Foster Moreau (on/off), Taysom Hill (on/off)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
At an implied 25.25-point team total, Baker Mayfield and his Buccaneers could be in business for DFS quality in Week 14 against a compliant defense. Mayfield is at the wheel of one of the better stacks of the week on both sites, good for an individual ranking as QB5 by points and QB4 by value on DraftKings and QB5 by points and QB7 by value on FanDuel. The quarterback averages 216.67 passing yards per game on 32.25 attempts, managing just 6.7 yards per pass attempt after seeing a dip in production midway through the season. The slide has coincided with a lack of production from standout rookie Emeka Egbuka, though the negative CPOE mark and limited per attempt production are of concern for the quarterback. This is a decent get-right spot for Mayfield, who has still thrown 19 touchdowns against only five interceptions this season despite completing passes 1.1% below expectation by CPOE. There is plenty of potential against a soft defense that gives up 7.4 yards per pass attempt to sit 25th in football.
Running Backs
Running back Bucky Irving returned to action last week and gained 61 yards on 17 carries with another 20 coming on 2-2 receiving out of the backfield, essentially picking up where he left off. Irving even added a rushing touchdown to push his scoring to expected levels. The quality second-year running back checks into Week 14 as part of a compelling stack, ranking as RB6 by points and RB8 by value on DraftKings and RB7 by points and RB9 by value on FanDuel. He handles 17.6 rushing attempts per game in limited action this season, averaging a light 3.4 yards per carry that one would expect to be far higher in added action. Irving excels in the passing game, securing 4.2 receptions per game and averaging 42.6 receiving yards in a few contests this season. The running back has plenty of upside and should build on his one rushing and two receiving touchdowns.
Rachaad White provides depth to the backfield, ranking as RB33 by points and RB34 by value on DraftKings and RB33 by points and RB36 by value on FanDuel. White remains somewhat playable for deep GPP value, he averages 8.8 rushing attempts per game with 4.0 yards per carry and sees another 3.0 targets per game overall on the season. With Irving back in action last week, White carried the ball just twice on 23 snaps with the offense but caught three of three targets over 14 routes run.
Sean Tucker rounds out the rushing attack but has very low expectations with the team at renewed health. Tucker ranks as RB46 by points and RB46 by value on DraftKings and RB46 by points and RB47 by value on FanDuel. He averages 5.4 rushing attempts per game with 4.3 yards per carry and a 9.23% explosive run rate but is unlikely to see more than a few chances.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Rookie Emeka Egbuka stands out as the leading option among Tampa Bay pass catchers, ranking as WR7 by points and by value on DraftKings and WR6 by points and WR7 by value on FanDuel. Egbuka has been a bit light for production in recent weeks, posting three straight clunkers after a six-catch 115-yard one-touchdown game in Week 10 against the Patriots. Egbuka has three hundred-yard games on the season and has caught six touchdown passes while commanding a 26.0% target share on 35.3 routes run per game. Egbuka delivers 1.87 yards per route run and operates with an 11.5-yard average depth of target, accounting for 37.60% of the team air yards, though he ceded some ground to his veteran teammate’s return to more involvement last week.
Chris Godwin Jr. dropped back onto the board for a bit more volume in Week 13, catching three of five targets for 78 yards but failing to score last week. The veteran offers a reliable secondary option, ranking as WR21 by points and WR23 by value on DraftKings and WR23 by points and WR21 by value on FanDuel. He averages 1.24 yards per route run with a 10.3-yard average depth of target while failing to score in limited action over four contests this season.
Cade Otton serves as a key tight end target, ranking as TE13 by points and TE11 by value on DraftKings and TE15 by points and TE15 by value on FanDuel. He sees a 15.9% target share and averages a cut-rate 0.98 yards per route run. Otton excels after the catch, averaging 5.9 yards after the catch per reception for a half-yard beyond expectation each time. The tight end has not caught a touchdown in 2025 but has drawn three red zone targets and could see a chance in scoring territory.
Tez Johnson adds a vertical element with a 12.1-yard average depth of target. The depth receiver ranks as WR50 by points and by value on DraftKings and WR44 by points and WR46 by value on FanDuel. He sees a limited 10.0% target share and averages only 1.08 yards per route run but has five touchdown catches on the limited chances, all of which have come since Week 6.
Sterling Shepard contributes as a rotational receiver, ranking as WR60 by points and WR65 by value on DraftKings and WR58 by points and WR60 by value on FanDuel. He sees a light 13.4% target share and averages 1.09 yards per route run, with little value for a big play or a score on either site.
The Buccaneers offense enters the slate with strong stack appeal, they are Stack 6/Stack 3 on DraftKings while placing as Stack 7 in both points and value on FanDuel. The matchup against the Saints offers a clear path through the air. The New Orleans defense is at least respectable against the run, ranking 13th in yards allowed per rush attempt and giving up 4.1 yards per carry. However, the secondary is vulnerable, ranking 25th in yards allowed per pass attempt, surrendering 7.4 yards per dropback with 1.67 passing touchdowns allowed per game.
Tennessee Titans
Game Total: 34.0 / TEN +4.0 (15.0)
Offense: 33.91% rush / 66.09% pass / 14.2 ppg / 3.9 ypa rush / 5.7 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.7 ypa rush / 7.0 ypa pass / 22.5 ppg / 11.41% sack / 2.69% int
Key Player: Cam Ward
Setting: exactly one
Team Group: Tony Pollard (on/off), Tyjae Spears (on/off), Elic Ayomanor, Chimere Dike, Chig Okonkwo (on/off), Gunnar Helm (on/off), Van Jefferson
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Quinshon Judkins, Jerry Jeudy, Harold Fannin Jr., Cedric Tillman, David Njoku, Jerome Ford (on/off), Isaiah Bond
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Try not to remember the Titans in building lineups on Sunday morning. Cam Ward and Co. offer next to nothing in terms of quality at a slate-low 15.0-point total that tracks as the lowest main slate total of the season, so far. The Titans offense is led by a quarterback ranking as QB20 by points and QB22 by value on DraftKings and QB21 by points and QB21 by value on FanDuel. Cam Ward averages 195.92 passing yards per game on 34.33 attempts, managing 5.7 yards per pass attempt with no truly high-quality target in mind. Ward has thrown seven touchdowns against six interceptions this season and is completing passes 3.8% below expectation by CPOE. There is nothing to see here, even against a middling New Orleans defense.
Running Backs
Tony Pollard leads the backfield, ranking as RB24 by points and RB21 by value on DraftKings and RB26 by points and RB23 by value on FanDuel. The veteran running back sees 12.5 rushing attempts per game, averaging just 3.9 yards per carry. Pollard creates 1.8 yards after contact per attempt and forces broken tackles on 6.67% of his runs this season, limiting his overall appeal. He is lightly involved in the passing game, securing 2.3 receptions per game for 5.0 yards per target. The running back has a pair of rushing touchdowns on the season. In Week 14, one might think that total could be higher.
Tyjae Spears provides depth, ranking as RB28 by points and RB28 by value on DraftKings and RB28 by points and RB26 by value on FanDuel. He averages only 4.9 rushing attempts per game with 4.1 yards per carry but the involvement is not enough to truly justify anything but lottery ticket shares that would probably require misfortune on Pollard’s part.
Receivers & Tight Ends
When rookie Elic Ayomanor is the primary receiver in a passing game, something has probably gone badly wrong. This is the case in Tennessee, where the limited rookie headlines the receiving corps, ranking as WR38 by points and WR32 by value on DraftKings and WR38 by points and WR37 by value on FanDuel. Ayomanor draws a 16.7% target share and averages merely 0.95 yards per route run on the season, though he has found the end zone twice. The receiver works downfield with a 12.2-yard average depth of target, accounting for 28.83% of the team air yards but sees only a 53.13% catchable target rate from Cam Ward.
Chimere Dike offers an OK secondary option in a stack you do not want to play. Dike has seen most of his breakout quality and name recognition pop in the return game where he is among league leaders. As a DFS regular, he slots into Week 14 ranking as WR44 by points and WR52 by value on DraftKings and WR40 by points and WR42 by value on FanDuel and scraping the bottom side of the value ice. Dike sees a 12.3% target share and averages 0.98 yards per route run but has explosive upside and gains 5.1 yards after the catch per reception, a slight tick below expectation.
Chig Okonkwo is a mixer of a tight end ranking as TE21 by points and TE25 by value on DraftKings and TE23 by points and TE23 by value on FanDuel. He earns a 13.3% target share and accounts for 8.86% of the team air yards and has caught two touchdown passes this season.
Gunnar Helm provides unnecessary depth at tight end, ranking as TE22 by points and TE19 by value on DraftKings and TE19 by points and TE19 by value on FanDuel. He sees an 11.5% target share and averages 1.51 yards per route run in 2025. Helm works the intermediate areas with a 6.1-yard average depth of target and has caught one touchdown pass this season.
Van Jefferson rounds out the receiver group, ranking as WR54 by points and WR49 by value on DraftKings and WR53 by points and WR52 by value on FanDuel. He is barely relevant with a 9.9% target share and 0.77 yards per route run despite a 10.8-yard average depth of target that could land him in big play territory. Jefferson sees a 55.26% catchable target rate from Ward, he must be miserable in this offense.
The Titans are no one’s idea of a good time even in good situations, this week they face an elite Browns defense. Cleveland’s defense ranks first in yards allowed per rush attempt, stifling opponents to just 3.7 yards per carry while yielding a 12-ranked 7.0 yards per pass attempt. The Cleveland side is the move.
Washington Commanders
Game Total: 44.0 / WAS +1.5 (21.25)
Offense: 46.84% rush / 53.16% pass / 21.8 ppg / 4.9 ypa rush / 7.1 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.0 ypa rush / 7.1 ypa pass / 23.4 ppg / 8.54% sack / 0.90% int
Key Player: Jayden Daniels
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Terry McLaurin, Deebo Samuel Sr., Zach Ertz, Chris Rodriguez Jr. (on/off), Jacory Croskey-Merritt (on/off), Jeremy McNichols (on/off), Noah Brown, Treylon Burks (large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Justin Jefferson, Aaron Jones Sr. (on/off), Jordan Mason (on/off), TJ Hockenson, Jalen Nailor, Josh Oliver (on/off)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Jayden Daniels is free of the injury report and planning to play on Sunday morning. The quarterback is returning from a three-game four-week absence which follows a one-game return from a one-week absence, which itself came after he played just three straight games after missing Weeks 2 and 3. Daniels has been limited when healthy and mostly out of action all season, he returns to a beatable matchup against a middling Vikings defense. The quarterback ranks as QB8 by points and QB7 by value on DraftKings and QB7 by points but QB15 by value on FanDuel. Daniels averages 197.33 passing yards per game on 28.0 attempts per game in the six full outings he has managed this season. With an average 7.0 yards per pass attempt and eight touchdowns against two interceptions this season, Daniels has been adequate when available. Daniels adds significant value with his legs, averaging 9.0 rushing attempts per game and 4.9 yards per carry in his limited action this season, padding scoring with a pair of rushing touchdowns. Daniels is an elite mixer at worst and a potential slate-winner if things go to plan in a game in which his team draws just a 21.25-point implied team total as slight underdogs.
Running Backs
Chris Rodriguez Jr. leads the badly split backfield, ranking as RB23 by points and RB19 by value on DraftKings and RB22 by points and RB21 by value on FanDuel. He handles 7.1 rushing attempts per game, averaging 4.5 yards per carry and spiked to 11 carries for 41 yards with a touchdown last week after gaining 79 yards on 15 carries in Week 11 before the bye. Rodriguez Jr. displays burst with an 8.45% explosive run rate and creates 3.1 yards after contact per attempt, forcing broken tackles on 7.04% of his runs and adding volume in recent games, for lack of a better option.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt provides depth, ranking as RB39 by points and RB41 by value on DraftKings and RB41 by points and RB42 by value on FanDuel. He averages 9.8 rushing attempts per game with 4.4 yards per carry. Croskey-Merritt runs with power, posting a 6.78% explosive run rate and creating 2.3 yards after contact per attempt but his chances are extremely thin.
Jeremy McNichols is another rotational back, ranking as RB41 by points and RB40 by value on DraftKings and RB39 by points and RB39 by value on FanDuel. He averages 2.7 rushing attempts per game but boasts an impressive 6.6 yards per carry and a massive 12.50% explosive run rate in the few chances he has drawn in 2025. McNichols sees 1.8 targets per game on the season and gains 6.8 yards per target to help with upside.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Terry McLaurin has only been active for two of the team’s games since Week 4 but he is expected to join Jayden Daniels in Week 14 after a big Week 13 return to action. McLaurin led the team with seven catches for 96 yards and a touchdown on a whopping 14 targets in his comeback game last week. He slots into Week 14 ranking as WR14 by points and leaping to a high-quality WR4 by value on DraftKings, he is just WR13 by points and WR14 by value on FanDuel. McLaurin delivers an elite 2.12 yards per route run in his limited action on the year, working at a 15.4-yard average depth of target while hauling in four catches per game.
Deebo Samuel Sr. offers a versatile threat both through the air and on the ground and checks in ranking as WR19 by points and WR27 by value on DraftKings and WR19 by points and WR29 by value on FanDuel. Samuel Sr. draws a 22.3% target share on routes run but could see a dip in chances overall with the team at full strength. The receiver averages 1.68 yards per route run while working underneath with a 5.7-yard average depth of target but excels after the catch, averaging 5.4 yards after the catch per reception.
Zach Ertz serves is a touchdown-dependent tight end target, ranking as TE7 by points and TE17 by value on DraftKings and TE7 by points and TE5 by value on FanDuel where he has more interesting value pricing. Ertz sees a 20.8% target share and averages 1.42 yards per route run. Ertz operates with an 8.9-yard average depth of target and secures 4.1 receptions per game but has four touchdowns and seven red zone targets in up-and-down action this season.
Noah Brown adds depth to +2 builds around Daniels, ranking as WR66 by points and WR62 by value on DraftKings and WR70 by points and WR70 by value on FanDuel but drawing explosive play upside from his 9.1-yard ADOT. Brown is mostly a dart throw at cheap low-owned potential in what is likely to be a somewhat popular build.
Treylon Burks rounds out the group, ranking as WR68 by points and WR69 by value on DraftKings and WR62 by points and WR63 by value on FanDuel. He averages just 1.17 yards per route run despite a deep 16.1-yard average depth of target and does not offer much apparent value.
The Commanders offense enters the week with mid-tier expectations, ranking as Stack 14 by points and Stack 7 by value on DraftKings while placing as Stack 15 / Stack 19 on FanDuel. The matchup against the Vikings is an OK spot, the team is good against the run with just 4.0 yards allowed per rush attempt to rank 10th but bad against the pass at 7.1 yards per attempt. Minnesota gains a 28.4% pressure rate on the quarterback but has only come away with three interceptions on the season, Jayden Daniels could run and pass his way out of any bad spots in this one. The Commanders are a reasonable upside play for value on the DraftKings slate and at least the primary pass-catchers land for individual upside outside of stacks as well.
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