NFL DFS – Main Slate Optimizer Groups (Sunday update) & Stack Rankings (Sunday update) + Full Game Notes (complete & updated) – Week 6

This article focuses on building lineups with a quality foundation by utilizing the powerful Groups and Rules/Limits tools within the industry’s optimization tools. All of the concepts and pairings included below can also apply to hand-building. The goal is to create lineups with strong correlations among likely point-scorers to maximize the gains from infrequent scoring events within stacks while limiting the likelihood of building inefficient or negatively correlated entries for a full slate of NFL DFS lineups.

This video was made in a former life and features a detailed demonstration of how to apply these concepts in one leading optimizer tool: Fantasy Cruncher – How-To Video

All references to Sims were done via friends of the site: acemind.io

Don’t miss the Above/Below feature article for a few of our top picks, coming Sunday morning

Game notes are updated during the week and initially posted as “work in progress” as they take a long time to create, if teams are missing notes simply check back later in the day/week and they should be updated.


2025 Week 6 DraftKings & FanDuel NFL DFS Stack Rankings

The following stack rankings were created by pairing each team quarterback with his top three scoring options, whether they are three wide receivers, two wide receivers and a tight end, a wide receiver, tight end, and running back, or any viable combination. In some cases, an expensive running back can push the overall price point of his team stack in the value rankings.

TEAMOPPFD$FDpRankFDvalRankDK$DkpRankDKvalRankVegas
LARNO$33,700111$29,1001142
CINCHI$31,40025$25,8002411
SFNYG$28,70052$22,900319
DETMIN$31,70038$27,3004121
INDPIT$32,800413$27,4005164
KCBUF$29,40063$24,900655
GBCAR$29,40074$24,700782
CHICIN$26,90081$22,100825
LACTEN$30,200910$24,700995
ATLNE$29,0001115$24,100101317
BUFKC$28,6001012$24,30011158
NEATL$25,200136$20,80012610
LVJAC$25,7001614$21,600131016
JACLV$25,900129$20,90014713
NYGSF$24,600147$18,90015314
PITIND$26,7001516$20,800161112
MINDET$28,5001718$23,700171818
DENHOU$28,7001819$23,800182019
HOUDEN$26,3001917$21,800191715
NOLAR$26,0002021$21,100201922
CARGB$25,9002122$20,500212221
TENLAC$22,5002220$18,700222120

Week 6 DraftKings & FanDuel NFL DFS Stacks & Optimizer Groups

Overview

Rules and limits are powerful tools for lineup creation for NFL DFS where our primary focus is creating highly correlated lineups via stacking players from the same game. Lineups will typically be coordinated around the quarterback selection, which informs at least one pass-catcher choice, establishes a budget, eliminates a defense, and sets the tone for the lineup. We will typically look to correlate a quarterback and at least one of his pass-catchers in every lineup, with many of those including a skill player from the opposing team. This player is included to support the stack in a high-scoring game that drives offense on both sides, creating additional correlated scoring potential. Stacking multiple pass-catchers in the same lineup is a sound approach, though there are typically overall ceilings on how much volume is available at any given position. While pass-catching running backs can be prioritized in stacks and group tools, including running backs who are not involved in the passing game is less important at this stage, they will fall naturally into shares as needed. High-volume backs and pass catchers out of the backfield can be included in the groups utilized below, but it is frequently not necessary to do so with the very best players, they arrive in lineups without help.

Rules and limits are typically applied in an optimizer’s Advanced Options menu. Notes are included to illustrate the reasons behind each rule and explain what it does during the lineup creation process. These settings can typically be saved for re-use, which is highly recommended. Saving the groups created below is also a good idea that will save time with updates instead of recreation each week. These groups are created manually, but most optimizers include automated group creators that can help accelerate the curation process.

DraftKings + FanDuel Settings & Advanced Options

Note – Terminology may vary from site to site but these are common functions across most industry tools.

Unique Players Per Lineup– This setting forces the optimizer to utilize at least X new players who were not in Lineup 1 when it creates Lineup 2, and so on. We recommend a setting of at least two unique players, more can be applied depending on the degree of differentiation desired within lineups.

Team Salary– a minimum or maximum salary spend can be applied here as needed, although leaving salary on the table is an easy path toward creating unique lineups while not necessarily making a negative expected value play.

FLEX position– allows restrictions on what positions can be rostered at the FLEX spot. The primary position to restrict is the tight end so that lineups do not include two players from the position. In many industry tools this is a separate option via a checkbox, it can also be handled specifically within groups.

Global Exposure Settingallows caps on the maximum percentage of lineups a player can appear in within a given pool of lineup construction. This is a powerful tool for shaping lineups but if settings are too low, attempts to build a full set will fall short due to a lack of available players, one of the most common errors in optimizer building. Most optimizers include the ability to calculate ownership caps continuously or at the end of the pool creation process. If caps are calculated continuously, a player with a 25% cap who is utilized in Lineup 1 will not be available for use again until Lineup 5, we recommend turning OFF continuous calculation.

Randomness – provides a random multiplier to each player’s projected point total based on the set values. This valuable tool helps differentiate lineups instead of simply creating them in order of the highest median projected scores. Using some randomness for lineup generation is strongly recommended but the degree to which it is applied is down to personal preference, 15-25% is fine to get started. We suggest heavier randomness to more event-based players like wide receivers while tracking volume-based positions like running backs more toward their median or ceiling projections.

DraftKings + FanDuel Team Stack Rules

This set of rules will force optimizers to build lineups with certain combinations. We are looking to stack at least one skill player, almost always a pass-catcher, with his quarterback while frequently playing a skill player from the opposing team in the lineup. The theory behind this build is that a high-scoring stack will require some response from the opposing team to deliver a ceiling score in most situations. Most optimizers utilize a “complete the sentence” approach for rule creation with selections from drop-down menus following a very straightforward logic. Exceptions to these rules can be added for specific teams and players on most optimizer products.

  • QB with at least one WR/TE from Same Team (note: It is fine to set this to two or to utilize two versions of this rule, one with WR/TE and one with RB/WR/TE, but we can also refine this via Groups)
  • optional – QB with at least one RB/WR/TE from the Opposing Team (we typically prefer the pass-catchers but high-volume running backs can be effective here)
  • QB with at most zero DST from the Same Team (this is a personal preference; high-scoring teams and quarterbacks tend to leave their defenses on the field, exposing them to simple point-scoring negatives)

Limits & Custom Rules and Requirements

Limit rules can be applied to restrict certain combinations from coming together. This is powerful for limiting multiple running backs from the same team or getting overweight to a certain stack within a lineup.

  • Limit QB/RB/WR/TE from Same Team to three
  • Limit RB/WR/TE from the Same Team to one unless paired with QB from the Same Team OR the Opposing Team (this prevents multiple players from a team that is not a primary quarterback-based stack)
  • optional – Limit RB from Same Team to one (we can also do this with WR in a separate rule that adds an “unless paired with QB or opposing QB” but it’s a personal preference for NFL DFS, we typically do not want two pass-catchers from the same team without their quarterback)

We will maintain the list of rules and limits throughout the season, with occasional tweaks. Each week sees another fresh crop of value plays as situations change and injuries create opportunities around the league. These changing roles and emergent value plays are accounted for in creating these groups from week to week. After a large pool of lineups is created utilizing these groups, it is still critical to filter them for factors including ceiling projections and leverage potential. These groups should help ensure that a highly correlated premium set of options that rotates through various combinations is utilized to create the full lineup pool.

Sunday Updates

Any changes and recommended boosts to specific players will be provided in an early morning update each Sunday.


NFL DFS Week 6 Features & Projections

 


Construction Concept

Team groups are built by utilizing the quarterback as the KEY player in group settings. The quarterback decision is the driving factor in determining which stack the lineup utilizes and which corresponding plays are made to work within the structured requirements. In Fantasy Cruncher, built to specification, each team will have two groups, a team group, and an opponent group, both of which utilize the same quarterback as the key player. Each game will have a total of four groups. This is the best approach to truly capture the requirement of playing individual “run-back” plays from the opposing team. A more basic approach would be to include all of the skill players from a game in each quarterback’s group and rely on rules and limits to restrict any potential overflow. It is highly recommended to save the early season groups as a foundation that will be updated for the rest of the season. The recommended groups will include skill players who have an active role in their offense and provide significant correlation with their quarterback’s scoring, often bell-cow running backs who do not specialize in the passing game will not be included in groups as they are projected highly and appear on their own in basically correct distributions, while also not always providing the strongest positive correlation plays. Stacking quarterbacks with pass-catchers and allowing running backs to fall into the lanes created by settings, available salary, and randomness should create a well-distributed set of quality lineups. These groups are updated weekly to account for changes in utilization, schemes, injuries, target shares, and more.

Team Groups for DraftKings & FanDuel – Week 6

The goal is to create a large pool of well-built lineups that can be utilized in any large-field GPP contest. Our approach is to build far more lineups than needed and utilize a sorting table or sim process to filter to the best set of entries. The lineups created in these crunches should provide a broad distribution that includes some of the lower-owned high-upside skill players from each stack. Applying boosts is critical in pushing and pulling ownership to individual players within their team’s stacked lineups if they appear too much or too little.

The groups below are designed so that each quarterback will have two groups to create, one with his skill players and another with the opposing team. A more basic approach would be to add them all to one large group with an “at least three” and let rules and limits set things, but there is a more granular level of control in creating them separately.

Utilizing two groups also allows us to place running backs into the “run-back” position in certain teams while not including them in the primary stack for their team. This is useful when a situation has an extremely highly projected running back that does not necessarily fit into his team’s passing game. These players are threaded throughout the following construction recommendations.

Note for all optimizers the rules can be utilized to force bring-back plays in some sets of crunches and turned off for others as a global function instead of changing each group to “exactly one” bring-back play, wherever applicable, but it will apply to all teams.

 


Arizona Cardinals

Game Total: 46.0 / ARI + 10.0 (18.0)

Offense: 40.86% rush / 59.14% pass / 20.6 ppg / 4.8 ypa rush / 5.9 ypa pass

oppDEF: 4.5 ypa rush / 6.7 ypa pass / 17.8 ppg / 7.37% sack / 3.41% int

Key Player: Kyler Murray (Q) Jacoby Brissett

Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Team Group: Trey McBride, Marvin Harrison Jr., Michael Wilson, Michael Carter (on/off), Emari Demercado (on/off), Greg Dortch, Zay Jones (Q, large field)

Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Opposing Group: Jonathan Taylor, Tyler Warren, Michael Pittman Jr., Josh Downs, Alec Pierce, Ashton Dulin (large field), Adonai Mitchell (large field)

Game Notes: Kyler Murray is now expected to miss Week 6

Quarterback

Kyler Murray rates as a mid-board quarterback option for Week 6, if he manages to suit up on Sunday. Murray is dealing with a foot injury that held him out of practice for most of the week. The quarterback returned to practice on Friday afternoon but was a limited participant and remains questionable, with capable Jacoby Brissett ready in the backup role. Murray has had a middling season, he averages under 200 yards per game (192.4) on 6.0 yards per attempt and has thrown for just six touchdowns, all despite throwing 32.2 times per game. Murray has been over 200 yards in two consecutive games, but he failed to throw a touchdown against the Titans in Week 5, though he did run one in for a bit of relief for fantasy scoring. Murray is QB9/12 on DraftKings and QB9/8 on the FanDuel slate, he is in the mix for a few shares but not as a priority against a Colts defense that allows 6.7 yards per pass attempt (13th), holds quarterbacks to a bottom-10 CPOE, and allows just 17.8 points per game overall.

Jacoby Brissett is expected to start for Arizona on Sunday. Brissett played in eight games for the Patriots last season, completing 95 of 161 pass attempts for 826 yards and two touchdowns with one interception. The quarterback was last relevant in 2022 when he threw for 2,608 yards with 12 touchdowns and six interceptions over 16 games in Cleveland. Brissett single-handedly knocked a few implied points off of Arizona’s total, he is QB19/16 and QB19/18 across sites in the updated rankings and the Cardinals dip as a stack.

Running Backs

The running back situation in the desert gained a bit of clarity with Michael Carter receiving a 57.0% snap share and 23 touches in the Week 5 contest against the Titans. Carter gained 51 yards on 18 carries and added another 22 yards on 5-5 receiving over 17 routes run. The running back separated himself from Emari Demercado (28.0% snap share) and Zonovan “Bam” Knight, and he should be expected to see the lead role until one of the better options returns from injury. Carter had a pair of quality performances at the end of the 2024 season, he has proven a reliable but unspectacular option when given touches. Carter is RB18/16 on DraftKings and RB15/14 on the FanDuel slate.

Emari Demercado played 19 snaps with the offense last week, down from 26 the week before. The running back gained a fantastic 81 yards on just three carries but lost a touchdown on his huge 72-yard dash after fumbling the ball at the goal line. While reporting suggests that there will be no fallout for Demercado in role, the running back remains a highly limited dart throw for DFS purposes, particularly when he goes untargeted over 12 routes as he did in Week 5. Demercado is RB31/31 and RB29/30 across sites.

Bam Knight found the end zone for a cheap touchdown last weekend but ultimately played 16% of the snaps with the offense, carrying the ball four times for 11 yards. Knight is ranked outside of the top-40 running backs in both categories on both sites.

Receivers & Tight Ends

Tight end Trey McBride leads the Cardinals with a 26.6% target share on routes run over 36.6 routes per game. The star pass-catcher was slightly below his season average (8.4) with seven targets in Week 5, catching five of them for 41 yards, but he frustratingly failed to find the end zone once again. McBride has just one touchdown on the season, a slow pace reminiscent of his one limiting factor from 2024. The tight end is still a top positional option on a weekly basis, he gains 1.50 yards per route run and sees a 27.99% air yards share in the Cardinals offense while leading the team with five red zone targets, the scoring will come. McBride is TE1 by points and TE4 by value on DraftKings, he is TE2 by points and TE1 by value on the FanDuel slate, though those marks could dip slightly if Murray sits.

Marvin Harrison Jr. sees a 20.3% target share on routes run over his team-leading 37.4 routes per game. The second-year receiver has twice as many touchdown catches as any of his teammates this season, though that gives him a total of only two. Harrison Jr. has failed to truly deliver on his talent at this level, he gained just 885 yards but did catch eight touchdown passes over 17 games last season and has been held under 100 receiving yards in every week so far in 2025. Harrison’s production has kept him in the WR30 range but he ranks better than that as WR18/12 and WR19/28 across sites this week.

Michael Wilson sees fairly limited opportunities to succeed for big DFS weeks. The receiver is WR44/35 and WR46/46 across sites in Week 6 on averages of just 0.32 yards per route run and 32.6 routes per game. Wilson has drawn just an 11.4% target share on routes run for the season, with a 44.4% catchable target rate compounding the volume problem. The receiver operates on an appealing 11.8-yard average depth of target for a 19.09% air yards share and has a touchdown on the board for the season, but he is big play and touchdown dependent. Wilson is a dart throw option on both sites, he probably functions best as stack padding in +2 builds.

Greg Dortch could see a minor uptick in chances if Zay Jones is out after a knee issues has kept him limited in practice this week. Neither receiver has much appeal if they are both active. Dortch sees a 7.0% target share on routes run over 12.4 routes per game and Jones is at just a 4.4% target share on 20.5 routes per game.

Overall, the Cardinals rank as just Stack 16 by points and Stack 14 by value on DraftKings, they are similarly just Stack 17/17 on the FanDuel slate with things potentially trending downward if Murray fails to suit up on Sunday after the update for Murray’s absence. Arizona is a mixer of a stack at best, though they offer one of the week’s top tight ends, and a couple of reasonable mid-board options at receiver and running back

 


Baltimore Ravens

Game Total: 45.0 / BAL +7.5 (18.75)

Offense: 42.00% rush / 58.00% pass / 28.2 ppg / 5.5 ypa rush / 8.5 ypa pass

oppDEF: 3.5 ypa rush / 6.9 ypa pass / 21.4 ppg / 7.94% sack / 1.72% int

Key Player: Cooper Rush

Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Team Group: Zay Flowers (Q), Mark Andrews, Derrick Henry (on/off), Rashod Bateman, DeAndre Hopkins, Isaiah Likely, Tylan Wallace (large field)

Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Opposing Group: Puka Nacua, Davante Adams, Tyler Higbee, Kyren Williams, Jordan Whittington (large field), Tutu Atwell (Q; large field),

Game Notes: Zay Flowers is expected to play.

Quarterback

The Ravens are just a different team with Cooper Rush at the helm instead of superstar quarterback Lamar Jackson, who will miss Week 6 with a lingering hamstring issue. Rush was not bad for Dallas last season, throwing for 1,844 yards with 12 touchdowns on 308 pass attempts over his 12 appearances. The quarterback threw for just 179 yards, completing 14 of 20 pass attempts in Week 5 against Houston but he was a mess with zero touchdown passes against three interceptions. Rush had a limiting 6.2 intended air yards per pass attempt, he was not asked to do much and he complied with that request, the same should be expected in Week 6. Rush is QB19 by points and QB16 by value on DraftKings, he is QB18/17 on the FanDuel slate, and seems mostly skippable on both sites.

Running Backs

Derrick Henry was held to a stunning 33 yards on 15 rush attempts against the Texans last week, his second-straight game under 50 yards. The running back hit the 50-yard mark exactly in Week 3 against Detroit but padded fantasy scoring with a rushing touchdown, something he has failed to do in the past two games. After a gargantuan Week 1 vintage Henry performance that saw the running back rumble to 169 yards and a pair of touchdowns on 18 carries, Henry has largely been a weekly DFS bust with limited volume and production at hefty prices. The matchup will do Henry no favors in Week 6, the running back will face a Rams defense that ranks third with just 3.5 yards allowed per rush attempt and leads the league in limiting explosive runs and the Ravens are significant underdogs. Henry is just RB13/14 and RB11/12 across sites this week, with the model finally relenting to multiple factors working against him. Still, we would not rule out shares, particularly at low ownership, simply on the multiple-touchdown upside that the running back provides.

Justice Hill is RB27/27 and RB27/29 and is of limited appeal against the stout Los Angeles rush defense, he would need Henry to miss action to truly find success outside of a broken play.

Receivers & Tight Ends

The absence of Lamar Jackson looms large over the team’s group of pass-catchers. Zay Flowers leads the room as WR13 by points but WR22 by value on DraftKings, he is WR13 across the board on the FanDuel slate, though he is questionable with a shoulder issue and has been limited in practice all week. Flowers drew five targets from Rush last week, catching all of them for 72 yards in a decent performance for the situation. With the quarterback turning the ball over three times there were limited opportunities for additional success, but Flowers did see his first red zone target of the season in Week 5.

Mark Andrews played a 58.0% snap share to Isaiah Likely’s 53.0% mark in Week 5, running 13 routes to the understudy’s nine. Andrews played five more snaps and ran three more routes than Likely in Week 4 as well, he is the lead option between the two prominently involved tight ends but he ranks outside of the top-10 at the position on both sites this week. The tight end does have a pair of touchdown catches on the season and gains 1.4 yards per route run but Rush is a limiting factor for this entire offense.

Rashod Bateman sees a 12.7-yard ADOT on the season, second to only veteran DeAndre Hopkins’ elite 18.2-yard average depth of target. Between the two, Bateman is the more likely contributor most weeks, he sees an average of 4.0 targets to Hopkins’ 1.8 per game, a 16.0% share on 24.6 routes run compared to just 7.2% on 10.2 routes per game for Hopkins. Neither receiver has much appeal outside of padding misguided stacks of Ravens.

Baltimore is Stack 17 by points and Stack 19 by value on DraftKings, they are Stack 16/20 on the FanDuel slate and have very little appeal outside of a few darts among the premium skill players, who are all facing a challenging defense.

 


Carolina Panthers

Game Total: 48.5 / CAR +3.0 (22.75)

Offense: 41.49% rush / 58.51% pass / 20.4 ppg / 4.8 ypa rush / 5.6 ypa pass

oppDEF: 4.4 ypa rush / 8.4 ypa pass / 30.8 ppg / 5.24% sack / 0.55% int

Key Player: Bryce Young

Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Team Group: Tetairoa McMillan, Ja’Tavion Sanders (Q), Rico Dowdle (on/off), Hunter Renfrow, Xavier Legette, Tommy Tremble (large field)

Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Opposing Group: George Pickens, Jake Ferguson, Ryan Flournoy, Jalen Tolbert, Javonte Williams (on/off)

Game Notes: Ja’Tavion Sanders is now expected to miss Week 6

Quarterback

The frisky Panthers have a 23-point implied team total against a targetable Dallas defense in Week 6, putting them on the board for stack shares on both sites, particularly when hunting for value options. The same is true of quarterback Bryce Young on DraftKings, where he is priced at a silly $4,800 in the high-quality matchup. The quarterback was juiced to a $7,000 price tag on FanDuel, pushing him outside of the top-10 by value on the site. Overall, Young has seen at best mixed results on the season. The quarterback has thrown seven touchdown passes against four interceptions while gaining a lousy 5.5 yards per pass attempt. Young has not been asked to do much, his 6.8-yard intended air yards mark is uninspiring but he is getting tight end Ja’Tavion Sanders back in the fold and his connection with Tetairoa McMillan is interesting against a defense allowing a league-worst 8.4 yards per pass attempt. Young threw a pair of Week 5 touchdowns against Miami but also lost an interception and was held below 200 yards on 19-30 passing. The quarterback had a great Week 2 on massive volume, completing 35 of 55 pass attempts for 328 yards and three touchdown passes, with Dallas bringing an elite aerial attack to town we could be in line for a similarly productive Sunday, at least in terms of opportunity. Young is QB13 by points but QB4 by value on DraftKings, he is QB13/12 on the FanDuel slate.

Running Backs

Rico Dowdle was highly rated and discussed across the industry in Week 5 and he did not disappoint. The running back exploded into the 2025 season with 206 rushing yards on 23 carries, scoring a touchdown and adding 28 yards on 3-4 receiving over 16 routes. Dowdle dominated the snap share with usual starter Chuba Hubbard out, he should see a similar chance against his former team in Week 6. Dowdle is an intriguing option, Dallas is also weak against the run with 4.4 yards allowed per rush attempt and the explosive running back gains 5.7 yards per attempt on limited volume overall for the season. Dowdle is RB7 by points but RB1 by value again on DraftKings this week, he aligns the same way on FanDuel as RB6/1 and is a potentially crucial piece of construction who will be crushingly popular around the industry.

Trevor Etienne played a 20.0% snap share and gained 22 yards on four carries in Week 5, he should not be expected to see much more involvement this week and is nothing more than a lottery ticket at a cheap unowned poached touchdown with all eyes on Dowdle.

Receivers & Tight Ends

Tetairoa McMillan is the top option on Bryce Young’s passing radar, drawing a 25.3% target share on routes run over 35.6 routes per game. McMillan has managed a near-elite mark of 1.97 yards per route run despite the quarterback’s limited play, he catches 4.8 balls per game despite just a 60.47% catchable target rate and adds 4.7 yards after the catch per reception for the season to help those numbers. McMillan has a 37.5% explosive play rate on receptions for the season and sees a team-leading 11.4-yard ADOT and 43.29% air yards share. Somehow all of this quality has resulted in exactly zero touchdowns over five games, but that is sure to change soon, the receiver drew two more red zone targets in Week 5, giving him five on the season. McMillan slots into an interesting offense as WR8 by points and WR6 by value on DraftKings, he is WR9 by points and WR8 by value on FanDuel this week.

Xavier Legette found the end zone on just three targets in Week 5. The receiver played 55 snaps and ran 24 routes, catching two of the three targets for 31 yards and his first touchdown of the season after missing Weeks 3 and 4. Legette’s 79.0% snap share is second among pass-catchers but he has been limited to just 10.6% targets on routes run for the season. Legette operates on a mid-level ADOT, he is interesting for scoring potential, the receiver had four touchdown catches on just 49 targets as a rookie in 2024, with seven receptions of more than 20 yards. The receiver is WR36/38 and WR43/43 across sites but plays up for a bit of ceiling, particularly for differentiation in Carolina builds where Dowdle and McMillan will both be more popular.

Hunter Renfrow is another potential mixer in Carolina stacks. The receiver is tied for the team lead with two touchdown catches on the season despite seeing just 4.8 targets per game, a 14.1% target share on routes run. Renfrow operates mostly underneath with a 7.5-yard average depth of target, though his 1.7 yards after the catch this season are a career low by nearly three yards per catch. Renfrow is a mixer who can find the end zone at lower ownership than his teammates, he and Legette could be buried if Ja’Tavion Sanders returns, they will be more popular if he is out again.

Tommy Tremble dips in the current iteration of rankings, with the expectation that Ja’Tavion Sanders will play. Sanders remains questionable with an ankle injury, he was a highly involved receiver in one of the team’s first three games before an early exit in Week 3. Sanders caught seven passes for 54 yards on nine targets over 39 routes run on 53 snaps in Week 2, he was held to just two catches for limited production in the other two contests. Sanders is coming off of a 342-yard campaign with a single touchdown on 33-43 receiving as a rookie last year, he has appealing talent and will be involved if he plays but ranks as just TE12/9 and TE13/8. Like Legette and Renfrow, Sanders is most interesting to differentiate stacks of Panthers. Tremble is TE28/27 on both sites and is a very limited option who would need to fall into the end zone with the ball to find any value.

Jalen Coker is currently questionable to play and being called a game-time decision. He will be added to the projections update and will be a big pickup for this offense if he plays. Coker gained 14.9 yards per catch for 478 yards and a pair of touchdowns on 32 catches last season but has not played in 2025. Coker has been ruled out.

The Panthers are likely to be popular against what has been one of football’s most targetable defenses in 2025, a lot will ride on the quality of Bryce Young’s play this week. Carolina is Stack 11 by points but Stack 2 by value on DraftKings, they are Stack 10 by points and Stack 2 by value on FanDuel despite the QB12 value rating for Young on the blue site. While stacks are definitely in play, there is an argument to be made that some shares of Carolina skill players should be reserved for “bring back” plays in possibly more interesting stacks of Cowboys on the other side of the contest.

 


Cincinnati Bengals

Game Total: 45.0 / CIN +15.0 (15.0)

Offense: 34.46% rush / 63.13% pass / 17.0 ppg / 3.1 ypa rush / 5.9 ypa pass /

oppDEF: 3.6 ypa rush / 5.6 ypa pass / 21.0 ppg / 6.55% sack / 1.27% int

Key Player: Joe Flacco

Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Team Group: Ja’Marr Chase (Q), Tee Higgins, Mike Gesicki, Andrei Iosivas, Chase Brown (on/off), Noah Fant (on/off, large field)

Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Opposing Group: Josh Jacobs, Romeo Doubs, Tucker Kraft, Matthew Golden, Dontayvion Wicks

Game Notes: 

Quarterback

After enduring Jake Browing for several games, the Bengals will now toss the keys to their potentially elite offense to veteran Joe Flacco after a Week 6 trade that reportedly took Cleveland management by surprise. Flacco slots in with a completion percentage 1.2 points below expectation for the season while tossing two touchdowns against six interceptions over four contests with the Browns. The veteran managed 290 yards on 31-45 passing in Week 1, throwing a touchdown and two interceptions, he was not as good the following three weeks. Flacco will have far better receivers to work with in Cincinnati, and he was effective in eight games last season, throwing for 1,761 yards and a dozen touchdowns, lending believability to the idea that he could save the Bengals’ fantasy production for the year. Flacco’s 7.3 intended air yards per attempt is fine, he should be capable of delivering the ball to prime receivers and he slots in as the top quarterback by value on DraftKings as QB16 by points and QB1 by value. Things are different for Flacco on FanDuel, he is QB16 by points and QB14 by value with a $6,300 price tag.

Running Backs

Chase Brown’s struggles continued in Week 5 with 27 yards on eight carries over 33 snaps with the offense. The running back’s production has been completely destroyed by the ineptitude of the offense around him, opponents have keyed on the run and held Brown to a stunning 2.5 yards per rush attempt for -1.1 yards below expectation per attempt. The running back is RB17/17 and RB18/20 across sites and is simply a mix-in option until he shows a bit of a spark. Upside could come as early as this weekend, if the offensive tide rises under Flacco it is reasonable to expect that Brown’s boat would also be lifted, but his glaring lack of quality with just 1.4 yards after contact and zero explosive runs on the season is difficult to ignore with an abundance of better options on the board.

Samaje Perine played a season-high 29 snaps with the offense last week, carrying the ball just four times but gaining 27 yards for the effort. The running back added another two yards on 2-2 receiving over 20 routes run, he remains a mixer as a pass catcher and could see both more involvement and more quality with Flacco taking over. Perine ranks as RB40/40 and RB40/42 and has little-to-no fantasy appeal outside of an oddball touchdown.

Receivers & Tight Ends

Ja’Marr Chase has three touchdowns on the season after a big Week 5 that saw him catch six of 10 targets for 110 yards and a pair of scores. The game was a welcome relief to DFS scoring, Chase was held to 50 or fewer yards in both Weeks 3 and 4 after a big Week 2. Overall, the receiver gains a terrific 2.19 yards per route run on 34.2 routes per game and leads the team with a 29.2% target share on routes run, and has managed 1.7 yards above expectation after the catch per reception for the season. Chase has not been the problem in the Cincinnati offense, the hope is that he will immediately connect with Flacco and provide elite production as WR5 by points on both sites. Chase is WR28 by value on DraftKings and WR24 by value on FanDuel, he is one of the more highly-priced options on both sites and is dealing with an illness late in the week that will have him listed as questionable for Sunday.

Tee Higgins would gain significant ground in the rankings if Chase does not play, as things stand he is WR19 by points and WR32 by value on DraftKings and WR21/22 at a better price-point on the FanDuel slate. Higgins draws a 17.5% target share on routes run this season but has seen just a 48.15% catchable target rate that has held production to just 0.93 yards per route run. Higgins has a pair of touchdowns despite the limited overall production but his fantasy scoring has been held largely in check compared to his typically elite 1A production. As the always under-appreciated option next to Chase, the receiver should stand to gain plenty of quality in the switch to Flacco, while he has not had a 1,000 yard season since 2022, Higgins hauled in 10 touchdowns in just 12 games last year with several tremendous DFS performances, he could easily return to that level of production in the coming weeks.

Tight end Mike Gesicki sees a 10.4% target share on 18.8 routes run per contest with an 11.9% air yards share for 0.65 yards per route run, he has not scored this season. Noah Fant, meanwhile, has gained 1.7 yards per route run on 11.8 routes per game, drawing a 9.1% target share but a 92.86% catchable target rate over the limited chances. Fant is one of four pass-catchers, alongside the two elite wide receivers and third-string Drew Sample, with a touchdown catch on the season. With Fant drawing just a 32.0% snap share for the season it is difficult to reach him as anything more than a touchdown-dependent dart for main slate play, he is a better option in Showdown formats. Gesicki is TE20/20 and TE22/23 and is similarly low-quality overall.

Andrei Iosivas is WR59/58 and WR60/60 and is just a shot at one big play. The receiver can get downfield and has a 10.1-yard ADOT and a 42.86% explosive play rate on receptions this season but that amounts to seven total catches for 116 yards, with five of those catches coming last week. The involvement last week was a bit surprising, there is no convincing reason to expect Iosivas to see more than his typical role in Week 6 but one good toss from Flacco could make a difference.

The Bengals are just Stack 12 by points and Stack 17 by value on DraftKings, they are Stack 15 by points and Stack 16 by value on FanDuel, but there is good reason to think that their ceiling is quite a bit higher than that.

 


Cleveland Browns

Game Total: 38.5 / CLE +6.0 (16.25)

Offense: 37.35% rush / 62.65% / 14.6 ppg / 3.9 ypa rush / 5.2 ypa pass

oppDEF: 4.2 ypa rush / 8.2 ypa pass / 24.5 ppg / 9.21% sack / 3.62% int

Key Player: Dillon Gabriel

Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Team Group: David Njoku, Jerry Jeudy, Harold Fannin Jr., Isaiah Bond, Quinshon Judkins (on/off), Jamari Thrash (large field)

Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Opposing Group: DK Metcalf, Pat Freiermuth, Jonnu Smith, Jaylen Warren, Ben Skowronek

Game Notes: 

Quarterback

Like an attractive person with absolutely nothing to say, Dillon Gabriel was not impressive under the surface in his first NFL start in Week 5. Gabriel threw for 209 yards and two touchdowns without throwing an interception but those numbers came on just 5.6 yard per pass attempt and 6.2 intended air yards per attempt. Gabriel completed 19 of his 33 pass attempts against the Vikings last week, with two plays of more than 20 yards. Gabriel ranked at the bottom of the league in advanced accuracy metrics despite the passable surface-level performance in Week 5, less should be expected in Week 6 even in a good matchup. The Steelers have allowed a 28th-ranked 8.2 yards per pass attempt on the season but the Browns are a low-end stack overall. Gabriel is QB20 across the board on both sites this week.

Running Backs

Quinshon Judkins came on fast in 2025, cracking 100 yards for the first time in Week 5 after steady volume gains in each of his first few games. Judkins missed Week 1 and carried the ball just 10 times over 19 snaps but gaining 61 yards on the ground and another 10 on 3-3 receiving in Week 2. Week 3 saw liftoff with 18 carries for 94 yards and a touchdown, followed by more than 20 carries each of the last two games. Judkins gained 82 yards on 21 carries in Week 4 and 110 yards on 23 carries last week. Overall, the rookie has been tremendous with 4.8 yards per rush attempt, including 2.7 yards after contact per attempt and a pair of touchdowns this season. Judkins is RB9 by points and RB3 by value on DraftKings and RB8/4 on the FanDuel slate, he is a compelling option for upside at a bit of a discount on both sites.

Jerome Ford (37.0%) and Dylan Sampson (10.0%) were greatly limited for snap share with the emergence of Judkins, they are low-end options with Ford rating far better but still falling outside of the top-35 at the running back position. Ford is a lousy option at 3.1 yards per rush attempt for the season, Sampson is worse.

Receivers & Tight Ends

David Njoku slots in as TE6 by points but TE1 by value at a cheap $3,500 on DraftKings, he is a $5,700 option who rates as TE6/5 on the FanDuel slate. Njoku caught six passes on nine targets over 29 routes in Week 5, and his biggest game of the season included his first touchdown catch of the year. Njoku is an interesting option positionally but not much more, his value will live and die on touchdown scoring. The tight end gains just 1.19 yards per route run on 32.8 routes per game this season.

Harold Fannin Jr. also fills the tight end role fairly well from this offense. Fannin Jr. has a 15.4% target share on routes run over 25.6 routes per game for the season but tied a season-low with only 18 routes run on 55 snaps last week. The tight end is the second option for targets at his position in this offense but he has seen steady involvement and should continue to be an option for the development project of a quarterback. Fannin Jr. is TE13/11 and TE10/13 across sites.

Jerry Jeudy has fallen well short of expectations this season. The receiver gains just 1.02 yards per route run over a team-leading 38.6 routes per game while drawing a limiting 16.5% target share on routes run. Jeudy has operated on a potentially tremendous 14.0-yard ADOT that amounts to a 38.77% air yards share on his targeting but has failed to score this season. Jeudy sees plenty of targets but the volume is cut down somewhat by a 66.6% catchable target rate on his deep looks. When he happens to connect, Jeudy will likely post large numbers and could bend tournament scoring, there is at least reasonable cause to expect that could happen this week against a Steelers defense that has been among the worst in football on deep pass attempts this season.

Isaiah Bond has seen a bit of additional targeting over the team’s last two games, though his production has been pedestrian at best. Bond caught three of six targets in Week 4 and just two of seven chances in last week’s game. The 58 yards the receiver gained in Week 4 were a season high and he has not found the end zone despite three red zone targets in his limited opportunities. Bond draws an 11.5% target rate on his routes with a solid 11.9-yard ADOT for 19.25% of the air yards but the lack of scoring upside has been a severely limiting factor in fantasy scoring. The receiver is not entirely at fault, he has seen just a 47.62% catchable target rate on chances this season. Isaiah Bond is WR47/46 and WR45/44 across sites in Week 6.

The Browns are Stack 19 by points but leap to Stack 9 by value with everyone checking in for a discount on DraftKings, they are more limited on FanDuel as Stack 19 by points and by value. With a bad pass defense on the other side it will be interesting to see if the team takes the training wheels off of their inexperienced quarterback or if his pass attempts remain restricted to short safe dink-and-dunk plays.

 


Dallas Cowboys

Game Total: 48.5 / DAL -3.0 (25.75)

Offense: 37.65% rush / 62.35% pass / 30.2 ppg / 5.4 ypa rush / 7.0 ypa pass

oppDEF: 4.5 ypa rush / 6.9 ypa pass / 23.8 ppg / 3.16%  sack / 2.61% int

Key Player: Dak Prescott

Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Team Group: George Pickens, Jake Ferguson, Javonte Williams (on/off), Ryan Flournoy, Jalen Tolbert

Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Opposing Group: Tetairoa McMillan, Ja’Tavion Sanders, Rico Dowdle (on/off), Hunter Renfrow, Xavier Legette

Game Notes: 

Quarterback

As three-point favorites on the upside of a 49-point game against the Panthers, who are drawing prime value marks on both sites, the Cowboys could be primed to win the day for DFS gamers. Dallas slots in with one of the better implied team totals on the slate at 26.0 points, slightly lower than their excellent 30.2-point scoring average in 2025. The Cowboys run a high octane offense that ranks fourth in the league in plays per game, with Dak Prescott throwing the ball a whopping 39.0 times per contest. Prescott is playing far better than he has gotten credit for this season, the quarterback has a completion percentage a full 8.6 points over expectation and has thrown 10 touchdowns against just three interceptions over five games with 7.0 yards per pass attempt. Prescott is a strong option in Week 6, the Cowboys draw a Panthers defense that has allowed just 6.9 yards per pass attempt to sit in the middle of the league but gains just an 8.3% pressure rate against opposing quarterbacks with five sacks on the season. Given the time to pick apart the defense and the high rate at which the Cowboys will be throwing the football, there is a clear path to slate-winning upside for the Dallas signal-caller. Dak Prescott rates as QB2 by points and QB7 by value on DraftKings while landing as QB2/3 at a lower relative FanDuel price.

Running Backs

Javonte Williams has been tremendous this season with 5.7 yards per rush attempt and a 7.59% explosive rush rate. Williams has scored five times on the ground and once in the passing attack where he sees an additional four potential touches each week. Given the 19.8 potential touches and the excellent level of production to this point, Williams is an easy option among running backs and within stacks of Cowboys. The running back rates as RB6/6 on DraftKings and RB7/10 on the FanDuel slate. Williams is coming off of 135 yards and a touchdown on 16 carries, with a second score added in the passing game on a four-yard reception against the Jets last week, he could match or beat that production against a defense that is allowing 4.5 yard per rush attempt for the season.

Jaydon Blue is the backup but he has very little appeal for fantasy scoring in Week 6. Blue carried the ball four times for seven yards on 11 snaps with the offense in his season debut in Week 5.

Receivers & Tight Ends

George Pickens has been outrageously productive over his first five weeks wearing a Cowboys star. Pickens has scored in four straight contests after a light start in Week 1, including twice while gaining 134 yards in Week 4. The receiver caught eight of 11 targets that week for season-high marks across the board but was limited to just two catches on four targets over 28 routes last week. Pickens caught two balls for 57 yards and a touchdown in that contest, the lack of volume cut into his ceiling score but not his ability to reach median projection value. Pickens had exactly five catches for 68 yards and a touchdown in both of Weeks 2 and 3 in a statistical oddity. With CeeDee Lamb out again in Week 6 there is every reason to expect another strong performance with touchdown-scoring upside from the premium receiver. George Pickens is WR4 by points and WR4 by value on DraftKings, he is WR4/3 on the FanDuel slate.

The other highly-ranked Dallas pass-catcher in Week 6 is tight end Jake Ferguson, who has three touchdown catches on the young season. Ferguson draws a 24.6% target share on routes run for the season, outstripping Pickens at 19.0% overall, though the receiver gains ground with Lamb out of action. Ferguson gains 1.73 yards per route run over 31.4 routes per contest, though he operates on just a 4.0-yard ADOT. The tight end sees regular scoring chances, he has five red zone targets in five games and will continue to draw the eye when the team approaches scoring territory. The tight end had a pair of touchdown catches in Week 5 and one in Week 4, he peaked for catches and yardage with 13 for 82 in Week 3. With KaVontae Turpin also out of action in Week 6, the condensed Cowboys passing attack should heavily focus on Ferguson once again, he is TE3/6 on DraftKings and TE3/3 on the FanDuel slate in Week 6.

In the absence of both Lamb and Turpin there are a few opportunities for Ryan Flournoy and Jalen Tolbert to find success in this passing attack. Flournoy was an emergent force in the team’s Week 5 game, putting up a season-high 114 yards on six catches over nine targets on 20 routes run and 34 snaps with the offense. By comparison, Tolbert played 46 snaps with the offense and ran 30 routes but was targeted just once and did not secure the catch. He had four catches on six targets for 61 yards the week before but has not found the end zone despite a few chances each week, including three in the red zone in early action. Between the two lower-end receivers, Flournoy is slightly more interesting if he sees anything like last week’s volume. Flournoy is WR32 by points but WR15 by value on DraftKings, he is WR29/23 on FanDuel this week. Tolbert falls outside of the top-40.

The Cowboys are one of the top offenses in fantasy football, if not in real life. Dallas scores plenty of points, the team has been among the league’s most reliable at finding the end zone and they offer several strong positional options and a strong depth chart. Dallas is Stack 2 by points and Stack 3 by value on both sites, slipping by one spot for value after the re-rank.

 


Green Bay Packers

Game Total: 45.0 / GB -15.0 (30.0)

Offense: 48.40% rush / 51.60% pass / 26.0 ppg / 3.8 ypa rush / 8.3 ypa pass

oppDEF: 4.3 ypa rush / 7.6 ypa pass / 31.2 ppg / 5.35% sack / 2.82% int

Key Player: Jordan Love

Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Team Group: Romeo Doubs, Tucker Kraft, Matthew Golden, Josh Jacobs (on/off), Dontayvion Wicks, Luke Musgrave (large field), Savion Williams (very large field)

Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Opposing Group: Ja’Marr Chase (Q), Tee Higgins, Mike Gesicki, Andrei Iosivas, Chase Brown (on/off)

Game Notes: 

Quarterback

The Packers are the largest favorites on the board in Week 6, landing at -15.0 in a 45.0-point game against the devastated Bengals. While their 30-point implied team total speaks to the possibility of upside, it is not always a direct line from such a total to DFS success in a lopsided contest. If Green Bay gets out to an early lead they may not throw the ball frequently enough to support full stack volume, for example. Volume has already been a bit of an issue for this squad in the passing game, as talented as he is, Jordan Love has held to just 26.0 pass attempts per game over the first three weeks of the season before stepping up to throw 43 passes in a shootout against Dallas in Week 4 ahead of the team’s bye. Love had his best day of the season in that game, ending in a 40-40 tie after throwing for 337 yards on 31-43 passing with three touchdowns and zero interceptions. Love has a solid group of pass-catchers and a sturdy running back, his quality is not in question but his ceiling rides entirely on reaching 35 or more pass attempts. Love has a tremendous CPOE mark 6.4 points above expectation and has thrown eight touchdowns against just one interception on the season, as long as he is allowed to throw the ball he should produce against a defense yielding a 25th-ranked 7.6 yards per pass attempt. Love is QB5 by points and QB9 by value on DraftKings, he is QB6/10 on the FanDuel slate.

Running Backs

Veteran Josh Jacobs has had three strong fantasy weeks in his four games this season. Jacobs has failed to crack 100 rush yards in a game despite significant volume but had a touchdown in each of the first two games and two in Week 4. Jacobs picked up production in the passing game in the last two appearances ahead of the bye week as well, with five catches for 44 yards on nine targets in Week 3 rescuing his overall production in that game, and a strong 71 yards on 4-4 receiving in the Dallas game. Jacobs continues to be one of the best options for volume with 20.0 carries and 3.5 targets per game overshadowing his lackluster 3.3 yards per rush attempt for 0.4 yards below expectation per attempt. Josh Jacobs is RB4 by points and RB10 by value on DraftKings, he is RB4/8 on the FanDuel slate.

There is not much volume to support realistic DFS expectations for Emanuel Wilson or Chris Brooks, though Wilson did see a season-high eight carries for 44 yards in the Dallas game.

Receivers & Tight Ends

Romeo Doubs is coming off of a gargantuan Week 4 performance that saw him find paint three times on six catches for 58 yards. The three touchdowns were a career-high for Doubs in a single contest, though his four touchdowns last season came in a pair of two-score games. The receiver is an excellent route runner who sees steady involvement in the passing game, including six chances in the red zone on the season. Doubs slightly edges out the teams rapidly emerging rookie at the wide receiver position in our rankings this week as WR23/24 and WR17/15 across DraftKings and FanDuel.

Matthew Golden has been excellent over the last two games, drawing more than 40% of the air yards but failing to find the end zone for his first career touchdown. The rookie caught five of six targets for 58 yards in Week 4 and four of four targets for 52 yards in Week 3 and, like most Packers receivers, he is a deep threat with a 13.5-yard ADOT for the season. Golden is a strong second option to Doubs, if he finds the end zone he could easily lead the deep Packers receiving group. Matthew Golden is WR25/26 and WR25/21 across sites and is very much in play in a good matchup.

Tight end Tucker Kraft is another excellent positional option as TE4/8 and TE4/6 across DraftKings and FanDuel this week. Kraft gains 1.96 yards per route run to lead the team on 28.8 routes per contest over which he draws an 18.2% target share and an 85.0% catchable target rate. Kraft is a bit of a safety valve in this offense, while the team’s wide receivers pick up and sprint downfield for big chances, Kraft works at just a 5.4-yard ADOT for 11.25% of the air yards. This can be a bit of a limiting factor in the passing game but the tight end makes up for it with significant red zone targeting, he has seen five chances in scoring territory already this season.

Dontayvion Wicks is another deep threat in the passing game. Despite seeing just four targets per game, Wicks is carrying a 27.41% air yards share over four contests. The receiver has not found the end zone but his 15.1-yard ADOT puts him in big play territory on a regular basis. Wicks caught 39 passes for 415 yards but scored five times last season, he had four touchdowns on 39 catches and 581 yards in his 2023 rookie campaign. Wicks is WR34 by points but WR21 by value on DraftKings, he is WR32/33 for less value on FanDuel, and functions best as a differentiation piece within stacks of Packers.

The Packers are Stack 5 by points and Stack 7 by value on DraftKings, they are Stack 5/9 on the FanDuel slate and land in a matchup that heavily favors offensive production. The big hope for this contest is not for the quality of the Packers stack but for Joe Flacco and his Bengals to hold up their end of the bargain so the Packers do not downshift in the second half.

 


Indianapolis Colts

Game Total: 46.0 / IND -10.0 (28.0)

Offense: 48.18% rush / 51.82% pass / 32.6 ppg / 4.4 ypa rush / 8.5 ypa pass

oppDEF: 3.9 ypa rush / 6.4 ypa pass / 19.2 ppg / 4.61% sack / 1.45% int

Key Player: Daniel Jones

Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Team Group: Jonathan Taylor (on/off), Tyler Warren, Michael Pittman Jr., Josh Downs, Alec Pierce, Ashton Dulin (large field), Adonai Mitchell (very large field)

Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Opposing Group: Trey McBride, Marvin Harrison Jr., Michael Wilson, Michael Carter, Emari Demercado

Game Notes: 

Quarterback

“If I woke up tomorrow with my head sewn to the carpet, I wouldn’t be more surprised than I am right now.” – Clark W. Griswold.

While the patriarch of the Vacation franchise was discussing the arrival of unexpected Christmas guests, his quote works just as well for the quality performance of Colts quarterback Daniel Jones over the first five games of the 2025 campaign. Jones started the season on fire for fantasy production but has cooled somewhat over the past few games in the absence of score-bolstering rushing touchdowns that were present in each of the first two games this season. While the fantasy scoring has been taking a dip, the quarterback’s play has been largely excellent throughout, he completed 20 of 29 attempts for 212 yards and a pair of touchdowns in Week 5 against the Raiders and had a 262-yard day on 24-33 passing in Week 4, though he threw his only two interceptions of the year in that matchup. The Week 5 game was the only time Jones threw more than one touchdown pass this year but he scored three rushing touchdowns over the first two games of the year and had a huge touchdown pass nullified by a stupid mistake in Week 4. Jones has posted a stellar 8.6 yards per pass attempt on 8.2 intended air yards per attempt this season, ranking him third in the league for YPA. The quarterback’s CPOE lands an excellent 6.1 points ahead of expectation for the season with steady volume at 30 pass attempts and another 3.8 carries per game. Jones is helped greatly by the presence of star running back Jonathan Taylor whose very presence draws attention from the defense and opens things up for deep chances downfield in the passing game. With several very capable deep threats in the passing game and the ability to bend the slate with his rushing attempts, Jones is a weekly consideration at this point, he is QB7 by points and QB11 by value on DraftKings and looks even better as QB7/7 on FanDuel in Week 6.

Running Backs

Jonathan Taylor is a plug-and-play option on a weekly basis. The star running back averages 5.1 yards per rush attempt and 2.7 yards after contact per attempt while carrying the rock 18.8 times per game this season, scoring six times along the way. Taylor adds another 3.6 potential touches on targeting in the passing attack each week, putting him among league leaders in the simply crucial volume category. The running back gains 7.4 yards per target and has a touchdown on the board in the passing attack, giving him seven total in just five games. The running back has been over 100 rush yards twice this season, in Weeks 2 and 3, and already has two games with three rushing touchdowns (Weeks 3 and 5). Jonathan Taylor is RB1 by points and RB7 by value on both sites this week.

Receivers & Tight Ends

Tight end Tyler Warren continues to rate well in our model as his NFL career hits its sixth week. Warren has taken over the tight end role after the Colts have utilized more of a rotation approach at the position the last few seasons. Warren was highly drafted for his role and the team has thrust him into prominence with 6.2 targets per game for a 20.7% target share on routes run over 28.0 routes per contest. Warren has rewarded his club with 2.19 yards per route run and a 17.39% explosive play rate on receptions, and finally found the end zone in Week 5. Warren is a prime positional play who should be involved in the passing attack with a bit of touchdown equity regardless of which of the team’s receivers pick up action, he makes for a strong click as the second skill player in a +2 build and can operate as a standalone play or individual pairing in skinny stacks. The main detriment will be a Cardinals defense that limits opponents to 6.4 yards per pass attempt to rank ninth overall. Tyler Warren is TE2/2 on DraftKings and TE1/2 on the FanDuel slate in Week 6.

Michael Pittman Jr. has a touchdown in three straight contests and four out of five on the season. Pittman Jr. caught five of six targets but gained just 39 yards in Week 5, a typical story for his 2025 campaign. The talented wideout has yet to crack even the 75-yard mark in a game this year, though he has drawn compelling involvement in scoring territory with six red zone targets supporting the reality of his touchdown total. Pittman Jr. gains 1.87 yards per route run on an 8.7-yard ADOT, strong production across the board, though he is not the big play nuclear bomb in the offense. Pittman has been on the receiving end of four of Daniel Jones’ six touchdown passes this season, he is a strong target in this offense and ranks as WR17/14 and WR16/12 across sites.

Josh Downs is also not that big play option. Downs works underneath even more aggressively than Pittman Jr. with just a 7.3-yard ADOT for the year amounting to 16.78% of the air yards. The receiver has not found the end zone in 2025, Daniel Jones’ six touchdown passes have been spread with one each for Taylor and Warren, and four going to Pittman Jr. While Downs is far from a forgotten man, given an 18.0% target share on routes run, he is a more limited option than Pittman, the tight end, or the team’s inexpensive low-owned deep threats. Downs is WR292/29 and WR34/37 across sites.

Alec Pierce is a field-stretcher of the first degree. Pierce has an 18.6-yard average depth of target in limited action this season, while he has yet to score, he is a big play waiting to happen and has a 22.22% explosive play rate on receptions this year. Pierce caught 37 passes for 824 yards last season, a ridiculous 22.3 yards per catch, scoring seven touchdowns and posting three games of more than 100 yards and seven plays of 40 or more yards on the season. The receiver missed Weeks 4 and 5 this year but had four catches for 68 yards in Week 2 and four more for 67 in Week 3. Alec Pierce is one of our favorite big play darts and a great way to differentiate a stack, he is also playable as a longshot dart throw at a big scoring play in standalone shares at cheap pricing and limited public exposure.

Ashton Dulin and Adonai Mitchell are similar deep threats in the passing attack, either could come through in the absence of Pierce but take a hit in his return. Dulin took a step forward with 55 yards on two catches over five targets last week with Mitchell somewhat in the doghouse after the goal line gaffe in Week 4.

The Colts are an easily playable Stack 3 by points and Stack 5 by value on DraftKings, they are Stack 3 by points and Stack 7 by value on the blue site with options at every price point and every position. The only issue in play is the so far solid play of the Arizona defense and the potential for a blowout with Jacoby Brissett taking over. The line swung an additional 2.5 points in the Colts’ favor while the game total dipped to 46.0 with the change, the Colts remain where they were previously ranked but the chance that they do not need to open the full throttle increases

 


Jacksonville Jaguars

Game Total: 47.5 / JAC -1.0 (24.25)

Offense: 44.62% rush / 55.38% pass / 25.4 ppg / 4.9 ypa rush / 6.3 ypa pass

oppDEF: 3.3 ypa rush / 7.0 ypa pass / 21.0 ppg / 6.57% sack / 3.78% int

Key Player: Trevor Lawrence

Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Team Group: Travis Etienne Jr., Brian Thomas Jr., Travis Hunter, Dyami Brown, Parker Washington, Hunter Long, Bhayshul Tuten (on/off)

Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Opposing Group: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Cooper Kupp, Kenneth Walker III, Tory Horton, Zach Charbonnet, AJ Barner

Game Notes: 

Quarterback

The Jaguars finally broke through somewhat in Week 5, with quarterback Trevor Lawrence leading the way after rating highly ahead of action on Sunday. Lawrence delivered his best fantasy performance of the season with 221 yards on 18-25 passing on the way to a touchdown pass with one interception marring the stat-line. The quarterback padding scoring in a big way with a pair of rushing touchdowns and 54 yards on 10 carries. After running the ball just eight times over the first three games, Lawrence had an encouraging 17 carries over the past two contests and could add value on the ground going forward. Given the lackluster overall passing effort this season that development would be beneficial to fantasy scoring. Lawrence averages just 6.3 yards per pass attempt and has a completion percentage that sits 5.5 points below expectation by CPOE. Lawrence has managed just six touchdown passes against five interceptions overall, though he did go over 270 yards with three touchdowns in Week 2, a game in which he gave back a few points with a pair of costly interceptions. Trevor Lawrence is a respectable QB8 by points and an excellent QB3 by value on DraftKings and looks even sharper as QB8 by points and QB1 by value on FanDuel. Lawrence will be facing a Seattle defense that has dipped to 7.0 yards allowed per pass attempt to rank just 18th while continuing to limit the run at a second-ranked 3.3 yards per rush attempt. The Jaguars are just one-point favorites, if the game plays to expectations we could be in for a shootout given the 47.5-point game total and close spread.

Running Backs

Travis Etienne Jr. is a playable piece at the running back position in spite of a stout rush defense on the other side of the trenches. Etienne Jr. gains a tremendous 5.8 yards per rush attempt on 15.4 carries per game and adds another 1.4 yards per route run over 26.0 routes on the season. The explosive running back has only been limited for scoring, putting up just two rushing touchdowns and one touchdown catch over five games. Etienne gains 2.9 yards after contact per rush attempt and 1.2 yards over expectation per attempt, he has been off to an excellent start this season but was held to just 49 yards on 12 carries in Week 5 against the Chiefs and now draws a tough matchup against Seattle. Etienne is RB11/11 and RB12/11 across sites in Week 6.

Bhayshul Tuten gains 3.8 yards per attempt on 5.0 carries per game with a Week 3 touchdown in the books but only a limited role in the offense, he has very little value for DFS scoring.

Receivers & Tight Ends

Brian Thomas Jr. has been one of the season’s biggest disappointments over five games. The second-year wide receiver was heavily drafted after a rookie campaign that saw him post 1,282 yards and 10 touchdowns on 87 catches for 9.6 yards per target. Thomas came on strong in the second half of 2024 and was expected to start the season at a similar pace, he has been far off of that mark with just 16 catches for 244 total yards while failing to score across five games. Thomas Jr. has managed just 1.4 yards per route run on 34.8 routes per contest, he still draws a 23.3% target share on those routes to lead the team by a wide margin and a 55.26% catchable target rate on those chances is a big part of the problem, but the lack of scoring is a growing concern. Brian Thomas Jr. is WR7 by points and WR8 by value on DraftKings, he dips to WR8 by points and WR16 by value on the FanDuel slate and would benefit greatly from this game turning into a true shootout. Thomas Jr. is still the top pairing with Lawrence, but that is asking for faith at this point.

Travis Hunter has slowly been coming on in recent weeks. The two-way rookie standout needs time to grow on both sides of the ball at this level but his 64 Week 5 yards were a season high on 3-3 receiving and he has big play potential given the skill set. Hunter sees an 8.9-yard ADOT over his 14.7% target share on routes run but is yet to find the end zone. The rookie pass-catcher is WR31/43 and WR37/41 across sites in Week 6, he is not an afterthought but is less than a priority, at worst he should be considered a mixer in Jaguars stacks.

Dyami Brown caught two of four targets for 15 yards in Week 5 after missing the Week 4 game in San Francisco. Brown had a five-catch Week 2 performance to bolster his otherwise lousy fantasy scoring for the season. After scoring a touchdown and gaining 57 yards in that contest, Brown has failed to crack even the 20-yard mark in two games. The receiver could see an uptick in chances with starting tight end Brenton Strange now on the IR but that did not come to fruition after Strange’s early exit last week and there is no guarantee that anything will change this week.

Hunter Long and Johnny Mundt will split tight end duties. Long caught his lone target for three yards last week but had three catches for 23 yards and a score in Week 4 and caught two passes the week before that. Mundt, meanwhile, has just two catches for 14 yards all season and runs far fewer routes. Between the two tight ends, Long should be expected to do the majority of fantasy-relevant work at the position.

The Jaguars slide to Stack 13/11 on DraftKings and Stack 13/12 on the FanDuel slate with all of the team’s pieces looking stronger in stacks than as standalone options across other lineups. Lawrence +1 or +2 builds are easy to come by and Seattle offers several interesting bring-back play pieces in what could turn into a high-scoring affair.

 


Las Vegas Raiders

Game Total: 41.5 / LV -5.0 (23.25)

Offense: 41.50% rush / 58.50% pass / 16.6 ppg / 4.4 ypa rush / 7.2 ypa pass

oppDEF: 5.0 ypa rush / 7.3 ypa pass / 28.2 ppg / 4.24% sack / 1.90% int

Key Player: Geno Smith

Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Team Group: Jakobi Meyers, Ashton Jeanty (on/off), Tre Tucker, Michael Mayer, Dont’e Thornton Jr., Raheem Mostert (on/off),

Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Opposing Group: Calvin Ridley, Elic Ayomanor, Tony Pollard, Chig Okonkwo, Tyjae Spears (on/off), Chimere Dike (on/off), Tyler Lockett (on/off)

Game Notes: 

Quarterback

The Raiders are taking on a low-end Titans team that has been destroyed both on the ground and in the passing game this week but the Raiders’ aerial attack looks to be taking a bit of a back seat to their stud rookie running back in the model for Week 6. As such, Geno Smith drops into the bottom third of our quarterback rankings despite the quality matchup. Smith will be working without star tight end Brock Bowers, which also has an impact on the offensive scheme and ceiling. The quarterback’s play has been fairly low-level this season with six touchdown passes against a ridiculous nine interceptions over five games. Smith throws for 7.2 yards per pass attempt and his completion percentage sits just 0.8 points below expectation. With a few reasonable talents in the pass-catching core, Smith can hit the board effectively from time to time but he is a limited unpredictable option. Geno Smith is QB14/14 on DraftKings and QB14/11 on the FanDuel slate.

Running Backs

Ashton Jeanty gains 4.3 yards per rush attempt on 16.4 carries per game, posting 0.1 yards over expectation per rush attempt. The rookie has a 9.76% explosive rush rate and has gained an excellent 3.0 yards after contact per attempt with an 18.29% broken tackle rate. Jeanty is involved in the passing attack as well, operating out of the backfield with a -1.9-yard ADOT, the running back has managed 4.1 yards per target and a pair of touchdown catches. Jeanty has another two scores on the ground over five weeks, peaking in Week 4 with 138 yards and a touchdown on 21 carries and another two touchdowns coming on his two catches. Jeanty has explosive potential against a rush defense that has been gouged for 5.0 yards per rush attempt to rank 28th in the league. Jeanty is a strong RB5 by points and RB4 by value on DraftKings and sits at RB5 across the board on the blue site.

Raheem Mostert saw a major boost in snap share in his second game of the season in Week 5. After missing the first three games, Mostert returned to just eight snaps in Week 4, carrying the ball four times for an excellent 62 yards and catching a pass for 11 more. Despite the increased snap count of 32, Mostert managed to gain just 22 yards on seven carries in Week 5. The running back is a mixer to poach a touchdown or break a big play, he still has plenty of talent but the job clearly belongs to Jeanty up top, rendering Mostert as at best a longshot of a dart throw at a cheap touchdown. Mostert is RB29/28 and RB30/27 across sites.

Receivers & Tight Ends

Jakobi Meyers slots into the top pass-catcher spot with Bowers out of commission in Week 6. Meyers has been underwhelming in 2025 after a strong season last year. The receiver has failed to score across five games and has been held under 100 receiving yards in every contest, despite a fairly steady stream of targets. Meyers drew double-digit targeting in the season’s first two games, outdrawing Bowers in both contests but under-producing by comparison. Meyers manages 1.74 yards per route run over 32.8 routes on the season while drawing a 66.6% catchable target rate on his 24.5% target share on those routes. With a team-leading 28.42% air yards share on a 9.4-yard ADOT, Meyers is on the board for DFS scoring potential as a third man in at wide receiver with a bit of additional ceiling if he can manage to find the end zone. Meyers had 1,027 yards and four touchdowns on 87 catches last season, he can find that quality for a week against a lousy defense.

Tre Tucker has now turned in two straight lackluster performances after exploding for three touchdowns and 145 yards in Week 3. The receiver is easily the third man up for touches in this week’s version of the offense, he drew six targets and caught four of them for 62 yards with Bowers out last week and should see similar volume. Tucker was targeted twice in the red zone in his big Week 3 game but had another scoring chance in Week 2 and one last week as well, there is reasonable potential to find the end zone with the team unafraid to call his number. Tucker is WR30/41 and WR28/35 across sites this week.

Dont’e Thornton Jr. is an inexpensive dart at a big play, he gains just 0.79 yards per route run on 23.8 routes each week but works to a 19.6-yard average depth of target that tickles the imagination. Thornton Jr. is yet to find the end zone this season but there is big play potential and he could see an additional look or two with the high-volume tight end out, though that was not the case last week with only two targets and no catches. Thornton has gone without a catch since Week 3, he has five total on the season. Jack Bech picked up his first significant action of the season last week, hauling in three of five targets for 27 yards over 20 routes run. Bech and Thornton are low-end options in a middling stack in Week 6, they function best as stack padding.

The Raiders are just Stack 14 by points and Stack 16 by value on DraftKings, they are Stack 11 by points and by value on the FanDuel slate, putting them almost exactly in the middle of the board on the blue site. Ashton Jeanty stands out as the most compelling option in projections but there is playability up and down against a bad Titans defense.

 


Los Angeles Chargers

Game Total: 43.0 / LAC -4.0 (23.5)

Offense: 37.42% rush / 62.58% pass / 19.6 ppg / 4.9  ypa rush / 7.0 ypa pass

oppDEF: 5.6 ypa rush / 8.3 ypa pass / 29.0 ppg / 7.43% sack / 0.73% int

Key Player: Justin Herbert

Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Team Group: Quentin Johnston (Q), Keenan Allen, Ladd McConkey, Kimani Vidal (on/off), Hassan Haskins (on/off), Tyler Conklin (on/off), Will Dissly (on/off)

Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Opposing Group: De’Von Achane, Jaylen Waddle, Darren Waller, Malik Washington, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine

Game Notes: Quentin Johnston is now expected to miss Week 6

Quarterback

Justin Herbert slots in as the top option for fantasy points at his position in Week 6. Herbert heads up a highly-rated stack against the league’s worst defense in Miami this Sunday. The Chargers are just four-point favorites in a game with one of the lower overall totals on the slate, it seems as though their ceiling is quite a bit higher than what Vegas is offering this week. The Dolphins are allowing 5.6 yards per rush attempt and 8.3 yards per pass this season, ranking them 30th and 31st respectively. The Chargers, meanwhile, gain 4.9 yards per rush attempt and 7.0 yards per pass, though they have managed under 20 points per game on the season. Herbert has not been the issue, the quarterback has a CPOE 2.1 points above expectation and has thrown eight touchdowns against four interceptions. While his yards per pass attempt could be a bit better, his 7.8 intended air yards per attempt suggest that stat will normalize over time. The quarterback has a trio of premium wide receivers to work with, he even managed to get Ladd McConkey into the end zone for the first time in Week 5. Herbert found Quentin Johnston in the end zone four times and Keenan Allen three times already this season, all of his touchdown passes go to three players, no one else has a target in the red zone. Herbert is a strong building block, he throws for 245.8 yards per game on 35.6 attempts, and has upside beyond a 300-yard bonus against such a bad defense and he comes with high-value stacking options. The Chargers quarterback is QB1 by points and QB5 by value on both sites this week.

Running Backs

With Omarion Hampton out of action the Chargers will look to Kimani Vidal and Hassan Haskins in Week 5, though neither is lighting up the value radar. Vidal played 14 snaps and carried the ball four times for 18 yards while catching his lone target last week while Haskins added 13 yards on five carries and caught his lone target over his 14 snaps. The two running backs are currently viewed as sharing this job, there is no real appeal outside of an incidental touchdown or stack padding, both options ranks outside of the top-20 running backs.

Receivers & Tight Ends

The wide receiver room has been excellent for Los Angeles this season. All eight of Justin Herbert’s touchdown passes have gone to his wide receivers, he has not looked for any of this week’s remaining active players while in the red zone this season. Quentin Johnston leads the room with four touchdowns and a 35.96% air yards share while drawing a 23.2% target share on 37.4 routes run per game. Johnston is the big play nuclear option for this offense, working to a 12.1-yard average depth of target that gets several yards beyond both Allen and McConkey’s typical looks. Johnston leads the group with 2.02 yards per route run but also slots in as the most expensive and probably most popular Chargers receiver. Johnston is WR9 by points and WR7 by value on DraftKings and WR6/6 on the FanDuel slate.

Keenan Allen’s seven red zone targets lead the team, Johnston is second with five and McConkey has seen three. The veteran has turned in three touchdowns and 1.84 yards per route run over 31.4 routes this season and checks in at a fair price once again. Allen draws a 24% first read share in the busy receiver group, he has a 24.9% target share on routes run to lead the group as well this season. There is quality in Allen’s 27.39% air yards share, though he works on just a 7.7 yard ADOT overall. Allen is a strong WR15/17 on DraftKings and pops for value as WR12 by points and WR7 by value on the FanDuel slate where he is as or more appealing than Johnston. The appeal of a Herbert+2 build is undeniable against an easily shredded defense.

Ladd McConkey still rates at the bottom of the group in our model, despite drawing similar opportunities to, and having just as much talent as, his veteran counterparts. McConkey caught his first touchdown of the season in Week 5, though he gained just 39 yards on the five catches he made over seven targets and 29 routes run. McConkey’s route share was down a bit, he ran 29 routes over 53 snaps last week after running 41 on 58 snaps in Week 4 and a ridiculous 55 routes on 80 snaps in Week 3’s big game against Denver. McConkey draws a 19.2% target share on a team-leading 38.0 routes per game but gains just 1.12 yards per route run thus far in 2025. The receiver has a 20.7% air yards share on his 8.4-yard ADOT, he can get down the field and remains a viable option as WR16/25 on DraftKings and WR18/18 on the FanDuel slate, giving the team three top-25 wide receiver options across the two DFS sites.

Tyler Conklin and Will Dissly slot in as low-end tight end options outside of the positional top-20. Both options are capable pass-catchers who play a fair amount of snaps but draw limited targeting and have yet to see chances in the red zone.

The Chargers are a premium option against the terrible Dolphins defense, they should post a quality DFS scoring day with slate-winning potential if Miami can keep up their end of the bargain to keep the game competitive. Los Angeles is Stack 5 by points and Stack 7 by value on the DraftKings slate, they are slightly better on FanDuel as Stack 5 in both categories. With Quentin Johnston slated to miss Week 6, the Chargers dip to Stack 8 by points and Stack 10 by value on DraftKings while holding stronger as Stack 6 by points and Stack 5 by value on FanDuel, they remain a strong option for passing gains in a more concentrated version of the offense.

 


Los Angeles Rams

Game Total: 45.0 / LAR -7.5 (26.25)

Offense: 38.92% rush / 61.08% pass / 24.6 ppg / 4.6 ypa rush / 8.2 ypa pass

oppDEF: 4.7 ypa rush / 7.1 ypa pass / 35.4 ppg / 3.06% sack / 0.53% int

Key Player: Matthew Stafford

Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Team Group: Puka Nacua, Davante Adams, Kyren Williams, Tyler Higbee, Jordan Whittington, Tutu Atwell (Q)

Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Opposing Group: Derrick Henry, Zay Flowers (Q), Mark Andrews, Rashod Bateman, DeAndre Hopkins, Isaiah Likely

Game Notes: 

Quarterback

There are two high quality teams coming out from the Coast this week, the Rams are in Baltimore against a vulnerable Ravens defense that has allowed 7.1 yards per pass attempt and 4.7 yards per rush this season. Los Angeles and quarterback Matthew Stafford are highly rated in the Week 6 model, landing as the top stack by fantasy points on both sites. Stafford is QB4 by points on both sites, he is QB10 by value on DraftKings but jumps to QB2 on the FanDuel slate. The quarterback throws 36.6 passes per game and has delivered a completion percentage 2.6 points over expectation while throwing 11 touchdowns against just two interceptions. Stafford’s 8.2 yards per pass attempt is among the top marks in the league and he ranks in the top-10 in most advanced passer metrics. The Ravens’ defense lands near the bottom of the league on a per-game basis, yielding 262.4 yards per game and 13 passing touchdowns in just five weeks. Baltimore has been torn to bits by opposing passers and Stafford has a few top-end receivers in tow, the Rams and their quarterback should shine in Week 6.

Running Backs

Kyren Williams is by far the leading option in the Rams backfield, slotting in with 16.4 rush attempts per game while Blake Corum sees just 4.8 carries each week. Williams gains a solid 4.5 yards per rush attempt this season, he has been a bit less volume dependent than he was last year, though he has just a 6.1% explosive rush rate and gains only 2.0 yards after contact per attempt. Williams has only found the end zone once on the ground this season but he has three touchdown catches on 4.2 targets per game, including five opportunities in the red zone. Given more than 20 potential touches on a weekly basis, Williams is an undeniable force for DFS scoring potential who has taken a bit of a step forward this season despite falling short of 100 rush yards in every game. Williams caught eight of 10 targets for 66 yards and a pair of touchdowns while picking up 65 yards on 14 carries in Week 5 against San Francisco, he could produce another multi-touchdown game as RB8/8 on DraftKings and RB9/13 on FanDuel.

Blake Corum played just six snaps with the offense last week, by far a season low. Corum was coming off of a season-high 22 snaps and nine carries with another four targets in Week 4 so the lack of opportunities was surprising for a popular backup waiver claim going into last weekend. Corum should return to volume more reminiscent of the Week 4 contest, particularly if the Rams are lighting up Baltimore early, but he is a low-end DFS play who would need to find paint to deliver quality. Corum is RB32/36 and RB32/31.

Receivers & Tight Ends

Wide receiver Puka Nacua seems inevitable against such a lousy pass defense. Nacua is one of the top-ranked players overall on the Week 6 slate on both sites, with even more emphasis in full-PPR scoring. The receiver draws a massive 34.6% target share on 32.6 routes urn per contest and has seen a terrific 85.5% catchable target rate over a 9.6-yard average depth of target from Stafford. Nacua has a clear connection with  his quarterback, he gains a tremendous 3.61 yards per route run and gains 4.5 yards after the catch per reception, good for 1.0 yards after the catch over expectation per reception. The only blip on the stat sheet is a glaring lack of regular touchdown scoring, despite all of the production, Nacua has found the end zone only twice in five games, putting him behind both Kyren Williams and Davante Adams and tying him with third tight end Davis Allen. Nacua is an explosive option as WR1 by points and WR2 by value on both sites this week.

Davante Adams slots in as a premium option as well, ranking as WR6 by points but WR19 by value on DraftKings and WR7 by points and 11 by value on the FanDuel slate. The veteran star has three touchdown catches over five games while posting a terrific 2.03 yards per route run over a team-leading 35.2 routes per game. With options like this, it is no wonder that Stafford is averaging 300 passing yards per game. Adams works on a team-high 12.4-yard average depth of target, good for a 37.83% air yards share. Adams is a great alternative to Nacua but he is expensive and likely to be nearly as popular as his teammate, pairing the two with Stafford creates a big but worthwhile price tag that may be the best way to put the group together for the difficulty.

Tight end Tyler Higbee has not found the end zone this season after seeing just two looks in the red zone over the first few games. Higbee gains just 0.67 yards per route run over 23.0 routes per contest, he is limited behind the team’s high-volume receiving duo and the heavy workload that Williams commands at running back. Higbee is just TE17/16 and TE18/17 but he could deliver better if he hauls in a touchdown catch for the first time this year.

Jordan Whittington and Tutu Atwell are low-end options who rate outside of the top-50 wide receivers. Atwell gains 1.52 yards per route run over 21.6 routes per game while Whittington has returned 1.03 yprr over 17.2 routes each week. Atwell has the lone touchdown between the two and has seen just a 44.4% catchable target rate from Stafford over his tremendous 18.7-yard average depth of target. Atwell is also questionable for Week 6 with a hamstring issue, there is very little appeal outside of stack padding and differentiation, in which case either option is viable.

The Rams are Stack 1 by points and Stack 6 by value on DraftKings, they are also Stack 1 by points on FanDuel while landing as Stack 4 by value at excellent price points across the skill positions. Puka Nacua stands out as an individual option but Davante Adams and Kyren Williams are equally playable in both stacks and standalone shares. The Stafford+2 build will be popular but likely to deliver in Week 6.

 


Miami Dolphins

Game Total: 43.0 / MIA +4.0 (19.5)

Offense: 36.47% rush / 63.53% pass / 21.4 ppg / 4.2 ypa rush / 6.6 ypa pass

oppDEF: 4.8 ypa rush / 6.1 ypa pass / 19.6 ppg / 8.33% sack / 1.95% int

Key Player: Tua Tagovailoa

Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Team Group: De’Von Achane, Jaylen Waddle, Darren Waller, Malik Washington, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine

Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Opposing Group: Quentin Johnston (Q), Keenan Allen, Ladd McConkey, Tyler Conklin (on/off), Will Dissly (on/off)

Game Notes: 

Quarterback

The hope with this Dolphins squad is that they can hang for long enough on a 19.5-point implied team total to press the opposing Chargers stack up the board while offering reasonable bring-back options for those lineups. The idea of stacking Dolphins around Tua Tagovailoa has far less appeal this week. Tagovailoa ranks outside of the top-15 quarterbacks in both categories on both sites, he is a limited player who has throw 10 touchdowns against four interceptions but also averages just 6.7 yards per pass attempt on a 6.9 yard intended air yards mark. Tagovailoa’s completion percentage is 1.8 percentage points over expectation on the season, he is not a bad quarterback but he is not a great creator of DFS scoring outside of the touchdown passes, with just 201.6 yards per contest. Tagovailoa is facing a Chargers defense that allows just 6.1 yards per pass attempt, third-best in the league, while limiting passers across multiple advance metrics. Tua Tagovailoa is just QB15/18 and QB15/15 across sites.

Running Backs

De’Von Achane is the go-to option from Miami again this week, including for bring-back shares in stacks of Chargers. Achane slotting in at running back but providing strong pass-catching upside from the slot is important in that role with the multiple wide receiver investments required from a Chargers stack, he is the ideal option to put on the other side of such a build. Achane gains 4.4 yards per rush attempt over 12 carries per game, though that mark lands 0.5 yards below expectation per attempt overall. The running back has a 13.3% broken tackle rate on the season but has found the end zone only once in the ground game. Achane adds another 6.4 potential touches each week with his receiver-like targeting, gaining 5.4 yads per target and finding the end zone three times in five games. Achane is RB3 by points and RB9 by value on DraftKings, he is even better as RB3 across the board on the blue site this week for just $8,100.

Ollie Gordon II checks in just outside of the top-35 running backs at a limited projection in Week 6. There is simply not much volume for the running back working behind Achane. Gordon sees just 4.2 carries per game and returns just 2.8 yards per rush attempt this season.

Receivers & Tight Ends

Jaylen Waddle turned in a quality DFS performance with 110 yards and a touchdown in Week 5 against Carolina, hauling in six of nine targets over 33 routes. Waddle is the leading option in the passing attack with Tyreek Hill gone for the season, though he has seen recent competition for opportunities from tight end Darren Waller. Waddle ranks as a playable piece both in standalone and bring-back shares, he is also a top-priority pass-catcher in any builds that center on Tagovailoa. Overall, Waddle gains 2.01 yards per route run and has seen seven red zone targets while drawing a team-high 30.5% air yards share. There is top-end potential for Waddle on any given slate, he ranks as WR11/20 on DraftKings and WR10/9 on the FanDuel slate despite the challenging matchup.

Darren Waller exploded into 2025 with two touchdowns in Week 4 against the Jets, then followed it up with another score on five catches for 78 yards in the Week 5 contest against Carolina. The veteran has already tied his touchdown-high since 2020 with three scores this season, he had nine on 1,196 receiving  yards in that 2020 campaign, the main standout season of his career. Waller is a capable pass-catcher but he is also injury prone and dealing with hip issues that have kept him limited in practice, he trails well behind both Achane and Waddle for playability both in and out of stacks but is a viable option as TE7 by points. Waller is TE10 by value on DraftKings and TE12 for points-per-dollar on the blue site.

Malik Washington drew five targets over 25 routes on 32 snaps with the offense last week, not dissimilar volume from the games prior to Tyreek Hill’s exist, despite discussions of increased involvement. Washington caught four of those five targets but gained zero yards against the Panthers for a disappointing DFS day, he rates merely as a mixer as WR37/33 and WR35/34 and has a limited ceiling on just a 4.9-yard average depth of target.

Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has a bit of big play potential, the receiver has had a surprisingly low 4.3-yard ADOT to this point in 2025 but averaged a double-digit mark over the first five seasons of his career. Westbrook-Ikhine had a huge touchdown total on limited involvement last year, finding the end zone nine times on just 32 catches in his last season in Tennessee, one big catch could put him into the low-scoring slate changer mix at a cheap price on both sites but he ranks outside of the top-5o across the board in Week 6.

The Dolphins are a mixer as Stack 6 by points but Stack 12 by value on DraftKings, they are a bit better as Stack 7 by points but 10 by value on the FanDuel slate but they probably function best as bring-back options and standalone plays with the quality of the Chargers defense likely to limit Tagovailoa’s ceiling

 


New England Patriots

Game Total: 46.0 / NE -3.5 (24.75)

Offense: 42.62% rush / 57.38% pass / 25.0 ppg / 3.7 ypa rush / 8.2 ypa pass

oppDEF: 42.94% rush / 57.06% pass / 18.4 ppg / 4.1 ypa rush / 5.6 ypa pass

Key Player: Drake Maye

Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Team Group: Stefon Diggs, Hunter Henry, Kayshon Boutte, DeMario Douglas, TreVeyon Henderson (on/off), Rhamondre Stevenson (on/off), Austin Hooper (on/off), Mack Hollins (large field)

Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Opposing Group: Chris Olave, Alvin Kamara (Q), Rashid Shaheed, Juwan Johnson, Brandin Cooks, Kendre Miller (on/off)

Game Notes: 

Quarterback

Drake Maye is having an impressive start to his 2025 season. The second-year quarterback threw for 273 yards on 22-30 passing last week but failed to throw a touchdown pass for the first time all season, he also did not run one in and was held to just 12 yards on three carries, more limited rushing than he provided over the first few contests. Overall, Maye has been a steady DFS contributor with a completion percentage that lands a significant 7.4 percentage points over expectation while throwing seven touchdowns against only two interceptions. Maye’s 8.2 yards per pass attempt come in spite of just 6.8 intended air yards per attempt, his primary receivers have been strong after the catch to pad gains. The quarterback adds 4.1 yards per rush attempt and found the end zone twice on the ground already this season. Maye’s volume should climb from the current 30.6 pass attempts per game if he continues throwing the ball this well, he ranks as QB6/6 on DraftKings and QB6/9 on the FanDuel slate against a defense yielding 7.2 yards per pass attempt to sit 20th in football.

Running Backs

The split running back situation in New England is a weekly challenge for DFS value. Rhamondre Stevenson scored twice on just seven carries for 14 yards in the Week 5 game against Buffalo but his well-documented fumble problems persisted with another ball on the ground in that game. Meanwhile, TreVeyon Henderson gained 24 yards on six carries and caught two of three targets for three yards. With Stevenson gaining just 3.7 yards per rush attempt and Henderson at 3.8, there is no real go-to option for quality on the ground. Both New England running backs are best left on the shelf until clarity emerges. Henderson is RB19/19 and RB19/17 while Stevenson is RB21/21 and RB21/22 across sites.

Receivers & Tight Ends

With Drake Maye playing well, there is a rising tide impact in the receiver room. Maye has a growing connection with veteran receiver Stefon Diggs, who had a huge 10-catch 146-yard game in Week 5 after a 6-catch 101-yard performance in Week 4. Diggs has yet to find the end zone this season but the ongoing emergence for quality is refreshing and the scoring will come. Diggs was targeted three times in the red zone in the last two games and has seen a 44.4% first-read share over the last two games while winning routes consistently. Diggs draws a New Orleans defense that has been pliable for receiver gains this season, he rates as WR12/13 on DraftKings and pops for value as WR14/5 on the FanDuel slate.

Hunter Henry has been an interesting mixer at the tight end position, drawing 5.6 targets per game and posting an excellent 2.08 yards per route run. Henry has found the end zone three times and has been targeted in the red zone seven times already this season, giving him significant weekly scoring potential. The tight end has a 9.6-yard ADOT that puts him deeper than many options at his position on the average play and has a 23.5% explosive play rate on receptions. Henry ranks as TE5 by both points and value on DraftKings, he is TE5 by points and TE4 by value on the FanDuel slate in a winnable Week 6 matchup.

DeMario Douglas, Mack Hollins, and Kayshon Boutte are involved receivers who could rank in any order on any given slate. This week we have Douglas slightly outpacing his teammates by DraftKings points, though his route totals have been all over the map this season. Douglas caught two passes for 17 yards on three targets over 15 routes last week but failed to catch a pass or draw a target while playing just eight snaps in Week 4. He played 29 snaps and ran 22 routes but caught just two of five targets for seven yards in Week 3. Douglas has provided next to nothing this season but he scored three times and caught 66 passes for 621 yards last year. Boutte, meanwhile, burst for 103 yards on six catches in Week 1 then failed to gain more than 28 yards for three games before landing at 43 yards on three catches last week. Boutte has one touchdown catch this year, it came on his lone Week 2 catch for 16 yards. The receiver draws a limiting 12.1% target share on 22.6 routes per game for 1.84 yards per route run on the season. Hollins has been the least targeted in the group with a 6.0% target share on 16.0 routes run per game but he is a deep scoring threat with two touchdowns on the board, though his ADOT has been cut in half from his career average at just 6.3 yards this season. Any of the receivers is fine to use in a stack with Maye but none of them truly separates from the group.

The Patriots are Stack 15 by points and a strong Stack 8 by value on DraftKings, they rank 14 by points on FanDuel but climb to 8th by value on that site as well. Drake Maye and his collection of inexpensive pass-catchers have a chance to stand out for value around the industry but they have gained some buzz throughout the week.

 


New Orleans Saints

Game Total: 46.0 / NO +3.5 (21.25)

Offense: 42.94% rush / 57.06% pass / 18.4 ppg / 4.1 ypa rush / 5.6 ypa pass

oppDEF: 3.5  ypa rush / 8.2 ypa pass / 20.2 ppg / 6.59% sack / 2.56% int

Key Player: Spencer Rattler

Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Team Group: Chris Olave, Alvin Kamara (Q), Rashid Shaheed, Juwan Johnson, Brandin Cooks, Kendre Miller (on/off), Taysom Hill (on/off)

Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Opposing Group: Stefon Diggs, Hunter Henry, Kayshon Boutte, DeMario Douglas, TreVeyon Henderson (on/off), Rhamondre Stevenson (on/off)

Game Notes: 

Quarterback

Spencer Rattler has weapons at his disposal but turns in limited performances on 35.4 pass attemtps per game. Rattler has thrown six touchdowns against just one interception on the season but gains just 5.6 yards per pass attempt on 7.0 intended air yards per attempt. The quarterback’s completion percentage is slightly better than expectation but he has not thrown for more than 225 yards on the season and has just one multi-touchdown game in five weeks. That 207-yard three-touchdown performance came in Week 2 against the 49ers, with Rattler completing 25 of 34 pass attempts for what could stand as his best game all season. Rattler sees a New England defense that has allowed opponents to cut them up for 8.2 yards per pass attempt, just 28th in football, he could find quality at a cheap price and is somewhat interesting for value stacking against this defense. Rattler is a limited QB11 on both sites by raw fantasy point projections, he is QB2 by value on DraftKings and QB4 by value on FanDuel at just $4,700 and $6,600 respectively.

Running Backs

Alvin Kamara has been losing opportunities on the ground while failing to produce much quality in the rushing attack over the first few weeks of 2025. Kamara gains just 3.9 yards per rush attempt on 14.6 carries per game this season but his carries dipped for three straight games, first dropping from 21 in Week 2 to 18 in Week 3, then 15 in Week 4, before cratering at just eight carries for 27 yards in Week 5 against an entirely gettable Giants defense. The Saints still target Kamara aggressively in the pass game, he saw six targets and caught four of them against the Giants last week and averages 4.2 targets per game with five chances in the red zone in five games. Kamara has just one touchdown on the season but retains a bit of multi-score slate-breaking upside. The veteran is RB14/13 and RB14/16 across sites this week.

Kendre Miller has gained ground while gaining yards as Kamar loses his iron grip on the backfield. Miller picks up 4.3 yards per rush attempt with a 15.79% broken tackle rate and a single touchdown on the season. While Miller remains the more limited option for volume, he did see double-digit carries in each of the last two games, gaining 65 yards and scoring on 11 carries in Week 4 and 41 yards on 10 chances last week. Miller is RB24 across the board on both sites this week.

Receivers & Tight Ends

Chris Olave is a volume and PPR scoring monster game waiting to happen. Olave has seen double-digit targeting in four of five games this season, drawing an average of 10.8 looks per game for a 31.4% target share on 37.2 routes run per game. Olave gains just 1.31 yards per route run and has just one touchdown this season but part of the blame can be placed on Rattler with a 64.81% catchable target rate on Olave’s chances. The wide receiver can rack up DFS points on both sites without finding the end zone, the touchdown is more important to the FanDuel slate but would be a crucial difference-maker taking the receiver from his stable floor to his high ceiling. Chris Olave is WR10 by points but WR1 by value on DraftKings, he is WR11 by points and WR1 by value on the blue site this week.

Rashid Shaheed slots in as a prime value target on the DraftKings slate where he rates as WR24 by points but WR5 by value. Shaheed is WR24 by points and WR17 by value on the FanDuel slate, where he has significant playability but dips in overall appeal by comparison to the standout DraftKings value. Shaheed caught his second touchdown of the season last week, with 87 of his 114 total yards coming on his big scoring play. The receiver is an excellent deep threat who gets out to an 11.2-yard average depth of target for a 27.38% air yards share on six targets per game. Shaheed an important consideration within stacks built around Rattler and he is in play for discounted standalone shares at fair-to-appealing prices.

Juwan Johnson is an affordable tight end option who picks up 7.0 targets per game but gains just 1.3 yards per route run over 34.0 routes each week. Johnson has a single touchdown on the board this season and has slipped in production over the past few games after a strong start. After seeing 12 targets in Week 1, nine in Week 2, and eight in Week 3, Johnson has just seven combined targets over the past two games. The tight end is also facing a bit of positional competition with Taysom Hill back in the mix when the team is in the red zone. Juwan Johnson slots in as TE8 by points but TE3 by value on the DraftKings slate, he is TE9 by points and TE7 by value on FanDuel and probably needs a touchdown to make true value on either site.

Brandin Cooks, Taysom Hill, and Devaughn Vele are just mixers for differentiation behind the heavy volume top of the depth chart. Cooks runs 32.2 routes per game to easily lead the group but draws just a 9.3% target share and has yet to score while gaining just 0.64 yards per route run.

The Saints look like a strong value consideration on both sites against a compliant Patriots defense, they could provide excellent cheap upside for DFS scoring while remaining a bit under-appreciated in the public eye. At worst, there are quality standalone plays on this roster. New Orleans is Stack 10 by points but Stack 1 by value on DraftKings, they are Stack 12 by points and Stack 6 by value on FanDuel.

 


Pittsburgh Steelers

Game Total: 38.5 / PIT +6.0 (21.75)

Offense: 44.65% rush / 55.35% pass / 24.0 ppg / 3.3 ypa rush / 7.3 ypa pass

oppDEF: 3.0 ypa rush / 6.9 ypa pass / 24.6 ppg / 9.15% sack / 1.44% int

Key Player: Aaron Rodgers

Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Team Group: DK Metcalf, Calvin Austin III, Pat Freiermuth (on/off), Jonnu Smith (on/off), Jaylen Warren (on/off), Kenneth Gainwell (on/off), Roman Wilson (large field), Darnell Washington (large field)

Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Opposing Group: Quinshon Judkins, David Njoku, Jerry Jeudy, Harold Fannin Jr., Isaiah Bond

Game Notes: Calvin Austin III is out.

Quarterback

An early bye week in the schedule was no favor to 41-year-old Steelers quarterback Aaron Rodgers, who has been limited over his first four games of 2025. Rodgers popped in his first Steelers game, throwing for 244 yards and four touchdowns on 22-30 passing against the Jets in Week 1, he has four total touchdown passes and three interceptions in three games since. Rodgers has failed to crack the 250-yard mark this season, he threw for 203, 139, and 200 yards in the three games after the interesting Week 1 performance. The veteran signal-caller will spike a few quality days as the season goes on but he is facing a Cleveland defense that has been sturdy-to-good early this season with 6.9 yards allowed per pass attempt and 14 sacks in five games. Rodgers is averaging just 196.5 yards per game and 7.3 per pass attempt with an extremely limiting 4.7 intended air yards per attempt on the year and a completion percentage that sits 1.6 points ahead of expectation on the easy targets. Aaron Rodgers is QB17/19 on DraftKings and QB17/18 on FanDuel and has very little appeal this week.

Running Backs

Jaylen Warren has failed to gain even 50 yards in a game this season. The running back carried the ball 18 times for 47 yards in Week 3 before missing the team’s Week 4 contest, a game in which Kenneth Gainwell looked tremendous with 19 carries for 99 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Gainwell added 35 yards on 6-6 receiving to get well over 100 yards from scrimmage in the contest, his 4.4 yards per rush attempt far outpace the 3.1 yards per attempt that Warren has gained on the year, and Gainwell has three rushing touchdowns to Warren’s zero. With the running backs sharing a role with limited ability to produce, neither is truly appealing. Gainwell could emerge as a value if Warren sits again, but that is less likely with the latter logging full practices late in the week. Warren is just RB15/15 and RB15/16 across sites.

Receivers & Tight Ends

DK Metcalf leads the Steelers receivers in rankings for Week 6, the veteran is pacing the team with three touchdown catches on a 25.84% air yards share and 21.2% target share over his team-leading 28.3 routes run per contest. Metcalf gains an excellent 2.31 yards per route run for the season while operating on a 6.4-yard average depth of target and his gains after the catch have been tremendous. Over four games, Metcalf has gained 13.3 yards after the catch per reception, good for 7.1 yards after the catch over expectation per reception. With Calvin Austin III now out for Week 6, there should be even more upside available for Metcalf to lead the way. The receiver rates as WR14 by points and WR10 by value on DraftKings and WR15/25 on FanDuel prior to updating to account for Austin’s absence.

Ben Skowronek played 18 snaps and ran eight routes in Week 4, he could see a few more chances in Week 6 with Austin out. The receiver’s lone catch this season went for 22 yards and a touchdown in Week 1 against the Jets, that type of performance should remain the expectation with the potential for an additional catch or two if things break well. Skowronek is a low-end option for value.

Scott Miller and Roman Wilson are even lesser options from down the depth chart, there is not much quality in play. Miller has drawn one target on 24 routes run across four games this year while Wilson played just three snaps in Week 4 and nine in Week 3 after running 15 routes over 22 snaps in Week 2.

The Steelers are a lousy option as Stack 18 by points and Stack 20 by value on DraftKings, they are slightly improved to Stack 18/18 on the FanDuel slate but provide little reason for optimism

 


Seattle Seahawks

Game Total: 47.5 / SEA +1.0 (23.25)

Offense: 50.0% rush / 50.0% pass / 29.2 ppg / 4.0 ypa rush / 9.2 ypa pass

oppDEF: 4.6 ypa rush / 6.6 ypa pass / 20.0 ppg / 3.43% sack / 5.08% int

Key Player: Sam Darnold

Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Team Group: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Cooper Kupp, Tory Horton, Kenneth Walker III (on/off), Zach Charbonnet (on/off), AJ Barner (on/off), Elijah Arroyo (on/off), Jake Bobo (large field)

Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Opposing Group: Travis Etienne Jr., Brian Thomas Jr., Travis Hunter, Dyami Brown, Hunter Long, Parker Washington

Game Notes: 

Quarterback

Sam Darnold responded perfectly to being labeled one of our favorite “Above” options in last week’s content. Darnold has played well throughout the season, even though it was not fully on display in his game logs. The quarterback exploded for 341 yards and four touchdown passes on 28-34 passing against the Buccaneers last weekend, delivering a slate-bending performance that helped his top receiver to better than 100 yards with another touchdown. Darnold threw a season-high 34 passes in that matchup, the second time this season he was allowed to throw more than 30 passes in a game. If the Seahawks keep the handcuffs off the quarterback could deliver another good performance, though the Jacksonville pass defense has limited opponents to just 6.6 yards per attempt to rank 10th overall but has been more exposed on a per-game basis. Darnold’s 9.3 yards per pass attempt sits atop the league this season, he also rates highly in advanced passing metrics and checks in with a completion percentage that sits 10.5 points over expectation. Sam Darnold is QB10 by points and QB8 by value on DraftKings, he is QB10/13 across the FanDuel slate at a higher relative price-point.

Running Backs

With Darnold slinging the ball around last week, Kenneth Walker was limited to just 10 carries but still gained a terrific 86 yards, he caught one pass for no gain but also failed to score for the second week in a row. Walker is a steady contributor of fantasy points but he typically will only truly make value if he finds the end zone, a feat that can get challenging if the team leans into the passing game again this week. Walker also sees a bit of a check on expectations from the ongoing presence of capable Zach Charbonnet, who drew nine carries and gained 36 yards on the ground last week while scoring a touchdown for the second straight game. The two running backs are loosely playable but they cut into one another’s production and the passing game remains a bit more interesting. Walker is still the lead option as RB16/20 and RB17/21 to Charbonnet’s RB20/18 and RB20/19 but there is not a standout play in the Seattle backfield for DFS this week.

Receivers & Tight Ends

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has simply been the best receiver in the league this season with an outrageous 4.14 yards per route run over 25.8 routes per game. “JSN” caught eight passes for 132 yards and a touchdown, his second of the year, in the big Week 5 game, he has been over 100 receiving yards in three of five contests this season and just missed that mark with 96 yards and his first touchdown of the year in Week 3. Smith-Njigba is a premium option on any given slate, he is easily the most appealing pairing with Darnold, and will continue to dominate opportunities in the passing attack. “JSN” has a 33.1% target share and 45.61% air yards share this season, he is a virtual lock for production when stacking Seattle skill players.

While Cooper Kupp did not blow up alongside his teammates, he did post another serviceable game that is encouraging for go-forward value. The receiver’s glaring flaw is that he has not been in the end zone on the receiving end of a touchdown pass from Darnold this season, he has otherwise drawn steady volume on regular involvement as the clear number two in the passing attack. Kupp sees a 22.3% target share over 25.4 routes run per game, essentially doubling the target share of any of the team’s remaining pass-catchers. Kupp gains 1.74 yards per route run for the season but operates on just a 5.4-yard ADOT that demands he break a big play to reach paydirt most of the time. The veteran has drawn two opportunities in the red zone on the season, he should continue to see the odd scoring chance and remains a far lower-owned angle into the Seattle stack as WR26/11 on DraftKings and WR26/20 on FanDuel.

Tory Horton ran 16 routes on 29 snaps in Week 5 but caught three of four targets for 39 yards and a touchdown in another productive performance. Horton has three touchdowns on the season but has not caught more than three passes or gained more than those 39 yards in a game this year. Horton remains a touchdown-dependent differentiation option at a cheap price in Seattle stacks, if he does not find the end zone he will not have the volume to make value as WR39/44 and WR40/36.

AJ Barner has been on a roll in 2025, scoring in Week 2, again in Week 4, and twice last week. The tight end saw a season-high seven targets over 20 routes run last week, catching every pass for 53 yards and the pair of scores. The second-year man is coming off of 245 yards and four touchdowns on 30-36 receiving as a rookie last season, putting him well on pace to shatter those marks. As long as he keeps seeing red zone chances – he has five in five games – the tight end should remain a valuable contributor in Seahawks stacks and is more interesting than Elijah Arroyo this week. Barner is TE16/22 and TE15/18 but has a visibly higher ceiling.

The Seahawks are Stack 7 by points and Stack 13 by value on DraftKings while sitting in slightly worse position where receptions count for less as Stack 9 by points and Stack 15 by value on the FanDuel slate, they play best between Darnold and Jaxon Smith-Njigba, the two obvious answers in this offense, but adding Cooper Kupp or one of the other solid skill options to the mix will create plenty of value-based differentiation to get away from popular builds

 


San Francisco 49ers

Game Total: 47.5 / SF +3.0 (22.25)

Offense: 39.94% rush / 60.06% pass / 21.2 ppg / 3.1 ypa rush / 7.4 ypa pass

oppDEF: 3.8 ypa rush / 7.3 ypa pass / 26.4 ppg / 5.88% sack / 1.25% int

Key Player: Mac Jones (Q)

Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Team Group: Christian McCaffrey, Ricky Pearsall, Jauan Jennings (Q), Kendrick Bourne, Demarcus Robinson, Brian Robinson Jr. (on/off), Kyle Juszczyk (on/off)

Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Opposing Group: Emeka Egbuka, Rachaad White, Cade Otton, Sterling Shepard, Tez Johnson, Sean Tucker (on/off)

Game Notes: Ricky Pearsall is out. Jauan Jennings is expected to play.

Quarterback

The banged-up 49ers expect to have Mac Jones available for Sunday, if they do not things get significantly worse for the mid-board stack. Jones has provided capable play in his three starts this season but is dealing with knee and oblique injuries. The quarterback has seen outstanding volume in his three games, throwing the ball 43.0 times per game for 301.67 yards per game but 7.0 yards per pass attempt overall. Jones has six touchdown passes against just one interception for the season but he will be dealing with a depleted receiving group that has already lost Ricky Pearsall for Week 6. Jones is QB12/15 and QB12/16 across sites this week.

Running Backs

Christian McCaffrey is the go-to option in all scenarios for the 49ers offense in Week 6, despite a Tampa Bay offense that has held opponents to just 3.8 yards per rush attempt to rank sixth in the league this season. McCaffrey gains just 3.1 yards per rush attempt this season but sees steady chances with 18.2 carries and added upside in the passing game each week. The running back has been held 1.0 yards below expectation per rush attempt and has not scored on the ground this season but his three receiving touchdowns and 7.4 yards per target on 10.4 targets per game give him nearly unrivaled potential touches each week. Even with the dip in production, McCaffrey remains an easy click for DFS scoring, he is RB2 by points but RB12 by value on DraftKings and RB2/9 on the FanDuel slate.

Receivers & Tight Ends

Jauan Jennings got limited practices in on both Thursday and Friday to end the practice week as a questionable option on the injury report. Jennings is working through an ankle injury that held him out of Week 5, he also missed the Week 3 contest against the Cardinals and was limited for production in the three games he did play this year. Jennings caught just two of five targets over 22 routes in Week 1 before putting up a solid day in Week 2 with five catches on 10 targets for 89 yards and a score. Over 47 snaps with the offense in his most recent game, Jennings drew four targets on 29 routes run but caught just two passes for 24 yards. The receiver will lead this group if he is active, he is WR27/23 and WR27/32 ahead of an update to remove Pearsall, he will climb the rankings somewhat in the forthcoming update.

Kendrick Bourne is likely to step up for opportunities with or without Jennings, and could become a crucial value option at just $5,000/$5,700 if Jennings fails to play. Bourne sees upside simply by virtue of being the last man standing, his 12.3% target share on 33.0 routes per game fails to inspire, as do his 7.8-yard ADOT and 13.49% air yards share. Bourne is ranked outside of the top-50 ahead of the update but will gain ground as projections change on Saturday afternoon.

Demarcus Robinson is another limited veteran receiver who currently rates poorly but will pick up a bit of potential depending on the configuration of the offense going into Sunday. Robinson played a whopping 73 snaps with the offense against the Rams last week, gaining 39 yards on three catches while drawing seven targets over 39 routes run. Robinson has a 13.4-yard ADOT on the season, putting him in familiar big play territory on a regular basis, he could find a cheap touchdown to get into the third receiver mix in Week 6.

Jake Tonges has provided interesting upside at tight end in the absence of star George Kittle and could continue his unheralded production in Week 6. Tonges gained 41 yards and scored for the second-straight week in last week’s matchup against the Rams, catching seven of 11 targets, both season-high marks. Tonges is a third-year player who came into the season with zero career catches, the production is a pleasant surprise for the fill-in, he is TE11/18 on DraftKings and TE8/11 on FanDuel this week.

The 49ers are Stack 9 by points but Stack 18 by value on DraftKings, they are Stack 8 by points and Stack 13 by value on the FanDuel slate with the missing pieces taking their toll on projections. San Francisco has a difficult path to success as a stack while providing more playability in standalone roles

 


Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Game Total: 47.5 / TB -3.0 (25.25)

Offense: 43.08% rush / 56.92% pass / 27.0 ppg / 4.0 ypa rush / 7.5 ypa pass

oppDEF: 4.1 ypa rush / 6.3 ypa pass / 19.6 ppg / 3.41% sack / 0.0% int

Key Player: Baker Mayfield

Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Team Group: Emeka Egbuka, Rachaad White, Cade Otton, Sterling Shepard, Tez Johnson, Sean Tucker (on/off)

Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Opposing Group: Christian McCaffrey, Ricky Pearsall, Jauan Jennings (Q), Kendrick Bourne, Demarcus Robinson

Game Notes: 

Quarterback

Baker Mayfield leads an indefatigable Buccaneers team that keeps taking punches while continuing to produce. The Bucs beat Sam Darnold on his big Sunday in a 38-35 shootout that this space was all over for DFS scoring potential. Baker Mayfield was tremendous with 379 passing yards while completing a ridiculous 29 of 33 attempts against a good pass defense. The Tampa Bay quarterback threw two touchdown passes for the second straight week and third in the last four, he had three touchdowns in Week 1 and a season-low one in Week 3 against the Jets. Mayfield gains 7.5 yards per pass attempt and has a completion percentage 3.5 points over expectation for the year while throwing for 8.3 intended air yards per attempt with 10 touchdowns against just one interception in a strong start to his 2025. The quarterback has developed an immediate connection with rookie wide receiver Emeka Egbuka, which will be invaluable with both Mike Evans and Chris Godwin Jr. out in Week 6. Mayfield is QB3 by points on both sites but he dips to QB13 by value on DraftKings and QB6 by value on FanDuel at the top of a highly-rated stack.

Running Backs

Rachaad White will lead the Tampa Bay backfield again, with Bucky Irving sitting out again this week. White stepped into the lead role like nothing ever changed last weekend, posting a good performance with 41 yards on 14 carries and another 30 on 4-4 receiving, his two rushing touchdowns put the game well over the top as a must-have value even at heavy public popularity. White will be no secret this week, he draws a reasonable matchup with the 49ers allowing 4.1 yards per rush attempt and dropping to a bottom-10 mark for yards before contact per attempt and missed tackles. White’s steady involvement in the passing game is a given, he pads full PPR scoring nicely but the cheap touches are of interest on both sites and the capable running back is RB10 by points and 5 by value on DraftKings while landing at RB10/6 on the FanDuel board.

Sean Tucker was an afterthought on 13 snaps last weekend, carrying the ball three times for three yards and losing four yards on his three catches. White is the clear option at running back when looking in the Buccaneers’ direction.

Receivers & Tight Ends

Emeka Egbuka is a top contender for rookie of the year honors after five weeks, he had a career-high 163 yards in his fifth game in Seattle last weekend, scoring his fifth touchdown of the year and second in as many weeks. Egbuka has been over 100 yards in each of the last two contests and sees regular involvement with seven or more targets in every game from Week 2 through 5. The rookie gains an outstanding 2.45 yards per route run on a group-leading 36.4 routes per game with an average depth of target of 13.8 yards putting him in big play territory with regularity. Egbuka is the clear top receiver on a limited version of the depth chart, he is WR2 by points and WR3 by value on DraftKings this week and is similarly appealing as WR2/4 on FanDuel.

Sterling Shepard should see value-based upside again this weekend with two far better receivers out of play. Shepard caught four passes for 24 yards over his  17 routes on 24 snaps last week, scoring his first touchdown of the season in the process. The receiver’s work was actually a step backward overall, his snap and route totals were both season lows representing about half of his normal involvement. Shepard gains 1.28 yards per route run on 14.5% targeting over his 29.8 routes per game, he is less involved than the team’s tight end Cade Otton, who could offer lower-owned scoring potential this week. Shepard is WR35/30 and WR31/26 across sites.

Cade Otton is TE9 by points and TE7 by value on DraftKings and TE12/9 on the FanDuel slate. Otton has not scored in the productive passing attack in 2025 but he did see a season-high five targets over 22 routes last week, catching four of them for 81 yards. Otton runs 35.6 routes per game, second on the roster this week, but draws just a 9.7% target rate on a 7.61% air yards share. The tight end needs to find the end zone to truly produce, he has one target in the red zone and scored four times in this offense in each of the last two seasons. There is value here and if Otton falls behind the wide receivers not named Egbuka this week he gains a bit of value in large field GPP play.

Rookie Tez Johnson was drafted in the 7th round but finds himself suddenly involved in the Tampa Bay offense with the team’s top receivers out of action. Johnson stepped into the fray in Week 4, playing 23 snaps and drawing one target on 12 routes run, he was far more involved last weekend with four catches for 59 yards on four targets over just 16 routes run. Johnson will probably remain limited to fewer than 20 routes run in Week 6 but he could post similar numbers to last week and would bend things quickly with a low-owned touchdown. Johnson is a mixer to fill out +2 Bucs builds, he is less appealing as a standalone dart from WR45/37 and WR38/27 across sites.

Tampa Bay rates as a strong option despite the missing pieces, they are Stack 4 by points and by value on DraftKings while ranking as Stack 4 by points and leaping to Stack 1 by value on the FanDuel slate in Week 6. Mayfield+2 stacks that include Egbuka with any of the other pass-catchers or Rachaad White are appealing, any build that does not use Egbuka is immediately differentiated from the common approach.

 


Tennessee Titans

Game Total: 41.5 / TEN +5.0 (18.25)

Offense: 37.97% rush / 62.03% pass / 14.6 ppg / 3.8 ypa rush / 5.4 ypa pass

oppDEF: 4.0 ypa rush / 7.2  ypa pass / 27.8 ppg / 4.68% sack / 1.23% int

Key Player: Cam Ward

Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Team Group: Calvin Ridley, Elic Ayomanor, Tony Pollard (on/off), Chig Okonkwo, Tyjae Spears (on/off), Chimere Dike, Tyler Lockett

Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)

Opposing Group: Ahston Jeanty, Jakobi Meyers, Tre Tucker, Michael Mayer, Dont’e Thornton Jr., Raheem Mostert

Game Notes: 

Quarterback

Titans quarterback Cam Ward won his first NFL game despite playing pretty poorly again last week. Ward threw 39 passes, completing 21 of them for 265 yards, a new career high, but he did not throw a touchdown and lost an interception to the Cardinals defense. Ward has two touchdown passes against three interceptions over the first five games of his career and has added no production in the rushing game. The quarterback averages just 175.8 yards per game and an anemic 5.4 yards per attempt on the season while completing passes 7.1 percentage points below expectation per CPOE. Ward has been brutal to start his career, he is the limiting factor in an offense that could otherwise find a bit of value around talented skill players. Cam Ward is QB18/17 and QB19/19 with no reason to believe that a breakout will come against a middling Raiders defense.

Running Backs

Tony Pollard gains 4.0 yards per rush attempt but has been bottled up for explosive runs and gains just 1.8 yards after contact per attempt on the year. The running back has a pair of rushing touchdowns but will be facing a defense that allows just 4.0 yards per attempt to rank ninth in the league. Pollard picks up a few more potential touches with 2.4 targets per game but has not delivered much in the passing attack with 5.5 yards per target and zero touchdowns. Pollard is RB12 by points but RB2 by value at just $5,500 on DraftKings, he is RB13 by points and RB2 by value at $6,000 on FanDuel this week.

Tyjae Spears played just 17 snaps and carried the ball four times while adding 10 routes but failing to draw a target in his first game back last weekend, he should continue to be eased back into action and lacks appeal for DFS scoring this week.

Receivers & Tight Ends

Calvin Ridley is WR22 by points but WR9 by value on DraftKings, he is WR20 by points and WR10 by value on the FanDuel slate to give him potential for cheap scoring on both sites. Ridley gains 1.75 yards per route run over 31.0 routes per contest this season, hauling in 3.0 catches per game on 6.8 targets. Considering that his targets are delivered with just a 55.9% catchable target rate, that is not bad production. Ridley has a massive 46.67% explosive play rate on receptions and a team-leading 34.63% air yards share. The veteran has not found the end zone this season but few have with Ward throwing passes. Ridley remains a viable option who is mostly limited by his quarterback’s play.

Elic Ayomanor is the only one to benefit from Cam Ward touchdown passes this season, he has two touchdown catches in five games and has seen regular involvement with 5.8 targets per game and three red zone chances. Ayomanor’s 19.3% target share on 30.6 routes run is second on the team but he is also seeing limitation from the quality of his chances with Ward delivering just a 51.72% catchable target rate. Ayomanor is WR40/42 and WR39/40 and lives on the fringes of playability in Week 6.

Chig Okonkwo is TE14/15 and TE16/15 across sites, he is of limited appeal with 4.8 targets per game for 1.32 yards per route run over 26.0 routes per game. Okonkwo, like most, has failed to hit paydirt in the passing game but he is at least a regular target who benefits from a short 4.3-yard ADOT that helps Ward to a 79.17% catchable target rate. Okonkwo is a dart throw at best in Week 6.

Tyler Lockett is a cheap veteran receiver who has seen just 3.2 targets per game, gaining a mere 0.45 yards per route run over 23.0 routes per contest. Lockett has drawn just a 10.7% target share on routes run with a 50.0% catchable target rate, even with a better quarterback we may simply have found ourselves at the end of the line with the formerly productive receiver, with Ward at the wheel, there is virtually no appeal.

The Titans are the bottom of the board as Stack 20 by points on both sites this week, they climb slightly by value as Stack 15 on DraftKings and Stack 14 on FanDuel, they lack appeal in most facets of DFS but Tony Pollard pops for running back value and Calvin Ridley has a bit of potential to provide an explosive scoring play.

 


Follow Us on Twitter. Join us in Discord. Subscribe to the YouTube Channel.

Share this with...

Content Creator:
RECENT RELATED CONTENT