This article focuses on building lineups with a quality foundation by utilizing the powerful Groups and Rules/Limits tools within the industry’s optimization tools. All of the concepts and pairings included below can also apply to hand-building. The goal is to create lineups with strong correlations among likely point-scorers to maximize the gains from infrequent scoring events within stacks while limiting the likelihood of building inefficient or negatively correlated entries for a full slate of NFL DFS lineups.
This video was made in a former life and features a detailed demonstration of how to apply these concepts in one leading optimizer tool: Fantasy Cruncher – How-To Video
All references to Sims were done via friends of the site: acemind.io
Don’t miss the Above/Below feature article for a few of our top picks, coming Sunday morning
Game notes are updated during the week and initially posted as “work in progress” as they take a long time to create, if teams are missing notes simply check back later in the day/week and they should be updated.
2025 Week 11 DraftKings & FanDuel NFL DFS Stack Rankings
The following stack rankings were created by pairing each team quarterback with his top three scoring options, whether they are three wide receivers, two wide receivers and a tight end, a wide receiver, tight end, and running back, or any viable combination. In some cases, an expensive running back can push the overall price point of his team stack in the value rankings.
| TEAM | OPP | FD$ | FDpRank | FDvalRank | DK$ | DkpRank | DKvalRank | Vegas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | LAR | $27,400 | 10 | 6 | $24,500 | 10 | 17 | 16 |
| ATL | SEA | $26,700 | 13 | 14 | $22,000 | 13 | 11 | 16 |
| BAL | PIT | $29,400 | 9 | 13 | $24,400 | 9 | 15 | 6 |
| BUF | CIN | $30,200 | 2 | 2 | $25,100 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| CHI | GB | $25,900 | 19 | 18 | $21,700 | 19 | 20 | 16 |
| CIN | BUF | $31,600 | 3 | 10 | $27,600 | 2 | 6 | 9 |
| CLE | TEN | $25,200 | 21 | 21 | $18,700 | 21 | 16 | 14 |
| DEN | LV | $26,900 | 11 | 9 | $22,900 | 12 | 13 | 7 |
| GB | CHI | $28,000 | 5 | 1 | $22,800 | 7 | 1 | 3 |
| IND | JAC | $29,500 | 4 | 3 | $25,900 | 4 | 9 | 8 |
| JAC | IND | $26,400 | 12 | 11 | $23,300 | 11 | 14 | 11 |
| LAR | ARI | $34,100 | 1 | 4 | $29,900 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| LV | DEN | $26,100 | 18 | 17 | $21,100 | 17 | 18 | 21 |
| MIA | NYJ | $28,000 | 8 | 5 | $24,600 | 8 | 8 | 12 |
| MIN | WAS | $26,500 | 16 | 16 | $21,800 | 15 | 19 | 10 |
| NO | TB | $25,600 | 17 | 15 | $20,200 | 18 | 12 | 20 |
| NYJ | MIA | $25,900 | 14 | 12 | $20,500 | 16 | 10 | 14 |
| PIT | BAL | $26,400 | 20 | 20 | $21,500 | 20 | 21 | 19 |
| SEA | ATL | $29,900 | 6 | 8 | $25,200 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| TB | NO | $29,300 | 7 | 7 | $24,400 | 6 | 3 | 5 |
| TEN | CLE | $22,300 | 22 | 22 | $17,800 | 22 | 22 | 22 |
| WAS | MIN | $28,500 | 15 | 19 | $21,200 | 14 | 7 | 13 |
Week 11 DraftKings & FanDuel NFL DFS Stacks & Optimizer Groups
Overview
Rules and limits are powerful tools for lineup creation for NFL DFS where our primary focus is creating highly correlated lineups via stacking players from the same game. Lineups will typically be coordinated around the quarterback selection, which informs at least one pass-catcher choice, establishes a budget, eliminates a defense, and sets the tone for the lineup. We will typically look to correlate a quarterback and at least one of his pass-catchers in every lineup, with many of those including a skill player from the opposing team. This player is included to support the stack in a high-scoring game that drives offense on both sides, creating additional correlated scoring potential. Stacking multiple pass-catchers in the same lineup is a sound approach, though there are typically overall ceilings on how much volume is available at any given position. While pass-catching running backs can be prioritized in stacks and group tools, including running backs who are not involved in the passing game is less important at this stage, they will fall naturally into shares as needed. High-volume backs and pass catchers out of the backfield can be included in the groups utilized below, but it is frequently not necessary to do so with the very best players, they arrive in lineups without help.
Rules and limits are typically applied in an optimizer’s Advanced Options menu. Notes are included to illustrate the reasons behind each rule and explain what it does during the lineup creation process. These settings can typically be saved for re-use, which is highly recommended. Saving the groups created below is also a good idea that will save time with updates instead of recreation each week. These groups are created manually, but most optimizers include automated group creators that can help accelerate the curation process.
DraftKings + FanDuel Settings & Advanced Options
Note – Terminology may vary from site to site but these are common functions across most industry tools.
Unique Players Per Lineup– This setting forces the optimizer to utilize at least X new players who were not in Lineup 1 when it creates Lineup 2, and so on. We recommend a setting of at least two unique players, more can be applied depending on the degree of differentiation desired within lineups.
Team Salary– a minimum or maximum salary spend can be applied here as needed, although leaving salary on the table is an easy path toward creating unique lineups while not necessarily making a negative expected value play.
FLEX position– allows restrictions on what positions can be rostered at the FLEX spot. The primary position to restrict is the tight end so that lineups do not include two players from the position. In many industry tools this is a separate option via a checkbox, it can also be handled specifically within groups.
Global Exposure Setting – allows caps on the maximum percentage of lineups a player can appear in within a given pool of lineup construction. This is a powerful tool for shaping lineups but if settings are too low, attempts to build a full set will fall short due to a lack of available players, one of the most common errors in optimizer building. Most optimizers include the ability to calculate ownership caps continuously or at the end of the pool creation process. If caps are calculated continuously, a player with a 25% cap who is utilized in Lineup 1 will not be available for use again until Lineup 5, we recommend turning OFF continuous calculation.
Randomness – provides a random multiplier to each player’s projected point total based on the set values. This valuable tool helps differentiate lineups instead of simply creating them in order of the highest median projected scores. Using some randomness for lineup generation is strongly recommended but the degree to which it is applied is down to personal preference, 15-25% is fine to get started. We suggest heavier randomness to more event-based players like wide receivers while tracking volume-based positions like running backs more toward their median or ceiling projections.
DraftKings + FanDuel Team Stack Rules
This set of rules will force optimizers to build lineups with certain combinations. We are looking to stack at least one skill player, almost always a pass-catcher, with his quarterback while frequently playing a skill player from the opposing team in the lineup. The theory behind this build is that a high-scoring stack will require some response from the opposing team to deliver a ceiling score in most situations. Most optimizers utilize a “complete the sentence” approach for rule creation with selections from drop-down menus following a very straightforward logic. Exceptions to these rules can be added for specific teams and players on most optimizer products.
- QB with at least one WR/TE from Same Team (note: It is fine to set this to two or to utilize two versions of this rule, one with WR/TE and one with RB/WR/TE, but we can also refine this via Groups)
- optional – QB with at least one RB/WR/TE from the Opposing Team (we typically prefer the pass-catchers but high-volume running backs can be effective here)
- QB with at most zero DST from the Same Team (this is a personal preference; high-scoring teams and quarterbacks tend to leave their defenses on the field, exposing them to simple point-scoring negatives)
Limits & Custom Rules and Requirements
Limit rules can be applied to restrict certain combinations from coming together. This is powerful for limiting multiple running backs from the same team or getting overweight to a certain stack within a lineup.
- Limit QB/RB/WR/TE from Same Team to three
- Limit RB/WR/TE from the Same Team to one unless paired with QB from the Same Team OR the Opposing Team (this prevents multiple players from a team that is not a primary quarterback-based stack)
- optional – Limit RB from Same Team to one (we can also do this with WR in a separate rule that adds an “unless paired with QB or opposing QB” but it’s a personal preference for NFL DFS, we typically do not want two pass-catchers from the same team without their quarterback)
We will maintain the list of rules and limits throughout the season, with occasional tweaks. Each week sees another fresh crop of value plays as situations change and injuries create opportunities around the league. These changing roles and emergent value plays are accounted for in creating these groups from week to week. After a large pool of lineups is created utilizing these groups, it is still critical to filter them for factors including ceiling projections and leverage potential. These groups should help ensure that a highly correlated premium set of options that rotates through various combinations is utilized to create the full lineup pool.
Sunday Updates
Any changes and recommended boosts to specific players will be provided in an early morning update each Sunday.
NFL DFS Week 11 Features & Projections
- Week 11 Projections
- Week 11 Above/Below
- Week 11 Quarterback Scoring & Value Rankings
- Week 11 Running Back Scoring & Value Rankings
- Week 11 Pass-Catcher Scoring & Value Rankings
- Week 11 Defense Scoring & Value Rankings
Construction Concept
Team groups are built by utilizing the quarterback as the KEY player in group settings. The quarterback decision is the driving factor in determining which stack the lineup utilizes and which corresponding plays are made to work within the structured requirements. In Fantasy Cruncher, built to specification, each team will have two groups, a team group, and an opponent group, both of which utilize the same quarterback as the key player. Each game will have a total of four groups. This is the best approach to truly capture the requirement of playing individual “run-back” plays from the opposing team. A more basic approach would be to include all of the skill players from a game in each quarterback’s group and rely on rules and limits to restrict any potential overflow. It is highly recommended to save the early season groups as a foundation that will be updated for the rest of the season. The recommended groups will include skill players who have an active role in their offense and provide significant correlation with their quarterback’s scoring, often bell-cow running backs who do not specialize in the passing game will not be included in groups as they are projected highly and appear on their own in basically correct distributions, while also not always providing the strongest positive correlation plays. Stacking quarterbacks with pass-catchers and allowing running backs to fall into the lanes created by settings, available salary, and randomness should create a well-distributed set of quality lineups. These groups are updated weekly to account for changes in utilization, schemes, injuries, target shares, and more.
Team Groups for DraftKings & FanDuel – Week 11
The goal is to create a large pool of well-built lineups that can be utilized in any large-field GPP contest. Our approach is to build far more lineups than needed and utilize a sorting table or sim process to filter to the best set of entries. The lineups created in these crunches should provide a broad distribution that includes some of the lower-owned high-upside skill players from each stack. Applying boosts is critical in pushing and pulling ownership to individual players within their team’s stacked lineups if they appear too much or too little.
The groups below are designed so that each quarterback will have two groups to create, one with his skill players and another with the opposing team. A more basic approach would be to add them all to one large group with an “at least three” and let rules and limits set things, but there is a more granular level of control in creating them separately.
Utilizing two groups also allows us to place running backs into the “run-back” position in certain teams while not including them in the primary stack for their team. This is useful when a situation has an extremely highly projected running back that does not necessarily fit into his team’s passing game. These players are threaded throughout the following construction recommendations.
Note for all optimizers the rules can be utilized to force bring-back plays in some sets of crunches and turned off for others as a global function instead of changing each group to “exactly one” bring-back play, wherever applicable, but it will apply to all teams.
Arizona Cardinals
Game Total: 48.5 / ARI +3.5 (22.5)
Offense: 39.21% rush / 60.79% pass / 22.4 ppg
oppDEF: 4.2 ypa rush / 7.0 ypa pass / 23.0 ppg / 3.42% sack / 0.29% int
Key Player: Jacoby Brissett
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Trey McBride, Michael Wilson, Zonovan “Bam” Knight (Q; on/off), Emari Demercado (on/off), Greg Dortch, Davier Weaver, Elijah Higgins
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Christian McCaffrey, Ricky Pearsall, George Kittle, Jauan Jennings, Demarcus Robinson, Kendrick Bourne
Game Notes:
Quarterback
A high-upside points-per-dollar play, Jacoby Brissett checks in as the QB3 by value on DraftKings and QB10 by value on FanDuel but sits as just QB15 by points on both sites. He’s been productive when on the field, averaging 279.5 passing yards per game, 7.2 per attempt, and throwing 8 touchdowns, with two in each of his four starts, against just one interception. Brissett adds a bit with his legs with 13.7 rushing yards per game with 1 score on the season. His -5.0 CPOE is a slight concern, and Brissett will be without Marvin Harrison Jr. this week, but he faces a beatable 17th-ranked pass defense and still has a few weapons along for the ride.
Running Backs
A split backfield is rarely a good thing for DFS, unless you play football in Detroit. This Arizona situation is a mess. Zonovan “Bam” Knight opened last week’s game as the lead option but did not stand out before succumbing to injury and handing off to Emari Demercado, who carried the ball four times for 64 yards over 32 snaps while adding 40 more yards on 3-4 receiving. Demercado might have a slight edge in opportunity this week with Knight still questionable, but this is a roughly even split and Knight sees constant action in scoring territory with at least two red zone carries in each of the last five games. Demercado ranks as the RB22 by value on DraftKings and RB20 by value on FanDuel. He is a tough sell against the 49ers’ solid 14th-ranked run defense. Zonovan Knight is a deep-league option, ranking as the RB39 by value on DraftKings and RB37 by value on FanDuel.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Trey McBride has cemented himself as an elite fantasy asset, he has 21 more targets than any other tight end in football going into Week 11, and the Cardinals have already had their bye week. McBride is an unrivaled option at the position, he ranks as TE1 by value on DraftKings and TE1 by value on FanDuel. McBride is running 38.7 routes per game and commanding a massive 28.9% target share on routes run, which he has converted into 6 receiving touchdowns. His 7.1 ADOT shows he’s a consistent threat in the short-to-intermediate game.
Michael Wilson is a different option from site to site. While he ranks as a mid-board WR33 by points on DraftKings and WR30 by points on FanDuel, he is WR7 by value on DraftKings and WR26 by value on FanDuel. His role is clearly defined downfield, evidenced by a 9.8 ADOT, but the volume is thin with a 12.5% target share on routes run for the season. That mark should climb this week with Harrison Jr. out of action, but Wilson is not a premium receiver and he has found the end zone only once this season.
Greg Dortch sees gadget usage and ranks as the WR36 by value on DraftKings and WR50 by value on FanDuel. He’s running just 13.6 routes per game but has found paydirt twice: once as a receiver and once on the ground. Meanwhile, Elijah Higgins is a punt TE, ranking as the TE24 by value on DraftKings and TE24 by value on FanDuel. He’s running 10.8 routes per game and has a 5.6% target share, making him a very thin play with 0 touchdowns on the year and essentially no DFS value.
A pure deep-shot, Xavier Weaver ranks as the WR58 by value on DraftKings and WR43 by value on FanDuel with missing pieces in the offense but his massive 27.0-yard ADOT is entirely deceptive as it came on one play, making him at best a GPP dart.
The Cardinals stack is in an interesting spot, ranking 16th in points but an elite 1st in value on DraftKings with multiple discount options across positions. The team sits as Stack 16 by points rank and Stack 11 by value rank on FanDuel. They draw a matchup against the San Francisco 49ers, a defense that ranks 14th against the run allowing 4.2 yards per rush attempt and 17th against the pass (allowing 7.0 yards per pass attempt. Trey McBride is playable in or out of stacks, Michael Wilson is a dart throw as a standalone, and most of the other Cardinals should be reserved for low-volume stacks.
Atlanta Falcons
Game Total: 42.5 / ATL -3.5 (23.0)
Offense: 43.58% rush / 56.42% pass / 18.7 ppg / 4.5. ypa rush / 6.7 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.4 ypa rush / 7.2 ypa pass / 22.2 ppg / 4.92% sack / 2.27% int
Key Player: Michael Penix Jr.
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Bijan Robinson, Drake London (Q), Darnell Mooney, Kyle Pitts Sr., Tyler Allgeier (on/off), David Sills V (large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Rico Dowdle, Tetairoa McMillan, Jalen Coker, Xavier Legette, Chuba Hubbard, Ja’Tavion Sanders, Tommy Tremble (on/off)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Michael Penix Jr. is a low-end value option at quarterback, ranking as QB12 by value on DraftKings and QB18 by value on FanDuel. Penix is averaging 225.9 passing yards and 9 touchdowns, and gets to face a beatable 20th-ranked Panthers secondary. Penix Jr. is just QB18 by points across both sites, he is not showing a ton of quality at 7.0 yards per pass attempt for the season and his -4.1 CPOE mark leaves much to be desired. The quarterback gains most of his value from the premium stack players surrounding him.
Running Backs
Bijan Robinson is set up for a big day. He is near the top of the heap as RB2 by points on both sites while landing as RB6 by value on DraftKings and RB2 by value on FanDuel. Robinson is averaging 15.0 carries for 5.0 yards per rush attempt and 75.4 yards per game. He has 2 rushing touchdowns, and posts a solid 0.4 YPA/EXP. He gets to attack that soft 20th-ranked Panthers run defense that allows 4.4 yards per rush attempt this season. Robinson also brings upside in the passing game with a fantastic 6.0 targets and 4.8 receptions per game for a whopping 8.6 yards per target. The running back added two scores on touchdown catches this season as well. Robinson is a premium skill option in any format.
Tyler Allgeier is the clear backup, he ranks as RB26 by value on DraftKings and RB27 by value on FanDuel. Allgeier is a touchdown-dependent play, he is averaging just 8.2 carries for 30.0 yards, but has vultured 6 rushing touchdowns and counting.
Receivers & Tight Ends
The primary pass-catcher, Drake London, checks in as WR5 by points on DraftKings and WR7 by points on FanDuel but just WR18 by value on DraftKings and WR11 by value on FanDuel. London commands a 29.7% target share on 35.0 routes per game and has used his 10.3 ADOT to get into big play territory while hauling in 6 receiving touchdowns. London technically remains questionable but reportedly plans to play.
Darnell Mooney provides extreme salary relief, ranking as WR1 by value on DraftKings, though he is just WR30 by value on FanDuel. As anyone who had him last week will attest, Mooney is a roller coaster. He’s a deep-shot specialist with a 13.9 ADOT on 30.0 routes per game, but has yet to score this season. The receiver is coming off of an eight-target Week 10 game in which he managed just one catch for 17 yards. Mooney is a perfectly fine option from the middle of the board and a premium value mixer on DraftKings, where he should be popular. If London does not suit up Mooney rockets up the board.
Kyle Pitts Sr. remains a volume-based TE option, ranking as TE10 by value on DraftKings and TE4 by value on FanDuel while sitting seventh by points on both sites. Pitts runs regular routes with 33.1 per game and has a 20.6% target share on routes run, but he has only managed to turn that into 1 touchdown catch. The tight end is, at best, third in the pecking order and his big weeks are few and far between, he is better as stack filler in +2 builds than individual shares.
The Atlanta stack is a high-upside GPP play, ranking 5th in points and 6th in value on DraftKings, with a 7th points rank and 10th value rank on FanDuel. They get a strong matchup against a Panthers defense that ranks 20th against both the run, allowing 4.4 yards per rush attempt, and the pass, at 7.2 yards per pass attempt. Bijan Robinson and Drake London are fine mixers outside of stacks and builds out to Penix+3 are viable, though we tend to land in the +2 range in most builds. Mooney is one to watch if we see Sunday morning curveballs.
Baltimore Ravens
Game Total: 39.0 / BAL -8.5 (23.75)
Offense: 48.22% rush / 51.78% pass / 25.4 ppg / 5.1 ypa rush / 7.6 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.6 ypa rush / 7.2 ypa pass / 23.4 ppg / 10.31% sack / 2.98% int
Key Player: Lamar Jackson
Setting: at most two
Team Group: Derrick Henry (on/off), Zay Flowers, Mark Andrews, Isaiah Likely, Keaton Mitchell, DeAndre Hopkins, Devontez Walker (large field), Tylan Wallace (large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Quinshon Judkins, Harold Fannin Jr., Jerry Jeudy, David Njoku, Cedric Tillman, Jerome Ford, Isaiah Bond
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Lamar Jackson gets a great matchup for his arm. He is the QB16 by value on DraftKings and QB12 by value on FanDuel but looks much better when simply considering the raw points involved. Jackson is QB3 by points on both sites and is one of only a few players projected for more than 20 fantasy points on both sites. The quarterback is averaging 208.2 passing yards and has thrown 15 touchdowns this season. Jackson pads his usual high floor with 36.0 rushing yards per game, though he has managed just one rushing score after missing a few games this season. His CPOE of -0.1 shows he’s been essentially accurate to expectation as he attacks a 20th-ranked pass defense that allows 7.2 yards per pass. Jackson has slate-breaking ability, he can even be deployed in “naked” shares as desired, though we prefer at least one correlated scorer.
Running Backs
Workhorse running back Derrick Henry ranks as RB12 by value on both DraftKings and FanDuel while landing as RB8 by points on DraftKings and RB7 for FanDuel scoring. Henry has been a strong for volume again this season, averaging 16.4 carries for 78.2 yards and 6 touchdowns, but now faces the league’s number one run defense with the Browns allowing just 3.6 yards per rush attempt and only three rushing touchdowns all season. Henry’s 0.8 YPA/EXP shows he’s been efficient, but this is a tough test in which he will need to find the end zone.
Keaton Mitchell is a GPP dart, ranking as RB29 by value on DraftKings and RB26 by value on FanDuel. He only averages 3.0 carries per game, and it’s a brutal matchup against a strong rush defense.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Zay Flowers is the top target at the receiver position, ranking as WR26 by value on DraftKings and WR15 by value on FanDuel. Flowers is WR13 and WR14 by points across the respective sites, he is running 29.2 routes per game and has a massive 28.7% target share, though it has only resulted in 1 touchdown over the first 10 weeks of the season. His 5.5 YAC/rec shows his ability to create after the catch, though that margin may be deceptively small when that mark is cast against just 0.2 yards after the catch above expectation per reception. Flowers works at an 8.8-yard average depth of target for a 32.6% air yards share, easily leading this group of pass-catchers.
Mark Andrews remains a premier red-zone threat. He is TE8 by points and TE5 by value on DraftKings and TE9/TE11 on FanDuel. Andrews carries a 16.5% target share on routes run, a modest rate, but he’s converted regular red zone targets into 5 receiving touchdowns while running 21.2 routes per game as a key part of the passing attack.
DeAndre Hopkins is a deep-threat option who scored twice early in the season and has been far less relevant since. Hopkins slots in ranking as just WR59 by value on DraftKings and WR58 by value on FanDuel. He’s running 11.3 routes per game and has a 15.1 ADOT and has posted a hyper-efficient 2.04 yards per route run in the limited action, but that does not provide much in terms of DFS ceiling.
The Ravens stack is a fair target for offense with several players who work well in or out of stacking situations, quarterback included. Baltimore is ranking 10th in points and 12th in value on DraftKings, with a 10th points rank and 14th value rank on FanDuel. They face the Cleveland Browns, whose defense is elite against the run, leading the slate at 3.6 yards allowed per rush attempt, but more vulnerable through the air, allowing a 20th ranked 7.2 yards per pass attempt.
Buffalo Bills
Game Total: 46.5 / BUF -6.0 (26.25)
Offense: 49.03% rush / 50.97% pass / 27.6 ppg / 5.0 ypa rush / 8.2 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.2 ypa rush / 7.4 ypa pass / 22.9 ppg / 7.74% sack / 2.58% int
Key Player: Josh Allen
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Khalil Shakir, James Cook (on/off), Gabe Davis, Dawson Knox, Joshua Palmer, Jackson Hawes (on/off), Elijah Moore (large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Emeka Egbuka, Rachaad White, Cade Otton, Tez Johnson, Sterling Shepard, Sean Tucker
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Josh Allen leads this potent attack and is one of the slate’s top options. The Bills’ gunslinger ranks as QB1 by points on both sites in Week 11. Josh Allen is QB8 by value on DraftKings and QB4 by value on FanDuel and looks ready to soar with a renewed focus on the passing attack and an old friend back in the room. Allen averages 237.7 passing yards per game and a terrific 8.1 per pass attempt, with 15 touchdowns passes against just five interceptions, but his fantasy value is truly driven by his legs, where he’s added 34.6 yards per game and seven rushing touchdowns on the season.
Running Backs
James Cook III should find plenty of room to run. He is RB13 by value on DraftKings and RB5 by value on FanDuel. Cook III has been extremely efficient against lighter boxes, posting a stellar 1.4 yards over expectation per attempt. The running back averages 18.4 carries for 102.2 yards and has seven rushing touchdowns, making him a core play against the 14th-ranked rush defense by yards allowed per attempt.
Ty Johnson is the change-of-pace back, ranking as the RB40 by value on DraftKings and RB39 by value on FanDuel. He’s seen 2.0 carries per game and has one rushing touchdown. Ray Davis is the third-string RB, ranking as the RB48 by value on DraftKings and RB49 by value on FanDuel. He’s averaging 2.7 carries per game and has one touchdown. Neither of the depth options is appealing for DFS play on either site.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Khalil Shakir has emerged as a fantastic and reliable option from the mid-range, averaging just under 10 fantasy points per game. Shakir works underneath on a friendly 4.2-yard average depth of target, putting numbers on the board after the catch with 9.1 YAC/reception good for a whopping 2.4 yards after the catch over expectation per catch. The receiver is running 27.2 routes per game and has earned a solid 22.1% target share while gaining 1.87 yards per route run. Shakir ranks as WR19 by points and WR16 by value on DraftKings and sits at WR18/WR12 on the blue site.
Joshua Palmer is a GPP flyer who offers salary relief. He is WR10 by value on DraftKings at an ultra-cheap $3,300 and sits as WR25 by value on FanDuel for $4,500. Palmer should pick up opportunities with reports of Keon Coleman sitting as a healthy scratch in Week 11, though we prefer another option. The receiver has been operating as a deep-threat specialist with a 14.0 ADOT but a very low 7.6% target share on routes run over 18.8 routes per game. While a 2.07 yards per route run mark is very efficient, Palmer has not provided much fantasy scoring with 2.3 catches and 39.0 yards per game, and zero touchdown catches on the season.
With Dalton Kincaid hitting IR, the team’s solid 1A option simply steps up a rank. Knox is a solid tight end play, he ranks as TE16/16 on DraftKings and TE11/TE10 on FanDuel. He runs 16.7 routes per game and has 1 touchdown on a 6.9% target share in regular action but should see ongoing involvement. Last week in similar circumstances, Knox spiked to 27 routes run over 45 snaps with the offense, both season highs.
Gabe Davis is the classic boom-bust GPP play, ranking as WR58 by points and WR60 by value on DraftKings and sitting as WR49/WR45 on FanDuel. Davis is an intriguing option, and the receiver we had in mind when reviewing Joshua Palmer above. The receiver is making his triumphant return to the Bills with an elevation from the practice squad. With Coleman sitting out it is easy to see Davis sliding into a premium role in this passing offense, given his history with the team. From 2020-2023, Davis averaged 682.5 yards and 6.8 touchdown catches in 16 games per season with Josh Allen and this Bills offense.
Jackson Hawes is a deep punt at tight end, ranking as the TE28 by value on DraftKings and TE23 by value on FanDuel and stepping into Dawson Knox’s usual second option role. He’s running only 5.7 routes per game but has managed to convert that limited usage into two touchdowns, one of which came on his lone catch last weekend, a 26-yard scoring grab.
Curtis Samuel is a deep-field stretcher, ranking as the WR73 by value on DraftKings and WR78 by value on FanDuel. He’s running just 14.8 routes per game and has a 14.0 ADOT, resulting in one touchdown and ongoing low-scoring DFS days. Tyrell Shavers is a thin play, ranking as the WR78 by value on DraftKings and WR76 by value on FanDuel. He’s running 10.8 routes per game with a 4.6% target share and is unlikely to impact the slate in a big way.
The Bills are an intriguing stacking spot, ranking as Stack 9 by points and Stack 8 by value on DraftKings, with a 9th points rank and 8th value rank on FanDuel. They face a beatable Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense that ranks 14th against the run, allowing 4.2 yards per rush attempt, and a soft 25th against the pass at 7.4 yards per attempt. James Cook III is probably the most individually playable Bills option outside of stacks, but any of the primary pass-catchers can be considered in moderate doses.
Carolina Panthers
Game Total: 42.5 / CAR +3.5 (19.5)
Offense: 47.10% rush / 52.90% pass / 17.7 ppg / 4.6 ypa rush / 5.9 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.9 ypa rush / 6.9 ypa pass / 23.2 ppg / 10.86% sack / 3.36% int
Key Player: Bryce Young
Setting: exactly one
Team Group: Rico Dowdle, Tetairoa McMillan, Jalen Coker, Xavier Legette, Chuba Hubbard, Ja’Tavion Sanders, Tommy Tremble (on/off)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Bijan Robinson, Drake London, Darnell Mooney, Kyle Pitts Sr., Tyler Allgeier (on/off), David Sills V (large field)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Bryce Young is one of the slate’s short straws, facing the 11th-ranked pass defense and ranking as QB20 by value on DraftKings and QB20 by value on FanDuel. Young is averaging just 168.2 passing yards per game and a meek 5.6 yards per attempt with 11 touchdowns but seven interceptions. Young has been inefficient, completing passes 3.2 points below expectation by CPOE, and he has added little on the ground with 1 rushing score. There is very little to work with under center for Carolina.
Running Backs
Rico Dowdle has been highly efficient and gets a fantastic matchup. He ranks as RB9 by value on DraftKings and RB4 by value on FanDuel. He’s posting an impressive 1.2 YPA/EXP while averaging 14.9 carries for 78.8 yards per game and a terrific 5.3 per attempt with 2.3 yards after contact per attempt. Dowdle has been a reliable scorer since taking over primary rushing duties, he has five touchdowns and now faces a soft 27th-ranked Atlanta run defense that yields a ridiculous 4.9 yards per rush attempt; carry the ball twice against these guys and you basically have a first down, repeat. Dowdle could be in for another strong DFS day at fair pricing on both sites, he is RB4 by points across the board and a top-10 running back value as the clear lead.
Chuba Hubbard’s inefficiency is glaring, with a -0.7 YPA/EXP on his disappointing 3.6 yards per attempt. Hubbard ranks as RB35 by value on DraftKings and RB37 by value on FanDuel. While the matchup is good, his 10.9 carries for 39.1 yards and 1 touchdown do not inspire much confidence.
Receivers & Tight Ends
The clear premium player in the pathetic Panthers passing game is Tetairoa McMillan, who ranks as WR21 by value on DraftKings and FanDuel in Week 11. McMillan has earned a 26.8% target share on routes run while running 32.2 routes per game and gaining 1.92 yards per route run, excellent production for a rookie in a bad offense. McMillan has been targeted 10 times in the red zone but has only hauled in two touchdowns on the year while drawing just a 66.23% catchable target rate from his quarterback.
Jalen Coker is a value piece, ranking as WR22 by value on DraftKings but a distant WR50 by value on FanDuel from just inside the top-50 by points. Coker has only seen limited action this season, running 21.0 routes per game, but a drawing a lousy 3.8% target share for 0.79 yards per route run since his return. Coker has not scored this season but he is a capable receiver who can provide a value square at just $3,100 on DraftKings.
Xavier Legette is a secondary option, ranking as WR42 by value on DraftKings and WR52 by value on FanDuel. Legette runs 29.4 routes per game and has a 13.2% target share on routes run but only 0.77 yards per route run for the season. Legette has an OK 8.7-yard average depth of target and has hit paydirt twice on the season but he offers only mixer quality.
Ja’Tavion Sanders is a punt option at tight end, ranking as TE25 by value on DraftKings and TE28 by value on FanDuel. He runs just 19.0 routes per game with an 8.7% target share and has yet to score. Tommy Tremble is another thin TE option, ranking as TE36 by value on DraftKings and TE38 by value on FanDuel. Tremble is running 15.7 routes per game and has one receiving touchdown with an every now and then target in scoring territory.
The Panthers stack is a long shot, ranking 20th in points and 16th in value on DraftKings, with a 20th points rank and 19th value rank on FanDuel. There are very few surprises with this team, Rico Dowdle is easily the easiest option in and out of stacks, while Tet McMillan can add some depth pass-catching to any given GPP lineup. Carolina faces a mid-level Falcons defense but do not bring much general quality to the table.
Chicago Bears
Game Total: 49.0 / CHI +3.0 (22.5)
Offense: 45.66% rush / 54.34% pass / 26.6 ppg / 5.0 ypa rush / 7.3 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.2 ypa rush / 7.5 ypa pass / 23.7 ppg / 8.70% sack / 1.19% int
Key Player: Caleb Williams
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Rome Odunze, DJ Moore, D’Andre Swift (on/off), Kyle Monangai (on/off), Colston Loveland, Olamide Zaccheaus, Luther Burden III, Cole Kmet (on/off)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Justin Jefferson, Aaron Jones Sr. (on/off), Jordan Addison, Jordan Mason (on/off), TJ Hockenson, Jalen Nailor
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Caleb Williams is in a great spot to perform. He ranks as QB7 in points and QB7 in value on DraftKings, while on FanDuel he is QB8 in points and QB7 in value. He has been strong, averaging 237.3 passing yards with 13 passing touchdowns and a stellar 6.6 CPOE that shows his improvement as a passer. Williams sees strong volume this season as well, his 32.56 attempts per game result in 7.3 yards per attempt and the quarterback adds a high floor with 5.3 carries for 27.3 rushing yards per game and three rushing scores. Williams will go to work this week against a Minnesota pass defense that ranks 26th with 7.5 yards allowed per pass attempt, though the Vikings do get to the quarterback with a 30.3% pressure rate and 24 sacks on the season. Williams is a top-10 quarterback across the board on both sites this week and he comes with premium stacking options in every slot and depth pass-catchers with talent at cheap prices.
Running Backs
D’Andre Swift is a solid but unspectacular option, ranking as RB13 in points and RB10 in value on DraftKings, with ranks of RB13 in points and RB11 in value on FanDuel. He is averaging 14.1 carries for 4.8 yards per attempt and has four rushing touchdowns. His 0.6 YPA/EXP and 1.9 yards after contact per attempt are solid, and he gets a middling matchup against the 14th-ranked rush defense. Swift sees 4.0 targets per game and drew a terrific eight in the last contest, he has only caught one touchdown pass on the season but there is bonus production available in the air.
Kyle Monangai is the clear backup but he has carved out a steady role and ranks as RB25 in points and RB30 in value on DraftKings, with ranks of RB24 in points and RB29 in value on FanDuel. The rookie running back is averaging 8.3 carries for 43.3 yards and has two touchdowns, with a solid 2.4 yards after contact per attempt and an 8.0% explosive rush rate. Monangai is not much more than a dart throw at a big play or poached touchdown in a deep offense.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Rome Odunze is the primary target in the passing game. He ranks as WR14 in points and WR30 in value on DraftKings, while on FanDuel he is WR15 in points and WR21 in value. Odunze runs 35.6 routes per game and commands a 23.8% target share while posting 1.75 yards per route run, a good-not-great mark for a premium wideout. His 13.6-yard ADOT and massive 40.62% air yards share show he is the main downfield threat, and he has hauled in six touchdowns while drawing 10 red zone targets.
DJ Moore remains heavily involved with 5.3 targets per game, though he has only managed to find the end zone once this year. Moore drops into Week 11 ranking as WR26 in points and WR33 in value on DraftKings, with ranks of WR29 in points and WR31 in value on FanDuel. He is running 32.6 routes per game and has been elite after the catch with 6.1 yards after catch per reception good for 1.1 yard over expectation after the catch per catch. Moore sees a 16.6% target share and four red zone targets, resulting in one receiving and one rushing touchdown, he is ultimately a mixer on this slate but has the ability to spike a multiple-touchdown game any given week.
Colston Loveland is a viable tight end option, ranking as TE14 in points and TE17 in value on DraftKings, while on FanDuel he is TE14 in points and TE17 in value. Loveland is running 21.8 routes per game and has a 10.0% target share on routes run, which he has converted into two touchdowns. The rookie has shared some responsibilities with Cole Kmet in the passing game but has gotten out to a bit of an edge over his teammate, running more routes than Kmet in every game since Week 4.
Luther Burden III is a GPP dart throw with buzz and expectations of increasing role as the season rounds into the homestretch. Burden III drops into Week 11 ranking as WR46 in points and WR45 in value on DraftKings but his talent could carry him to slate-bending scoring on one or two big plays. The rookie receiver is running just 10.4 routes per game but has a high 2.67 yards per route run and has one touchdown on three red zone targets. Burden III was over 100 yards on just three catches in Week 3 against Dallas, the game in which he scored his lone touchdown, but he has also gone over 50 yards in two other games on limited involvement, showcasing his big play ability. The receiver caught four of four targets for 51 yards in Week 6 and three of three for 51 yards last week against the Giants.
Olamide Zaccheaus is a low-ADOT (6.1) option, ranking as WR47 in points and WR35 in value on DraftKings. He is running 24.1 routes per game and has a surprisingly high 17.2% target share, which he has converted into one touchdown thanks to eight red zone targets in limited overall involvement. The receiver has been a capable playmaker after the catch in his career but he sits just below expectation at -0.1 yards after the catch/OE and he has not made an explosive play on a reception this season.
Cole Kmet is a very thin TE option, ranking as TE31 in points and TE32 in value on DraftKings, and TE32 in points and TE32 in value on FanDuel. He is running 21.0 routes per game and has a 7.9% target share, which has led to one touchdown this year as he loses ground to the team’s first round rookie.
The Chicago Bears stack is a mid-board GPP play, ranking 12th in points and 15th in value on DraftKings, with a 14th points rank and 13th value rank on FanDuel with upside for a bit more. The matchup is favorable, the Vikings rank 14th against the run while allowing 4.2 yards per attempt and they are a soft 26th against the pass with 7.5 yards allowed per pass attempt and 1.56 touchdown passes allowed per game. Rome Odunze and D’Andre Swift are playable in and out of stacks, as is DJ Moore in smaller doses. The tight end is a bit more of a wildcard, while Burden III is a dart throw with potentially explosive upside (as a sidenote, we were forced to drop Burden in season-long with a full roster this week, so he is almost sure to set the world ablaze).
Cincinnati Bengals
Game Total: 48.0 / CIN +5.5 (21.25)
Offense: 32.25% rush / 67.75% pass / 24.0 ppg / 4.2 ypa rush / 6.6 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.1 ypa rush / 7.3 ypa pass / 24.4 ppg / 8.23% sack / 2.24% int
Key Player: Joe Flacco
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Chase Brown, Andrei Iosivas, Noah Fant, Tanner Hudson (on/off)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Jaylen Warren, DK Metcalf, Calvin Austin III, Kenneth Gainwell, Jonnu Smith, Pat Freiermuth, Roman Wilson
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Joe Flacco is a prime value at quarterback on the DraftKings slate and more of a mixer on the blue site. Flacco ranks as QB10 in points on both sites, but his value is elite at QB6 on DraftKings and while landing as a more “playable” QB16 on FanDuel. Flacco averages 258.6 passing yards and has 13 passing touchdowns against eight interceptions for the season, but 11 of the touchdowns and only two of the interceptions since joining the Bengals in Week 6. Flacco adds one rushing score and gets to attack a vulnerable 22nd-ranked pass defense that allows 7.3 yards per pass attempt but gets to the quarterback regularly with 32 sacks on the season and a 23.6% pressure rate. Flacco has some of two of the league’s top wide receivers in two, he should be able to get them the ball before the defense gets him.
Running Backs
Chase Brown has emerged as a multi-site value. He ranks as RB5 in points and RB1 in value on DraftKings, while on FanDuel he is RB6 in points and RB3 in value. He is handling 12.0 carries per game and has two rushing touchdowns on the season, posting a solid 0.4 YPA/EXP. He is also a relevant factor in the passing game, catching 3.7 passes per game with one touchdown grab on the year. The running back has been a wild ride, before Flacco’s arrival he was a massive disappointment as team’s were keying against him and not sweating the pass. Brown had a productive Week 7 with 108 yards on 11 carries and he picked up his second rushing touchdown of the year in Week 8 against the Jets while gaining 73 yards on 12 carries. The running back was down to Earth again with just 37 yards on 11 carries last week but he spiked an additional 75 yards on eight catches over a whopping 14 targets. Brown’s ongoing involvement in the passing game is his saving grace but he is a more capable rusher than he has been this season at just 3.9 yards per rush attempt, as indicated by the YPA/EXP mark.
Tahj Brooks offers no appeal in the limited backup touches he will receive.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Ja’Marr Chase is one of the premier plays on the entire slate. He ranks as WR1 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel, and as WR2 in value on DraftKings and WR1 in value on FanDuel. He is a volume monster, running 39.1 routes per game and commanding a 33.8% target share on routes run while posting 2.36 yards per route run. Chase draws a 37.56% air yards share on 7.8 targets per game and an 8.3-yard average depth of target. The superstar receiver has hauled in five touchdowns and has been targeted 13 times in the red zone.
Tee Higgins is a high-upside second option in this passing game and he fits into stacks alongside or in place of Chase. Higgins ranks as WR16 in points on both sites, with a value rank of WR28 on DraftKings and WR27 on FanDuel. He is running 36.7 routes per game and his 32.51% air yards share highlights his deep-threat role on a 13.6-yard ADOT. He has converted his eight red zone targets into six receiving touchdowns despite seeing just a 57.14% catchable target rate from his quarterbacks this season. Higgins has three touchdowns in the last two games, including two that came in a seven-catch 121-yard rampage against the Bears in Week 9 before the team’s bye last week.
Noah Fant is a steady tight end option. He ranks as TE21 in points on both sites, with value ranks of TE22 on DraftKings and TE20 on FanDuel. Fant runs 17.9 routes per game and has seen an impressive 92.86% catchable ball rate, which becomes less inspiring when cast against just a 3.8-yard average depth of target that places him just out of reach for a handoff. Fant has three touchdowns catches this season.
Andrei Iosivas is a GPP value piece, ranking as WR53 in points on DraftKings and WR51 on FanDuel. He is running 33.6 routes per game and has seen five red zone targets, resulting in one touchdown and his ADOT is pushing upward at 9.4 yards and climbing.
Tanner Hudson is a very thin TE punt, ranking as TE40 in points and TE40 in value on DraftKings. He is running just 7.4 routes per game, but has managed to catch one touchdown on three red zone targets and should see the odd look.
The Bengals boast the top-ranked stack on the slate, they land as Stack 1 by points on both sites and rank second in value on DraftKings, with a Stack 4 value rank on FanDuel. Cincinnati gets a boost from projected scoring from their three premium skill players and an OK mark on the quarterback with potential for more as underdogs in a 49.0-point game. Ja’Marr Chase plays in any format, as does Tee Higgins at only a slightly lower level. Chase Brown is a top-6 running back on both sites, though the Steelers are limiting rushers to just 4.1 yards per attempt to sit 11th.
Cleveland Browns
Game Total: 39.0 / BAL -8.5 (23.75)
Offense: 38.14% rush / 61.86% pass / 16.2 ppg / 3.9 ypa rush / 5.0 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.6 ypa rush / 6.9 ypa pass / 26.1 ppg / 3.45% sack / 1.49% int
Key Player: Dillon Gabriel
Setting: exactly one
Team Group: Jerry Jeudy, Quinshon Judkins (on/off), Harold Fannin Jr., David Njoku, Cedric Tillman, Dylan Sampson, Isaiah Bond
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Derrick Henry (on/off), Zay Flowers, Mark Andrews, Isaiah Likely, Keaton Mitchell, DeAndre Hopkins, Devontez Walker (large field), Tylan Wallace (large field)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Dillon Gabriel is a GPP-only option at quarterback. He ranks as QB21 in points but QB15 in value on DraftKings, and QB21 in points and QB21 in value on FanDuel. Gabriel threw 32 times last week, completing 17 of those attempt for 167 yards but throwing two touchdowns, his second game in a row with two touchdown passes. The quarterback is averaging 173.8 passing yards and has seven passing touchdowns, but faces a tough 11th-ranked pass defense and has a poor -3.3 CPOE with limited connection to his receivers.
Running Backs
Quinshon Judkins is the lead back and benefits from a great matchup. He ranks as RB14 in points and RB15 in value on DraftKings, with identical RB14 in points and RB16 in value ranks on FanDuel. Judkins quickly took over the lead role in this backfield and handles 17.5 carries per game for 70.1 yards a week or 4.0 per attempt. The running back has five rushing touchdowns but has not scored or drawn a red zone target despite seeing 2.3 targets per game. His 0.8 YPA/EXP and 2.4 yards after contact per attempt are solid, and he gets to attack a 23rd-ranked rush defense that allows a hefty 4.6 yards per rush attempt to opposing backs.
Dylan Sampson is a pass-catching back, ranking as RB39 in points and RB38 in value on DraftKings. He has only 3.3 carries per game but has caught one receiving touchdown on four red zone targets and 2.7 targets per game on limited snaps, he is not likely to hit the board in Week 11. Jerome Ford is not even a deep GPP punt, ranking as RB41 in points and RB41 in value on DraftKings. He is only averaging 2.4 carries per game and is unlikely to find relevance.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Jerry Jeudy is the top wideout in a low-end offense and he is coming off of a remember me week that saw him gain a season-high 78 yards on six catches including a touchdown. Jeudy ranks as WR30 in points but leaps to WR14 in value on DraftKings, with ranks of WR34 in points and WR32 in value on FanDuel. He is running 37.9 routes per game and commands a 20.9% target share and 38.36% air yards share. However, he has only one touchdown on eight red zone targets and has drawn just a 57.58% catchable target rate from quarterbacks this season.
David Njoku is a fair tight end play, ranking as TE11 in points and TE6 in value on DraftKings, while on FanDuel he is TE15 in points and TE14 in value. Njoku runs 29.0 routes per game and has a 13.6% target share on routes run while gaining 1.21 yards per route run. He is a red zone favorite with seven red zone targets, which he has converted into three touchdowns but only limited DFS scoring.
Harold Fannin Jr. is also heavily involved at tight end with 6.4 targets per game this season. Fannin ranks as TE13 in points and TE20 in value on DraftKings, with strong ranks of TE10 in points and TE9 in value on FanDuel. He is running 28.0 routes and has a solid 18.4% target share, resulting in two scores on five red zone targets.
Cedric Tillman is a deep-threat option with a 9.3-yard ADOT. The receiver drops into the Week 11 slate ranking as WR42 in points and WR25 in value on DraftKings. He is running 33.0 routes per game and has two touchdowns on four red zone targets for the season but picked up just two catches for 11 yards on four targets in his first game back in action last weekend.
Isaiah Bond is a very thin play, ranking as WR74 in points and WR74 in value on DraftKings. He is running 24.5 routes per game but has a 46.67% catchable ball rate and zero touchdowns.
The Browns stack is a challenging notion this week. While we can squeeze value out of individual Jerry Jeudy or Quinshon Judkins shares, the other skill options have only limited value and the quarterback is generally unappealing. Cleveland is facing a middling defense that has not put much pressure on quarterbacks this season but they rank as just Stack 21 by points on both sites while sitting as Stack 17 by value on DraftKings and Stack 21 by value on FanDuel.
Denver Broncos
Game Total: 45.0 / DEN +4.0
Offense: 42.79% rush / 57.21% pass / 23.5 ppg / 4.8 ypa rush / 6.1 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.3 ypa rush / 7.1 ypa pass / 17.7 ppg / 7.43% sack / 2.41% int
Key Player: Bo Nix
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Courtland Sutton, RJ Harvey (on/off), Troy Franklin, Evan Engram, Marvin Mims Jr., Pat Bryant, Jaleel McLaughlin (on/off)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Rashee Rice, Kareem Hunt, Xavier Worthy, Travis Kelce, Hollywood Brown, Noah Gray, JuJu Smith-Schuster
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Bo Nix is a value mixer at quarterback. He ranks as QB14 in points and QB21 in value on DraftKings, while on FanDuel he is QB14 in points and QB17 in value, not showing special marks at any of those stops. Nix has been excellent with a completion percentage that sits 9.3 points over expectation by CPOE and throwing 18 passing touchdowns. He adds a safe floor with 4.7 carries for 20.5 rushing yards per game and three rushing scores, and was capable punching the ball in for six last year as well. The quarterback is limited to some extent, despite the strong CPOE mark, Nix has thrown eight interceptions on the season and his looks have been primarily short with a 3.4 completed air yards per attempt over 7.9 intended air yards per attempt.
Running Backs
RJ Harvey is an intriguing value, ranking as RB15 in points and RB11 in value on DraftKings, and RB15 in points and RB6 in value on FanDuel. Harvey should be expected to take over primary duties in the backfield going forward, with JK Dobbins hitting IR. The running back gains a steady 4.3 yards per rush attempt with 2.2 yards gained after contact per attempt. Harvey has a pair of rushing touchdowns and has seen involvement in the passing game as well. The running back is targeted 2.9 times per game and has four touchdown catches on the board already this season on four red zone targets. Harvey has managed to produce steady numbers despite limited involvement, he should see a big uptick and looks at worst like a good value play.
Jaleel McLaughlin is a thin play, ranking as RB42 in points and RB42 in value on DraftKings. He is only averaging 1.0 carry per game. Tyler Badie is a deep satellite back, ranking as RB45 in points and RB45 in value on DraftKings. He has one red zone target and zero touchdowns but should see an increased role with everyone moving up a spot in Week 11.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Courtland Sutton remains the lead receiver, ranking as WR24 in points and WR38 in value on DraftKings, with ranks of WR26 in points and WR37 in value on FanDuel. Sutton runs 36.3 routes per game and draws a fair 19.9% target share on those routes. While he picks up just 1.36 yards per route run, part of that can be blamed on Nix, given a 60.27% catchable target rate from the quarterback. Sutton’s 12.8-yard ADOT and 31.06% air yards share show a clear downfield role, which has led to four touchdowns and ongoing big play potential.
Troy Franklin has carved out a significant role. He ranks as WR28 in points and WR37 in value on DraftKings, and WR23 in points and WR17 in value on FanDuel. Franklin has seen a 22.1% target share and a massive 35.05% air yards share on a 13.0-yard average depth of target that leads this capable group. He is a primary red zone threat, with 14 red zone targets, and he continues a strong under-the-radar season with five touchdown catches.
Evan Engram is a mid-board tight end, ranking as TE12 in points and TE11 in value on DraftKings, while on FanDuel he is TE17 in points and TE15 in value. Engram is running 23.2 routes per game and has a 13.6% target share on routes run, good for 3.1 catches per game but only 1.09 yards per route run. The tight end gains 5.8 yards per target with 4.9 yards coming after the catch on each reception, good for 0.3 yards beyond expectation after the catch per catch. He has one touchdown and has seen five red zone targets.
Marvin Mims Jr. is a GPP-only play, ranking as WR52 in points and WR55 in value on DraftKings. Mims Jr. runs 18.0 routes per game and has a 9.7% target share on routes run, but he has big-play potential, as evidenced by his one rushing and one receiving touchdown in limited action and a 12.6-yard average depth of target.
Pat Bryant is a deep punt, ranking as WR56 in points and WR46 in value on DraftKings. He runs 15.9 routes per game and has a 5.7% target share, which he has converted into one touchdown on two red zone targets. Adam Trautman is a blocking tight end, ranking as TE41 in points and TE41 in value on DraftKings. He is running 10.9 routes per game and has one touchdown but no real value for DFS play.
The Denver Broncos stack is a low-total option, ranking 18th in points and 21st in value on DraftKings, with a 17th points rank and 16th value rank on FanDuel. They face a mid-pack Kansas City Chiefs defense that is 17th against the run (allowing 4.3 YPRA) and 19th against the pass (allowing 7.1 YPPA).
Green Bay Packers
Game Total: 42.5 / GB – 7.5 (25.0)
Offense: 45.95% rush / 54.05% pass / 23.7 ppg / 3.9 ypa rush / 7.9 ypa pass
oppDEF: 5.5 ypa rush / 6.9 ypa pass / 27.3 ppg / 5..59% sack / 1.13% int
Key Player: Jordan Love
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Josh Jacobs (on/off), Romeo Doubs, Christian Watson, Dontayvion Wicks, Luke Musgrave, Matthew Golden (Q)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Wan’Dale Robinson, Tyrone Tracy Jr., Theo Johnson, Devin Singletary, Daniel Bellinger, Jalin Hyatt (large field; on/off), Ray-Ray McCloud III (large field; on/off)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
The Packers are one of the week’s better favorites at -7.5 in a 42.5-point game against the lowly New York Giants. Jordan Love is at the helm as usual, ranking as QB12 in points and QB18 in value on DraftKings at a high price that he could easily out-perform in a soft matchup, while on FanDuel he is QB12 in points and QB13 in value. Love faces a Giants team that ranks 11th against the pass with just 6.9 yards allowed per attempt, but the quarterback is averaging 249.7 passing yards per game and 7.9 per attempt. Love has thrown 13 passing touchdowns against just three interceptions while flashing a 1.2 CPOE.
Running Backs
Josh Jacobs is in a smash spot. He ranks as RB3 in points and RB3 in value on DraftKings, and RB3 in points and RB1 in value on FanDuel. Jacobs has been a true workhorse, averaging 18.0 carries for 67.6 yards with 3.8 added potential touches coming via targeting in the passing game. Jacobs has been a touchdown machine with 11 rushing scores on the season, though he has failed to hit for six in the passing attack. Jacobs gets to deploy his 2.1 yards after contact per attempt against the single worst run defense on the slate, the Giants are pathetic against the run, ranking a league-worst 32nd with 5.5 yards allowed per rush attempt this season. Josh Jacobs is a premium option on the ground both in and out of stacks in Week 11.
Emanuel Wilson is just a deep backup, ranking as RB43 in points and RB44 in value on DraftKings. He is averaging 4.7 carries per game and has zero touchdowns, though he has seen two red zone targets on limited snaps.
Receivers & Tight Ends
The Packers deep receiving room is getting healthy, and with that comes a modicum of uncertainty. We expect to see Romeo Doubs continue to lead the group, in which case he is a great value, ranking as WR15 in points and WR3 in value on DraftKings, with ranks of WR13 in points and WR3 in value on FanDuel. Doubs is a consistent downfield threat, running 29.1 routes per game with a 12.6-yard ADOT and a massive 39.6% air yards share for the season. While that will adjust somewhat with everyone in play, Doubs is a big downfield receiver on a squad that takes big downfield shots. He has cashed in with four touchdowns on 10 red zone targets and lives in big play territory while drawing a 64.29% catchable target rate from Love.
Christian Watson is a playable piece in and out of stacks in GPPs as a mid-range upside option. Watson slots in ranking as WR34 in points and WR31 in value on DraftKings, and WR28 in points and WR24 in value on FanDuel. He is running 29.7 routes per game and has an enormous 25.9-yard ADOT over three games since his return to action. However, he has an alarmingly low 4.5% target share and has yet to find the end zone, though that does amount to four targets in each of his three games.
Dontayvion Wicks is a value piece, ranking as WR48 in points and WR54 in value on DraftKings, with ranks of WR45 in points and WR49 in value on FanDuel. He is running 20.0 routes per game and has a 10.5% target share, which includes two red zone targets, but he has not yet scored despite drawing snaps in seven games this season.
Matthew Golden is a deep punt who remains questionable to play. Golden is currently ranking as WR50 in points and WR57 in value on DraftKings, and WR57 in points and WR60 in value on FanDuel. The speedy rookie is on the field for 23.5 routes per game and has a 10.9% target share this season, and his 4.1 yards after catch is -0.7 yards below expectation per catch. Golden has zero touchdowns on two red zone targets
Luke Musgrave is a the go-to tight end with Tucker Kraft out of action but with a high-volume running back and several needy pass-catchers ahead of him, Musgrave is ranking as just TE22 in points and TE30 in value on DraftKings, with ranks of TE20 in points and TE22 in value on FanDuel. He is only running 12.4 routes per game and has a 4.9% target share, resulting in zero touchdowns but did run 33 routes on 52 snaps while catching three of three targets for 23 yards last week, his second game in a row with three catches and three targets.
The Packers stack looks within reach, ranking eighth in points and seventh in value on DraftKings, with a fifth points rank and third value rank on FanDuel. They get an elite matchup against the Giants, who have the league’s 32nd-ranked run defense, allowing 5.5 yards per rush attempt but a respectable 11th-ranked pass defense at just 6.9 yards per pass. Green Bay is likely to push those numbers upward this weekend. Josh Jacobs is the main go-to option from this offense, he functions in and out of stacks but everyone with a projection is in the mix in a broad and unpredictable passing attack.
Houston Texans
Game Total: 37.0 / HOU – 5.5 (21.25)
Offense: 40.83% rush / 59.17% pass / 22.7 ppg / 4.2 ypa rush / 6.7 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.8 ypa rush / 7.9 ypa pass / 28.6 ppg / 7.67% sack / 1.89% int
Key Player: Davis Mills
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Nico Collins, Woody Marks (on/off), Nick Chubb (on/off), Jayden Higgins, Xavier Hutchinson, Jaylin Noel, Christian Kirk
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Tony Pollard, Calvin Ridley, Tyjae Spears, Elic Ayomanor, Chig Okonkwo, Chimere Dike, Gunnar Helm
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Davis Mills is a top value flier, ranking as QB17 in points but QB2 in value on DraftKings, with ranks of QB17 in points and QB14 in value on FanDuel at more pedestrian pricing. Mills is only in play on the DraftKings board because of a $4,500 price tag, he has slate-bending potential at that price, as demonstrated with 292 yards and two touchdowns with just one interception on 27-45 passing just last week. Mills is capable and has at least one premium receiver in two, he is a playable mixer at worst and a potentially key value again this week on DraftKings against a defense that allows 7.9 yards per pass attempt to sit 29th in football.
Running Backs
Woody Marks is the lead back in the Houston offense in our projections for Week 11, ranking as RB18 in points and RB17 in value on DraftKings, with ranks of RB18 in points and RB15 in value on FanDuel. Marks averages 9.0 carries for 33.8 yards and has two rushing touchdowns, and adds a touch of value as a receiver with 1.7 catches per game and two receiving touchdowns. Marks gains 3.8 yards per rush attempt for 0.3 yards over expectation per attempt, he is capable but not special with only moderate marks for efficiency.
Nick Chubb is the next man up at running back, ranking as RB28 in points and RB28 in value on DraftKings. The veteran carried the ball just five times on 10 snaps in Week 10 but averages 10.7 carries for 44.7 yards and has two rushing touchdowns. His 5.21% explosive run rate is solid, but he has only one red zone target in the passing attack and low DFS value without a touchdown scoring opportunity coming his way.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Nico Collins is an elite play, ranking as WR6 in points and WR6 in value on DraftKings, while on FanDuel he is WR6 in points and WR10 in value. Collins is by far the primary weapon in this offense, running 33.5 routes per game and earning a 23.1% target share on those routes. The receiver gains 2.05 yards per route run on an 11.5-yard average depth of target. His 33.3% air yards share is substantial, and he has converted 11 red zone targets into three touchdowns despite just a 56.94% catchable target rate from Houston quarterbacks this season.
Tight end Dalton Schultz is a strong tight option who ranks as TE9 in points and TE12 in value on DraftKings, and TE8 in points and TE7 in value on FanDuel. Schultz runs 31.3 routes per game and has a 18.9% target share on routes run, but has only caught one touchdown pass and seen just four red zone targets for the year. Schultz draws 6.6 targets per game, he picks up a bit of value in full-PPR scoring and does come with touchdown potential despite the lack of output.
Jayden Higgins is a GPP punt, ranking as WR54 in points and WR53 in value on DraftKings. He is running 20.4 routes per game and has a 9.3% target share, which he has converted into three touchdowns while posting a 15.79% explosive play rate on receptions. Christian Kirk is a thin play, ranking as WR62 in points and WR65 in value on DraftKings. He is running 26.4 routes per game but has a low 8.7% target share and has not scored.
Further down the board, Jaylin Noel is a deep-threat option, ranking as WR66 in points and WR67 in value on DraftKings. He runs 13.4 routes per game and has a 9.6-yard ADOT, but that has so far resulted in just one touchdown and three red zone targets. Xavier Hutchinson is a possession receiver, ranking as WR68 in points and WR64 in value on DraftKings. He is running 28.8 routes per game and has a 9.3% target share, which he has converted into three touchdowns while drawing four red zone targets.
The Houston Texans stack is in a phenomenal position, ranking 17th in points but 10th in value on DraftKings, with a 15th points rank and 18th value rank on FanDuel against one of the NFL’s worst defenses. The Titans are 25th against the run at 4.8 yards allowed per rush and 29th against the pass while giving up 7.9 yards per attempt. Nico Collins is in prime position for a big week in all formats across the industry but other Texans options could be in play in Mills + 2 builds, it is difficult to envision a full stack of Texans that does not include Collins reaching maximum potential but it remains possible.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Game Total: 43.5 / JAC -3.0 (20.25)
Offense: 42.03% rush / 57.97% pass / 22.8 ppg / 4.4 ypa rush / 6.3 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.9 ypa rush / 6.3 ypa pass / 20.3 ppg / 8.71% sack / 2.96% int
Key Player: Trevor Lawrence
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Travis Etienne Jr., Jakobi Meyers, Brian Thomas Jr. (Q), Parker Washington, Dyami Brown (large field), Bhayshul Tuten (on/off)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Ladd McConkey, Quentin Johnston (Q), Keenan Allen, Kimani Vidal, Oronde Gadsden II, Tre’ Harris
Game Notes:
Quarterback
The Jaguars are in interesting position this week on the strong side of a 3-point spread in a 44.5-point game against the Chargers. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence is in a particularly difficult spot against the third-ranked pass defense that allows just 6.3 yards per pass attempt this season. Lawrence ranks as QB16 in points and QB11 in value on DraftKings, and QB16 in points and QB15 in value on FanDuel. He is averaging 222.0 passing yards and just 6.3 per pass attempt with a -1.1 CPOE and has 10 passing touchdowns, but adds a bit of upside with his legs, averaging 4.9 carries and totaling four rushing touchdowns. Lawrence is just a mixer at quarterback, the team has pass-catchers who are intriguing in pairings with the quarterback or in larger stacks, but none of them are absolute priorities for the slate from the lower-end of the board as a whole.
Running Backs
Travis Etienne Jr. has a fantastic matchup against the 27th-ranked run defense, he may be the best angle into the Jaguars spot this week. Etienne Jr. ranks as RB10 in points and RB2 in value on DraftKings, while on FanDuel he is RB10 in points and RB9 in value. The running back sees steady potential touches with 15.0 carries for 72.9 yards per week and another 3.4 potential touches coming from targets. Etienne has three rushing touchdowns and one through the air, he is a threat in the passing game, catching 2.3 passes per game for 4.2 yards per target overall.
Bhayshul Tuten is a deep backup, ranking as RB36 in points and RB37 in value on DraftKings. He is averaging 5.0 carries per game and has two rushing touchdowns, while also catching one receiving touchdown. There is some explosiveness in the running back, though that has amounted to just 3.6 yards per rush attempt this season. Tuten is unlikely to contribute unless he poaches a touchdown at a cheap price.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Jakobi Meyers is the top priority receiver from the Jaguars, whether Brian Thomas Jr. suits up or not. Meyers was acquired at the deadline and ranks as WR21 in points but WR4 in value on DraftKings, with ranks of WR25 in points and WR18 in value on FanDuel. For the season, Meyers is running 30.9 routes per game and has a 19.8% target share, his 4.6 yards after catch is solid, though he has zero touchdowns on five red zone targets. Meyes caught three passes for 41 yards on three targets over 17 routes run in his Jaguars debut against Houston last week, he has more than that to offer on any given slate but, like Lawrence, he will need to beat a good pass defense.
Brian Thomas Jr. is questionable to play going into Sunday after getting limited practices in. The disappointing second-year man is a deep-threat option, ranking as WR29 in points and WR48 in value on DraftKings, and WR38 in points and WR48 in value on FanDuel. Thomas Jr. runs 35.8 routes per game and draws a 19.5% target share on routes run. His 31.06% air yards share highlights his downfield role (12.9-yard ADOT), which has somehow led to just one touchdown prior to the receiver’s recent absence.
Parker Washington is a GPP flyer, ranking as WR37 in points and WR52 in value on DraftKings, though he climbs the board if Thomas Jr. sits. Washington caught three passes for 33 yards and a score last week and had a massive eight-catch 90-yard day on nine targets over 38 routes run in Week 9 against Las Vegas prior to the trade for Meyers. Overall, Washington is running 25.0 routes per game with a 16.6% target share on routes run. He has been a red zone option, converting five red zone targets into two touchdowns but big DFS days have been difficult to uncover and he could see a reduction in chances.
Dyami Brown is a very thin play, ranking as WR65 in points and WR68 in value on DraftKings. Brown ran just 14 routes on 23 snaps last week and failed to catch his lone target, he caught three of seven targets the week before. He is running 24.0 routes per game but has a low 11.4% target share, though he does have one touchdown and eight red zone targets on the year.
The Jaguars stack is a lower mid-range option, ranking 15th in points and 13th in value on DraftKings, with an 18th points rank and 15th value rank on FanDuel. They face a Chargers defense that is stingy against the pass, which limits the upside of Lawrence and his receivers, but not necessarily against the run, potentially unleashing Travis Etienne Jr. for a big day.
Kansas City Chiefs
Game Total: 45.0 / KC -4.0 (24.5)
Offense: 42.39% rush / 57.61% pass / 26.1 ppg / 4.5 ypa rush / 7.4 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.6 ypa rush / 6.4 ypa pass / 17.3 ppg / 12.43% sack / 1.54% int
Key Player: Patrick Mahomes
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Rashee Rice, Kareem Hunt, Xavier Worthy, Travis Kelce, Hollywood Brown, Noah Gray, Brashard Smith (on/off), JuJu Smith-Schuster (large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Courtland Sutton, RJ Harvey (on/off), Troy Franklin, Evan Engram, Marvin Mims Jr., Pat Bryant, Jaleel McLaughlin (on/off)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Patrick Mahomes is a premier quarterback play and the sun will also rise tomorrow, these and more bold statements, only here at rotoscouts. Mahomes ranks as QB2 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel, while his value ranks as QB13 on DraftKings but QB3 on FanDuel at an affordable $8,300. The superstar passer is averaging 261.0 passing yards per week and has 17 passing touchdowns, bolstered by a strong 5.7 CPOE. Mahomes gains 7.4 yards per pass attempt and his accurate season has led to just five interceptions against the solid touchdown mark. The quarterback adds significant upside on the ground, averaging 5.2 carries for 6.1 yards per attempt and four rushing touchdowns, and he comes with several premium options for stacking at a variety of position and price fits, though the matchup is difficult against a Denver defense that is tops against the run at 3.6 yards per attempt and fourth against the pass at 6.4 yards allowed per attempt.
Running Backs
Kareem Hunt is the primary back, but he faces a brutal matchup against the top-ranked run defense on the slate. The Broncos have mostly held opposing rushers in check all season and Hunt does not seem different, despite exceeding expectations overall this season. The running back gains 0.8 yards over expectation per attempt for 4.0 yards per attempt and ranks as RB20 in points and RB20 in value on DraftKings, with ranks of RB19 in points and RB19 in value on FanDuel. He is averaging 8.1 carries for 32.7 yards and has five rushing touchdowns. He adds one receiving touchdown to the total but draws just 1.2 targets per game. Brashard Smith is a deep GPP punt, ranking as RB37 in points and RB33 in value on DraftKings. He is only averaging 3.1 carries per game and has not scored, but has seen two red zone targets.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Rashee Rice has become a target-hog, ranking as WR7 in points on DraftKings and WR5 on FanDuel. He is running 28.3 routes per game and has a team-high 2.53 yards per route run. Rice has been back in the mix for just three games, his 5.0 ADOT shows his short-area role, he already has three receiving touchdowns and one rushing touchdown and has scored in each of the games since his return.
Xavier Worthy is a strong value, ranking as WR18 in points and skipping his way to WR5 in value on DraftKings, with ranks of WR19 in points and WR20 in value on FanDuel. Worthy runs 28.1 routes per game and has a 13.3% target share while posting 1.30 yards per route run. His 11.9 ADOT and 20.39% air yards share show his downfield usage, which has led to one touchdown on five red zone targets.
Travis Kelce is a top-tier tight end. He ranks as TE3 in points but TE15 in value at his typically lofty DraftKings price. Kelce is TE6 in points and TE8 in value on FanDuel where he costs just $5,600 against the higher cap. The tight end star runs 33.1 routes per game and has a 17.7% target share. Kelce has three touchdowns on the season and has drawn eight red zone targets throughout the year, he is a go-to target in scoring territory.
Marquise “Hollywood” Brown is a GPP wide receiver, ranking as WR39 in points and WR41 in value on DraftKings. He is running 27.0 routes per game and has a 17.7% target share. He has been a solid red zone threat, seeing eight red zone targets and catching four touchdowns in limited action. Brown has dropped down the board overall, he gains 1.60 yards per route run for the season on a 67.92% catchable target rate from Mahomes.
Noah Gray is the second tight end in the Chiefs offense, he sees steady but lousy involvement and comes into Week 11 ranking as TE29 in points and TE27 in value on DraftKings. He is running 17.7 routes per game and has a 7.0% target share, but has not found the end zone in 2025. Gray is best reserved for Showdown formats.
JuJu Smith-Schuster is a thin play, ranking as WR70 in points and WR69 in value on DraftKings. He is running 24.6 routes per game and has a 10.0% target share, which has led to one touchdown on four red zone targets. He is the definition of a one-catch tournament lotto ticket.
The Chiefs stack is a strong option, ranking seventh in points but 14th in value on DraftKings, they look better as Stack 8 by points and Stack 7 by value on FanDuel. The matchup is a challenge, Kansas City has to face a Denver Broncos defense that is elite against the run and the pass this season. Denver has a ridiculous 46 sacks on the board already this year, 14 more than any other defense on this slate. Still, the Mahomes-led passing game is intriguing with the spread of quality weapons at a variety of prices, particularly at value marks on FanDuel.
Los Angeles Chargers
Game Total: 43.5 / LAC -3.0 (23.25)
Offense: 40.0% rush / 60.0% pass / 24.0 ppg / 4.7 ypa rush / 7.3 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.1 ypa rush / 6.9 ypa pass / 24.4 ppg / 3.40% sack / 3.52% int
Key Player: Justin Herbert
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Ladd McConkey, Quentin Johnston (Q), Keenan Allen, Kimani Vidal, Oronde Gadsden II, Tre’ Harris
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Travis Etienne Jr., Jakobi Meyers, Brian Thomas Jr., Parker Washington, Dyami Brown (large field), Bhayshul Tuten (on/off)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
The Chargers are a good offense that draws a mid-board implied team total against a solid Jacksonville defense in Week 11. This game could easily surprise DFS gamers simply by virtue of two quality defenses limiting a pair of offenses with some name-brand options, it is not an easy spot. One of the better chances at success, of course, is Justin Herbert, a top-tier quarterback on this slate. Herbert ranks as QB4 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel, while his value ranks as QB9 on both sites. He is averaging 261.0 passing yards per game and 7.3 per attempt with 19 passing touchdowns against eight interceptions this season. Herbert is a capable runner who has a rushing touchdown on the board but we are looking for him to succeed in the air with some of his premium pass-catchers along for the ride.
Running Backs
Kimani Vidal has taken over the backfield and gets a great matchup after a strong Week 10 performance that saw him carry the ball a massive 25 times over 68 snaps. Vidal gained 95 yards and scored a touchdown on those carries, his second score of the year on the ground and third overall. He ranks as RB9 in points and RB8 in value on DraftKings, and RB8 in points and RB10 in value on FanDuel against a defense that sits 11th against the run with 4.1 yards allowed per rush attempt. He is averaging 13.0 carries for 4.4 yards per attempt and 57.7 yards per game has two rushing touchdowns on the board in limited chances. Vidal has been efficient, with a 1.1 YPA/EXP and 2.3 yards after contact per attempt.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Ranking as WR9 in points and WR13 in value on DraftKings, with ranks of WR10 in points and WR13 in value on FanDuel, Ladd McConkey is a top option at the position in Week 11. The receiver is running 37.4 routes per game and commands a 22.6% target share which he has managed to turn into 1.69 yards per route run, good not great production overall. McConkey has been a red zone favorite, converting 10 red zone targets into four touchdowns despite a slow start to the season in the scoring department. The receiver is a go-to in this loaded group of pass-catchers but those opportunities can be fickle and there are only a few chances to go around even in a high-scoring game.
Quentin Johnston is a strong secondary option, the receiver is capable of big downfield scoring plays and draws a team-leading 10.3-yard average depth of target with a 24.78% air yards share that is glightty behind the marks set by McConkey and team leader Keenan Allen. Johnston ranks as WR25 in points and WR23 in value on DraftKings, with ranks of WR21 in points and WR23 in value on FanDuel. He is running 37.6 routes per game and has a 17.8% target share while delivering 1.49 yards per route run. His 24.78% air yards share and nine red zone targets show his value, which has converted into six touchdowns and upside DFS scoring.
Keenan Allen leads the team with a 27.19% air yards share on his 8.6-yard average depth of target over 8.0 targets per game. Allen is tied with McConkey at a 22.6% target share on routes run but his dozen red zone targets easily lead this group and provide major scoring potential on any given slate, he has four touchdown catches this season. Allen ranks as WR27 in points and WR34 in value on DraftKings. He is running 29.2 routes per game and has a 22.6% target share.
Oronde Gadsden II is a primary receiving tight end who has come on strong in the first half of the 2025 campaign. Gadsden II ranks as TE5 in points but TE14 in value on DraftKings, and TE3 in points and TE6 in value on FanDuel. His 12.4% target share is solid, and he has a massive 11 red zone targets in just eight games with the team, though that has resulted in only two touchdown catches. The tight end has plenty of potential but has also gotten buzzy around the industry in a beatable spot.
Tre’ Harris is a low-end GPP dart, ranking as WR61 in points and WR61 in value on DraftKings. He is running 14.1 routes per game, but has one touchdown on two red zone targets. Tyler Conklin is a very thin TE option, ranking as TE42 in points and TE45 in value on DraftKings. He is running just 8.5 routes per game and has zero touchdowns.
The Chargers stack looks like a strong play on the back of the team’s premium passer and solid group of receivers. Los Angeles is currently ranking as Stack 6 in points and Stack 9 in value on DraftKings, with and as Stack 6/6 on FanDuel. Any of the three primary receivers and Oronde Gadsden II are easy to play in and out of stacks this week and Kimani Vidal should provide value even with popularity and even with a good rush defense on the other side. Ultimately, Herbert +1 or +2 pass-focused builds are the way to go in this matchup.
Los Angeles Rams
Game Total: 48.5 / LAR -3.0 (25.75)
Offense: 43.28% rush / 56.72% pass / 27.9 ppg / 4.1 ypa rush / 7.8 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.7 ypa rush / 6.4 ypa pass / 19.1 ppg / 8.53% sack / 2.62% int
Key Player: Matthew Stafford
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Puka Nacua, Davante Adams (Q), Kyren Williams, Tyler Higbee (on/off), Terrance Ferguson (on/off), Jordan Whittington (large field), Colby Parkinson (large field; on/off), Davis Allen (large field; on/off)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Kenneth Walker III (on/off), Zach Charbonnet (on/off), Cooper Kupp, Rashid Shaheed, AJ Barner, Elijah Arroyo,
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Veteran quarterback Matthew Stafford pilots the Rams offense, ranking as QB5 in points on both sites. He is QB17 by value on DraftKings and QB5 for points-per-dollar on FanDuel. Stafford averages 269.7 passing yards per game and 7.8 per attempt and has 25 passing touchdowns against just two interceptions despite a -4.0 CPOE mark for the year, which means he should be oddly expected to potentially improve in the remaining weeks. Stafford gets a tough matchup against the 4th-ranked pass defense that allows just 6.4 yards per pass attempt.
Running Backs
Kyren Williams has picked up a bit of praise in this space for marginal improvement to 4.5 yards per rush attempt for the season, a mark that sits 0.5 yards above expectation per attempt. Unfortunately, Williams faces a brutal matchup against the third-ranked run defense that gives up just 3.7 yards per rush attempt on the season. Williams still sees major volume but not quote to the levels at which he drew touches last year. With 16.2 carries and 3.2 targets per game he is just below the “magic number” of 20 potential touches per week. Kyren Williams ranks as RB11 in points and RB16 in value on DraftKings, and RB11 in points and RB17 in value on FanDuel. He is averaging 16.2 carries for 73.2 yards and has five rushing touchdowns on the season while catching passes with regularity and scoring three receiving touchdowns.
Blake Corum is the backup running back, ranking as RB31 in points and RB27 in value on DraftKings. He is averaging 7.4 carries per game and has one rushing touchdown and has seen increasingly regular action spelling and supporting Williams, but the matchup is prohibitive.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Puka Nacua is an elite alpha receiver. He ranks as WR3 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel, and as WR15 in value on DraftKings and WR5 on FanDuel despite the challenging matchup. Nacua is averaging a nearly unheard of 3.46 yards per route run and commands a 26.1% target share on a 9.4-yard ADOT. He has one rushing and four receiving touchdowns, and has seen seven red zone targets while drawing 9.9 per game overall.
Davante Adams is a high-volume target who pulls in 4.7 of 8.7 targets per week. The veteran has proven in a big way that he is not done yet, posting nine touchdown catches on the season while drawing a 12.8-yard ADOT and 36.65% air yards share. Adams is ranking as WR10 in points but WR40 in value on DraftKings, with ranks of WR9 in points and WR19 in value on FanDuel at high prices on both sites but a higher relative cost on DraftKings. Adams’ secret to scoring so many touchdowns? 21 red zone targets and counting on the season, he is an elite go-to scoring option in the passing game against anyone.
Tyler Higbee is a low-ADOT (4.6-yard) tight end, ranking as TE23 in points and TE18 in value on DraftKings. He is running 19.0 routes per game and has a 9.2% target share, resulting in two touchdowns and six red zone targets. Jordan Whittington is a deep punt, ranking as WR60 in points and WR56 in value on DraftKings. He is running 17.3 routes per game and has a 5.6% target share for just 0.78 yards per route run on the season.
Terrance Ferguson is a GPP dart throw, ranking as TE30 in points and TE29 in value on DraftKings. He is running only 8.2 routes per game but has a 22.5 ADOT and one touchdown. Colby Parkinson is another thin TE option, ranking as TE33 in points and TE33 in value on DraftKings. He has one touchdown on seven red zone targets. Davis Allen is the TE4, ranking as TE38 in points and TE38 in value on DraftKings. He has three touchdowns on five red zone targets despite running only 9.4 routes per game. You can see the pattern forming here, hopefully.
The Los Angeles Rams stack is a premium scoring option but a challenging price fit, ranking second in points but 20th in value on DraftKings, with a second-ranked points rank and 12th-ranked value rank on FanDuel. They face a Seattle Seahawks defense that is elite against the run and the pass with 3.7 yards allowed per rush and 6.4 per pass attempt. Los Angeles pieces and parts are tremendous on any given slate, the pass-catchers are among the very best high-volume high-scoring options in the league, the team has a capable star passers and an improved high-volume touchdown-sniffing running back.
Minnesota Vikings
Game Total: 48.0 / MIN -3.0 (25.5)
Offense: 38.46% rush / 61.54% pass / 22.3 ppg / 4.6 ypa rush / 6.9 ypa pass
oppDEF: 5.2 ypa rush / 8.2 ypa pass / 27.4 ppg / 7.05% sack / 4.69% int
Key Player: JJ McCarthy
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Justin Jefferson, Aaron Jones Sr., Jordan Addison, Jordan Mason, TJ Hockenson, Jalen Nailor
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Rome Odunze, DJ Moore, D’Andre Swift (on/off), Kyle Monangai (on/off), Colston Loveland, Olamide Zaccheaus, Luther Burden III, Cole Kmet (on/off)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
J.J. McCarthy has not been good in his limited action this season, though he is coming off of a career-high 248 passing yards in last week’s game. That mark came on 20-42 passing for one touchdown with a pair of interceptions, though McCarthy padded scoring with a rushing touchdown. He had a pair of touchdown passes but threw for just 143 yards on 14-25 passing in Week 9 against Detroit and failed to crack the 160-yard mark in either of his two early-season starts. Against a Bears defense that has been flat-out bad this season, the quarterback slots into this week as an elite value option. JJ McCarthy ranks as QB6 in points and QB1 in value on both DraftKings and FanDuel this week against a defense allowing 5.2 yards per rush and 8.2 yards per pass attempt.
Running Backs
Aaron Jones Sr. is a premier value, ranking as RB12 in points and RB4 in value on DraftKings, and RB12 in points and RB7 in value on FanDuel. The veteran running back is averaging 7.2 carries for 37.2 yards and has one rushing touchdown, but adds 2.0 receptions per game and one receiving touchdown. Jones gained 47 yards on nine carries and scored last week but the volume is extremely thin for a $5,500/$6,400 option.
Jordan Mason is the backup running back, ranking as RB27 in points and RB36 in value on DraftKings. The explosive rusher is averaging 11.3 carries for 49.3 yards and has four rushing touchdowns but those numbers were padded by Jones’ absence. His 9.8% explosive run rate is impressive, but he has only seen one red zone target in the passing game with limited output.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Justin Jefferson is an elite play in this crush-kill-destroy spot against one of football’s worst pass defenses. The receiver ranks as WR4 in points and WR11 in value on DraftKings, with ranks of WR4 in points and WR9 in value on FanDuel. Jefferson runs 37.1 routes per game and commands a 30.5% target share with a gargantuan 39.66% air yards share. 10 red zone targets have gone his way this season but Jefferson somehow has only managed two touchdowns overall on the year.
Jordan Addison is a strong secondary play. He ranks as WR23 in points and WR32 in value on DraftKings, with ranks of WR22 in points and WR29 in value on FanDuel. He is running 40.0 routes per game and has a 16.4% target share. Addison’s 13.4-yard ADOT keeps him in big play territory and nine red zone targets show his scoring potential, despite only turning in two actual touchdowns. Addison has drawn a limiting 60.0% catchable target rate from Vikings quarterbacks this season.
T.J. Hockenson is a fantastic TE value, ranking as TE10 in points but leaping to TE2 in value on DraftKings at a $3,000 price tag. Hockenson is TE13 in points and TE16 in value on FanDuel where he remains a more realistic $5,200 against the cap. The tight end runs 32.6 routes per game and has a 14.9% target share on routes run, resulting in 4.6 targets and 3.4 catches per game for 0.82 yards per route run, not a great mark. Hockenson has seen eight red zone chances and has a pair of touchdown catches with potential for more.
Jalen Nailor is a GPP dart throw, ranking as WR51 in points and WR44 in value on DraftKings. He is running 28.1 routes per game and has a 13.1% target share. He has seen a surprising 10 red zone targets, resulting in two touchdowns.
Josh Oliver is a very thin TE option, ranking as TE34 in points and TE34 in value on DraftKings. He is running only 5.7 routes per game but has four red zone targets, which he has converted into two touchdowns in this spread out distribution of scoring chances.
The Vikings stack presents a top-tier value, ranking fourth in points and fourth in value on DraftKings, with a fourth-ranked points rank and second-ranked value rank on FanDuel. They have a 25.5-point implied team total in a fantastic matchup against a struggling Chicago Bears defense that ranks 30th against the run (allowing 5.2 YPRA) and 30th against the pass (allowing 8.2 YPPA). Justin Jefferson is always playable in and out of stacks, the team’s other pass-catchers are solid options and the quarterback is very cheap for the upside against such a generous defense. The three-man group of McCarthy, Jefferson, and Hockenson costs just $15,700 on DraftKings this week.
New York Giants
Game Total: 42.5 / NYG +7.5 (17.5)
Offense: 44.60% rush / 60.99% pass / 21.7 ppg / 4.3 ypa rush / 7.0 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.8 ypa rush / 5.9 ypa pass / 19.8 ppg / 6.43% sack / 0.94% int
Key Player: Jameis Winston
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Wan’Dale Robinson, Tyrone Tracy Jr. (on/off), Theo Johnson, Devin Singletary, GGunner Olszewski, Ray-Ray McCloud III
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Josh Jacobs, Romeo Doubs, Christian Watson, Dontayvion Wicks, Matthew Golden, Luke Musgrave
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Veteran NFL quarterback, incredible citizen of the league, and future A+ broadcaster Jameis Winston does admirable work in proving that someone can be both spiritual and deeply committed to his bible study and still be a great time on and off the field, while also looking cool as shit walking into the stadium in press pictures. Winston is (finally) taking over as the signal-caller in New York, at least for this week with rookie Jaxson Dart on the shelf. The veteran gun for hire never saw a downfield receiver he didn’t want to try to hit, or a downfield defender he couldn’t connect with by mistake. Winston is a true roller-coaster but there is no more enjoyable way to spend a Sunday than to have at least one ticket to that ride. The idea of Winston finally getting Giants alleged deep threat Jalin Hyatt on the board is tantalizing as a sneaky approach, though it is a shame that he will not get to uncork deep shots to the team’s injured true number one. Winston faces a brutal matchup against the top-ranked pass defense, Green Bay allows just 5.9 yards per pass attempt on the season while holding rushing to just 3.8 yards per attempt. The Giants are likely to be behind and throwing early, which bodes well for at least a chance at some value-based points. He ranks as QB19 in points and QB10 in value on DraftKings, with ranks of QB19 in points and QB8 in value on FanDuel.
Running Backs
Tyrone Tracy Jr. is the lead back, but he has a very difficult draw against the fourth-ranked run defense. He ranks as RB17 in points and RB14 in value on DraftKings, with ranks of RB17 in points and RB13 in value on FanDuel. Tracy served mostly as the backup when healthy this season, averaging 8.0 carries for 31.0 yards and has one rushing touchdown on the year, but he has more chances in hand with Cam Skattebo gone for the year. His -1.1 YPA/EXP and 1.4 yards after contact per attempt are both concerning marks and he gains just 3.9 yards per rush attempt. Of course, Devin Singletary is not exactly intimidating with just 3.3 yards per rush attempt. Singletary is RB32/31 on both sites this week, he is averaging 4.4 carries per game and has not scored. He has only one red zone target all season and is barely involved in the passing game most weeks, though again much of that work came with Skattebo in the mix.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Wan’Dale Robinson is the team’s top target but that is not saying much if Malik Nabers is not on the field. Robinson ranks as WR12 in points and WR8 in value on DraftKings, and WR12 in points and WR2 in value on FanDuel, his $5,800 price is appealing even if the matchup is far from ideal. The receiver is running 35.1 routes per game and commands a 25.8% target share. His 8.4 ADOT is solid and may get deeper with Winston at the wheel. Robinson has excelled after the catch with 5.1 yards after catch, good for nearly a yard over expectation each time he gets the ball in his hands. He has two touchdowns and five red zone targets this season and could build an early connection with Winston as the trusted receiver in this offense.
Tight end Theo Johnson is a strong option ranking TE6 in points and TE8 in value on DraftKings, and TE5 in points and TE5 in value on FanDuel. Johnson has been a favorite target of Jaxson Dart, it will be interesting to see if that carries over to Winston. The tight end is running 30.7 routes per game and has a 16.7% target share. He has been a premier red zone weapon, converting 10 red zone targets into five touchdowns, all of which have come from Week 4 through Week 10.
Jalin Hyatt operates on a 21.7-yard ADOT that could be just what Jameis Winston is locked onto downfield early in this contest. Hyatt has been impenetrably bad as a receiver, barely registering targets, catches, and certainly not scoring in limited chances with New York after being touted as a deep threat on arrival (think Alec Pierce but not good). The receiver has three catches in seven games… not each week, total. Three catches. Those all came in Week 6 against the Eagles, when Hyatt drew a season-high five targets on 18 routes run. He has run 14 routes since, all of which came in Week 7 against Denver. He did not play in Week 8 or 10 and played just seven snaps on special teams in Week 9. This is a total wildcard, but if we are looking for the other end of the cheap deep ball from Winston, this is an interesting option.
Ray-Ray McCloud III is a very thin play, ranking as WR64 in points and WR63 in value on DraftKings, he has been limited for production throughout the season. Daniel Bellinger is the secondary tight end, ranking as TE32 in points and TE31 in value on DraftKings. He is running 12.3 routes per game and has a 4.6% target share, but has converted his five red zone targets into one touchdown. Gunner Olszewski is a non-viable receiver, ranking as WR72 in points and WR71 in value on DraftKings. He has one touchdown on the season.
The New York Giants stack offers intriguing value, ranking 19th in points but 11th in value on DraftKings, with a 19th points rank and leaping up to Stack 5 by value on FanDuel. Getting to Winston+1 or +2 is a viable approach from a value standpoint, though expectations must be heavily tempered for actual quality. This is the GPP play of GPP plays, which is not unfamiliar territory for this quarterback.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Game Total: 48.0 / PIT -5.5 (26.75)
Offense: 40.61% rush / 59.39% pass / 23.6 ppg / 3.8 ypa rush / 6.8 ypa pass
oppDEF: 5.4 ypa rush / 7.8 ypa pass / 33.3 ppg / 4.06% sack / 2.61% int
Key Player: Aaron Rodgers
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: DK Metcalf, Calvin Austin III, Jaylen Warren, Jonnu Smith, Pat Freiermuth, Roman Wilson, Darnell Washington
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Ja’Marr Chase, Chase Brown, Tee Higgins, Andrei Iosivas, Noah Fant
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Veteran signal-caller Aaron Rodgers is a value at quarterback in Week 11. Rodgers ranks as QB9 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel, while his value is QB4 on DraftKings and QB6 on FanDuel in a matchup against the vulnerable Cincinnati pass defense. While Rodgers has not been tremendous this season, he is averaging 205.9 passing yards and has 18 passing touchdowns, bolstered by a 7.2 CPOE mark. Rodgers gains just 6.8 yards per pass attempt, putting up 3.1 air yards per completion on a light 5.9 intended air yards per attempt. The quarterback’s best asset this week is that he gets to attack a 28th-ranked pass defense that gives up 7.8 yards per attempt.
Running Backs
Jaylen Warren is in a smash spot against the 31st-ranked run defense. While his volume is less than special, Warren has averaged 14,8 rush attempts over his last four games, gaining 72.5 yards per game and 4.9 per attempt over that stretch. He ranks as RB7 in points and RB5 in value on DraftKings, with ranks of RB9 in points and RB4 in value on FanDuel against a defense giving up a silly 5.4 yards per rush attempt. Warren is also a steady pass-catcher, averaging 2.9 receptions with one receiving touchdown in the books.
Kenneth Gainwell is the backup running back, ranking as RB30 in points and RB24 in value on DraftKings. He is averaging 5.8 carries for 24.4 yards per game and 4.2 per carry and has three rushing touchdowns. Gainwell has made a few big plays this season, as his 9.62% explosive rush rate will attest, but he is the clear distant second to Warren right now.
Receivers & Tight Ends
DK Metcalf is the top wideout, ranking as WR11 in points and WR9 in value on DraftKings, and WR11 in points and WR16 in value on FanDuel. Metcalf runs 27.2 routes per game with a 20.7% target share on routes run, posting a team-leading 2.05 yards per route run. The premium receiver has a good connection with Aaron Rodgers, they have linked up for five touchdowns on the season and a 68.52% catchable target rate. Metcalf’s 10.2 yards after catch is elite, good for 4.9 yards after the catch over expectation per reception, and he has nine red zone targets, which he has converted into five touchdowns. The receiver also draws a 32.42% air yards share on a 10.8-yard ADOT with the heavy targeting, he is a go-to option in this passing game and a crucial part of any Steelers stack.
Calvin Austin III is a value receiver, ranking as WR38 in points and WR27 in value on DraftKings, with ranks of WR37 in points and WR38 in value on FanDuel. He is running 22.3 routes per game and has a 13.8% target share while putting up just 1.52 yards per route run. Austin caught two early touchdowns and has three red zone targets on the season.
Jonnu Smith is a fair tight end value. He ranks as TE15 in points but springs to TE4 in value on DraftKings, while sitting as TE12 in points and TE12 in value on FanDuel. Smith runs just 18.6 routes per game with a 13.8% target share and has two touchdowns on four red zone targets over the course of the season. The tight end shares chances with Pat Freiermuth at the position, he is also a viable tight end, ranking as TE17 in points and TE13 in value on DraftKings, and TE18 in points and TE18 in value on FanDuel. Freiermuth is running 15.6 routes per game and has a 10.7% target share. He has been efficient, with 1.86 yards per route run and three touchdowns on five red zone targets.
Roman Wilson is a GPP dart throw, ranking as WR57 in points and WR51 in value on DraftKings. He is running 10.6 routes per game but has a limiting 5.7% target share, resulting in two touchdowns and 1.57 yards per route run in limited action.
The Pittsburgh Steelers stack is a solid value, ranking as Stack 14 by points but Stack 5 by value on DraftKings, and as Stack 12/9 on the FanDuel slate. Pittsburgh gets a dream matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals, who rank 31st against the run with 5.4 yards allowed per rush attempt and 28th against the pass at 7.8 yards allowed per pass attempt and a hefty 2.56 touchdown passes allowed per game. Jaylen Warren is playable in this spot both in and out of stacks, as is DK Metcalf, while most of the team’s remaining options are best kept for in-house builds.
Seattle Seahawks
Game Total: 48.5 / LAR -3.0 (22.75)
Offense: 52.92% rush / 47.08% pass / 30.6 ppg / 3.8 ypa rush / 9.8 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.9 ypa rush / 6.6 ypa pass / 17.0 ppg / 7.78% sack / 1.88% int
Key Player: Sam Darnold
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Jaxson Smith-Njigba, Cooper Kupp, Rashid Shaheed, Kenneth Walker III (on/off), Zach Charbonnet (on/off), AJ Barner, Elijah Arroyo
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group:
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Sam Darnold is under center for a high-end Seattle passing attack that has been elite this season. Darnold slots into Week 11 ranking as QB13 in points and QB14 in value on DraftKings, with ranks of QB13 in points and QB11 in value on FanDuel. He has been highly efficient with a slate-leading 9.9 yards per pass attempt and a 5.5 CPOE, while averaging 251.3 passing yards per game with 17 passing touchdowns against six interceptions. Darnold faces a challenging Rams pass defense that allows just 6.6 yards per pass attempt but this game could turn on the two quality defenses and turn into a bit of a scorcher given the 48.5-point Vegas total. Darnold’s extreme top-right placement on the graph from a tweet from FantasyPointsData below should be eye-opening to any lingering doubters, even in small-sample football considerations he has been elite for accuracy and efficiency.
Running Backs
Kenneth Walker III faces a difficult matchup against the seventh-ranked run defense. He ranks as RB19 in points and RB19 in value on DraftKings, and RB20 in points and RB23 in value on FanDuel with the Rams yielding just 3.9 yards per rush attempt to opponents this season. Walker III is averaging 13.3 carries for 59.9 yards and has three rushing touchdowns. with another six going in the direction of the Robin to his Batman, Zach Charbonnet, who carries the ball just 11.8 times per game but often enough in scoring position. Walker’s 10.83% explosive run rate is impressive, but his 0.0 YPA/EXP shows he has been average overall and his scoring continues to be poached. Charbonnet ranks as RB21 in points and RB21 in value on DraftKings, outside of the scoring he has been inefficient with a -0.6 YPA/EXP mark and just 3.3 yards per rush attempt on the season.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Jaxon Smith-Njigba is quite possibly the best receiver in football, he is an elite play on any slate, despite the tough matchup. “JSN” ranks as WR2 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel, and as WR19 in value on DraftKings and WR4 on FanDuel. He is averaging a completely wild 4.61 yards per route run and commands a 38.8% target share. His 48.5% air yards share is enormous, and he has five touchdown catches this season while drawing a 77.65% catchable target rate from his laser-accurate quarterback.
Cooper Kupp sees steady chances with the offense and came up just short of a big play touchdown last week. The veteran provides a solid floor and good value. He ranks as WR32 in points and WR12 in value on DraftKings, and WR35 in points and WR28 in value on FanDuel. Kupp runs 23.9 routes per game and has a 16.0% target share, resulting in one touchdown on the season but just missing on a few others while missing some time as well. Kupp is a playable option on a good team in a bad spot in Week 11.
Rashid Shaheed is a secondary receiver who was acquired at the deadline, he slots into this week ranking as WR35 in points and WR43 in value on DraftKings. The deep threat option is running 30.6 routes per game and has a 20.4% target share, which he has converted into two touchdowns, though he was limited to just one catch for three yards on one target over eight routes last weekend, adding 20 yards on two rushing plays in his Seattle debut. The prospects are brighter for big play receptions going forward with Darnold firing passes downfield, Shaheed is a sleeper option in Seattle stacks.
AJ Barner is the primary pass-catching tight end. He ranks as TE19 in points on both sites, with value ranks of TE19 on DraftKings and TE21 on FanDuel. He has a 11.9% target share and has been a red zone threat, catching four touchdowns on six red zone targets. Elijah Arroyo is a deep punt at tight end who slots in as TE24 in points and TE21 in value on DraftKings. He is running 13.4 routes per game and has a 9.1% target share, resulting in one touchdown on five red zone targets.
The Seahawks are Stack 11 in points and Stack 18 in value on DraftKings, with a Stack 11 points rank and Stack 20 value rank on FanDuel. They face a Rams defense that is tough against the run, Los Angeles ranks seventh, allowing 3.9 yards per rush and 6.6 yards per pass this season. “JSN” is playable in all formats always but the team has intriguing options in a +2 build around Darnold that leans into the possibility of this game scoring some points.
San Francisco 49ers
Game Total: 48.5 / SF -3.5 (26.0)
Offense: 41.54% rush / 58.46% pass / 22.0 ppg / 3.5 ypa rush / 7.6 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.3 ypa rush / 6.8 ypa pass / 23.9 ppg / 5.37% sack / 1.89% int
Key Player: Brock Purdy
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle, Ricky Pearsall, Jauan Jennings, Brian Robinson Jr. (on/off), Demarcus Robinson (large field), Kendrick Bourne (large field),
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Trey McBride, Zonovan Knight (on/off), Michael Wilson, Emari Demercado (on/off), Greg Dortch, Xavier Weaver, Elijah Higgins (large field)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Brock Purdy is looking like a fair QB value play in Week 11, ranking as QB8 in points and QB5 in value on DraftKings, and QB7 in points and flying to QB2 in value on FanDuel. Purdy averages 8.0 yards per pass attempt and has four passing touchdowns against four interceptions in his two games. The quarterback threw two of each in both Week 1 and Week 4 while throwing for 277 yards on 26-35 passing the first time out and 309 yards on 22-38 passing the second. If nothing else, Purdy should see plenty of opportunities to throw to quality play-makers but he is facing a stout pass defense that allows just 6.8 yards per attempt this season.
Running Backs
Christian McCaffrey is the top running back on this slate and most others. McCaffrey simply dominates opportunities, even though his per-attempt numbers have been less than stellar this season. The running back ranks as RB1 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel, and as RB7 in value on DraftKings and RB5 on FanDuel. He is a volume monster, averaging 18.0 carries for 62.6 yards with four rushing touchdowns and is even more valuable as a receiver, catching 6.9 passes per game from his ludicrous 9.0 weekly targets for another 69.2 yards and four receiving touchdowns, and has seen 16 red zone targets on the year. McCaffrey is a major go-to option in and out of 49ers stacks against a soft rush defense allowing 4.3 yards per attempt to sit in the middle of the league.
Brian Robinson Jr. is the backup running back, landing at RB35 in points and RB34 in value on DraftKings. He is averaging 4.9 carries per game and has two rushing touchdowns, and faces a 17th-ranked run defense, but is limited behind McCaffrey.
Receivers & Tight Ends
George Kittle is an elite tight end, ranking as TE2 in points on both sites. His value is also premium at $5,000/$6,600, ranking as TE3 on DraftKings and TE2 on FanDuel by points-per-dollar. Kittle runs just 24.4 routes per game but posts 1.51 yards per route run and has three touchdowns on six red zone targets in five games this season.
Ricky Pearsall is a strong play, ranking as WR20 in points on both sites with a bit of buzz about a late-season surge with his first game since Week 4. Pearsall is a reasonable mid-baord value as WR20 on DraftKings and WR7 on FanDuel, where the upside is more pronounced for just $5,700. Pearsall runs 28.6 routes per game and has a 16.0-yard ADOT and 20.57% air yards share, though he has zero touchdowns and just three red zone targets.
Jauan Jennings is a solid secondary receiver. He ranks as WR22 in points and WR17 in value on DraftKings, and WR24 in points and WR22 in value on FanDuel. Jennings is running 31.1 routes per game and has a 14.3% target share on routes run for 1.30 yards per route run. The receiver has been a key red zone threat, converting nine red zone targets into three touchdowns.
Demarcus Robinson is a deep GPP punt, ranking as WR71 in points and WR70 in value on DraftKings. He is running 19.7 routes per game and has a 14.4 ADOT, but has zero touchdowns.
The 49ers stack is elite with Purdy and Pearsall back in action, but they can be tricky with a lot of padding from the raw scoring projection provided by McCaffrey. San Francisco is ranking as Stack 3 in points and value on DraftKings, and Stack 3 in points and an elite Stack 1 by value rank on FanDuel. They draw an interesting matchup against the Arizona Cardinals, a defense that ranks 17th against the run (allowing 4.3 YPRA) but eighth against the pass (allowing 6.8 YPPA).
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Game Total: 46.5 / TB +6.0 (20.25)
Offense: 40.47% rush / 59.53% pass / 24.4 ppg / 4.0 ypa rush / 7.0 ypa pass
oppDEF: 5.5 ypa rush / 6.9 ypa pass / 21.9 ppg / 9.29% sack / 2.46% int
Key Player: Baker Mayfield
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Emeka Egbuka, Rachaad White, Cade Otton, Tez Johnson, Sterling Shepard
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: James Cook III, Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman, Dawson Knox, Joshua Palmer, Jackson Hawes
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Baker Mayfield is ranking as QB11 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel but he has slate-leading potential in most matchups. The Buccaneers draw a Buffalo defense that is giving up 5.5 yards per attempt on the ground but just 6.9 per attempt in the air this season, a challenging spot against another premium squad for Mayfield and Co. His value ranks are QB19 on DraftKings and QB19 on FanDuel but he can beat those with a solid performance. Mayfield is averaging 243.6 passing yards and has 16 passing touchdowns on the board against just a pair of interceptions, but has been inaccurate under the covers with a -7.1 CPOE. He faces a tough 11th-ranked pass defense that gives up just 6.9 yards per pass attempt.
Running Backs
Rachaad White is in an ideal spot against a rush defense opening the gates for 5.5 yards allowed per rush attempt to sit 32nd in the league. White ranks as RB16 in points and RB18 in value on DraftKings, and RB16 in points and RB18 in value on FanDuel. He is averaging 9.7 carries per game and has four rushing touchdowns, but he has been inefficient with a -0.3 yards per attempt over expectation. The running back has always padded scoring with his pass-catching abilities, he hauls in 2.9 passes per game on 3.2 targets for 4.6 yards per target but has failed to catch a touchdown pass to this point.
Sean Tucker is the backup running back, ranking as RB29 in points and RB32 in value on DraftKings. He is averaging 3.6 carries per game and has two rushing touchdowns, but has seen only one red zone target and is light on volume overall.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Emeka Egbuka is the top notch receiver in this offense for at least another few weeks with the team’s veteran stars ailing. Egbuka ranks as WR8 in points on both sites. His value is WR24 on DraftKings, still playable but not elite, while it stays high-end at WR8 on FanDuel. The rookie is running 34.7 routes per game and commands a 24.9% target share on routes run while putting up an excellent 2.17 yards per route run. His 39.06% air yards share and 12.5 ADOT show a massive downfield role, which he has converted into six touchdowns on the season.
Cade Otton is a premier tight end play, ranking as TE4 in points on both sites. His value is excellent, ranking as TE7 on DraftKings and TE3 on FanDuel. Otton runs 35.0 routes per game and has a 15.7% target share under normal circumstances, with room for more when the team is missing pieces like they are this week. Otton has failed to score but has at least seen a red zone chance this season.
Tez Johnson is a secondary receiver, ranking as WR40 in points and WR49 in value on DraftKings. He is running 22.0 routes per game and has a 9.8% target share. He has been a solid red zone threat, catching four touchdowns on two red zone targets. Sterling Shepard is a thin possession receiver, ranking as WR67 in points and WR72 in value on DraftKings. He is running 29.2 routes per game and has a 13.1% target share, resulting in one touchdown on four red zone targets.
The Tampa Bay stack ranks 13th in points and 19th in value on DraftKings, and sits as Stack 13/17 on FanDuel. The game against Buffalo should skew toward high scoring with the Bills rush defense allowing significant gains on the ground and the Bucs capable pass defense able to hold their own through the air against a quality Bills attack. Emeka Egbuka is the premium receiver in this group for standalone shares, while Cade Otton is a mixer tight end and Rachaad White should have standalone running back potential.
Tennessee Titans
Game Total: 37.0 / TEN +5.5 (15.75)
Offense: 35.47% rush / 64.53% pass / 14.4 ppg / 4.0 ypa rush / 6.0 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.9 ypa rush / 6.2 ypa pass / 16.7 ppg / 7.36% sack / 3.61% int
Key Player: Cam Ward
Setting: exactly one
Team Group: Tony Pollard, Calvin Ridley (Q), Tyjae Spears, Elic Ayomanor, Chig Okonkwo, Chimer Dike, Gunnar Helm, Van Jefferson (large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Nico Collins, Woody Marks (on/off), Nick Chubb (on/off), Jayden Higgins, Xavier Hutchinson, Jaylin Noel, Christian Kirk
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Cam Ward is under center for his lousy Titans, ranking as the rock-bottom QB22 in points and QB22 in value on DraftKings, with identical QB22 ranks on FanDuel. Ward is averaging 195.6 passing yards and has five passing touchdowns against six interceptions on the season, just ghastly numbers that are unlikely to improve even with Calvin Ridley back in action. Ward adds a minor floor with 2.0 carries per game but faces the league’s second-ranked pass defense and is in a heap of trouble this week.
Running Backs
Tony Pollard is the lead back, but he faces a stout seventh-ranked run defense. He ranks as RB22 in points and RB23 in value on DraftKings, and RB23 in points and RB21 in value on FanDuel. He is averaging 13.2 carries for 53.3 yards and has two rushing touchdowns, but he has been inefficient with a 0.0 YPA/EXP. Tyjae Spears is the change-of-pace back, ranking as RB24 in points and RB25 in value on DraftKings. He is averaging 6.0 carries for 30.4 yards and has one rushing touchdown. He has been explosive, with a 6.67% explosive run rate and a high 10.0% broken tackle rate.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Calvin Ridley is a deep-threat option due back from injury. Ridley currently is ranking as WR36 in points and WR39 in value on DraftKings, with ranks of WR39 in points and WR33 in value on FanDuel. He runs 26.5 routes per game and has a 12.8% target share. His 12.9 ADOT and 20.34% air yards share show his downfield role, but he has zero touchdowns on only one red zone target in five games earlier this season. Ridley has one good game on the board this year, a five-catch 131-yard Week 5 game against the Cardinals, every other week has been fewer than five catches for less than 60 yards.
Elic Ayomanor is a secondary receiver who put a couple of early touchdowns on the board in his rookie season before fading into the woodwork. Ayomanor slots into Week 11 ranking as WR44 in points and WR47 in value on DraftKings. He is running 31.7 routes per game and has a 19.3% target share while putting up 1.13 yards per route run. Ayomanor operates at a healthy 12.9-yard ADOT and carries a 28.97% air yards share, but that has not amounted to much.
Chig Okonkwo is the mix-in tight end, ranking as TE20 in points and TE23 in value on DraftKings, with ranks of TE22 in points and TE19 in value on FanDuel. He is running 24.2 routes per game and has a 14.2% target share. He excels after the catch with 6.4 yards after catch, but has zero touchdowns. Gunnar Helm is the backup tight end, who lands as TE28 in points and TE26 in value on DraftKings. He runs 13.9 routes per game and has a 9.1% target share, resulting in one touchdown on three red zone targets.
Chimere Dike is a deep punt, ranking as WR55 in points and WR62 in value on DraftKings. He is running 19.3 routes per game and has a 12.0% target share. He has one touchdown on seven red zone targets.
The Tennessee Titans stack is a GPP longshot by any measure, they are an awful go-nowhere football team that ranks dead last across the board on both sites in Week 11 in a brutal matchup against the Houston Texans, a defense that ranks seventh against the run (allowing 3.9 YPRA) and second against the pass (allowing 6.2 YPPA).
