This article focuses on building lineups with a quality foundation by utilizing the powerful Groups and Rules/Limits tools within the industry’s optimization tools. All of the concepts and pairings included below can also apply to hand-building. The goal is to create lineups with strong correlations among likely point-scorers to maximize the gains from infrequent scoring events within stacks while limiting the likelihood of building inefficient or negatively correlated entries for a full slate of NFL DFS lineups.
This video was made in a former life and features a detailed demonstration of how to apply these concepts in one leading optimizer tool: Fantasy Cruncher – How-To Video
All references to Sims were done via friends of the site: acemind.io
Don’t miss the Above/Below feature article for a few of our top picks, coming Sunday morning
Game notes are updated during the week and initially posted as “work in progress” as they take a long time to create, if teams are missing notes simply check back later in the day/week and they should be updated.
2025 Week 10 DraftKings & FanDuel NFL DFS Stack Rankings
The following stack rankings were created by pairing each team quarterback with his top three scoring options, whether they are three wide receivers, two wide receivers and a tight end, a wide receiver, tight end, and running back, or any viable combination. In some cases, an expensive running back can push the overall price point of his team stack in the value rankings.
| TEAM | OPP | FD$ | FDpRank | FDvalRank | DK$ | DkpRank | DKvalRank | Vegas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | TB | $29,700 | 8 | 15 | $25,500 | 7 | 14 | 11 |
| ATL | NYJ | $27,800 | 11 | 12 | $22,600 | 11 | 9 | 10 |
| BUF | PIT | $29,300 | 7 | 10 | $24,200 | 8 | 13 | 4 |
| CAR | LAR | $27,300 | 17 | 18 | $22,200 | 16 | 19 | 17 |
| CLE | SF | $24,700 | 20 | 19 | $17,900 | 19 | 11 | 19 |
| HOU | IND | $26,900 | 10 | 8 | $21,400 | 10 | 4 | 13 |
| IND | HOU | $29,900 | 5 | 5 | $27,100 | 3 | 16 | 7 |
| JAC | TEN | $26,800 | 9 | 6 | $23,800 | 9 | 12 | 5 |
| LAC | LV | $28,500 | 4 | 4 | $22,800 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| LAR | CAR | $34,000 | 1 | 3 | $30,100 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| LV | LAC | $26,600 | 13 | 13 | $21,500 | 13 | 8 | 18 |
| MIA | NO | $26,300 | 3 | 1 | $24,300 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| MIN | SEA | $26,900 | 18 | 20 | $21,800 | 18 | 20 | 20 |
| NO | MIA | $25,100 | 14 | 7 | $20,000 | 15 | 7 | 14 |
| NYJ | ATL | $25,100 | 16 | 14 | $17,200 | 17 | 1 | 16 |
| PIT | BUF | $27,700 | 15 | 17 | $22,300 | 14 | 18 | 9 |
| SEA | MIN | $29,300 | 2 | 2 | $24,400 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| SF | CLE | $29,300 | 6 | 9 | $25,300 | 5 | 10 | 11 |
| TB | ARI | $29,000 | 12 | 16 | $23,500 | 12 | 15 | 5 |
| TEN | JAC | $21,900 | 19 | 11 | $18,600 | 20 | 17 | 15 |
Week 10 DraftKings & FanDuel NFL DFS Stacks & Optimizer Groups
Overview
Rules and limits are powerful tools for lineup creation for NFL DFS where our primary focus is creating highly correlated lineups via stacking players from the same game. Lineups will typically be coordinated around the quarterback selection, which informs at least one pass-catcher choice, establishes a budget, eliminates a defense, and sets the tone for the lineup. We will typically look to correlate a quarterback and at least one of his pass-catchers in every lineup, with many of those including a skill player from the opposing team. This player is included to support the stack in a high-scoring game that drives offense on both sides, creating additional correlated scoring potential. Stacking multiple pass-catchers in the same lineup is a sound approach, though there are typically overall ceilings on how much volume is available at any given position. While pass-catching running backs can be prioritized in stacks and group tools, including running backs who are not involved in the passing game is less important at this stage, they will fall naturally into shares as needed. High-volume backs and pass catchers out of the backfield can be included in the groups utilized below, but it is frequently not necessary to do so with the very best players, they arrive in lineups without help.
Rules and limits are typically applied in an optimizer’s Advanced Options menu. Notes are included to illustrate the reasons behind each rule and explain what it does during the lineup creation process. These settings can typically be saved for re-use, which is highly recommended. Saving the groups created below is also a good idea that will save time with updates instead of recreation each week. These groups are created manually, but most optimizers include automated group creators that can help accelerate the curation process.
DraftKings + FanDuel Settings & Advanced Options
Note – Terminology may vary from site to site but these are common functions across most industry tools.
Unique Players Per Lineup– This setting forces the optimizer to utilize at least X new players who were not in Lineup 1 when it creates Lineup 2, and so on. We recommend a setting of at least two unique players, more can be applied depending on the degree of differentiation desired within lineups.
Team Salary– a minimum or maximum salary spend can be applied here as needed, although leaving salary on the table is an easy path toward creating unique lineups while not necessarily making a negative expected value play.
FLEX position– allows restrictions on what positions can be rostered at the FLEX spot. The primary position to restrict is the tight end so that lineups do not include two players from the position. In many industry tools this is a separate option via a checkbox, it can also be handled specifically within groups.
Global Exposure Setting – allows caps on the maximum percentage of lineups a player can appear in within a given pool of lineup construction. This is a powerful tool for shaping lineups but if settings are too low, attempts to build a full set will fall short due to a lack of available players, one of the most common errors in optimizer building. Most optimizers include the ability to calculate ownership caps continuously or at the end of the pool creation process. If caps are calculated continuously, a player with a 25% cap who is utilized in Lineup 1 will not be available for use again until Lineup 5, we recommend turning OFF continuous calculation.
Randomness – provides a random multiplier to each player’s projected point total based on the set values. This valuable tool helps differentiate lineups instead of simply creating them in order of the highest median projected scores. Using some randomness for lineup generation is strongly recommended but the degree to which it is applied is down to personal preference, 15-25% is fine to get started. We suggest heavier randomness to more event-based players like wide receivers while tracking volume-based positions like running backs more toward their median or ceiling projections.
DraftKings + FanDuel Team Stack Rules
This set of rules will force optimizers to build lineups with certain combinations. We are looking to stack at least one skill player, almost always a pass-catcher, with his quarterback while frequently playing a skill player from the opposing team in the lineup. The theory behind this build is that a high-scoring stack will require some response from the opposing team to deliver a ceiling score in most situations. Most optimizers utilize a “complete the sentence” approach for rule creation with selections from drop-down menus following a very straightforward logic. Exceptions to these rules can be added for specific teams and players on most optimizer products.
- QB with at least one WR/TE from Same Team (note: It is fine to set this to two or to utilize two versions of this rule, one with WR/TE and one with RB/WR/TE, but we can also refine this via Groups)
- optional – QB with at least one RB/WR/TE from the Opposing Team (we typically prefer the pass-catchers but high-volume running backs can be effective here)
- QB with at most zero DST from the Same Team (this is a personal preference; high-scoring teams and quarterbacks tend to leave their defenses on the field, exposing them to simple point-scoring negatives)
Limits & Custom Rules and Requirements
Limit rules can be applied to restrict certain combinations from coming together. This is powerful for limiting multiple running backs from the same team or getting overweight to a certain stack within a lineup.
- Limit QB/RB/WR/TE from Same Team to three
- Limit RB/WR/TE from the Same Team to one unless paired with QB from the Same Team OR the Opposing Team (this prevents multiple players from a team that is not a primary quarterback-based stack)
- optional – Limit RB from Same Team to one (we can also do this with WR in a separate rule that adds an “unless paired with QB or opposing QB” but it’s a personal preference for NFL DFS, we typically do not want two pass-catchers from the same team without their quarterback)
We will maintain the list of rules and limits throughout the season, with occasional tweaks. Each week sees another fresh crop of value plays as situations change and injuries create opportunities around the league. These changing roles and emergent value plays are accounted for in creating these groups from week to week. After a large pool of lineups is created utilizing these groups, it is still critical to filter them for factors including ceiling projections and leverage potential. These groups should help ensure that a highly correlated premium set of options that rotates through various combinations is utilized to create the full lineup pool.
Sunday Updates
Any changes and recommended boosts to specific players will be provided in an early morning update each Sunday.
NFL DFS Week 10 Features & Projections
- Week 10 Projections
- Week 10 Above/Below
- Week 10 Quarterback Scoring & Value Rankings
- Week 10 Running Back Scoring & Value Rankings
- Week 10 Pass-Catcher Scoring & Value Rankings
- Week 10 Defense Scoring & Value Rankings
Construction Concept
Team groups are built by utilizing the quarterback as the KEY player in group settings. The quarterback decision is the driving factor in determining which stack the lineup utilizes and which corresponding plays are made to work within the structured requirements. In Fantasy Cruncher, built to specification, each team will have two groups, a team group, and an opponent group, both of which utilize the same quarterback as the key player. Each game will have a total of four groups. This is the best approach to truly capture the requirement of playing individual “run-back” plays from the opposing team. A more basic approach would be to include all of the skill players from a game in each quarterback’s group and rely on rules and limits to restrict any potential overflow. It is highly recommended to save the early season groups as a foundation that will be updated for the rest of the season. The recommended groups will include skill players who have an active role in their offense and provide significant correlation with their quarterback’s scoring, often bell-cow running backs who do not specialize in the passing game will not be included in groups as they are projected highly and appear on their own in basically correct distributions, while also not always providing the strongest positive correlation plays. Stacking quarterbacks with pass-catchers and allowing running backs to fall into the lanes created by settings, available salary, and randomness should create a well-distributed set of quality lineups. These groups are updated weekly to account for changes in utilization, schemes, injuries, target shares, and more.
Team Groups for DraftKings & FanDuel – Week 10
The goal is to create a large pool of well-built lineups that can be utilized in any large-field GPP contest. Our approach is to build far more lineups than needed and utilize a sorting table or sim process to filter to the best set of entries. The lineups created in these crunches should provide a broad distribution that includes some of the lower-owned high-upside skill players from each stack. Applying boosts is critical in pushing and pulling ownership to individual players within their team’s stacked lineups if they appear too much or too little.
The groups below are designed so that each quarterback will have two groups to create, one with his skill players and another with the opposing team. A more basic approach would be to add them all to one large group with an “at least three” and let rules and limits set things, but there is a more granular level of control in creating them separately.
Utilizing two groups also allows us to place running backs into the “run-back” position in certain teams while not including them in the primary stack for their team. This is useful when a situation has an extremely highly projected running back that does not necessarily fit into his team’s passing game. These players are threaded throughout the following construction recommendations.
Note for all optimizers the rules can be utilized to force bring-back plays in some sets of crunches and turned off for others as a global function instead of changing each group to “exactly one” bring-back play, wherever applicable, but it will apply to all teams.
Arizona Cardinals
Game Total: 45.5 / ARI +7.0 (19.25)
Offense: 40.32% rush / 59.68% pass / 22.5 ppg / 4.4 ypa rush / 6.7 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.5 ypa rush / 6.5 ypa pass / 18.8 ppg / 8.31% sack / 3.02% int
Key Player: Jacoby Brissett
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Trey McBride, Marvin Harrison Jr., Zonovan “Bam” Knight (on/off), Emari Demercado (on/off), Michael Wilson, Zay Jones (large field), Elijah Higgins (large field), Greg Dortch (large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Rashid Shaheed, Kenneth Walker III (on/off), AJ Barner (Q), Cooper Kupp, Elijah Arroyo, Zach Charbonnet (on/off)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Jacoby Brissett is a low-end signal-caller option, ranking 14th in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel.
His value is a sharp QB3 on DraftKings but a middling QB12 on FanDuel, making him a very site-specific GPP option. He’s averaging 286.6 passing yards with a solid 7.7 yards per pass attempt with six touchdown passes in his three starts, but the difficult matchup against Seattle’s sixth-ranked pass defense is a major concern, despite the presence of premium skill players. The shaky depth at running back does not do much to inspire confidence in the Arizona offense’s overall capability. Brissett’s 10.2 rushing yards per game don’t offer much of a floor to help with fantasy scoring, he’ll need to beat a tough secondary to pay off. The Arizona quarterback is an underrated passer and one of the league’s better backups, he is at least in play for the points-per-dollar on DraftKings and stands as a dart toss on FanDuel.
Running Backs
Zonovan “Bam” Knight is a low-volume running back, ranking outside the top 20 in points and value on both sites. He averages 6.3 rush attempts and 1.5 targets per game in limited action behind other options early in the season but has seen increased responsibilities as options winnow. The matchup is middling against the 18th-ranked defense by yards allowed per rush attempt but Knight gains an uninspiring 3.4 yards per rush attempt and shares time with Emari Demercado in an undefined split that coaching has suggested “might” favor one over the other, without revealing which. Demercado is mostly a GPP punt at running back, ranking 27th in points on DraftKings and and FanDuel. He’s averaging 3.1 carries and one target for the season but, like Knight, has seen a recent uptick. Unlike Knight, Demercado has actually been explosive in his limited chances, averaging 7.7 yards per carry with a 13.64% explosive rush rate. He’s a complete longshot for a big play against the league’s top-ranked run defense. Neither running back truly hits the board for scoring or value, but a few touches and a low-owned touchdown from either would not surprise. Between the two, Knight seems slightly more likely to run one into the end zone, three of his carries last week came in the red zone, though he failed to capitalize. In fact, Knight has seen 10 red zone carries in the last four games but scored only twice, and not since Week 6.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Trey McBride is an elite, target-hogging tight end and one of the best plays on the slate, regardless of matchup. He ranks as TE1 by points on both sites in Week 10 while landing as TE9 by value on DraftKings and TE1 by value on FanDuel. McBride is running 37.7 routes and drawing a massive 9.4 targets per game, converting that into 6.5 receptions for 59.5 yards. He has seen 16 red zone targets this season, the most on the team, and his locked-in volume makes him an elite play. McBride has improved upon last year’s touchdown volume with five on the season to lead this group of pass-catchers, he is an excellent option in and out of stacks again this week.
Marvin Harrison Jr. is the clear alpha wide receiver, but he’s just an OK click this week. He ranks as the WR15 on DraftKings and WR17 on FanDuel in points, but the value is mediocre, ranking 15th and 21st, respectively. Harrison the younger is seeing 6.3 targets per game and commands a massive 34.4% air yards share on a 12.6 ADOT. This role gives him a GPP-winning ceiling, but he’s a volatile play given the difficult matchup against the sixth-ranked pass defense. Brissett does provide an encouraging ability to get the ball downfield and is sitting 4.2 points over expectation by CPOE in his small sample, while throwing the ball 37.3 times per game for the season, so there is some upside in the Arizona passing game connecting for a big play or two.
Michael Wilson is a secondary pass-catcher, ranking 43rd in points on DraftKings and 40th on FanDuel. He’s running 33.1 routes and seeing 3.9 targets per game, resulting in just one touchdown this season. He’s operating as a downfield threat with a 10.9 ADOT, but his efficiency is poor, posting just 0.74 yards per route run. He’s a large-field GPP dart throw at best against the sixth-ranked pass defense.
Zay Jones and Greg Dortch are, at best, down-board dart throws who might see a target or two. Jones is a deep GPP flier, ranking outside the top 55 in points and value on both DraftKings and FanDuel. He runs 23.4 routes per game but has only drawn 2.4 targets on average, generating an inefficient 1.12 yards per route run and has not scored a touchdown, making him a very thin play. Dort averages two targets per game on 12.6 routes. Elijah Higgins is a deep-punt tight end, seeing 1.8 targets per game while running 9.8 routes. He’s not a viable option.
The Arizona Cardinals stack is a tough sell this week, ranking as the 15th-best in points and 20th in value on DraftKings, and 13th in points and 15th in value on FanDuel. They face an elite Seattle defense that ranks first in YPRA (allowing just 3.5 yards per rush) and sixth in YPPA (allowing 6.5 yards per pass). Arizona does offer a capable backup quarterback at a very affordable value price on DraftKings, as well as premium skill options at tight end and wide receiver, a narrow path to success through a Brissett+2 (obvious options) is not impossible to see, particularly where the PPD value is so strong.
Baltimore Ravens
Game Total: 49.0 / BAL -4.0 (26.5)
Offense: 47.27% / 52.73% pass / 25.3 ppg / 5.2 ypa rush / 7.8 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.2 ypa rush / 7.7 ypa pass / 23.3 ppg / 9.35% sack / 1.35% int
Key Player: Lamar Jackson
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Zay Flowers, Mark Andrews, Derrick Henry (on/off), Rashod Bateman, Isaiah Likely (on/off), DeAndre Hopkins
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Justin Jefferson, Aaron Jones Sr. (Q), Jordan Addison, TJ Hockenson, Jordan Mason, Jalen Nailor
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Lamar Jackson is an elite, slate-breaking quarterback. He ranks as QB2 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel, and as a top-six value on both sites. Jackson is averaging 214.6 passing yards and 36 rushing yards per game, totals that seem a bit low but they come on an excellent 9.1 yards per pass attempt and 6.9 per rush attempt, giving him a nearly unrivaled floor-ceiling combination at the position. Jackson is in a prime matchup against a 26th-ranked pass defense and should feast for scoring with the Vikings allowing 7.7 yards per pass attempt and 1.63 passing touchdowns per game on the season. Minnesota can sell out to pressure the quarterback, something they achieve at a significant 30.7% clip this season but Jackson’s elite escape ability can break plays against defenses of this nature. This is an excellent option atop a Ravens stack or in “naked” shares.
Running Backs
Derrick Henry is the workhorse running back and an elite play for potential fantasy scoring on a near-weekly basis. Henry ranks fifth in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel and is a top-eight positional value on both sites. He’s handling 16 carries per game for 78.6 yards (4.9 per attempt) and has rumbled for six rushing touchdowns. While Henry does not do much in the passing game, he does pick up more than a potential touch per game in that department to slightly pad scoring. The matchup is decent against the 14th-ranked Minnesota run defense, making him a core play in standalone shares and a stack-padding option in Jackson+ builds.
Justice Hill is the backup running back, averaging 2.1 carries but seeing a solid 3.1 targets. He’s a low-end GPP punt based on his receiving floor, ranking as a top-36 value on both DraftKings and FanDuel. Hill does have explosive big-play ability with 5.4 yards per rush attempt and 6.3 yards per target on the season and has hit paydirt twice on the year.
Keaton Mitchell is a deep-fringe running back, averaging 2.7 carries and 0.5 targets. He’s been efficient on the ground with 5.6 yards per carry, but he’s not seeing enough volume and has not scored.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Zay Flowers is the top wide receiver for Baltimore and a strong play. He ranks as WR9 in points on DraftKings and WR8 on FanDuel, and is a top-11 value on both sites. Flowers is seeing 7.5 targets per game, running 29.1 routes, and has seen four red zone targets this season. He has a 32.7% air yards share on a 9.2-yard ADOT but has managed just one touchdown catch. Part of the lack of scoring can be blamed on Jackson’s missed games, though Flowers has seen an 80.0% catchable target rate for the season. Even with a bit of scoring left to be desired in games that have already happened, this is a strong option. The receiver gains a terrific 2.36 yards per route run, making him a great stacking partner for Jackson in this plus matchup.
Mark Andrews is a viable mid-range tight end with plenty of touchdown-scoring potential. Andrews ranks 10th in points on DraftKings and ninth on FanDuel, but his value is much better on DraftKings as the TE4 versus a middling TE12 on FanDuel. He’s averaging 4.1 targets on 20.8 routes, good for a 16.3% target rate on routes run, and has seen five red zone targets this season, finding the end zone four times.
Rashod Bateman is a solid value wide receiver, ranking as WR35/34 in points and value on DraftKings and 34/35 on the FanDuel slate. Bateman runs 24 routes per game and sees 3.6 targets for a 14.4% target rate, including three red zone targets, and has two touchdowns. He’s operating as a downfield threat with a 12.4 ADOT and 21.8% air yards share, making him a good GPP pivot, but the catchable target rate of just 55.17% on the season has kept his production in check. With Jackson back in action, the quality of Bateman’s chances should be stronger going forward, this is a sneaky access point for Jackson+ builds.
Isaiah Likely is a secondary tight end, ranking 19th in points on DraftKings and 19th on FanDuel. He runs 18.8 routes and sees 1.8 targets, but has been efficient with a high 9.6 yards per target. He has not scored this season but he had 11 touchdowns in this role over the past two seasons.
DeAndre Hopkins is a GPP-only flier. The veteran pass-catcher is seeing just 1.9 targets per game but has found the end zone twice this season. He is not a primary read in the offense and ran just eight routes over 18 snaps in the team’s Week 9 game against Miami. Crucially, Hopkins has not drawn a red zone target all season.
The Baltimore Ravens boast an elite stack, ranking as Stack 5 by points and Stack 3 by value on DraftKings, and as Stack 4 in points and Stack 7 in value on FanDuel. They are in a good spot against a Minnesota defense that ranks 14th in YPRA, allowing 4.2 yards per rush, and a very beatable 26th in YPPA, allowing 7.7 yards per pass to one of the best fantasy quarterbacks in the league. The Ravens are unique in offering massive ceilings for individually playable expensive options at both quarterback and running back, with the ability to average-down pricing by padding quarterback plays with pass-catchers in stacks. Putting Henry into Jackson+ builds is expensive but can create differentiation while capturing the touchdowns in an all-in sense with the Ravens drawing a 26.5-point implied team total as moderate favorites in a 49.0-point game against a competitive offense.
Buffalo Bills
Game Total: 49.5 / BUF -10.0 (29.75)
Offense: 51.0% rush / 49.0% pass / 29.4 ppg / 5.0 ypa rush / 8.2 ypa pass
oppDEF: 5.0 ypa rush / 7.7 ypa pass / 27.0 ppg / 6.44% sack / 0.4% int
Key Player: Josh Allen
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: James Cook III (on/off), Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman, Dalton Kincaid, Joshua Palmer (Q), Curtis Samuel (on/off; large field), Dawson Knox (on/off), Elijah Moore (on/off; large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: De’Von Achane, Jaylen Waddle, Malik Washington, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Greg Dulcich
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Josh Allen is an elite quarterback and a top-three option on the slate. He ranks first in points on DraftKings and third on FanDuel, and is a top-two value on both sites, standing as one of the best quarterbacks of the week (or season, league, etc.) against a league-worst defense. Allen is averaging 229.1 passing yards per game with 13 touchdown passes and a strong 8.2 Y/PA. He adds a massive 35 rushing yards per game and has seven rushing touchdowns, unmatched scoring on the ground at the position. Allen and his steady but unspectacular Bills pass-catchers get a dream matchup against Miami’s 26th-ranked pass defense (7.7 ypa) and 29th-ranked rush defense (5.0 ypa), which boosts his ceiling significantly. It is easy to envision Allen leading the slate in overall scoring this week, he is in play at any price.
Running Backs
James Cook III is an elite running back, ranking as RB3 in points on DraftKings and RB2 on FanDuel. He is a RB4 for value on both sites and sees tremendous volume to push scoring reliability and ceiling potential. Cook is averaging 19.1 carries for 108.4 yards, boosted by an impressive 1.46 yards over expectation per rush attempt, and has found the end zone seven times. Cook also sees 1.9 targets per game, pushing him over the “magic number” of 20 potential touches. This is an absolute smash spot against the 29th-ranked Miami run defense, Cook is likely to be a very popular option across sites but he is just as likely to bend this slate to his will.
Ty Johnson is a deep punt, averaging 2.1 carries for 4.2 yards per rush attempt and adding 1.1 targets each week. He ranks as a poor value (RB37 on DraftKings, RB38 on FanDuel) despite the plus matchup and has not scored. Ray Davis is a deep-fringe running back, averaging 2.7 carries and 0.6 targets, and has one touchdown. He is not a viable play.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Khalil Shakir is a very strong wide receiver value. He ranks 14th in points on DraftKings and 13th on FanDuel, and is a top-eight value on both sites. He’s running 25.8 routes and averaging 6.1 targets, including eight red zone targets this season. Shakir does most of his work underneath with upside after the catch, gaining a tremendous 2.4 yards over expectation after the catch per reception. Shakir gains 8.1 yards per target despite a 3.7-yard ADOT for the season. The explosive receiver has three touchdowns, making him a great, affordable piece of the Buffalo stack, particularly in a plus matchup against the 26th-ranked pass defense.
Dalton Kincaid is a mid-board tight end play. Kincaid ranks fourth in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel, but is just TE11 by value on DraftKings and TE8 by value on FanDuel, putting him in touchdown/bonus-or-bust range. He’s a solid pass-catcher but he does not see top-end volume. Kincaid only runs 20 routes and sees 4.7 targets per game, good for a 14.8% target share on routes run. He has competition for looks at the position and is not the top option when the team gets into scoring territory with only three red zone targets this season, though his four touchdowns are respectable for such limited overall chances.
Keon Coleman is a decent mid-board GPP wide receiver, ranking 24th in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel and cresting to WR18 by value on DraftKings and WR8 by value on FanDuel. Coleman is seeing 5.1 targets per game, including five red zone targets on the season, and he has two touchdown catches. He has a 9.9 ADOT and 26.7% air yards share, and gets to face the 26th-ranked pass defense.
Joshua Palmer is a low-volume receiver, ranking 40th in points on DraftKings and 37th on FanDuel. Palmer is averaging just 3.3 targets for a 9.0% target share on routes run, though he has managed a few big grabs and a 28.57% explosive catch rate. Palmer is also questionable to play this week, his absence would not be noteworthy to the offense, other than to marginally boost the profile of other depth options.
Curtis Samuel is a non-factor, averaging 1.3 targets per game, though he has one touchdown. Dawson Knox, the TE2, averages 1.8 targets and one touchdown, but is not much of a fantasy option outside of darts at cheap low-owned touchdowns on low volume or Showdown formats.
The Buffalo Bills have one of the most explosive offenses on the slate, ranking as a Stack 3 by points and Stack 2 by value on both DraftKings and FanDuel. Allen on his own is a major draw, the quarterback can rack up multiple touchdowns in a hurry with both his arm and his elite scoring ability on the ground. Allen comes equipped with multiple affordable skill players, including a capable running back who is a functional option in Bills stacks with a bit of involvement in the passing game. Buffalo gets an extremely soft division matchup against a Miami defense that ranks 29th in YPRA, allowing 5.0 yards per rush, and an easily beatable 26th in YPPA, allowing 7.7 yards per pass.
Carolina Panthers
Game Total: 38.0 / CAR -5.5 (21.75)
Offense: 47.19% rush / 52.81% pass / 18.9 ppg / 4.7 ypa rush / 6.0 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.0 ypa rush / 7.5 ypa pass / 27.0 ppg / 6.83% sack / 1.54% int
Key Player: Bryce Young
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Tetaroia McMillan, Jalen Coker, Xavier Legette, Rico Dowdle (on/off), Chuba Hubbard (on/off), Jimmy Horn Jr., Ja’Tavion Sanders, Tommy Tremble (on/off), Hunter Renfrow (large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Chris Olave, Alvin Kamara (Q), Juwan Johnson, Devaughn Vele, Brandin Cooks, Taysom Hill (on/off)
Game Notes: Tetaroia McMillan will play after all, a major boost to the potential of this passing game. He has been added to projections with Hunter Renfrow coming off the board.
Quarterback
An offense helmed by Bryce Young is currently favored by 5.5 against another NFL team in the year 2025, which has to be on the shortlist of signs of the coming apocalypse. Carolina, of course, is a terrible offense without its best wide receiver, so the weight of their quality is mostly on the shoulders of their capable running backs and comes at the hands of a bad New Orleans defense. Despite being fairly strong favorites, the Panthers are pulling just a 21.75-point implied team total that is not great for DFS scoring in a 38.0-point game. Bryce Young is a low-end quarterback who is not truly in play. Young ranks 18th in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel and sits 20th by value on DraftKings and 19th by value on the blue site. Young averages just 173.7 passing yards and has 11 touchdown passes and a -2.2 CPOE on the season. The pass matchup is tough against the 25th-ranked New Orleans defense is part of what pushes Carolina to a favored position for the game, but Young’s 5.7 yards per pass attempt make it uncertain if he will cash in on that potential.
Running Backs
Rico Dowdle is the lead running back for the foreseeable future and a solid value play. Dowdle ranks as a high-end RB7 by points and RB5 by value on DraftKings and sits at RB6/7 on FanDuel. He’s handling a heavy workload with 14.5 carries and 2.2 targets per game, and has four rushing touchdowns. The explosive running back seems to have finally won out, which is only fair given his 5.6 yards per rush attempt this season. Dowdle gets a great matchup against the Saints’ 25th-ranked run defense, making him a strong play with explosive slate-bending potential at the position, but the opportunity for Chuba Hubbard to poach a crucial touchdown still exists.
Chuba Hubbard is relegated to the backup running back role, averaging 12 carries and 3.1 targets overall for the season but seeing diminishing chances behind Dowdle. He ranks outside the top 20 in points and value on both DraftKings and FanDuel. Hubbard lost the job because he has been inefficient, averaging 3.6 yards per carry, and has only two rushing touchdowns in his healthy games, not because he was injured. This is a dart throw as a pivot from a popular value running back and a shot at a cheap touchdown, unexpected volume, or an explosive play against a bad defense but not much more.
Receivers & Tight Ends
With Tetaroia McMillan out of action, Xavier Legette is the most likely primary pass-catcher, he ranks as a playable option who will be interesting in stacks and as a mid-board play out of them. Legette is WR25 by points but WR5 by value on DraftKings, he is WR26/20 and far less valuable on the FanDuel slate at a higher relative price, but he remains playable across the industry. He’s seeing 5.3 targets per game on 30.4 routes and has a low 8.1 ADOT. He has only two touchdowns this season but should see an uptick in chances against a bad pass defense. Legette does have competition for targets from Jalen Coker, who can get downfield for big chances, but the first looks should end up favoring Legette slightly when the bad passer drops back.
Jalen Coker is a GPP flier who has not seen much productivity in his first few games back but could bump up the board with absences on the depth chart. Coker is currently ranking as WR 33/32 on DraftKings, he sits as WR28 by points on FanDuel but gains value ground as WR11 in the category. Coker is seeing 2.3 targets per game and has a 9.0 ADOT in limited action. He’s a deep threat who has yet to score this season.
Ja’Tavion Sanders is a viable punt tight end, ranking 20th in points and 20th in value on DraftKings, and 21st in value on FanDuel. He runs 20.3 routes and sees 3.3 targets per game. His seven red zone targets this season provide a path to value, but he has not scored.
Tommy Tremble is the blocking tight end, running 15.7 routes and seeing 2.6 targets. He has one touchdown this season but is not a fantasy option.
Hunter Renfrow is a low-volume slot receiver, averaging 4.3 targets but only 3.4 yards per target. He has two touchdowns on the year but is not on the fantasy radar.
The Carolina Panthers stack is a low-end option even against a lousy defense, most of the ceiling resides with the running backs. The Panthers are currently ranking 16th in points but seventh in value on DraftKings, and 15th in points and 11th in value on FanDuel. They face a New Orleans pass defense ranked 25th in YPPA (allowing 7.5 yards per pass), but a tougher run defense ranked 9th in YPRA while allowing 4.0 yards per rush. Still, Rico Dowdle hits the palate a lot nicer than Bryce Young+
Chicago Bears
Game Total: 46.5 / CHI -4.5 (25.5)
Offense: 45.9% rush / 54.1% pass / 26.9 ppg / 4.9 ypa rush / 7.5 ypa pass
oppDEF: 5.5 ypa rush / 7.0 ypa pass / 27.7 ppg / 6.18% sack / 1.25% int
Key Player: Caleb Williams
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Rome Odunze, DJ Moore, D’Andre Swift (Q; on/off), Kyle Monangai (on/off), Olamide Zaccheaus, Colston Loveland (on/off), Cole Kmet (on/off), Luther Burden III (large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Wan’Dale Robinson, Theo Johnson, Darius Slayton, Tyrone Tracy Jr., Ray-Ray McCloud III, Devin Singletary (on/off)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Caleb Williams is a solid mid-range quarterback, ranking as QB8 by points on both sites but hitting differently for value around the industry. He is simply playable at 13th on DraftKings but is an elite QB5 by value on FanDuel. He’s averaging 239.5 passing yards with 12 touchdowns but completes passes at a rate that sits a concerning 6.5 points below expectation by CPOE. His fantasy value is padded by his legs with 22.8 rushing yards per game and two rushing touchdowns, though he has not exploded in that department this season. He’s in a great spot against a Giants defense that is vulnerable through the air and on the ground with 5.5 yards per rush and 7.0 yards per pass allowed this season. Williams is a slightly better FanDuel option, given the value, but he heads up a strong stacking option on both sites as Stack 8 by points.
Running Backs
D’Andre Swift slots in ranking ninth in points on DraftKings and 10th on FanDuel, and 11th in value on DraftKings and 10th on FanDuel. He’s averaging 14.2 carries and 3.4 targets, giving him a solid 17-touch floor. Swift has been efficient, averaging 4.6 yards per carry, and has four rushing touchdownsand one receiving touchdown on the season. While he was absent the Bears turned to rookie Kyle Monangai who should remain involved and could poach a few key touches or scoring chances from the productive Swift. The running back is an option both in and out of stacks with a fair amount of involvement in the passing game.
Kyle Monangai, the backup running back, is averaging 8.5 carries and 1.8 targets. He’s a decent value, ranking as the RB20 on DraftKings and RB16 on FanDuel, and gets to run against the 33rd-ranked run defense by YPA. Monangai has been excellent in limited chances, averaging 5.3 yards per carry, and has one rushing touchdown but opportunities will be more limited with Swift back in action.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Rome Odunze is the team’s lead wide receiver. The second-year man ranks as the WR13 in points on DraftKings and WR14 on FanDuel, and is a medium value, ranking 24th on DraftKings and 25th on FanDuel. Odunze is running 35.7 routes and seeing 7.4 targets per game, good for a team-leading 23.2% target share on routes run. Odunze also ties for the team lead with eight red zone targets this season, though his 57.63% catchable target rate leaves something to be desired. He has a 13.4 ADOT, five touchdowns, and dominates with a 39.9% air yards share that keeps him in big game hunting range at all times. He’s a high-upside GPP play against the Giants 16th-ranked pass defense.
DJ Moore is a veteran option who slides in as a solid GPP play, ranking as the WR20 in points on DraftKings and WR21 on FanDuel while popping to WR13 by value on DraftKings. Moore averages 5.5 targets on 33.2 routes and has seen four red zone targets this season, scoring once. He’s a YAC threat with a 9.3 ADOT and 6.1 yards after catch per reception, good for 1.1 yards after the catch above expectation before expectation. Despite the general lack of scoring and big games to this point, Moore is still an involved receiver with explosive play ability, he should not be ignored in Bears stacks and is a functional piece at a good price outside of them.
Colston Loveland takes a bit of a dip this week with Cole Kmet returning. Loveland is currently ranking as the TE14 in points on DraftKings and TE15 on FanDuel, but his value is 18th on DraftKings and 15th on FanDuel. He’s running 21.5 routes and seeing 3.6 targets, with four red zone targets this season, and has found the end zone twice and has come on in recent weeks as Kmet has been ailing. Kmet, for his part, is running 20.8 routes and seeing three targets per game when healthy, essentially equivalent volume, including three red zone targets this season. He’s a low-end option, ranking as the TE22 in points on DraftKings and FanDuel, but has one touchdown and rates the occasional look in an abundance of Bears builds.
Olamide Zaccheaus is a GPP punt, ranking as the WR40 in points on DraftKings and WR39 on FanDuel, but 31st in value on DraftKings. He’s seeing 5.8 targets per game, including eight red zone targets on the year, but they are low-impact, resulting in only 5.3 yards per target and one touchdown.
Luther Burden III is more of a downfield big play option but his volume has been incredibly limited in his rookie season. Burden is expected back from injury and could see one big chance, putting him on the unlikely but possible list for large field GPP play.
The Chicago Bears offer a solid GPP stack, ranking eighth in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel but they are a bit pricey landing 16th in value on DraftKings and 10th on FanDuel. The good news is that the Bears are in a smash spot against a New York Giants defense that ranks 33rd against the run (allowing 5.5 YPRA) and 16th against the pass at 7.0 yards per rush attempt. Chicago offers a capable passer with game-breaking abilities on the ground, a bit of a share between two capable running backs, and solid pass-catchers with an explosive star at the top of the heap. This is a good, potentially great, option in a game that could be underappreciated for fantasy scoring potential.
Cleveland Browns
Game Total: 38.0 / CLE -1.5 (19.75)
Offense: 37.11% rush / 62.89% pass / 15.8 ppg / 3.8 ypa rush / 5.0 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.5 ypa rush / 7.1 ypa pass / 27.6 ppg / 4.45% sack / 0.0% int
Key Player: Dillon Gabriel
Setting: exactly one
Team Group: Jerry Jeudy, Harold Fannin Jr.(Q), Quinshon Judkins (on/off), David Njoku, Cedric Tillman (Q), Jamari Thrash (large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Breece Hall, Garrett Wilson (Q), Mason Taylor, Adonai Mitchell, Isaiah Davis (on/off), Allen Lazard (on/off), Tyler Johnson (on/off)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Despite a matchup against a diminished and very gettable Jets defense, the Cleveland stack and quarterback Dillon Gabriel look mostly unappealing in Week 10. Gabriel is a low-end GPP quarterback, ranking as the QB20 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel. He’s averaging just 175.5 passing yards with five touchdowns and a -5.0 CPOE over four starts. His five rushing yards per game don’t offer much of a floor. This is a mid-board matchup against the 18th-ranked pass defense but Gabriel does not have a ton of supporting talent and there has been nothing special in 4.9 yards per pass attempt over four starts.
Running Backs
Quinshon Judkins is a volume-based running back who gains 4.1 yards per rush attempt in his rookie season. Judkins hits Week 10 ranking as the RB12 in points on DraftKings and RB9 on FanDuel. His value is mediocre, ranking 17th on DraftKings and 13th on FanDuel. The rookie is averaging 16.8 carries and 2.1 targets per game, giving him decent volume, and he has five rushing touchdowns. He gets a great matchup against the 23rd-ranked Jets run defense that allows 4.5 yards per rush attempt and a rushing touchdown per game, and he should see a heavy workload with the Browns in an unusual position as favorites in the low-totaled game.
Dylan Sampson is averaging 3.5 carries and 2.9 targets, and has one receiving touchdown. He ranks outside the top 30 in points on both sites and has very little potential barring an incident above him on the depth chart or a broken play. Jerome Ford is similarly low-rated as RB44 across the board this week.
Receivers & Tight Ends
With only a lousy Jets pass defense in the way, Jerry Jeudy is, perhaps unfortunately, a top-two value at wide receiver on DraftKings (WR2) but, perhaps unfortunately, just a top-28 value on FanDuel, while ranking as the WR23 in points on DraftKings and WR28 on FanDuel. He’s running 37.3 routes and seeing 6.8 targets, leading the team in both categories, and he has eight red zone targets this season, but has zero touchdowns. Jeudy has a 12.7-yard ADOT against a highly-gettable pass defense that got worse at the deadline. While the stack does not rate particularly well, Jeudy shares could soar in a soft game.
Cedric Tillman returns to action as a GPP dart throw, ranking as the WR34 in points on DraftKings and WR36 on FanDuel, and 16th in value on DraftKings and 13th on FanDuel. Tillman missed several weeks but was seeing five targets per game on an 8.9-yard ADOT. The receiver was productive in a few games last year and was a popular value pick early in the season, he has found the end zone twice this season. Tillman is a playable depth option in a bad stack with a low-end quarterback throwing to him.
David Njoku is a mid-range tight end, ranking as the TE9 in points on DraftKings and TE13 on FanDuel. His value ranking is strong, ranking first by points-per-dollar on DraftKings at just $3,200 and 11th on FanDuel at $5,000. He’s running 30.0 routes and seeing 5.9 targets, good for a 68.29% target share on routes run, over which he returns just 1.24 yards per route run. Njoku has seen six red zone targets this season, and has two touchdowns. He’s one of the few viable pass-catchers in this offense.
Harold Fannin Jr. is another playable tight end, ranking as the TE11 in points on DraftKings and FanDuel, and is a top-10 value on FanDuel (TE10) but ranks 19th on DraftKings at a $4,200 price tag. Fannin Jr. is seeing 6.4 targets per game and has two touchdowns, giving him a solid floor for his price. There should be opportunities for both tight ends to succeed at reasonable prices, given the overall lack of quality among pass-catchers on this team.
Jamari Thrash is a fringe receiver, seeing 1.8 targets per game, he has not scored and has very little value with Tillman back in the fold.
The Browns are a lousy stack overall but they gain upside as slight favorites against an awful Jets team, at worst their lead running back should have value and Jerry Jeudy could pay off fair pricing. Cleveland is Stack 20 by points on both sites, they are Stack 20 by value on FanDuel but leap to Stack 11 by value on DraftKings where they make a bit more of a dent but remain low-end.
Detroit Lions
Game Total: 49.5 / DET – 8.5 (29.0)
Offense: 46.71% rush / 53.29% pass / 29.9 ppg / 4.4 ypa rush / 8.0 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.4 ypa rush / 8.9 ypa pass / 26.2 ppg / 7.46% sack / 1.83% int
Key Player: Jared Goff
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jahmyr Gibbs, Jameson Williams, David Montgomery, Sam LaPorta, Isaac TeSlaa (large field), Brock Wright (on/off), Kalif Raymond (large field; on/off)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Deebo Samuel Sr., Jacory Corskey-Merritt, Zach Ertz, Jaylin Lane, Chris Moore, Treylon Burks (large field)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Jared Goff is a top-six quarterback in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel (QB6), and his value is ninth on both sites with the explosive potential to dramatically exceed those marks at the helm of Stack 2 by points on both sites. Goff gains ground on the backs of his premium skill player options in stacks. The quarterback is averaging 239.3 passing yards with 17 touchdowns, an elite +6.6 CPOE, and 8.0 yards per pass attempt on the season, he has been tremendous in every way. Goff gets to attack the worst pass defense on the slate, the Commanders give up 8.9 yards per pass attempt and rank 32nd in the league, while allowing 2.11 touchdown passes per game. Goff is an elite stacking option in Week 10.
Running Backs
Jahmyr Gibbs is an elite running back who gains 4.9 yards per rush attempt, ranking as the RB4 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel, and is a top-10 value on both sites. He’s averaging 14.1 carries for 68.8 yards and 3.9 targets for 24.6 yards per game and 6.4 per target. Gibbs has punched the ball in six times in the ground game this season, he and David Montgomery find a way to make their job share work at an elite level. Gibbs has been efficient with a 0.45 YPA/EXP and has four red zone targets this season and one receiving touchdown. He is a core play in stacks and as a standalone running back, though he can take a bit of a backseat to the best of the best at times with Montgomery lurking.
David Montgomery is the 1B running back, ranking as the RB15 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel, though he is a top-11 value on both sites. The veteran averages 11.1 carries for 49.3 yards and picks up 2.1 targets each week. Montgomery has been extremely efficient with a 1.01 YPA/EXP and has five rushing touchdowns on the season, he continues to provide steady fairly-priced mid-board playability with any-given-slate upside for multiple scoring events.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Amon-Ra St. Brown is an elite wide receiver, ranking as the WR3 in points on DraftKings and WR2 on FanDuel, and is a top-five value on both sites. He’s seeing 9.3 targets per game, for a 29% target share per route run. He’s averaging 7.3 catches for 79.3 yards and has seven touchdowns. This is a certified smash spot against the 32nd-ranked pass defense and St. Brown is primed for a huge DFS scoring week, his potential in full-PPR formats slightly outpaces his FanDuel scoring but he should be an elite producer on both sites.
Jameson Williams is a boom-bust deep threat, ranking as the WR16 in points on DraftKings and WR15 on FanDuel. With Goff slinging the ball and the team primed for elite scoring against a bad pass defense, and Williams at a cheap price, he is a top-seven value on DraftKings (WR7). He sees 4.5 targets per game and has a massive 15.9 ADOT and 34.4% air yards share. Williams has three touchdowns this season, making him a prime GPP play to pair with Goff against the 32nd-ranked pass defense, and he could go a bit under-owned with perceptions of poor performance on the whole after delivering disappointing season-long fantasy value. Overall, Williams gains 1.43 yards per route run and sees steady chances in big play territory, more than enough to prioritize him in stacks.
Sam LaPorta is an elite tight end, ranking as the TE3 in points on DraftKings and FanDuel, and is a top-seven value on both sites. LaPorta is running 27.6 routes and seeing 5.5 targets, with four red zone targets this season. The tight end’s 1.97 yards per route run greatly exceed every pass catcher not named St. Brown. He’s averaging 4.3 catches for 54.5 yards and has three touchdowns as an integral but unspectacular part of the Detroit passing attack.
Brock Wright is a deep punt tight end, running 7.8 routes and seeing 1.3 targets, but has two touchdowns on the year and could fall into the end zone with a cheap one. This is more of a Showdown option on either site.
Kalif Raymond is a fringe player, seeing 1.6 targets per game. He and Isaac TeSlaa are at best deep mixers for one potential chance in a premium stack.
The Lions are a go-to option in Week 10, they look tremendous against an easy-to-beat Washington defense that is 20th against the run at 4.4 yards allowed per rush and 8.9 per pass. Detroit is Stack 2 by points on both sites, they are Stack 5 by value on DraftKings and Stack 4 by value on FanDuel. It is very easy to see Goff+2 builds around any of the top five skill players in this offense, there should be plenty of scoring available with the team carrying a 29.0-point implied team total in a 49.0-point game that lands them among slate leaders.
Houston Texans
Game Total: 37.0 / HOU +1.0 (18.0)
Offense: 42.04% rush / 57.96% pass / 21.0 ppg / 4.1 ypa rush / 6.7 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.8 ypa rush / 7.0 ypa pass / 23.0 ppg / 3.27% sack / 3.72% int
Key Player: Davis Mills
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Nico Collins, Dalton Schultz, Christian Kirk, Woody Marks (on/off), Nick Chubb (on/off), Xavier Hutchinson (large field), Jayden Higgins (large field), Jaylin Noel (very large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Travis Etienne Jr., Jakobi Meyers, Parker Washington, Dyami Brown, Bhayshul Tuten (on/off)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Davis Mills is a low-end quarterback option in Week 10. The backup checks in ranking as the QB17 in points on DraftKings and FanDuel, he sees a minor uptick by value but not to any level of true playability. Mills has a very 4.7 yards per pass attempt mark in limited chances this season. Mills threw 30 passes in 50 snaps last week, completing 17 of them for just 137 yards and no scoring. To his credit, he managed to avoid throwing an interception. The backup threw 17 touchdown passes against 15 interceptions in his second season after throwing 16 touchdowns against 10 interceptions as a rookie, but that was in 2021 and 2022. The quarterback has two touchdown passes since 2022 and neither of them have been this season. Mills does have elite Nico Collins on his side, but that is more likely going to prove a detriment to Collins than a bump to the quarterback.
Running Backs
Woody Marks is the lead running back on the Texans but that is not saying much. Marks slots in ranking as the RB23 in points on DraftKings and RB20 on FanDuel. He’s averaging 8.3 carries and 2.6 targets, and has two touchdowns. He’s been just OK with 0.16 yards per attempt in growing chances but faces an elite fifth-ranked defense that allows just 3.8 yards per rush attempt this season. The Jaguars are surprisingly effective against the run and there is nothing special about the 3.6 yards per rush attempt that Marks manages. Similarly, Nick Chubb is the 1B running back, ranking as the RB26 in points on DraftKings and RB25 on FanDuel. He’s averaging 11.3 carries and 1.9 targets, but has zero touchdowns while gaining 3.9 yards per attempt. He’s been efficient with a 0.42 YPA/EXP, but this is an equally tough spot and he will see fewer touches than Marks. Neither of these is an appealing player.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Nico Collins is a high-volume wide receiver, ranking as the WR7 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel. The high-priced lead receiver is just a mid-rate value, ranking 17th on DraftKings and 19th on FanDuel, but he is easily the highest priority in a Texans uniform this weekend. Collins is running 31.5 routes and seeing 8.1 targets, good for a 21.3% target share on routes run. He has with six red zone targets this season and three touchdowns in seven games while operating on an 11.2-yard ADOT and 31.6% air yards share. The matchup against the Jaguars pass defense is not as difficult as it is on the ground, but Jacksonville is still mid-level with 7.0 yards allowed per pass attempt landing them 16th. The team has an impressive 11 interceptions on the season as well, though they have only managed to sack the quarterback 10 times despite a fair 20.4% pressure rate. If anything, Mills should have a moment to locate his primary read down the field a few times. Despite the stack ranking and quarterback play, Nico Collins remains a playable high-ceiling star.
Dalton Schultz is a solid mid-range tight end, ranking as the TE11 in points on DraftKings and TE10 on FanDuel, and is a top-six value on both sites. He’s running 30.0 routes and seeing six targets per game, with three red zone targets this season, but has not scored. Schultz is a solid value play in this offense, he could fall into the end zone with a score-inflating touchdown with the backup at the helm but this is a limited overall offense and we do not want more than one pass-catcher with Mills in most builds.
Christian Kirk is a low-volume wide receiver, ranking as the WR38 in points on DraftKings and FanDuel. He’s running 26.7 routes and seeing six targets, but has zero red zone targets this season and a low 5.6 yards per target in limited action, making him a very thin play. Kirk is coming off of four catches for 26 yards on eight targets over 33 routes run last week after missing two games, that is about the limits of his value unless he finds the end zone.
Xavier Hutchinson is on the fringe, averaging 3.6 targets, though he has three touchdowns this season. Hutchinson ranks as the WR36 in points on DraftKings and WR37 on FanDuel and could see a big opportunity or two down the field.
Jayden Higgins is another borderline receiver, seeing 2.8 targets per game, but he has two touchdowns this season and has drawn a 10.4-yard ADOT while putting up a 21.43% explosive play rate on his limited number of receptions.
The Texans stack is a low-end GPP option with Mills at quarterback, though Collins helps their overall value rating, ranking 17th in points but 10th in value on DraftKings, at 18th in points and 17th in value on FanDuel they are easier to eliminate from contention. Houston faces a tough Jacksonville defense that ranks fifth against the run (allowing 3.8 YPRA) and 17th against the pass (allowing 7.0 YPPA). Nico Collins is all three of the top three priorities from this offense this week.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Game Total: 37.0 / JAC -1.0 (19.0)
Offense: 41.31% rush / 58.69% pass / 22.0 ppg / 4.5 ypa rush / 6.3 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.0 ypa rush / 6.1 ypa pass / 15.1 ppg / 6.27% sack / 3.54% int
Key Player: Trevor Lawrence
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Travis Etienne Jr., Jakobi Meyers, Parker Washington, Bhayshul Tuten (on/off), Dyami Brown, Johnny Mundt
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Nico Collins, Dalton Schultz, Christian Kirk, Woody Marks (on/off), Nick Chubb (on/off), Xavier Hutchinson, Jayden Higgins (large field)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
We have been largely disappointed in Trevor Lawrence overall this season, though he was missing from DFS main slates for several weeks during the team’s annual European vacation. Lawrence checks into Week 10 as a low-end quarterback, ranking as the QB13 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel. He’s a fair value, ranking 11th on DraftKings and 14th on FanDuel but the Jaguars are facing a tough Houston defense that is by far the best part of their team not named Nico. Lawrence is averaging 36.6 pass attempts for 230.0 yards per game but has somehow thrown just nine touchdowns on the season and has a terrible -5.9 CPOE while losing six interceptions. Lawrence throws for a limiting 6.3 yards per pass attempt despite 8.2 intended air yards. He adds limited potential with 4.8 carries for 17.1 yards, but this offense is struggling and he is now without Brian Thomas Jr., though the team added Jakobi Meyers at the deadline. Lawrence is a low-end option on both sites in Week 10.
Running Backs
Travis Etienne Jr. began the season with some explosive upside and sits at 5.0 yards per rush attempt over 14.9 carries per game. Etienne Jr. is a playable piece this week, ranking as RB8 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel and is one of the top values on both slates as RB2 on DraftKings and RB3 on FanDuel. He’s averaging 14.8 carries and 3.4 targets, putting him just south of the desired 20 potential touches, and has just two rushing touchdowns in eight games. Etienne Jr. gains 2.6 yards after contact per rush attempt and has picked up slightly more yards than expected per attempt, he is facing a leading rush defense that allows just 4.0 yards per rush attempt to sit ninth in the league but the cheap $5,700/$6,900 pricing across sites draws the eye for value. If Etienne Jr. finds the end zone this week, he will not need to do much more to at least make value.
Bhayshul Tuten is the backup running back, averaging 5.1 carries and 1.1 targets, and has one rushing touchdown. He’s not a viable play despite some explosive ability.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Jakobi Meyers is a solid wide receiver making his Jaguars debut on Sunday while ranking as the WR22 in points but just WR37 by value on DraftKings, he is not currently available on FanDuel. Meyers was running 32.8 routes and seeing seven targets per game with the Raiders but has zero touchdowns on an 8.8-yard ADOT this season. Most of that is probably not his fault, the change of scenery should at least get Meyers back on the scoring board at times, but this week’s matchup against Houston’s second-ranked pass defense that allows just 6.1 yards per pass attempt is not a good spot.
Parker Washington is a GPP-only wide receiver, ranking as the WR29 in points on DraftKings and WR32 on FanDuel. He’s running 24.2 routes and seeing 5.5 targets but posting just 1.53 yards per route run. Washington has seen two red zone targets this season, and has come away with one touchdown. He’s a deep threat with a 12.8 ADOT and volume goes up in the absence of better options, but this is a bad spot for a bad team.
Dyami Brown is a deep-threat wide receiver, averaging 4.9 targets on 25.5 routes. He has a 12.7 ADOT and has seen eight red zone targets this season, scoring once. He’s a poor value, ranking 52nd on DraftKings and 50th on FanDuel as mostly a low-end dart throw against a good defense.
Johnny Mundt is a fringe tight end, seeing 1.3 targets per game and has zero touchdowns but Hunter Long is out this week, giving him a sliver of potential.
Tim Patrick is also a non-factor, averaging 0.9 targets, though he has one touchdown on the year and the team is missing pieces.
The Jaguars stack is a bottom-tier unit, ranking as Stack 12 in points and Stack 9 in value on DraftKings, and Stack 17 in points and 13 in value on FanDuel. They face a Houston defense that ranks 9th against the run (allowing 4.0 YPRA) and second against the pass (allowing 6.1 YPPA) with only Travis Etienne Jr. truly standing out for much scoring or value.
Los Angeles Rams
Game Total: 49.5 / LAR -5.5 (27.5)
Offense: 43.08% rush / 56.92% pass / 26.1 ppg / 4.1 ypa rush / 7.8 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.2 ypa rush / 6.9 ypa pass / 20.9 ppg / 3.50% sack / 0.33% int
Key Player: Matthew Stafford
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Puka Nacua, Davante Adams, Kyren Williams (on/off), Tyler Higbee, Jordan Whittington (Q), Blake Corum (on/off), Davis Allen (on/off)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle, Jauan Jennings, Kendrick Bourne, Brian Robinson Jr. (on/off), Demarcus Robinson
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Matthew Stafford is a lucky quarterback. Make no mistake, the veteran is highly skilled and primed to deliver, we simply mean that he is luck to have two ultra-premium receivers like Puka Nacua and Davante Adams sharing the field with him. Stafford checks in ranking as QB4 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel. His value is mid-range, ranking 15th on DraftKings and 12th on FanDuel at a high price in an expensive stack, but this is a go-to option atop Stack 1 by points on both sites. Stafford shares should be unavoidable in most portfolios, he is facing a defense that allows 6.9 yards per pass attempt to rank 13th in the league but the Rams are drawing a 27.5-point implied team total and he’s averaging 34.2 attempts for 268.3 yards with 21 touchdowns and a +2.9 CPOE on the season. Stafford is an excellent option with strong options for +2 builds on both sites.
Running Backs
Kyren Williams is doing a little more with a little less in 2025, which is a good thing. The running back gains 4.4 yards per rush attempt on 16.5 carries per game and adds 6.4 yards per target on 3.3 targets, giving him an excellent 19.8 potential touches that we are willing to round up to the magic number. Williams is an elite running back who sees scoring chances in a productive offense, though we tend to lean pass-catchers when it comes to the Rams. The running back is currently ranking as RB6 by points on DraftKings and RB7 on FanDuel, and is a top-nine value on both sites. Williams has three rushing touchdowns and he has seen six targets in the red zone this season with three receiving touchdowns. His volume and scoring upside are secure even if he is slightly less than spectacular.
Blake Corum is the backup running back, averaging 6.7 carries and one target, but has zero touchdowns on the season and is limited for chances overall. Corum is RB28/26 and RB28/27 and has very little potential for DFS value.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Puka Nacua is one of the league’s truly special wide receivers, he slots into Week 10 ranking as the WR2 in points on DraftKings and WR3 on FanDuel. He’s a top-nine value on both sites. Nacua is running 28.7 routes and seeing 10.4 targets per game, with seven red zone targets this season and is one of the league’s best averaging 8.7 catches for 101.5 yards per game and a whopping 3.54 yards per route run. The receiver somehow has just three touchdown catches this season, he could explode for a multi-touchdown game on any slate and is a go-to in or out of stacks.
Davante Adams is also an elite wide receiver, ranking as the WR5 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel. The veteran is running 32.1 routes and seeing 8.8 targets per game, with a massive 19 red zone targets this season. Adams has a 12.4-yard ADOT and 36.6% air yards share that keep him in big play territory, and he already has eight touchdown catches. Adams’ ludicrous upside for scoring and his 1.91 yards per route run have come in spite of just a 57.14% catchable target rate from Stafford, he could be doing more out there if he were seeing better delivery. His touchdown equity is unmatched with this team looking like a high-scoring option in Week 10.
Tyler Higbee is a low-end tight end, ranking as the TE17 in points on DraftKings and TE18 on FanDuel. He’s running 19.5 routes and seeing just 3.6 targets each week, though he has six red zone targets this season and two touchdowns.
Jordan Whittington is a deep punt, seeing 2.1 targets per game and has zero touchdowns. The receiver gains 0.80 yards per route run over 18.9 route per game for the season and draws a 6.30% target share on those routes, the ball simply goes elsewhere.
Davis Allen is a fringe tight end, seeing 1.8 targets per game but has two touchdowns this season with a bit of very cheap scoring potential as a dart throw.
The Rams boast an elite stack in Week 10, ranking first in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel, they are Stack 8 in value on DraftKings and Stack 6 on FanDuel. The team’s potential is floated by their two elite wide receivers but they have a top-shelf running back and highly capable veteran quarterback. Tight end Tyler Higbee and the depth players are mixers in an indulgence of Rams stacks. Los Angeles faces a beatable San Francisco defense in what should be a high-scoring affair.
Miami Dolphins
Game Total: 49.5 / MIA +10.0 (19.75)
Offense: 38.93% rush / 61.07% pass / 20.0 ppg / 4.4 ypa rush / 6.5 ypa pass
oppDEF: 5.4 ypa rush / 6.8 ypa pass / 20.9 ppg / 10.08% sack / 1.79% int
Key Player: Tua Tagovailoa
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Jaylen Waddle, De’Von Achane, Malik Washington, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Greg Dulcich, Ollie Gordon II (Q; on/off)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: James Cook III, Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman, Dalton Kincaid, Joshua Palmer (Q)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Tua Tagovailoa is a mid-range quarterback on the downside of an intriguing game environment. If Tagovailoa can manage anything to rally some Dolphins scoring and push the Bills he could at least help his teammates pay off “bring-back” value in Buffalo stacks. Tagovailoa currently ranks as QB16 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel, he is no better than that for value on either site. The mediocre passer is averaging 30.1 attempts for 197.6 yards with 15 touchdowns, but has a -0.2 CPOE and a low 6.6 Y/PA. The Bills are the 11th-ranked defense with 6.8 yards allowed per pass attempt but they have been gouged for 5.4 yards per rush to rank 31st, this speaks to the value of De’Von Achane in the Miami offense while making a fair argument against the passing game.
Running Backs
De’Von Achane is an outrageously talented dual-threat running back with explosive DFS potential, ranking as the RB2 in points on DraftKings and RB1 on FanDuel. He’s a top-two value on both sites. Achane is currently averaging 13.4 carries for 67.3 yards per game (5.0/att) with three rushing touchdowns on the season, adding elite volume with 6.7 targets for 30.4 yards per game as a primary Dolphins pass-catcher. Achane checks in with four receiving touchdowns on the year to help his overall scoring, he has only hit the bonus once this season, a 128-yard two-touchdown rushing game in Week 6 but has been over 100 yards from scrimmage a total of four times on the year. Achane has been efficient with a 0.40 YPA/EXP and has seven red zone targets this season. He is the engine of this offense and the clear path to attacking Buffalo’s awful rush defense. Achane is a premium option and a top priority both in and out of Dolphins stacks this week.
Rookie Ollie Gordon II is the backup running back, averaging 4.4 carries and 0.9 targets, and has one touchdown. He’s not on the main slate radar outside of the most contrarian of dart throws.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Jaylen Waddle has been OK as the team’s primary receiver this season. Waddle draws fair volume and is ranking as WR10 in points on DraftKings and WR12 on FanDuel, though eh slots in as WR14 and WR12 when measured by value. The wide receiver is running 29.0 routes and seeing 6.6 targets each week, good for a 21.1% target share on routes run. Waddle has impressed with 2.25 yards per route run and has managed four touchdown catches while working at an 11.9-yard ADOT, despite seeing just a 72.88% catchable target rate from Tagovailoa. Waddle leads the team with nine red zone targets and a 36.9% air yards share, but the matchup is tough, making him a GPP volume-over-matchup play.
Malik Washington is a solid value wide receiver, ranking as the WR28 in points on DraftKings and WR27 on FanDuel but as an elite WR1 by value on DraftKings for just $4,200. Washington has far less value at $5,600 on FanDuel but is still playable as WR27 on that site. He’s running 23.3 routes and seeing 4.6 targets per game, and has one touchdown, but is a mostly thin play behind the demands of Achane and Waddle in the low-paced offense. Miami rolls out just 56.2 offensive plays per week, about nine below the league average, limiting chances for everyone outside of the top few options.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine is a former deep-threat GPP play who has not even been that this season. The receiver is ranking as WR56 in points on DraftKings and WR58 on FanDuel. He’s seeing two targets per game but has a limiting 5.4-yard ADOT and zero touchdowns and ha snot been getting into scoring position for DFS.
Greg Dulcich is a fringe tight end, seeing 2.5 targets per game with zero touchdowns. Julian Hill is a deeper punt, seeing 1.9 targets with zero touchdowns. Neither is a good option on either DFS site in Week 10.
The Miami Dolphins stack is a top-10 unit, ranking 10th in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel while slotting in as Stack 14 by value on DraftKings but Stack 8 by value on FanDuel. Much of the Miami upside is drawn from De’Von Achane, who stands out for his raw volume and explosive ability. The team faces a Buffalo defense that ranks 31st against the run, allowing 5.4 yards per rush attempt, and 11th against the pass with 6.8 yards per attempt. Achane is playable anywhere, as is Waddle, the two can be combined with Tagovailoa and more than a modicum of faith in QB+2 builds, with Washington a distant third priority.
Minnesota Vikings
Game Total: 49.0 / MIN +4.0 (22.5)
Offense: 39.65% rush / 60.35% pass / 22.8 ppg / 4.4 ypa rush / 7.1 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.5 ypa rush / 7.1 ypa pass / 27.0 ppg / 3.61% sack / 1.02% int
Key Player: JJ McCarthy
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Justin Jefferson, Aaron Jones Sr. (Q; on/off), Jordan Addison, Jordan Mason (on/off), TJ Hockenson, Jalen Nailor (large field), Adam Thielen (large field; on/off)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Derrick Henry, Zay Flowers, Mark Andrews, Rashod Bateman, DeAndre Hopkins, Isaiah Likely
Game Notes:
Quarterback
J.J. McCarthy is an unfinished product with limited experience at quarterback in the NFL, playing in just three total games in his two-year career. McCarthy looks playable against a gettable defense, ranking as QB10 by points and leaping up the board to QB1 by value on DraftKings. McCarthy is also QB10 by points on FanDuel but his value comes up shorter as QB11 by points-per-dollar. He’s averaging only 22.0 attempts for 148.0 yards in his limited action and has four touchdown passes against the same number of interceptions. He has managed just a lousy 6.7 yards per pass attempt despite premium pass-catchers at his disposal. McCarthy does add 5.3 carries for 20.6 yards per game and has two rushing touchdowns, which provides a bit of padding for DFS scoring, he gets a decent matchup against the 18th-ranked pass defense by YPPA in Week 10 and stacks well with his premium receivers.
Running Backs
Aaron Jones Sr. is a mid-range running back option, ranking as the RB17 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel while landing as RB15 by value on DraftKings and RB19 by value on FanDuel. Despite an excellent 5.1 yards per rush attempt, Jones is averaging just 6.7 carries per game 2.5 targets. The running back has and has one receiving touchdown and has failed to score on the ground. He faces a 23rd-ranked run defense, making him a fair consideration at affordable pricing, but he is no more than a mid-board option who rates as playable more than priority.
Jordan Mason is the nominal lead running back, though he slots into this week ranking as the RB25 in points on DraftKings and FanDuel with a bit of expectation of a return to volume for Jones Sr. Mason is averaging 12.2 carries and 1.6 targets, and has four rushing touchdowns on the season. Mason has been efficient with a 0.59 YPA/EXP and could pop for a big scoring play. While he is not off of the board overall, like his teammate in the backfield, Mason is no more than a positional mixer in Week 10.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Justin Jefferson is an elite wide receiver, ranking as the WR6 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel. He’s running 35.6 routes and seeing nine targets per game, good for a huge 30.8% target share on routes run to lead the team. Jefferson has drawn eight red zone targets this season, though he has only scored two touchdowns to dampen his DFS impact somewhat. The receiver a 10.8-yard ADOT and a massive 39.9% air yards share to nearly double the next-deepest target on the team by that measure. He’s in a solid spot against the 18th-ranked pass defense and could deliver the big scoring week that dedicated DFS players have been hunting.
Jordan Addison is a solid GPP play, ranking as the WR21 in points on DraftKings and WR22 on FanDuel while checking in as WR12 by value on the DraftKings slate at just $5,400. Addison is a full-fledged $7,400 receiver on FanDuel, slotting him in as just WR38 by value on the blue site. He is running 38.4 routes and seeing 6.8 targets, with seven red zone targets this season, and has two touchdowns in his pocket. Addison is a deep threat with a 14.1-yard ADOT and is a great tournament play in this plus passing matchup, though his true value lives and dies with the quality of the young quarterback’s throws. To this point, Addison has seen a 70.59% catchable target rate while Jefferson draws just a 65.28% mark. While many of those passes have not come from McCarthy, he is completing just 58.0% of his passes on the season.
T.J. Hockenson is a viable mid-range tight end, ranking as the TE15 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel in a playable spot as stack padding in McCarthy +2 builds. The tight end runs 31.2 routes and sees 4.9 targets per game, with eight red zone targets this season. Hockenson has limited ceiling most weeks, he seems to have a knack for failing to find the end zone and has just two touchdown catches. His value is just OK, ranking 10th on DraftKings and 18th on FanDuel and on the fringes of playability outside of stacks.
Jalen Nailor is a deep punt, seeing 3.8 targets and eight red zone targets this season, giving him touchdown upside, though he has only scored once. The receiver works to an appealing 11.5-yard ADOT for 18.73% of the air yards even in limited action, but his 0.82 yard per route run mark fails to inspire. At least some of that can probably be pinned on a brutal 46.67% catchable ball rate. Nailor is a dart throw but he is a viable pass-catcher who runs 27.3 routes per game.
Adam Thielen is a non-factor, seeing 1.5 targets per game on 13.8 routes, he has one red zone target and zero touchdowns this season.
The Minnesota Vikings stack is a mid-board GPP option, ranking 11th in points but 19th in value on DraftKings, and 11th in points and 18th in value on FanDuel, given some expensive skill players. The best piece is easily Justin Jefferson, but the team offers several capable pass catchers and viable running backs. While McCarthy has not flashed major DFS quality to this point the kid has clear potential for making the necessary throws and he did put three touchdowns on the board in the team’s Week 9 game, with two in the air (on 14-25 passing for 143 yards) and one on the ground (on nine carries for 12 yards). Minnesota faces a Baltimore defense that ranks 23rd against the run and 18th against the pass by yards per attempt in a game that could turn into a bit of a shootout if the young quarterback can keep pace with the superstar on the other side.
New England Patriots
Game Total: 48.0 / NE +2.5 (22.75)
Offense: 47.38% rush / 52.62% pass / 26.3 ppg / 3.9 ypa rush / 8.9 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.9 ypa rush / 7.3 ypa pass / 22.3 ppg / 8.22% sack / 2.51% int
Key Player: Drake Maye
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Stefon Diggs, Hunter Henry, DeMario Douglas, TreVeyon Henderson (on/off), Terrell Jennings (on/off), Mack Hollins, Kyle Williams (large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Emeka Egbuka, Rachaad White, Tez Johnson, Cade Otton, Sterling Shepard
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Emergent star Drake Maye is drawing all sorts of bananas comparisons to Tom Brady throughout New England, because why not celebrate a breakout over a few games against middling defenses? Maye has been inarguably tremendous by the numbers, but it should be noted that his true explosion has come over the past four games which have been against New Orleans, Tennessee, Cleveland, and Atlanta’s low-end defenses. Maye has 10 touchdown passes over those games and seven in the other five games this season, including a zero touchdown game and a one touchdown game. The quarterback has thrown 17 total touchdowns against just four interceptions and his quality is apparent in completing passes at a rate 9.6 points over expectation by CPOE. Maye is QB3 by points on both sites, he is QB7 by value on DraftKings but remains QB3 by value on the FanDuel slate where he is more of a go-to in an interesting stack against a premium opponent. The Tampa Bay defense yields just 3.9 yards per rush attempt to rank seventh but their 7.3 yards per pass sits 21st.
Running Backs
Tre’Veyon Henderson was the team’s lead running back as a popular option in Week 9. The rookie managed 14 carries for 55 yards and added another 32 yards on four catches over his 51 snaps with the offense but he failed to score for the fifth straight game despite two more red zone carries. Terrell Jennings picked up the touchdown on 11 carries for 35 yards and a catch for another nine yards in his 17 snaps, giving him a strong touch-to-snap ratio. Jennings is expected to be the backup again in Week 10, he could see a similar role and poach a crucial touchdown again. Neither option is particularly appealing with Henderson ranking as the RB14 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel, and as a top-13 value on both sites (RB13 DK, RB6 FD). He’s averaging 7.4 carries and 2.7 targets, but has zero touchdowns. He faces a brutal second-ranked run defense, making him a volume-based GPP play at best, while Jennings is more of a dart throw at a cheap touchdown on limited touches.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Stefon Diggs is a strong wide receiver option in Week 10, ranking as the WR11 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel. He’s running just 21.1 routes but sees 5.9 targets per game, providing a fantastic 2.67 yards per target on the season. Diggs leads this group of pass-catchers with nine red zone targets this season despite the limited route-running, though he has come away with just two touchdowns to this point. The veteran operates on a mid-board 8.4-yard ADOT, but is the clear number one pass-catcher in a good matchup with Kayshon Boutte out of action for the week.
Hunter Henry is an elite tight end, ranking as the TE7 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel, and is a top-five value on both sites and should see plenty of scoring upside if the team connects to keep the 48-point game competitive. Henry is running 25.0 routes and seeing 4.8 targets for a 17.3% target share on routes run, with eight chances in the red zone sitting second on the team. Henry is a prime stacking partner for Maye in +1 or +2 builds and has found the end zone four times this season.
DeMario Douglas is a solid GPP play with other options out of action. Douglas checks into Week 10 looking to find his footing overall for the year after a productive 2024, he is currently ranking as the WR30 in points on DraftKings and WR31 on FanDuel and checks in a bit better for value on the DraftKings board. Douglas should see more opportunity than his current average of just 12.8 routes and seeing 3.3 targets, he already has six red zone targets this season even with the limited overall action. His three touchdowns give him scoring equity as a value play.
Mack Hollins is a deep-threat GPP play, ranking as the WR41 in points on DraftKings and WR36 on FanDuel. He’s running 17.7 routes and seeing 2.6 targets. He has a 9.8 ADOT and two touchdowns on the year and got out for deeper scoring plays in years past, making him a big-play-or-bust option.
Austin Hooper is a low-end tight end, seeing 1.6 targets per game on 12.6 routes. He ranks as the TE30 in points on DraftKings and TE28 on FanDuel and has one touchdown this season.
Kyle Williams is a deep punt, seeing 0.7 targets per game but he could see a bit of an uptick in a week in which the team is without Kayshon Boutte. Williams’ limited targets this season have come on an intriguing 14.0-yard ADOT, though he has done about as much with that information as you have with 0.30 yard per route run on the season.
The New England Patriots stack is a low-end GPP option, but it’s loaded with value. The stack ranks ninth in points and fourth in value on DraftKings, and ninth in points and first in value on FanDuel. They face a Tampa Bay defense that ranks an elite second against the run (allowing 3.6 YPRA), but is vulnerable through the air, ranking 23rd (allowing 7.4 YPPA).
New Orleans Saints
Game Total: 38.0 / NO +5.5 (16.25)
Offense: 38.69% rush / 61.31% pass / 15.3 ppg / 3.8 ypa rush / 6.1 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.6 ypa rush / 6.9 ypa pass / 22.8 ppg / 4.75% sack / 2.49% int
Key Player: Tyler Shough
Setting: exactly one
Team Group: Chris Olave, Alvin Kamara (Q), Juwan Johnson, Devaughn Vele, Brandin Cooks, Taysom Hill (on/off)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Rico Dowdle (on/off), Xavier Legette, Jalen Coker, Chuba Hubbard (on/off), Jimmy Horn Jr., Ja’Tavion Sanders (on/off), Tommy Tremble (on/off)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Rookie Tyler Shough is a low-end quarterback, ranking as the QB19 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel. Shough was not impressive in his Week 9 debut, completing just 15 of 24 pass attempts for 176 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Shough threw an interception in relief work the week before. Overall, the quarterback is averaging just 5.4 yards per pass attempt in limited action. This is a very tough matchup against the 13th-ranked pass defense that yields just 6.9 yards per pass attempt, though Carolina is not great at pressuring the quarterback, which could help slightly.
Running Backs
This would be a good week for veteran Alvin Kamara to find his 2025 breakout game. Kamara is a mid-range running back, ranking as the RB16 in points on DraftKings and RB19 on FanDuel against a compliant defense that gives up 4.6 yards per rush attempt to sit 25th in football. Kamara is seeing far less volume on the ground this year, averaging only 11.7 carries while gaining a disappointing 3.5 yards per rush attempt. With 3.8 targets per game and 6.4 yard per target, this is still an involved pass-catcher, but Kamara has zero touchdowns in the air this season. The running back has been wildly inefficient with a -0.83 YPA/EXP mark, he simply may not get it going at all this season or ever again. The 25th-ranked run defense makes this a decent spot, however.
Devin Neal is a deep-fringe running back, averaging 1.2 carries and one target, with zero touchdowns though he would explode for value if the currently questionable (again) Kamara happened to sit out.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Chris Olave is an extreme high-volume wide receiver with tons of talent. Despite the poor quarterback play, Olave slots into Week 10 ranking as the WR12 in points on DraftKings and WR10 on FanDuel. He’s running 36.4 routes and seeing 9.7 targets each week, with spikes well into double-digit targeting. Olave has already drawn eight red zone targets in an offense that is not frequently in that section of the field this season and has come away with three touchdowns. He has a 10.0 ADOT and an emphatic 36.1% air yards share. The volume is elite, but this is a difficult matchup for his terrible rookie quarterback. Olave is a playable but mid-board option again this week, he gains ground in full-PPR scoring formats as usual, he would be far better for DFS quality if he saw more than a 66.67% catchable target rate this week.
Juwan Johnson is a viable mid-range tight end, ranking as the TE13 in points on DraftKings and TE12 on FanDuel, and is a top-13 value on both sites. He’s running 32.3 routes and seeing 6.2 targets, steady involvement at the position for a tight end who draws a 7.1-yard ADOT and 15.66% air yards share. Johnson has seen six red zone targets this season, making him the most appealing pass-catcher for the price, though he has just two touchdowns.
Devaughn Vele is a GPP punt, ranking as the WR57 in points on DraftKings and WR59 on FanDuel. He’s seeing 1.3 targets per game and has one touchdown this year. Brandin Cooks is a deep-threat GPP play, ranking as the WR58 in points on DraftKings and WR60 on FanDuel. He’s running 29.0 routes and seeing 2.8 targets. He has a 9.2 ADOT but is not a reliable option and has zero touchdowns. If Shough is not going to get the ball to Olave, Johnson, or Kamara, even with Rashid Shaheed out of the picture, he is even less likely to get it to these options.
Taysom Hill is a GPP gadget play, ranking as the TE25/27 and TE23/23 on DraftKings and FanDuel respectively. The Swiss Army Knife player is averaging 2.1 carries and 0.6 targets, and has one rushing touchdown. His value is non-existent unless he vultures a score, but he is one of the more likely options to do that a few times per season.
The Saints stack is a low-end GPP option, ranking 19th in points and 18th in value on DraftKings, and 19th in points and 19th in value on FanDuel. They face a Carolina defense that is beatable on the ground (ranking 25th in YPRA, allowing 4.6 yards per rush) but is a tough 13th against the pass allowing 6.9 yards per pass. Carolina has stopped far better teams than this from providing expected DFS value this season, outside of a curveball from the DFS gods there is little reason to expect New Orleans to succeed, though Chris Olave is the premium option and Kamara and Johnson are individually playable.
New York Giants
Game Total: 46.5 / NYG +4.5 (21.0)
Offense: 44.82% rush / 55.18% pass / 21.9 ppg / 4.2 ypa rush / 6.8 ypa pass
oppDEF: 5.1 ypa rush / 8.2 ypa pass / 28.4 ppg / 6.59% sack / 5.39% int
Key Player: Jaxson Dart
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Wan’Dale Robinson, Tyrone Tracy Jr. (on/off), Theo Johnson, Darius Slayton, Ray-Ray McCloud III, Devin Singletary (on/off), Daniel Bellinger (on/off)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Rome Odunze, DJ Moore, D’Andre Swift (Q; on/off), Kyle Monangai (on/off), Olamide Zaccheaus, Colston Loveland (on/off), Luther Burden III (large field), Cole Kmet (on/off)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
The Giants quarterback finally finds an upside week in our rankings after we have been a bit light on him in many of his forays into DFS action this season. The rookie picks up value in a great matchup against one of the most DFS-friendly defenses in football. The Bears are yielding 5.1 yards per rush and 8.2 yards per pass attempt this season, sitting 30th in both categories. This game could explode for fantasy scoring with the Giants also fielding a mostly inept defense, though the quarterbacks will need to hold up their ends. Dart is a solid mid-range quarterback, ranking as the QB9 in points on DraftKings and QB7 on FanDuel, and is a top-seven value on both sites. He’s averaging 29.1 pass attempts, a number that is a limiting factor in the long-term, while throwing for just 195.8 yards per game and 10 touchdowns. His -4.6 CPOE is a major red flag. Dart’s primary value comes from his legs, the quarterback is one of the leading rushers at his position with 6.1 carries for 31.3 yards per game and five rushing touchdowns. He’s in a great spot against such a lousy defense but he has a backup-quality running back and middling pass-catchers in play. Dart has gotten by for DFS scoring, if he runs one in again this week he is likely to be slate-relevant.
Running Backs
Tyrone Tracy Jr. is a mixer of a running back, ranking as the RB18 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel and landing as RB19 by value on DraftKings and RB17 in the category on FanDuel. He’s averaging 7.1 carries and 2.9 targets in limited action but is the featured back with Cam Skattebo done for the season. Tracy managed just 18 yards on five carries over 25 snaps last week and 39 yards on 10 carries over 33 snaps the week before and he has just one rushing touchdown this season. The running back has been inefficient with a -0.84 YPA/EXP, but the volume is there against a 30th-ranked run defense and Tracy was better than this as a rookie.
Devin Singletary is a running back that this team’s management and coaching staff like far better than we do. Singletary gians 3.5 yards per rush attempt and 6.0 yards per target on limited volume, he is just RB31/29 and RB32/34 and has little-to-no value outside of a cheap touchdown.
Receivers & Tight Ends
As the team’s nominal lead receiver, Wan’Dale Robinson is a playable WR19 in points on DraftKings and WR20 on FanDuel against the bad Bears pass defense. Robinson is a decent value, ranking as the WR27 on DraftKings and WR17 on FanDuel. He runs 34.2 routes and sees 7.6 targets, with five red zone targets this season, averaging 5.2 catches for 60.0 yards per game and 7.9 per target and is moderately productive after the catch with a 5.4 yards after the catch per reception mark for 0.9 yards after the catch over expectation per reception. Despite the mid-rate production in the overrated passing game, Robinson has only caught two touchdown passes on the season. He remains mostly “fine” with situational upside created by a lack of better options in this offense.
Theo Johnson is a potentially elite tight end in this matchup, ranking as the TE5 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel, he is a top-10 value on both sites. Johnson has been running 30.1 routes and seeing 4.8 targets per game, and is up to nine red zone targets this season. The tight end has a seemingly out of nowhere five touchdowns on the board, he has become a favorite for the rookie quarterback in scoring territory, making him a premier red zone threat and boosting his DFS profile. Johnson is one of the more appealing options in the Giants stack each week.
Darius Slayton is a deep-threat GPP play on a 13.7-yard ADOT but he is currently ranking as just WR32 by points on DraftKings and WR30 on FanDuel. Slayton runs 32.2 routes and sees 4.3 target per game but is a boom-bust option with zero touchdowns this season and just a 10.90% target share on routes run. Slayton puts up just 1.12 yards per route run, giving the team little reason to look in his direction.
Ray-Ray McCloud III is an interesting mixer in this offense, given the explosive playmaking ability. McCloud was elevated from the practice squad ahead of last week’s game and rewarded his new team with five yards on one catch on his lone target over 34 routes run while playing 52 snaps, second in the receiver room. McCloud caught 62 of 87 targets for 686 yards but scored just once in a fairly productive season with Atlanta last year, he is a viable dart throw if he can see s few additional targets this week.
Daniel Bellinger is a fringe tight end, seeing 1.5 targets per game, he has one touchdown this season and little value outside of a cheap dart throw at the position in Week 10.
The New York Giants stack is a mid-range GPP option, ranking as Stack 13 in points and Stack 12 by value on DraftKings, and as Stack 12 in both categories on FanDuel. New York will benefit greatly from facing a terrible Chicago defense that is a smash spot on the ground ranking 30th in YPRA, allowing 5.1 yards per rush and equally beatable through the air 30th in YPPA, allowing 8.2 yards per pass. If the team had better skill players this would be a much better opportunity, but there is affordable playability in the New York stack and at least Robinson and Johnson provide viable bring-backs in better Bears builds.
New York Jets
Game Total: 38.0 / NYJ +1.5 (18.25)
Offense: 45.19% rush / 54.81% pass / 21.0 ppg / 5.2 ypa rush / 6.2 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.6 ypa rush / 7.3 ypa pass / 23.0 ppg / 9.68% sack / 2.68% int
Key Player: Justin Fields
Setting: at most two / at least one
Team Group: Breece Hall, Garrett Wilson (Q), Mason Taylor, Adonai Mitchell, Allen Lazard, Tyler Johnson, Isaiah Davis (on/off)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Jerry Jeudy, Quinshon Judkins, Harold Fannin Jr., Cedric Tillman, Jamari Thrash
Game Notes:
Quarterback
The terrible Jets face a better-than-expected Browns defense in a lousy 38.0-point game that has them carrying just a 18.25-point implied team total and very little DFS quality in Week 10. Justin Fields is a low-end quarterback, ranking as the QB15 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel. He’s averaging 23.8 attempts for 155.5 yards and has five passing touchdowns while circling the drain in the starting unit. Fields adds 7.5 carries for 41.1 yards and three rushing touchdowns to the tally, which provides a high floor, but the pass game upside is limited and the Browns defense is spectacular at just 3.6 yards allowed per rush attempt (2nd) with 24 sacks on the season. Cleveland’s defense might be the best piece of this entire game. Fields is QB15/18 and QB15/15 across DraftKings and FanDuel, he is a lousy option in a bad spot.
Running Backs
Breece Hall is a solid running back who has been up and down a bit on the season given the lousy team he is on that is not much of a surprise. Hall did not benefit from a trade at the deadline, he slots into Week 10 ranking as RB11 by points on DraftKings and RB12 on FanDuel. Hall is averaging 14.6 carries and 3.8 targets, giving him a solid 18 potential touches each week. He has only managed two rushing touchdowns and zero through the passing game this season, and is getting a bit of pressure from Isaiah Davis, but Hall stands as the highest-priority in the Jets offense even with the stout Browns rush defense on the other side.
Isaiah Davis is ranked outside of the top-30, he needed the starter to exit stage left to find value. Davis is explosive with an 11.76% broken tackle rate and 4.1 yards after contact per rush attempt in limited action but he will not see enough to sustain viability in Week 10, barring the unexpected.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Garrett Wilson is an elite wide receiver, ranking as WR8 by points on DraftKings and WR9 on FanDuel. He’s running 35.8 routes and sees 9.3 targets per game, though he somehow has just two red zone targets this season, that probably speaks more to the overall quality of this offense. Wilson has four touchdowns catches and a fair 8.7-yard ADOT and 30.0% air yards share. Fields is unlikely to reliably find him, Wilson has seen just a 69.64% catchable target rate this season, but the receiver is highly talented and still manages 1.84 yards per route run.
Mason Taylor is a viable punt tight end, ranking as the TE16 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel. Taylor 31.2 routes and sees 5.3 targets each week and already has seven red zone targets this season, making him a touchdown-dependent play with limited potential outside of finding paint at the cheap price tag.
Adonai Mitchell is a deep-threat GPP play that the team picked up at the deadline. Mitchell currently ranks as WR54 in points on DraftKings and is entirely absent on FanDuel. He’s left the Colts running just 8.2 routes and seeing two targets per game but he has untapped potential and is an extreme big play threat with a 16.1-yard ADOT, not that Fields is likely to find him.
Allen Lazard is a low-volume receiver, seeing 1.8 targets per game, but has one touchdown this season. Tyler Johnson is a fringe receiver, averaging 2.1 targets and has one touchdown on the year.
The Jets are facing one of the better defenses in the league this season, the stack is a low-end GPP option, ranking 14th in points and 13th in value on DraftKings, and 14th on both points and value on FanDuel. Breece Hall and Garrett Wison remain good second-tier options at the skill positions but this defense is very likely to completely shut down the New York offense in every regard.
Seattle Seahawks
Game Total: 45.5 / SEA -7.0 (26.25)
Offense: 49.67% rush / 50.33% pass / 28.9 ppg / 3.7 ypa rush / 9.5 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.9 ypa rush / 6.4 ypa pass / 15.9 ppg / 8.77% sack / 1.78% int
Key Player: Sam Darnold
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Rashid Shaheed, Kenneth Walker III (on/off), Cooper Kupp, AJ Barner (Q), Elijah Arroyo (on/off), Zach Charbonnet (on/off)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Trey McBride, Marvin Harrison Jr., Michael Wilson, Zay Jones, Zonovan “Bam” Knight (on/off), Emari Demercado (on/off)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
With the Seahawks favored by a touchdown and some weapons joining the fray in the passing game, Sam Darnold is a top-tier quarterback in Week 10. Darnold is bolstered by the quality of his team, but he has been individually good for the second season in a row and simply does not earn proper value from most DFS gamers. Darnold is ranking as the QB12 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel, and is QB17 by value on DraftKings and QB13 by value on FanDuel. The quarterback is averaging 27.0 attempts for 260.5 yards with 16 touchdown passes and an elite completion percentage that sits 9.3 points above expectation by CPOE and a tremendous 9.6 yards per pass attempt. He’s a great stacking partner in Jaxon Smith-Njigba in a tough matchup in Week 10. The Arizona pass defense allows just 6.5 yards per attempt through the air to rank sixth and 1.13 passing touchdowns per game to rank ninth on the season.
Running Backs
Kenneth Walker III is a mid-range running back, ranking as RB13 by points on both DraftKings and FanDuel but sitting better by value as RB8 by points on DraftKings, though he is just RB15 by value on FanDuel. Walker is averaging 13.2 carries and 1.4 targets each week, he has three rushing touchdowns but has not scored in the passing game. The running back faces a 17th-ranked run defense that yields 4.3 yards per rush attempt on the season against the 4.5 he gains per attempt, his volume is light but he has upside as a GPP second running back or flex play.
Zach Charbonnet is the 1B running back in this offense, ranking as RB20 by points on DraftKings and RB21 on FanDuel. He’s averaging 11.4 carries and 1.1 targets per game while gaining just 2.9 yards per rush attempt but has outscored Walker III with five rushing touchdowns. He is in the same tough matchup as Walker and has been inefficient on the ground outside of the cheap touchdown poaching. Charbonnet is difficult to roster at his projections in Week 10.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Jaxon Smith-Njigba is an elite wide receiver, ranking as the WR1 in points on DraftKings and WR4 on FanDuel, he is a top-three value on both sites. “JSN” is running 26.8 routes and seeing a whopping 9.9 targets per game while averaging 7.2 catches for a massive 118.5 yards. The receiver has only managed four touchdown catches but he gains a completely ridiculous 4.41 yards per route run on his unheard-of 48.5% air yards share. There are receivers and there are receivers and the latter group succeeds against everyone, despite the quality pass defense trying to stop him, JSN is a premium DFS option again in Week 10.
Rashid Shaheed was added to this squad at the deadline, he is a solid GPP play who actually appears on both sites, unlike most of the other deadline movers. Shaheed is an experienced deep threat who fits here perfectly, he currently ranks as WR26 by points on DraftKings and WR25 on FanDuel. The receiver was running 33.0 routes and seeing 7.3 targets per game in New Orleans and arrives at the right time with rookie Tory Horton doubtful and Cooper Kupp still questionable with injuries. Shaheed is a premium deep threat with an 11.3-yard ADOT, he has two touchdowns on the year and sees a major uptick in throw quality with Darnold making him a good leverage play in a tough matchup.
Cooper Kupp is a low-volume receiver this season, seeing 4.7 targets per game, he has one touchdown. Kupp is coming off of missed time and ranks outside the top 40 in points and value on both DraftKings and FanDuel in Week 10 but he is not off of the board in a productive offense missing one of its standouts.
AJ Barner is a viable tight end, though he is in a job share with Elijah Arroyo that has him ranking as just TE18 in points on DraftKings and TE17 on FanDuel. Barner is running 20.4 routes and seeing 3.3 targets, with six red zone targets this season, his value has come almost entirely from four touchdowns. Elijah Arroyo is the second option at this position, seeing 2.4 targets per game, but is not a fantasy option, having only scored once this season.
The Seahawks stack is a mid-range GPP option, ranking sixth in points and 15th in value on DraftKings, and seventh in points and ninth in value on FanDuel. By far, the best option on this team is Jaxon Smith-Njigba, but the addition of Rashid Shaheed is compelling and Darnold+2 stacks are a playable approach even against a pass defense that has been effective this season.
San Francisco 49ers
Game Total: 49.5 / SF +5.5 (22.0)
Offense: 42.2% rush / 57.8% pass / 21.6 ppg / 3.5 ypa rush / 7.5 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.3 ypa rush / 6.5 ypa pass / 21.4 ppg / 5.28% sack / 1.64% int
Key Player: Mac Jones
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle, Jauan Jennings, Kendrick Bourne, Brian Robinson Jr. (on/off), Demarcus Robinson
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Puka Nacua, Kyren Williams (on/off), Davante Adams, Tyler Higbee, Jordan Whittington (Q), Blake Corum (on/off)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Mac Jones is a mid-tier quarterback, ranking as the QB11 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel but sitting as QB4 by value on the DraftKings board. Jones is QB10 by value on FanDuel where he is more playable than a target. The quarterback’s value is bolstered in stacks by the presence of premium skill players but his cheap $5,000 price tag has appeal on the DraftKings slate for points-per-dollar and he can be included in builds with both of the two ultra-premium skill players creating that upside. Jones is averaging 35.7 pass attempts for 261.7 yards with 10 touchdowns and a +1.4 CPOE. He’s an excellent value play to stack in this offense on DraftKings and an OK one on the blue site.
Running Backs
Christian McCaffrey is the number one overall skill player on this slate again this week. The running back sees unrivaled volume and is ranking as RB1 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel. The expensive McCaffrey is still a top-three value on both sites, his scoring potential is that strong across the board. With an average of 18.6 carries for 66.2 yards (with four rushing touchdowns) and 8.9 targets for 69.5 yards (with four receiving touchdowns) the potential is clear to see. McCaffrey picks up 27.5 potential touches each week and has 13 red zone targets this season, more than most of the wide receivers or tight ends on the slate, making him a matchup-proof stud in a great matchup.
Brian Robinson Jr. is the backup running back, averaging 4.5 carries and 0.7 targets, and has zero touchdowns. He has very little value despite his talent, the volume is simply too thin.
Receivers & Tight Ends
George Kittle is an elite tight end, ranking as TE2 by points on both DraftKings and FanDuel. He is a top-two value on both sites and should be a go-to alongside McCaffrey in Jones+2 builds. The tight end is also easily playable in standalone shares across both sites. Kittle missed time this season but has produced like always when healthy. His 9.6 yards per target and two touchdowns show his slate-breaking upside despite just a handful of weekly targets in recent games.
Jauan Jennings is a strong wide receiver, ranking as the WR18 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel, and is a top-22 value on both sites. He’s running 30.4 routes and seeing 5.9 targets, good for a 13.2% target share on routes run, considering the volume hog of a star at running back. Jennings has picked up eight red zone targets this season, making him a primary touchdown look for Jones, though he only has two scores on the board to this point and sees competition from both Kittle and McCaffrey in that department.
Kendrick Bourne is a solid GPP play, ranking as the WR38 in points on DraftKings and WR33 on FanDuel. The receiver runs 30.8 routes and sees 5.1 targets each week while operating at a 10.7-yard ADOT but has not found the end zone this season. Bourne is filling in for better receivers in the offense, he is only slightly more playable than the next two options.
Demarcus Robinson is a deep punt, seeing 2.8 targets per game. Robinson has zero touchdowns this season and rates just inside of the top-60 at wide receiver. Skyy Moore is even further down the board and less likely.
The 49ers have a value-focused stack, ranking fourth in points on DraftKings and sixth on FanDuel, while also sitting first by value on DraftKings and fifth on FanDuel. The team picks up major potential that could create a bit of inflation of value through the quality of Christian McCaffrey and George Kittle on their own, particularly the running back. Those two options are easy to place into lineups with the cheap quarterback and the team provides a few natural pivots like Jennings.. They face a Los Angeles Rams defense that has been excellent this season with 3.9 yards allowed per rush and 6.4 yards allowed per pass attempt on the year.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Game Total: 48.0 / TB -2.5 (25.25)
Offense: 41.63% rush / 58.37% pass / 24.6 ppg / 3.8 ypa rush / 7.1 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.6 ypa rush / 7.4 ypa pass / 18.8 ppg / 6.49% sack / 2.43% int
Key Player: Baker Mayfield
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Emeka Egbuka, Rachaad White, Tez Johnson, Cade Otton, Sterling Shepard
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Stefon Diggs, TreVeyon Henderson (on/off), Hunter Henry, DeMario Douglas, Mack Hollins, Terrell Jennings (on/off)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Baker Mayfield is a top-tier quarterback, ranking as the QB5 in points on both DraftKings and FanDuel against an easily-defeated pass defense. Mayfield is a top-eight value on both sites and could provide slate-breaking potential in a game with a 48.0-point total. The quarterback is averaging 33.6 attempts for 239.8 yards and 13 touchdowns against just two interceptions while completing passes exactly on expectation. Mayfield is in a great matchup and is a strong stacking option atop one of the go-to choices of the week again in Week 10.
Running Backs
Rachaad White is a solid running back, ranking as the RB10 in points on DraftKings and RB11 on FanDuel, and is a top-14 value on both sites in Week 10. White is doing a solid job filling in for Bucky Irving, returning to this starting role to average 9.6 carries and 3.0 targets on the season with four rushing touchdowns on the board. White gets a tough matchup against a rush defense yielding just 3.6 yards per attempt to sit second in the league, he will have to do his damage through the air, but he is plenty involved in the passing game again this season.
Sean Tucker is the backup running back, averaging 2.8 carries and 0.5 targets, and has zero touchdowns, he has little value other than poaching one for six.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Emeka Egbuka is already an elite wide receiver who stands out atop this offense with the team’s veteran stars out of commission. Egbuka joins Week 10 as the WR4 in points on DraftKings and WR1 on FanDuel, and is a top-six value on both sites. He’s running 33.6 routes and seeing 7.9 targets, with five red zone targets this season. He’s averaging 4.2 catches for 70.2 yards per game and 8.9 per target, and has five touchdowns. Egbuka is a spectacular rookie receiver who sees a 13.1-yard average depth of target for a tremendous 37.51% air yards share, he is a go-to in every sense but should be popular in this spot.
Popular season-long streaming option Cade Otton is a viable mid-range tight end, ranking as the TE8 in points on DraftKings and TE6 on FanDuel in a quality spot against a gettable pass defense. Otton is an elite top-three value on both sites at the position and looks like a touchdown waiting to happen in Week 10. The cheap tight end is running 34.7 routes and seeing 4.5 targets per game, but has zero touchdowns this season on a limited 8.6% air yards share.
Tez Johnson is a GPP play, ranking as the WR27 in points on DraftKings and WR19 on FanDuel. He’s running 19.5 routes and seeing 3.6 targets, with zero red zone targets this season but two touchdowns on the board. Johnson is drawing a 9.5% target share on routes run and returning 1.55 yards per route run in a reasonable exchange.
Sterling Shepard is a light-volume receiver who draws just 4.5 targets per game. Shepard has been inefficient with only 5.4 yards per target and has only one touchdown this season, making him a non-reliable fantasy option even in a quality passing game.
Ryan Miller is a deep-fringe tight end, seeing 0.5 targets per game, he has one cheap touchdown on the board and little-to-no value overall.
Tampa Bay is a solid mid-range option, ranking as Stack 7 by points and Stack 6 by value on DraftKings, and Stack 5 by points and Stack 3 by value on FanDuel. The Buccaneers face a New England team that could hang with them offensively to push scoring in a highly-regarded game on the Vegas board, lending appeal to the spot overall. This is a good game that could become a great one for DFS potential. Tampa Bay offers a premium quarterback and quality stacking or bring-back options in Week 10.
Washington Commanders
Game Total: 49.5 / WAS +8.5 (20.5)
Offense: 46.97% rush / 53.03% pass / 22.3 ppg / 5.1 ypa rush / 7.1 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.1 ypa rush / 6.7 ypa pass / 22.3 ppg / 9.62% sack / 3.04% int
Key Player: Marcus Mariota
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Deebo Samuel Sr., Zach Ertz, Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Jaylin Lane, Chris Moore, Treylon Burks (large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jahmyr Gibbs, Jameson Williams, David Montgomery, Sam LaPorta, Isaac TeSlaa (on/off)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Capable fill-in Marcus Mariota ranks as QB9 by points on both DraftKings and FanDuel. His value is middling, ranking 17th on DraftKings and 15th on FanDuel at a price that overcompensates for a bit of quality that was on display the last time he stepped in for the team’s oft-injured starter. Mariota is averaging 7.3 yards per pass attempt on 29.33 attempts per game and has four passing touchdowns. He adds 3.6 carries for 24.4 yards and has one rushing touchdown, which gives him a decent floor. This is a brutal matchup against the ninth-ranked pass defense that gives up just 6.7 yards per pass attempt, though the Lions could push the Commanders to throw early and often, which would not be a bad thing for cheap Mariota shares. Still, this is more likely to be about layering a Commanders skill player in as a bring-back option in Lions stacks than it is to be a Commanders-centric day.
Running Backs
Jacory “Bill” Croskey-Merritt is RB21/21 and RB21/26 across sites. The rookie will share a few touches with lower-end Chris Rodrigues and Jeremy McNichols despite his 4.7 yards per rush attempt on the season. The running back sees 10.4 carries and 1.3 targets per game for the season with a bit of a recent uptick. He has four rushing touchdowns in 2025 and could post a decent game against a defense that sits near the middle of the board against the run.
Chris Rodriguez is a low-volume backup, ranking as the RB40 in points on DraftKings and RB41 on FanDuel. Jeremy McNichols is also a deep backup, averaging 1.8 carries with one touchdown and ranking as the RB41 in points on DraftKings and RB40 on FanDuel.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Deebo Samuel Sr. is a solid wide receiver, ranking as the WR17 in points on DraftKings and WR16 on FanDuel. He’s running 28.0 routes and seeing 6.9 targets, with seven red zone targets this season, and has three touchdowns. He’s the clear number one option, but this is a very difficult matchup.
Zach Ertz is TE8/13 and TE8/4 across sites, his value on FanDuel looks strong at just $5,100. The veteran sees solid involvement with 28.0 routes per game and an 18.3% target share on routes run. Ertz has four touchdown catches on a 7.8-yard ADOT this season, putting up 1.15 yards per route run overall. The tight end has seen four red zone targets and is a reliable option in scoring territory.
Jaylin Lane is a GPP punt who gains a bit of ground with the absences of several better targets. Still, Lane is ranking as just WR37 in points on DraftKings and WR38 on FanDuel. He’s running 17.4 routes and seeing 3.1 targets, but has zero touchdowns on his 11.6-yard average depth of target.
Chris Moore is a deep-threat GPP play, ranking as the WR48 in points on DraftKings and WR47 on FanDuel. He’s running 21.2 routes and seeing 2.1 targets. He has a 14.0 ADOT but is a thin play with one touchdown catch this season.
The Washington Commanders stack is a low-end GPP option, ranking 18th in points and 17th in value on DraftKings, and 16th in points and 16th in value on FanDuel. They face a tough Detroit defense that ranks 13th against the run (allowing 4.1 YPRA) and ninth against the pass (allowing 6.7 YPPA). While Marcus Mariota could find a productive gear, odds are better that the Lions will shine on the other side of this game and the Commanders will be pressed to keep up, making them more likely to contribute as bring-backs if anything.
