This article focuses on building lineups with a quality foundation by utilizing the powerful Groups and Rules/Limits tools within the industry’s optimization tools. All of the concepts and pairings included below can also apply to hand-building. The goal is to create lineups with strong correlations among likely point-scorers to maximize the gains from infrequent scoring events within stacks while limiting the likelihood of building inefficient or negatively correlated entries for a full slate of NFL DFS lineups.
This video was made in a former life and features a detailed demonstration of how to apply these concepts in one leading optimizer tool: Fantasy Cruncher – How-To Video
All references to Sims were done via friends of the site: acemind.io
Don’t miss the Above/Below feature article for a few of our top picks, coming Sunday morning
Game notes are updated during the week and initially posted as “work in progress” as they take a long time to create, if teams are missing notes simply check back later in the day/week and they should be updated.
2025 Week 3 DraftKings & FanDuel NFL DFS Stack Rankings
The following stack rankings were created by pairing each team quarterback with his top three scoring options, whether they are three wide receivers, two wide receivers and a tight end, a wide receiver, tight end, and running back, or any viable combination. In some cases, an expensive running back can push the overall price point of his team stack in the value rankings.
TEAM | OPP | FD$ | FDpRank | FDvalRank | DK$ | DkpRank | DKvalRank | Vegas |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LAR | BAL | $33,700 | 1 | 4 | $28,100 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
DAL | CAR | $30,300 | 2 | 3 | $25,000 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
IND | ARI | $30,800 | 3 | 7 | $24,800 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
TB | SF | $28,200 | 4 | 1 | $23,200 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
GB | CIN | $29,900 | 5 | 9 | $23,400 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
MIA | LAC | $27,900 | 7 | 10 | $23,400 | 6 | 12 | 15 |
SEA | JAC | $28,900 | 9 | 15 | $23,700 | 7 | 13 | 9 |
LAC | MIA | $26,600 | 6 | 5 | $22,600 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
SF | TB | $28,700 | 8 | 13 | $23,800 | 9 | 18 | 12 |
NO | NE | $25,200 | 12 | 6 | $20,100 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
CAR | DAL | $24,900 | 10 | 2 | $20,500 | 11 | 2 | 11 |
CIN | GB | $27,600 | 15 | 16 | $23,000 | 12 | 17 | 20 |
JAC | SEA | $26,800 | 13 | 12 | $21,900 | 13 | 11 | 7 |
LV | TEN | $26,900 | 11 | 11 | $22,700 | 14 | 16 | 9 |
NE | NO | $25,400 | 14 | 8 | $21,200 | 15 | 8 | 6 |
ARI | IND | $25,400 | 17 | 17 | $20,300 | 16 | 14 | 18 |
BAL | LAR | $26,600 | 16 | 20 | $20,400 | 17 | 19 | 16 |
PIT | CLE | $25,300 | 18 | 18 | $21,600 | 18 | 20 | 12 |
CLE | PIT | $24,800 | 19 | 19 | $18,300 | 19 | 9 | 19 |
TEN | LV | $23,200 | 20 | 14 | $18,900 | 20 | 15 | 17 |
Week 3 DraftKings & FanDuel NFL DFS Stacks & Optimizer Groups
Overview
Rules and limits are powerful tools for lineup creation for NFL DFS where our primary focus is creating highly correlated lineups via stacking players from the same game. Lineups will typically be coordinated around the quarterback selection, which informs at least one pass-catcher choice, establishes a budget, eliminates a defense, and sets the tone for the lineup. We will typically look to correlate a quarterback and at least one of his pass-catchers in every lineup, with many of those including a skill player from the opposing team. This player is included to support the stack in a high-scoring game that drives offense on both sides, creating additional correlated scoring potential. Stacking multiple pass-catchers in the same lineup is a sound approach, though there are typically overall ceilings on how much volume is available at any given position. While pass-catching running backs can be prioritized in stacks and group tools, including running backs who are not involved in the passing game is less important at this stage, they will fall naturally into shares as needed. High-volume backs and pass catchers out of the backfield can be included in the groups utilized below, but it is frequently not necessary to do so with the very best players, they arrive in lineups without help.
Rules and limits are typically applied in an optimizer’s Advanced Options menu. Notes are included to illustrate the reasons behind each rule and explain what it does during the lineup creation process. These settings can typically be saved for re-use, which is highly recommended. Saving the groups created below is also a good idea that will save time with updates instead of recreation each week. These groups are created manually, but most optimizers include automated group creators that can help accelerate the curation process.
DraftKings + FanDuel Settings & Advanced Options
Note – Terminology may vary from site to site but these are common functions across most industry tools.
Unique Players Per Lineup– This setting forces the optimizer to utilize at least X new players who were not in Lineup 1 when it creates Lineup 2, and so on. We recommend a setting of at least two unique players, more can be applied depending on the degree of differentiation desired within lineups.
Team Salary– a minimum or maximum salary spend can be applied here as needed, although leaving salary on the table is an easy path toward creating unique lineups while not necessarily making a negative expected value play.
FLEX position– allows restrictions on what positions can be rostered at the FLEX spot. The primary position to restrict is the tight end so that lineups do not include two players from the position. In many industry tools this is a separate option via a checkbox, it can also be handled specifically within groups.
Global Exposure Setting – allows caps on the maximum percentage of lineups a player can appear in within a given pool of lineup construction. This is a powerful tool for shaping lineups but if settings are too low, attempts to build a full set will fall short due to a lack of available players, one of the most common errors in optimizer building. Most optimizers include the ability to calculate ownership caps continuously or at the end of the pool creation process. If caps are calculated continuously, a player with a 25% cap who is utilized in Lineup 1 will not be available for use again until Lineup 5, we recommend turning OFF continuous calculation.
Randomness – provides a random multiplier to each player’s projected point total based on the set values. This valuable tool helps differentiate lineups instead of simply creating them in order of the highest median projected scores. Using some randomness for lineup generation is strongly recommended but the degree to which it is applied is down to personal preference, 15-25% is fine to get started. We suggest heavier randomness to more event-based players like wide receivers while tracking volume-based positions like running backs more toward their median or ceiling projections.
DraftKings + FanDuel Team Stack Rules
This set of rules will force optimizers to build lineups with certain combinations. We are looking to stack at least one skill player, almost always a pass-catcher, with his quarterback while frequently playing a skill player from the opposing team in the lineup. The theory behind this build is that a high-scoring stack will require some response from the opposing team to deliver a ceiling score in most situations. Most optimizers utilize a “complete the sentence” approach for rule creation with selections from drop-down menus following a very straightforward logic. Exceptions to these rules can be added for specific teams and players on most optimizer products.
- QB with at least one WR/TE from Same Team (note: It is fine to set this to two or to utilize two versions of this rule, one with WR/TE and one with RB/WR/TE, but we can also refine this via Groups)
- optional – QB with at least one RB/WR/TE from the Opposing Team (we typically prefer the pass-catchers but high-volume running backs can be effective here)
- QB with at most zero DST from the Same Team (this is a personal preference; high-scoring teams and quarterbacks tend to leave their defenses on the field, exposing them to simple point-scoring negatives)
Limits & Custom Rules and Requirements
Limit rules can be applied to restrict certain combinations from coming together. This is powerful for limiting multiple running backs from the same team or getting overweight to a certain stack within a lineup.
- Limit QB/RB/WR/TE from Same Team to three
- Limit RB/WR/TE from the Same Team to one unless paired with QB from the Same Team OR the Opposing Team (this prevents multiple players from a team that is not a primary quarterback-based stack)
- optional – Limit RB from Same Team to one (we can also do this with WR in a separate rule that adds an “unless paired with QB or opposing QB” but it’s a personal preference for NFL DFS, we typically do not want two pass-catchers from the same team without their quarterback)
We will maintain the list of rules and limits throughout the season, with occasional tweaks. Each week sees another fresh crop of value plays as situations change and injuries create opportunities around the league. These changing roles and emergent value plays are accounted for in creating these groups from week to week. After a large pool of lineups is created utilizing these groups, it is still critical to filter them for factors including ceiling projections and leverage potential. These groups should help ensure that a highly correlated premium set of options that rotates through various combinations is utilized to create the full lineup pool.
Sunday Updates
Any changes and recommended boosts to specific players will be provided in an early morning update each Sunday.
NFL DFS Week 3 Features & Projections
- Week 3 Projections
- Week 3 Above/Below
- Week 3 Quarterback Scoring & Value Rankings
- Week 3 Running Back Scoring & Value Rankings
- Week 3 Pass-Catcher Scoring & Value Rankings
- Week 3 Defense Scoring & Value Rankings
Construction Concept
Team groups are built by utilizing the quarterback as the KEY player in group settings. The quarterback decision is the driving factor in determining which stack the lineup utilizes and which corresponding plays are made to work within the structured requirements. In Fantasy Cruncher, built to specification, each team will have two groups, a team group, and an opponent group, both of which utilize the same quarterback as the key player. Each game will have a total of four groups. This is the best approach to truly capture the requirement of playing individual “run-back” plays from the opposing team. A more basic approach would be to include all of the skill players from a game in each quarterback’s group and rely on rules and limits to restrict any potential overflow. It is highly recommended to save the early season groups as a foundation that will be updated for the rest of the season. The recommended groups will include skill players who have an active role in their offense and provide significant correlation with their quarterback’s scoring, often bell-cow running backs who do not specialize in the passing game will not be included in groups as they are projected highly and appear on their own in basically correct distributions, while also not always providing the strongest positive correlation plays. Stacking quarterbacks with pass-catchers and allowing running backs to fall into the lanes created by settings, available salary, and randomness should create a well-distributed set of quality lineups. These groups are updated weekly to account for changes in utilization, schemes, injuries, target shares, and more.
Team Groups for DraftKings & FanDuel – Week 3
The goal is to create a large pool of well-built lineups that can be utilized in any large-field GPP contest. Our approach is to build far more lineups than needed and utilize a sorting table or sim process to filter to the best set of entries. The lineups created in these crunches should provide a broad distribution that includes some of the lower-owned high-upside skill players from each stack. Applying boosts is critical in pushing and pulling ownership to individual players within their team’s stacked lineups if they appear too much or too little.
The groups below are designed so that each quarterback will have two groups to create, one with his skill players and another with the opposing team. A more basic approach would be to add them all to one large group with an “at least three” and let rules and limits set things, but there is a more granular level of control in creating them separately.
Utilizing two groups also allows us to place running backs into the “run-back” position in certain teams while not including them in the primary stack for their team. This is useful when a situation has an extremely highly projected running back that does not necessarily fit into his team’s passing game. These players are threaded throughout the following construction recommendations.
Note for all optimizers the rules can be utilized to force bring-back plays in some sets of crunches and turned off for others as a global function instead of changing each group to “exactly one” bring-back play, wherever applicable, but it will apply to all teams.
Arizona Cardinals
Game Total: 45.5 / ARI +2.5 (21.5)
Offense: 44.95% rush / 55.05% pass / 23.5ppg / 4.7 ypa rush / 7.1 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.7 ypa rush / 6.3 ypa pass / 17.0 ppg / 6.56% sack / 0.0% int
Key Player: Kyler Murray
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Marvin Harrison Jr., Trey McBride, James Conner, Michael Wilson, Trey Benson (on/off), Zay Jones (large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Christian McCaffrey, Ricky Pearsall, Jauan Jennings (Q), Jake Tonges
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Kyler Murray slots in as a playable quarterback option on both sites this week, with his points rating outpacing his value at market prices around the industry. Murray has had two OK performances to start the season, ranking him in the middle-third of quarterbacks for fantasy scoring. Murray has thrown three touchdowns against a single interception in the two games, averaging 27.0 pass attempts and 7.1 yards per attempt and adding production with his legs. The versatile quarterback has not run a score in for six yet this season but he ranks in the top ten in positional rushing with 5.0 yards per attempt over 7.0 carries per game. Murray gets a mid-board 49ers defense that will be covering for the more limited version of their offense throughout, he has the opportunity to find success with a reasonable complement of weapons at his disposal. Murray is QB8 by points on both sites but dips to QB21 by value on DraftKings and QB13 by value on FanDuel
Running Backs
James Conner played just 65.0% of the snaps in Week 2 and 60.0% overall, his volume has been somewhat limited to open the 2025 season. Conner carried the ball 12 times in Week 1 and only 11 times in Week 2, adding limited production in the passing game. The running back was targeted four times out of the backfield in the first game, hauling in all four passes for five yards and a touchdown, but he slipped to only one target for an 18-yard catch on 12 routes run in Week 2. Overall, Conner played 39 snaps the first week and just 25 in the second game, though the volume scales are still tipped in his favor compared to his backup. Conner slots in as RB17/21 and RB17/23 with more appealing options on both sites.
Trey Benson sees just 38.0% of the snaps overall, he played 22 snaps with the offense last week for a 30.0% share, carrying the ball just three times but finding four catches from a strong six targets over 16 routes run, a 37.5% target share on routes run. If Benson continues to see passing game involvement and chances out of the backfield he may cut into the value of Conner on an ongoing basis. The running back has two red zone carries and two red zone targets over the first two games and has been the more elusive rusher with 3.0 yards after contact per rush attempt on the season. Benson is a low-end RB32/29 and RB31/32 for DFS purposes.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Trey McBride is a premium weekly option at the tight end position, he ranks as TE1/TE2 on both sites this week and looks like a strong buy regardless of popularity. McBride is averaging 8.0 targets per game over two contests, with nine targets in Week 2. The tight end has yet to find the end zone, something that was an ongoing problem for him and Kyler Murray in 2024, but he is one of the stronger options for big play scoring at the position with a 29.75% air yards share between his heavy volume and a fair 6.1-yard average depth of target. McBride has six catches in each of the team’s games, posting a strong 8.7 yards per target for the season, he is always an option to lead this team in catches and yardage, his upside rides on reaching paydirt.
Marvin Harrison Jr. slides in as WR18/WR18 and WR19/WR20 across sites, holding a fair amount of value as a depth option in non-stacked lineups and a critical pass-catcher in Arizona stacks. Harrison Jr. has a touchdown on the board after two games, over which he has drawn 5.5 targets on average with a 31.6% air yards share while gaining 1.61 yards per target. The highly touted talent has drawn three red zone targets in two games, he should continue to be a fixture in the team’s scoring plans coming off of an eight-touchdown rookie campaign that was otherwise a bit disappointing.
Michael Wilson is a depth option in and out of stacks. Wilson has more appeal alongside teammates than on his own, he ran 27 routes in Week 1 and 25 routes last week and has come away with just one catch in each game. Wilson was targeted four times in the first week but that dipped to just two opportunities in Week 2, though he could rebound somewhat after scoring in the Week 2 contest. Typically the receiver’s numbers will be somewhat erratic as a field stretching option, he has so far drawn a team-leading 17.5-yard average depth of target and 32.21% of the air yards. Wilson slots in as WR56/41 and WR56/57 across sites, he sees a minor uptick as a value option on DraftKings.
Zay Jones is the slightly more highly projected down-board option over Greg Dortch and any of the backup tight end options. Jones has played 49.0% of the team’s snaps over two games but has seen just a lone target over 37 routes run. Dortch has actually seen two targets while playing just 17.0% of the snaps and running 14 total routes in two games. Neither option has appeal outside of a large field dart throw.
The Cardinals are a playable Stack 11 by points but Stack 17 by value on DraftKings, on the blue site they rank as Stack 13/18 with several of the skill players potentially landing better as standalone values, most notably Trey McBride as the top scoring threat at his position
Atlanta Falcons
Game Total: 44.0 / ATL -5.5 (24.75)
Offense: 50.0% rush / 50.0% pass / 21.0 ppg / 4.3 ypa rush / 6.9 ypa pass
oppDEF: 5.2 ypa rush / 7.1 ypa pass / 26.5 ppg / 1.75% sack / 3.57% int
Key Player: Michael Penix Jr.
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Bijan Robinson, Drake London, Darnell Mooney, Kyle Pitts Sr. (Q), Tyler Allgeier (on/off), Ray-Ray McCloud III
Opposing Setting: at most one
Opposing Group: Chuba Hubbard, Tetairoa McMillan, Xavier Legette (Q), Ja’Tavion Sanders, Hunter Renfrow
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Falcons signal caller Michael Penix Jr. slots in with a strong projection against a pushover Panthers defense that ranks 26th with 5.2 yards allowed per rush attempt and 22nd with 6.9 yards allowed per pass. Carolina has done very little to stop opposing offenses and the Falcons are poised for a big fantasy week at more than one position. Penix has a strong supporting cast to help cover for his lack of NFL experience, which the team also has helped cover somewhat with a low neutral passing rate. Overall, Penix has thrown just one touchdown pass in two games, completing 27 of 42 attempts for 298 yards on the way to that score in Week 1 but fading to just 13 of 21 passing for 135 yards in Week 2. The limited performance is a concern, as is the potential for Penix to not have to do very much for his team to win, particularly if the projected performance for slate-leading Bijan Robinson holds at running back. Still, Penix holds a solid opportunity in his hands, he has completed four passes of more than 20 yards on the season but has not run the ball aggressively with just 2.9 yards per attempt over 3.5 carries per game. Penix is QB7 by points on both sites, he is QB8 by value on DraftKings and QB4 by value on FanDuel in what should be a popular spot.
Running Backs
Bijan Robinson is out to an explosive projection at the top of the overall scoring board. The Atlanta running back has been excellent over two outings, putting up 4.9 yards per rush attempt on 17.0 carries per game and adding major potential with 6.0 targets per game. Robinson’s 23 potential touches per game over two weeks is outstanding volume for a running back who can find quality on his own, he has gained 2.5 yards before contact per attempt with 2.4 yards after and has scored in the passing game. Robinson is facing one of the league’s weakest rush defenses, Carolina has been gouged for major gains on the ground over two games, giving up 141.0 yards and 1.0 touchdowns per game to opposing running backs. Robinson is RB1 by points on both sites, he is RB2 bby value on DraftKings and RB5 by value on FanDuel and leads the way for one of the most highly-ranked stacks of the week. Robinson is easy to play both in and out of groups of teammates, he is a premium option on the Week 3 slate.
Tyler Allgeier is one of the more appealing depth running backs with touchdown-poaching upside on any given slate. The running back is an involved member of the offense who has at least three touchdowns in each of his first three seasons and has one on the board already in 2025. Allgeier is not a volume option, though he did carry the ball a whopping 16 times for 76 yards and a score in Week 2 with the team tucking in and turning to the run. Allgeier gained 4.0 yards per target on his lone opportunity in the passing game, he has run eight routes over two contests and is not a big contributor in that department but is a significant contributor when it comes time to punch the ball into the end zone. Allgeier has five red zone carries over the first two games. The running back is a touchdown-dependent sneaky value as RB28/27 and RB27/26 across sites.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Drake London leads the way in the passing attack with 9.5 targets per game, though his massive 15 targets in the first game took a big dip along with the rest of the team’s passing attack last weekend. London pulled in just three of four targets for 49 yards and failed to score again in Week 2. Despite the heavy volume in the first game, the receiver managed just 55 yards on eight catches for a weak 3.7 yards per target. London is capable of far more, he went over 1,000 yards for the first time last season, posting 8.0 yards per target with 100 catches for 1,271 yards and nine touchdowns. As WR8 by points and WR4 by value on DraftKings and WR8/16 on the FanDuel slate in a stack that is primed for success, London looks like a high-priority receiver both in and out of stacks in Week 3.
Darnell Mooney was out for Week 1, part of why London saw so many opportunities in that game. Mooney returned last weekend, playing 86.0% of the team’s snaps and running 25 routes with a 16.0% target share on routes run. The receiver caught just two of his four chances for 20 yards and had no impact on the game or fantasy scoring. Mooney is a reasonable option as a second receiver in stacks, he scored five times last season while gaining 992 yards for 9.4 per target over 106 chances and he drew two of his four targets last week in the red zone, marking him as a potential scoring threat in this offense. Mooney is WR40/34 and WR42/44 and could slip through as an under-owned part of the Atlanta stack.
Kyle Pitts Sr. is TE9/9 and TE9/8 across sites, though he is a player we tend to be happier to see land outside of the top-10 where we can worry about him less. Pitts has never truly delivered on expectations, though he has shown gradual improvement for touchdown scoring in each season he peaked in his rookie year for both yardage and catches with 68 receptions for 1,026 yards or 9.3 per target over 110 chances. Pitts has not seen more than 90 targets or caught more than 53 passes since. The tight end has hauled in balls at a solid rate to start this season, with 11 catches on 13 targets over 62 routes run in just two games, he is heavily involved in the offense with an 80% snap share and should continue to see plenty of chances in the passing game. Pitts is yet to draw a red zone target but the volume on his impressive route running is consistent and appealing, this is a playable tight end who people get reluctant to put into lineups when hand-building.
Ray-Ray McCloud III is a dynamic but low-ranked option as a depth receiver in a premium stack. McCloud has played 49.0% of the snaps over two weeks but saw just 15 snaps (23.0%) last week and ran only six routes while catching neither of his two chances. The receiver was better but still limited the week before, running 38 routes over 52 snaps with the offense and seeing five targets (13.2%), of which he hauled in three for 51 yards. McCloud has game-breaking abilities in the open field but his volume is a factor and he is outside of the positional top-50 on both sites, making him just a dart throw in stacks.
The Falcons land as a top option across both sites in Week 3, they get one of the easiest matchups in the game and could see explosive performances from multiple spots. Atlanta ranks as Stack 3 by points and by value on DraftKings and Stack 4 by points and Stack 6 by value on FanDuel, with Bijan Robinson leading the squad in appeal on both sites.
Carolina Panthers
Game Total: 44.0 / CAR +5.5 (19.25)
Offense: 31.88% rush / 68.12% pass / 16.0 ppg / 3.7 ypa rush / 5.4 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.3 ypa rush / 6.1 ypa pass / 14.5 ppg / 11.67% sack / 3.77% int
Key Player: Bryce Young
Setting: exactly one
Team Group: Tetairoa McMillan, Xavier Legette (Q), Ja’Tavion Sanders, Chuba Hubbard, Hunter Renfrow, Rico Dowdle (on/off)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Bijan Robinson, Drake London, Darnell Mooney, Kyle Pitts Sr. (Q), Tyler Allgeier (on/off), Ray-Ray McCloud III
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Bryce Young flashed a bit of his potential in the second half of Week 2’s game, despite coming up short in his comeback bid. Young finished the game with 328 yards and three touchdown passes against just one interception on 35-55 passing, marking just the second time he has cracked 300 yards and the first time since Week 16 of 2023. Overall, the quarterback does not have strong numbers and his totals for Week 2 mask a performance that still graded poorly in accuracy metrics. Young has a viable top option in the wide receiver group but is otherwise working mostly with depth and discards, a limiting factor in this offense most weeks. The quarterback will need to come up with a few more big games before any real stock can be put in his performance, after two games he has thrown for just 5.4 yards per pass attempt, he is a low-end QB18 by points but leaps to QB11 by value on DraftKings, he is QB19/16 on the FanDuel slate.
Running Backs
Chuba Hubbard continues to carry the load for the Carolina backfield, playing 74% of the snaps but carrying the ball a mere 10 times as the team took to the air in Week 2. In the first contest, Hubbard carried the ball 16 times over 40 plays with the offense and saw another five targets on 19 routes run, hie targeting was similar with six in Week 2 but he ran 43 routes over 58 plays in that contest. Hubbard will be highly involved regardless of the game script but Rico Dowdle saw a bit of an uptick in opportunities last week and remains a talented second who could steal key touches and poach scoring throughout the season. Hubbard is a playable but not special RB16/18 and RB16/16 across sites.
Rico Dowdle was almost entirely uninvolved in Week 1, picking up just three carries for a dozen yards and catching two of three targets for four more over just 13 routes while playing 22 snaps with the offense. Over the same snap count in Week 2, the running back doubled his carry count but saw just one target, which he caught for 10 yards, over 10 routes. Overall, Dowdle is nothing more than a cheap dart with limited potential unless something happens above him on the depth chart.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Tetairoa McMillan is an affordable option on both sites but his DraftKings value dips in relation to his scoring rating where his FanDuel value mark soars as WR10 by points-per-dollar value at just $6,000. McMillan is WR20 by points but WR32 by value on DraftKings, in addition to his value rating on FanDuel he slots in as WR22 by fantasy points. At 6’5″ 212lbs, the rookie first-rounder (8th overall) has the size and skill needed to dominate as a true top option, he posted his first 100-yard performance in Week 2 with a six-catch performance for that exact mark, though he has yet to find the end zone over two contests. McMillan ran 53 routes over 66 snaps with the offense in Week 2, drawing a target on 18.9% of those opportunities and hauling in six of 10 chances. The rookie has gained 8.8 yards per target on a 31.31% air yards share and a 9.8-yard average depth of target, it is only a matter of time before the big plays and touchdowns find him. McMillan is playable both in and out of stacks, he is the priority receiver in anything having to do with Young at the quarterback position.
Xavier Legette is questionable to play in Week 2 while dealing with a hamstring issue. Legette drew eight targets over 52 routes on 62 snaps with the offense last week, a reasonable target share for a low-end receiver. He caught just one of those passes for -2 yards. He had three catches for 10 yards on seven targets over 32 routes (21.9% target share) in Week 1. This is not a productive receiver. Legette slots in as WR53/49 and WR57/56 and is only loosely playable even in stacks, if he suits up at all.
Hunter Renfrow is arguably more interesting, the sixth-year veteran has two touchdowns but just 59 yards over the first two games of 2025. Renfrow got into the end zone twice on seven catches while running 57 routes and drawing nine targets last week, he caught just a pair of his six targets for 11 yards in Week 1. The performances will be up and down but Renfrow should swing toward the positive in most of Young’s good games, putting him into play as a low-end inexpensive piece of Carolina stacks.
Ja’Tavion Sanders is TE19/16 and TE19/14 across sites, he is a limited option though he should still out-target depth receiver Brycen Tremayne who has seen fourth-receiver volume over two games as a depth piece. Sanders played 66.0% of the snaps in Week 2 and has drawn 6.0 targets per game, with nine over his 39 routes on 50 snaps in Week 2’s heavy passing attack. As with Renfrow, in weeks in which Young is able to make numbers we should see upticks for Sanders, otherwise it will be difficult for the tight end to find much value.
The Panthers pick up a bit of cost-based value as individuals but they are a low-end option as Stack 23/21 on DraftKings and Stack 23/22 on FanDuel.
Chicago Bears
Game Total: 51.0 / CHI +1.0 (25.0)
Offense: 41.73% rush / 58.27% pass / 22.5 ppg / 4.8 ypa rush / 6.5 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.1 ypa rush / 9.4 ypa pass / 30.5 ppg / 5.88% sack / 1.56% int
Key Player: Caleb Williams
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Rome Odunze, DJ Moore, D’Andre Swift, Olamide Zaccheaus, Cole Kmet, Kyle Monangai (on/off), Luther Burden III (large field), Colston Loveland (on/off)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens, Jake Ferguson, Javonte Williams, KaVontae Turpin, Miles Sanders (on/off)
Game Notes: D’Andre Swift is expected to play as of early Sunday morning
Quarterback
The Bears stack, and quarterback Caleb Williams, are projecting for both monster public popularity and excellent performances in a strong Week 3 matchup against a Cowboys secondary that is still engulfed in flames. Dallas has allowed a league-worst completion percentage over expectation while yielding 9.4 yards per pass attempt to rank 28th overall, and 1.5 touchdown passes per game. Williams managed just 210 yards and a touchdown on 21-35 passing while rushing for 58 yards and another score in Week 1, he threw for 207 yards on 19-30 passing with two touchdown passes and an interception in Week 2, though he did make strides in advanced metrics such as catchable targets. The quarterback made less of an impact on the ground in that contest but rushing touchdowns should continue to be a part of his repertoire. Williams has a strong cadre of receivers on his side, including breakout Rome Odunze, another top-10 pick from last year’s draft. Odunze and Williams are developing a connection that could pay dividends early in the season, they are a go-to Week 3 combination but they will be a popular pairing around the industry in a soft matchup with the highest overall game total on the slate. Caleb Williams slots in somewhat uncomfortably as QB1 by points and QB3 by value on DraftKings, he is QB1/1 on the FanDuel slate, our faith is somewhat bolstered by remembering that the quarterback crested the 300-yard mark four times as a rookie in what was generally a shaky season.
Running Backs
D’Andre Swift is questionable in Week 2 but has put in three practices while dealing with his quad injury. Swift is a playable option who lacks true appeal outside of simple stacking depth in most situations. The running back is averaging just 4.0 yards per rush attempt on 14.5 carries per game with a rushing touchdown on the board and moderate involvement in the passing attack. Swift is RB19/15 and RB20/18 across sites, he is less appealing than the passing game with Dallas’ defense ranking in the middle of the pack with 4.1 yards allowed per rush attempt over two games.
Kyle Monangai will pick up a touch of value with Swift injured, he is a cheap dart but not much more unless Swift misses the game entirely, which would be a big shift for the $4,100/$4,900 rookie. Monangai was barely invoveld in the team’s offense to this point, he carried the ball 3.5 times per game for 4.0 yards per rush attempt over the first two contests of his career but has played just 27.0% of the snaps overall. The rookie’s opportunity did triple in Week 2 with 27 snaps over which he carried the ball seven times and caught one of three targets, but he failed to produce much in either capacity. As a seventh round pick there is not much draft capital invested in Monangai, he will continue to see number two reps and lands ahead of Roschon Johnson on the depth chart but only clings to a sliver of DFS value unless Swift is unable to go.
Roschon Johnson returned in Week 2 but played only on special teams, none of his 18 snaps were with the offense. Johnson would be a low-end backup unless otherwise announced, in the event that Swift does not play. Even in that case the appeal is extremely limited.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Rome Odunze was drafted ninth overall last season to be Caleb Williams’ wingman, the pairing connected on a few plays last season but they seem to be truly taking flight in Year 2. Odunze has three touchdowns on the board over two games, with one score coming in the first game and two more in a big Week 2 performance. Odunze ran 40 routes in each game, drawing a 22.5% target share in Week 1 and extending that to 27.5% in Week 2. The second-year receiver caught seven of his 11 opportunities for 128 yards and a pair of touchdowns last week. Odunze is posting 8.3 yards per target to start the season, while operating on a 13.0-yard average depth of target for a massive 42.22% air yards share. If the team is throwing as aggressively as the industry expects against a weak Dallas defense, this could be another huge day for a receiver currently ranked in the top-5 for positional fantasy scoring. Odunze is primed to continue his excellent start to 2025, he is WR13 by fantasy points on both sites but leaps to WR1 by value on DraftKings and WR2 by value on the blue site, he is made of appeal in Week 3.
DJ Moore is the underappreciated option in this offense. Moore is a rock-solid veteran receiver who has drawn 5.5 targets per game over the first two contests for a 21.85% air yards share and a limiting 16.2% target share in the offense. The veteran has posted 1.56 yards per route run over two games but his opportunities should soar in Week 3 as he faces a pliable Dallas defense devoted to two-high coverage. Moore sees strong expectations against the defensive scheme, with Odunze drawing more of the attention from DFS gamers and in the offense over two weeks, this could be the slight pivot that makes a difference in GPP placement in a strong stack. DJ Moore is WR15 by points and WR8 by value on DraftKings, he is WR16/14 on the FanDuel slate at a slightly higher cost.
Olamide Zaccheaus played just 27 snaps with the offense in Week 2, catching two of five targets over 19 routes and seeing limited opportunities as the clear third receiver and fourth or fifth priority target. Zaccheaus has game-breaking skills and can succeed after the catch but the volume question mark relegates him to merely dart throw levels as a receiver ranked outside of the positional top-50, he has big play potential but is best deployed as the final click in a +2 build in large field GPPs.
Rookie Luther Burden III has only seen 22.0% of the snaps over two weeks, drawing just three total targets over 17 routes and 28 snaps in two games. Burden is not currently much of an option in the offense, he could see one big chance that converts for a score to bend a GPP but he is a longshot of a dart throw for value on both sites.
Cole Kmet has thus far outplayed and out-targeted rookie Colston Loveland, on whom the Bears spent an early 1st round pick. Loveland played 35 snaps in Week 1 and 36 in Week 2 while Kmet was on the field for 57 plays in each week. The rookie ran 19 routes in Week 1 and 23 in Week 2, drawing two targets the first time and just one last weekend, and turning that into a pair of Week 1 catches for 12 yards. Kmet, meanwhile, ran 28 and 31 routes, drawing four targets in the first game and two in the second. While he has not been much more productive, he did post 31 yards on his sole catch in the first game and 29 on two grabs in game two. Kmet is the slightly more interesting option but if the public sees the bloom off the rose with Loveland it could be time to grab a few cheap shares at a touchdown dart in an offense that will be highly owned around its popular quarterback.
The Bears are Stack 8 by points and Stack 2 by value on DraftKings, they are Stack 6 by points and Stack 1 by value on FanDuel and, with Caleb Williams rating so highly at quarterback, they seem like an undeniable option against a highly targetable Dallas defense. The popular Bears are among our top priorities in Week 3.
Cincinnati Bengals
Game Total: 41.5 / CIN +3.0 (19.25)
Offense: 35.09% rush / 64.91% pass / 24.0 ppg / 2.4 ypa rush / 6.3 ypa pass
oppDEF: 5.2 ypa rush / 6.2 ypa pass / 23.0 ppg / 8.20% sack / 0.0% int
Key Player: Jake Browning (Joe Burrow is OUT)
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Chase Brown, Mike Gesicki, Noah Fant, Andrei Iosivas (large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Jordan Mason, Justin Jefferson, TJ Hockenson, Adam Thielen, Jalen Nailor
Game Notes:
Quarterback
The Bengals will have backup Jake Browning at the wheel in Week 3 after suffering a devastating injury to elite starter Joe Burrow last weekend. Browning filled in admirably in the emergency last week and has done so previously, and he has the surrounding talent needed to keep fantasy scoring afloat, at least somewhat, for his skill players, but this is undoubtedly a big hit to the Bengals’ overall DFS values from week to week, particularly among the ultra-expensive receiving group. Browning threw the ball 32 times after taking over in Week 2, completing 21 of his attempts for 241 yards, including two touchdowns but also three interceptions. The Bengals are expecting Burrow to miss significant time, but Browning will have to play well to win the ongoing job, particularly amidst rumors of trades for Jameis Winston, Kirk Cousins, and others. Browning did throw for 8.0 yards per attempt with a dozen touchdown passes and seven interceptions over nine games in 2023, he is capable of a similar stretch but rates as just QB20/23 and QB20/18 across sites.
Running Backs
Chase Brown carried the ball 18.5 times per game but gained just 2.4 yards per rush attempt over the first two contests of the year, he will have to be far more productive to continue warranting that volume in this offense. Brown drew three targets in each of the first two games, catching two of them per game for 4.3 yards per target. Despite the underwhelming performance in ground gains and just one rushing touchdown so far, Brown is the only running back to see carries in this offense over the first two games. Samaje Perine played 13 snaps in Week 1 and 19 in Week 2 but was only loosely involved as a potential pass catcher, with 10 routes in one game and 11 in the next. Perine picked up two catches on two targets, gaining six yards in Week 1, he is entirely uninspiring in this offense but could fall into the end zone for a random score at some point this season. Chase Brown rates well in what should be a rush-heavy game between two teams starting backup quarterbacks, but he will have to find some version of efficiency on the ground. The running back lands as RB8 by points but RB14 by value on DraftKings, he is RB9 by points but RB17 by value on FanDuel.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Ja’Marr Chase will fly exactly as high as Jake Browning’s wings will take him in Week 3 and beyond. Chase is likely one of the most vocal people in making calls for a big acquisition in the wake of his starter’s injury, the superstar wide receiver did manage a big performance in Week 2 but that is unlikely to be easily continued. Chase caught a ridiculous 14 of 16 targets over 50 routes on 63 snaps last weekend, putting up 165 yards and a touchdown in the contest. The volume is gigantic and should continue to be but Chase is unlikely to deliver such a strong number of catches against a secondary that has so far held opponents to just 6.2 yards per pass attempt while generating a strong 32.8% pressure rate. Chase and running mate Tee Higgins are easily rostered in and out of Bengals stacks, there is enough talent at quarterback to carry at least one, if not both, to success, as was demonstrated in 2023. Chase remains one of the top individuals at his position as WR3 by points on both sites but with his extremely high price he dips to WR30 and WR36 by value from DraftKings to FanDuel.
Tee Higgins is WR29/48 and WR32/47, both players have value marks that are cut by the dip in expectation from the new presence at quarterback. Still, Higgins was a strong contributor in this offense while Browning was active in 2023, picking up 2.53 yards per route run and a whopping 43.7% air yards share. Higgins came away with only three catches in each of the season’s first two contests, he went for 56 yards and a touchdown in the Week 2 game but that amounted to just 1.24 yards per route run. Higgins is a strong second option in this offense and a priority play in stacks of Bengals but his overall appeal dips somewhat by comparison to where we normally find the receiver. If the public is seeing things similarly, however, the value pendulum could swing in the other direction as a sneaky high-ceiling player.
With the volume demands of the top two receivers and Chase Brown, receiver Andrei Iosivas tends to fall by the wayside as anything more than a dart throw in this offense. Iosivas ran 20 routes over 33 plays in a limited Week 1 for everyone in a Bengals uniform, he was untargeted in that game. In Week 2, the speedy deep threat ran 37 routes over 54 plays (84.0%) and picked up five targets but caught only one of them for a gain of just 12 yards. Iosivas has drawn a 12.4-yard ADOT to start the season, he is a dart with big play potential as a mixer in Bengals stacks but lacks appeal outside of pile-on situations.
Mike Gesicki and Noah Fant split the tight end role on about a 3-2 basis, with Gesicki drawing more snaps but Fant picking up similar targeting in the offense and scoring a touchdown early in the season. Both players have been targeted in the red zone, Fant converted his lone chance in Week 1 while Gesicki had two chances in the first game and another in the second but is yet to convert. The tight ends are both outside of the top-20 at the position this week, they are depth plays with touchdown-scoring potential on both sites.
The Bengals are Stack 6 by points but Stack 25 by value on DraftKings, they are Stack 8 by points and Stack 26 by value on FanDuel. The team is highly playable but most of the effort and cost is to reach Chase and Higgins, both of whom are more easily attainable in non-stacked lineup sets that focus the correlated scoring requirements on higher-end options at quarterback.
Cleveland Browns
Game Total: 41.5 / CLE +7.5 (17.0)
Offense: 32.17% rush / 67.83% pass / 16.5 ppg / 3.6 ypa rush / 5.5 ypa pass
oppDEF: 2.4 ypa rush / 5.2 ypa pass / 15.5 ppg / 8.99% sack / 1.23% int
Key Player: Joe Flacco
Setting: exactly one
Team Group: Jerry Jeudy, Cedric Tillman, David Njoku, Harold Fannin Jr., Quinshon Judkins (on/off), Dylan Sampson (on/off), Jerome Ford (on/off)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Josh Jacobs (Q), Romeo Doubs, Matthew Golden, Tucker Kraft (Q), Dontayvion Wicks
Game Notes: Quinshon Judkins will be the nominal starter at running back.
Quarterback
Veteran Joe Flacco played so well for his team in Week 2 that they decided to just give him a break down the stretch of last week’s game and hand off the quarterback duties to rookie backup Dillon Gabriel. Flacco’s short respite was earned with another limited performance in which he threw for just 199 yards despite slinging the ball around 45 times. Flacco completed 25 of those passes and threw a touchdown and an interception, his efficiency was a glaring concern with just 4.4 yards per pass attempt, though he does hit the middle of the board for accuracy ratings. The starting gig remains Flacco’s but one has to wonder for how long. The quarterback is QB26/24 and QB26/26 this week, there is no appeal.
Running Backs
The Browns are taking a three-headed approach to the running back spot with Quinshon Judkins, Dylan Sampson, and Jerome Ford each drawing snaps last weekend. Judkins is expected to see an uptick in volume after picking up 10 carries and three targets over 19 snaps in his debut. The rookie gained 61 yards on the ground and another 10 in the passing attack but did not score, he is an interesting talented option who was picked 36th overall for a reason. Judkins should win out in this job in short order but in Week 3 the expectation should be for around equal volume with Ford with Sampson staying involved. Ford carried the ball for 3.3 yards per rush attempt over the first two games, exposing his limited quality as a running back, and Sampson has been even worse in the rushing game with just 2.2 yards per attempt, though his 5.5 targets per game and 7.0 yards per target would seem to keep him on the board as a pass-catching option he actually dipped badly for opportunities in Week 2 with Ford sliding down the depth chart. Sampson was targeted eight times on 16 routes over 32 snaps in Week 1 and just three times on 10 routes and 17 snaps in Week 2.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Jerry Jeudy is the top option in the Browns receiving room, which is saying a lot on its own. Jeudy is a capable enough receiver who has started the season working on a 12.6-yard ADOT for 39.84% of the air yards share, not a bad option in terms of pure volume and nature of opportunity in such a limited overall offense. The receiver has turned those chances into 7.3 yards per target but has yet to score this season. Jeudy caught five of eight targets for 8.3 yards per target in the first game of the season and four of eight for 6.4 yards per target last weekend, and draws a 28.3% first-read share in the Cleveland offense. Jeudy is the go-to receiver when targeting this team in stacks, he is a limited depth receiver in lineups that are not stacking Browns against a Packers defense that has been among the best in the league early in 2025.
Cedric Tillman is WR39/33 and WR41/38 across sites, he has touchdowns in both of the early games this season while drawing 7.5 targets per game on a 27.42% air yards share. Tillman was an interesting depth receiver in large format leagues during draft season, he had a solid three-game stretch in the middle of an injury-plagued 2024 season that drew the eye and he has paid early returns. Overall, this is a limited option with a bad quarterback against a good defense, there are better DFS spots.
David Njoku and Harold Fannin Jr. are splitting another job in this offense. Fannin had a productive Week 1 with seven catches for 63 yards and was a popular waiver claim, he produced another five catches while playing 45 snaps and running 32 routes in Week 2 but gained just 48 yards in the effort. Njoku played 61 and 59 snaps over the first two weeks, drawing regular targets over 39 and 36 routes run, he has a 14.7% target rate on routes and has gained 1.03 yards per route run this season. Both options are limited touchdown-dependent plays but they are among the more highly-ranked Browns options with Njoku landing as TE5/4 and TE7/6 and Fannin not far off as TE10/5 and TE8/4.
The Browns are Stack 26 by points on both sites, they are Stack 13 by value on DraftKings but do not climb that high in our esteem, they are just Stack 25 by value on FanDuel.
Dallas Cowboys
Game Total: 51.0 / DAL -1.0 (26.0)
Plays: 35.97% rush / 64.03% pass / 30.0 ppg / 5.1 ypa rush / 6.4 ypa pass
oppDEF: 5.3 ypa rush / 9.9 ypa pass / 39.5 ppg / 5.88% sack / 2.08% int
Key Player: Dak Prescott
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens, Jake Ferguson, Javonte Williams, KaVontae Turpin, Jalen Tolbert (large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Rome Odunze, DJ Moore, D’Andre Swift (Q), Olamide Zaccheaus, Cole Kmet, Kyle Monangai (on/off)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Dak Prescott helms one of our most highly rated offenses and will be playing in what is our most highly rated game of the week, he is a strong option at quarterback and should lead his skill players to successful days both in and out of stacks. At worst, Prescott and the Cowboys’ passing volume should be able to push the opposing Bears, who we are also aggressively targeting, to make this a high-scoring contest that pays off on both sides. There are strong “bring-back” plays on both sides of the field in this contest and Prescott has been dueling with Caleb Williams for the top quarterback spot since early in the week. The Dallas signal caller has thrown 43.0 passes per game over the season’s first two outings, though those attempts have resulted in just 6.4 yards per try. Prescott has thrown two touchdowns and one interception on the season, he was limited against the Eagles in Week 1, throwing for just 188 yards on 21-34 passing but he took off last week in a classic against the Giants. The Dallas quarterback threw for 361 yards on 38-52 passing with both of his touchdown passes and the interception coming last weekend. Prescott has nearly unrivaled volume from week to week, he is always in play given the strength of his supporting cast and he faces a Bears defense that has allowed a ridiculous 9.9 yards per pass attempt to rank dead last in the league while yielding a league-worst 39.5 points per game over two outings. While Chicago won’t be nearly that bad all season they are vulnerable to the passing game and Prescott should connect with his elite receivers for big scoring plays throughout.
Running Backs
Javonte Williams looks like a man renewed in 2025. Williams had a strong Week 1 performance that we were willing to write off to the value created by his two touchdowns but he showed explosiveness and has been missing tackles at an aggressive rate early in the season. The running back gained 97 yards and scored his third rushing touchdown on 18 carries last week, picking up an additional seven potential touches via targeting. With steady-to-excellent volume from 18 potential touches in Week 1 and 25 in Week 2, and explosive potential after contact, Williams slots in as an easily playable option against a Chicago defense that has been crushed for 5.3 yards per rush attempt and a bottom-five explosive run rate allowed early in the season. Williams is RB12 by points and RB10 by value on DraftKings and RB10/12 on FanDuel on a tight board, he could outperform those numbers if he finds the end zone for a third straight week and should be a high-floor option at worst.
Miles Sanders saw eight snaps in Week 1 but 19 in Week 2, carrying the ball five times for 15 yards and a cheap rushing touchdown. Sanders also ran eight routes in the limited action, catching both of his targets but gaining just four yards. Considering the four red zone touches that Sanders has received over two games, he should at least continue to be lightly involved in scoring attempts, giving him any given slate wildcard value in large field GPPs. Sanders is RB38/36 and RB36/35 at the fringes of playability.
Receivers & Tight Ends
CeeDee Lamb is a superstar option at the wide receiver position, the top priority skill player on the Cowboys, the top priority bring-back player in stacks of Bears, and one of the go-to options at the receiver position in general across both sites. Lamb has outrageous potential against such a giving defense, he rates as WR1 by fantasy points on both sites and is WR7 by value on DraftKings and WR3 by value on the FanDuel slate. The receiver has posted back-to-back 100-yard performances to start 2025, putting 110 yards on seven catches over 13 targets in Week 1 and another 112 on nine catches from 11 targets in Week 2. Lamb is a premium receiver who sees a massive 44.49% air yards share to this point in the season, pulling in his average chance at a 12.6-yard ADOT. The Prescott-Lamb pairing will be highly owned but could easily angle toward slate-winning production in the game carrying the slate’s highest total by a margin of 4.5 points.
George Pickens was a big acquisition for Dallas this season, he has delivered 7.4 yards per target and a touchdown over his first two games in a Cowboys uniform and seems to be a good running mate for Lamb. Pickens has drawn an 11.7-yard ADOT in the gunslinging Dallas offense, giving him a 22.32% air yards share, he caught five of nine targets for 7.6 yards per target and a score in Week 2 after a lousy Dallas debut. Pickens should have an opportunity for another quality performance given the weak opposing secondary, he is WR30/44 and WR29/30 across sites and is a strong option in +2 builds or a light pivot from Lamb shares.
Jake Ferguson is the third option in the passing attack. The tight end has seen steady targeting and a 25.4% first read share over two games this season, putting up 5.6 yards per target on his 6.2-yard average depth of target and landing among the top-10 in positional fantasy scoring. Ferguson has yet to find the end zone in 2025 and did not score in 14 games last year, his five touchdowns in 2023 are a fading memory but he has any-given-slate appeal and regular involvement in the passing game. Ferguson was excellent in Week 2 with nine catches on 12 targets over 42 routes run. The tight end just needs to fall into the end zone to pay off fantasy owners in a big way, he is TE3 by points but TE1 by value on DraftKings and lands similarly as TE4/1 on FanDuel.
KaVontae Turpin and Jalen Tolbert are depth receivers. Tolbert was limited in the first game, playing just 25 snaps with the offense and running 18 routes with only two targets. In Week 2 he picked things up, drawing four targets on 36 routes over 52 snaps with the offense. The receiver hauled in just two of those opportunities for 16 yards and has not scored in the two games. Turpin, on the other hand, is less involved but more dynamic on the field. The receiver played just 14 snaps with the offense in Week 2, catching four of four targets and putting up 47 yards and a touchdown while adding another two touches out of the backfield, though those amounted to just six yards. Turpin is the more explosive big play option and he adds kicking game upside with the ability to break one for a return touchdown on any given slate.
The Cowboys are a top priority option on both sites, they rate as Stack 1 by points across the industry but dip to Stack 7 by value on DraftKings while remaining highly-ranked as Stack 2 by value on FanDuel. This is the most appealing game of the week on paper, it will be justifiably popular in lineups all around the industry but the volume of quality options across positions allows for heavy usage in GPP play.
Denver Broncos
Game Total: 45.5 / DEN +3.0 (21.25)
Offense: 43.20% rush / 56.80% pass / 24.0 ppg / 5.0 ypa rush / 5.5 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.6 ypa rush / 5.3 ypa pass / 15.0 ppg / 5.75% sack / 3.66% int
Key Player: Bo Nix
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Courtland Sutton, Troy Franklin, JK Dobbins, Marvin Mims Jr., RJ Harvey (on/off), Tyler Badie (on/off), Adam Trautman
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Ladd McConkey, Keenan Allen, Quentin Johnston, Omarion Hampton, Tyler Conklin,
Game Notes: Evan Engram is out.
Quarterback
Broncos quarterback Bo Nix will be challenged to find quality against what has been an excellent Chargers’ pass defense early in 2025. Los Angeles has allowed just 5.3 yards per pass attempt and the lowest overall passer rating to opposing quarterbacks to open the season. Nix, meanwhile, comes in with something of a mixed bag of results, he has already thrown four touchdown passes, including three last game, but he has three interceptions on the board already this season as well. Nix has strong ratings across some metrics but suffers on catchable target marks, drawing out some of his inconsistent play. The quarterback threw for 206 yards on 22-30 passing in Week 2, picking up three touchdown passes in what did rate as a quality DFS performance, but that will be difficult to repeat against this defense when Nix is averaging just 5.5 yards per pass attempt on 5.1 intended air yards per attempt. The quarterback does have the ability to add value with his legs, he gained 3.5 yards per rush attempt on 5.5 carries per game over the first two weeks but has not scored. Nix is QB9 by points but QB15 by value on DraftKings, he is QB9/10 on FanDuel.
Running Backs
JK Dobbins has had two productive weeks in a row and plows into a day on which his team’s passing game may struggle but he will be seeing a defense that has been softer against the run with a 24th-ranked 4.6 yards allowed per rush attempt. Dobbins has gained 4.6 yards per attempt on 15 carries per game over the first two weeks, punching the ball in for two rushing touchdowns and gaining a sturdy 2.1 yards after contact per attempt. Dobbins has only been loosely involved in the passing game with two targets per contest, most of his value comes on the ground with touchdown scoring. The running back slots in as RB23/22 on both sites this week but could gain minor ground as Saturday turns into Sunday.
RJ Harvey played just 31.0% of the team’s snaps over the first two games, he gained 7.1 yards per rush attempt on 5.5 carries per game but in truth that amounts to one big gain and 11 total carries for 78 total yards. Harvey drew one target in his first outing and two in his second, running consistent routes in his limited playing time. The running back is an afterthought for DFS purposes, he would need to find the end zone to provide any true value without an issue above him on the depth chart and is outside of the top-3o running backs.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Courtland Sutton had a disappointing Week 2 after a sturdy but unspectacular first game of the season. Against the Titans, Sutton ran 41 routes on 67 snaps with the offense, coming away with six catches for 61 yards and a score, he was limited to just 40 snaps, 19 routes, four targets, and a single catch on which he gained six yards and did not score a touchdown despite consistently winning routes on his 41.73% air yards share. Sutton is far more important to this offense than that but he could be in for another down week given the quality of the opposing defense. The receiver is Denver’s top option but lands as just WR23/36 and WR24/27 this week.
Troy Franklin stepped up in quality with eight catches on nine targets over his 30 routes run in Week 2. Franklin caught a touchdown in the game and delivered a terrific 9.9 yards per target, adding another 11 yards on his lone carry of the game. The receiver was better left as a cheap secret in the Denver offense, this week’s hope is that he will fail to deliver as a more highly-owned option, leaving him under-exposed again in Week 4. Against a tough pass defense Franklin rates as just WR45 by points on DraftKings, though he does climb to WR21 by value at merely a $4,000 price tag. He is WR40/34 on the FanDuel slate where there is less appeal at $5,200.
Marvin Mims Jr. is the third option in the passing game this week. Mims could pick up a few additional chances with starting tight end Evan Engram out and only Adam Trautman and Lucas Krull to fill that void for target share. Mims is a deep threat in the offense, his 8.8-yard ADOT ranks second among regulars and he has a touchdown on the board but his volume has been limited to just 3.0 targets per game. The speedy receiver is a low-caliber option who ranks outside of the top-5o receivers in everything but DraftKings value, where he is WR43.
Adam Trautman is the more interesting of the backup tight ends, he has a touchdown in limited action early in the season but ran just six routes over 32 snaps in Week 2 after a dozen routes over 44 snaps the week before, he is a blocker before anything. With Engram out the overall volume to the position is likely to simply be limited.
The Broncos rate poorly against a good pass defense this week, they are just Stack 21/24 on DraftKings but land better as Stack 19/15 on the FanDuel slate.
Green Bay Packers
Game Total: 41.5 / GB -7.5 (24.5)
Offense: 50.0% rush / 50.0% pass / 27.0 ppg / 3.9 ypa rush / 9.1 ypa pass
oppDEF: 2.1 ypa rush / 6.5 ypa pass / 29.0 ppg / 10.34% sack / 0.0% int
Key Player: Jordan Love
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Romeo Doubs, Matthew Golden, Tucker Kraft (Q), Josh Jacobs (Q), Dontayvion Wicks, Luke Musgrave (on/off), Savion Williams (very large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one
Opposing Group: Jerry Jeudy, Cedric Tillman, Quinshon Judkins, David Njoku, Harold Fannin Jr., Dylan Sampson, Jerome Ford
Game Notes: Tucker Kraft is expected to play as of early Sunday morning
Quarterback
As QB12 by points but QB26 and QB23 by value across DraftKings and FanDuel, Jordan Love lands with a bit of a thud on the Week 3 slate. Love is a strong passer off to a solid start in 2025, he has four touchdown passes against zero interceptions over two games and has thrown for an excellent 9.1 yards per pass attempt on a 12.5-yard intended air yards per attempt mark, he leads an aggressive deep passing attack but one that has been limited for volume with Love throwing the ball just 26.5 times per game over the first two matchups. Love is blessed with numerous options in the receiver room, though that is less of a blessing than a necessity with the number of injuries the group has taken over the past few seasons. With nominal top option Jayden Reed out once again, the quarterback will turn to steady Romeo Doubs and rookie Matthew Golden, as well as Dontayvion Wicks and the team’s premium tight end to create passing value, though the best option from this offense could just be Josh Jacobs on the ground. The accurate efficient Love will be facing a Cleveland defense that has limited opponents to 6.5 yards per pass attempt this season, though they have allowed five passing touchdowns already this season.
Running Backs
Josh Jacobs is an any-given-slate running back both in and out of Packers stacks. Jacobs is a high-volume workhorse at the position, he carried the ball 21.0 times per game over the team’s first two contests, though his efficiency has not been great with just 3.6 yards per rush attempt. Jacobs has two touchdowns on the board already this season and has scored in nine straight contests going back to last year. The running back will be facing a Cleveland defense that tops the NFL with just 2.1 yards allowed per rush attempt so far this season but he could grind his way to another 65 yards and a touchdown given the team’s ongoing desire to hand him the ball 20 or more times. Jacobs is a very high-volume option who will need every bit of those potential touches to reach value as RB6/8 and RB6/7 across sites.
Chris Brooks is ranked outside of the top-50 positionally across both sites. The running back picks up the team’s passing downs, he played nine snaps in Week 1 and 11 in Week 2, drawing five total targets and catching four passes for 29 total yards across the two contests. Brooks is the slightly preferred backup to Emanuel Wilson, but neither is in contention for many touches as long as Jacobs is active.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Romeo Doubs was targeted 96 times in Green Bay’s offense in 2023 and 72 times last season, he has nine targets over two games in 2025 and until proven otherwise should be considered the leading option in this passing attack. Rookie Matthew Golden is drawing top billing in some rankings and rosters and he warrants consideration as well, but Doubs has seen regular volume in this passing attack while the rookie first round pick has drawn just two targets in each of his first two games. Doubs caught three passes for 28 yards but scored a touchdown in Week 2, he ran 28 routes over 45 snaps with the offense and deserves far more in the passing game considering his ability to win routes. Between Doubs and Golden, we are happy to let the field get carried away with the rookie if it means Doubs will come away slightly less owned than he should be. The receiver is WR34 by points but WR24 by value on DraftKings, he is WR33/28 on FanDuel. Doubs is the top-priority pass-catcher in Packers stacks and he makes for an interesting upside play as a standalone option in other lineups. On the day that Green Bay decides to full unleash their passing attack, we will want to have Doubs in our lineups.
Matthew Golden was drafted 23rd overall this season, he should come on for value and opportunity as the year progresses, particularly with Jayden Reed now on IR, but he has drawn just two targets in each of the first two games despite running 26 routes on 37 snaps in Week 2. Golden failed to catch either of his chances in that game, though he added 15 yards on the ground on a pair of carries. The talented rookie should be a strong play on and off throughout the season but he checks in as a more expensive option than Doubs on the DraftKings slate, he is $5,700 to Doubs’ $5,900 price on FanDuel where the matchup is somewhat closer. Golden is WR41/52 and WR45/45 across sites.
Tucker Kraft is questionable to play on Sunday after a knee injury in practice, if he fails to go it will be a hit to the overall potential of this stack but it will push the value of depth options up somewhat. If Kraft is active, he is a strong option at tight end, ranking as TE6 by points but worse by value. Kraft has a touchdown in each of the first two games and crested 100 yards with a strong six-catch 124-yard game in Week 2. Musgrave was limited to six routes last week and four in Week 1, he has three catches on three targets and gained 32 yards on his two catches in Week 2, he is a fair option as a mixer if he starts in Kraft’s place, which seems increasingly likely as the weekend arrives.
Depending on the tight end spot, Dontayvion Wicks could pick up a bonus target or so on Sunday. The third receiver down the depth chart is a strong downfield option whose 4.0 targets per game have come on a monster 18.9-yard ADOT for a 23.23% air yards share. Wicks has yet to score, he represents a scoring threat with big play potential in any situation, and Love is highly capable of delivering him the ball in those spots. Given the explosive nature of the upside and the availability of targets in the offense, Wicks is an interesting option to keep an eye on as lock approaches, he already pulls a solid value rating on DraftKings and could climb the board somewhat, at worst he is a strong tournament play in and out of Green Bay stacks.
The Packers are Stack 16 by points but Stack 23 by value on DraftKings, they are Stack 15 by points and Stack 13 by value on the FanDuel slate, their skill players work well individually across all lineups.
Houston Texans
Game Total: 44.0 / HOU +1.0 (21.5)
Offense: 44.66% rush / 55.34% pass / 14.0 ppg / 4.3 ypa rush / 7.7 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.8 ypa rush / 5.9 ypa pass / 20.5 ppg / 4.76% sack / 6.25% int
Key Player: CJ Stroud
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Nico Collins, Christian Kirk (Q), Dalton Schultz, Nick Chubb, Woody Marks (on/off), Xavier Hutchinson (large field), Jayden Higgins (large field), Dare Ogunbowale (on/off, large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Brian Thomas Jr. (Q), Travis Etienne Jr., Travis Hunter, Dyami Brown, Bhayshul Tuten (Q, on/off), Brenton Strange, Parker Washington (on/off)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
After a disappointing season in 2024 any hopes of a CJ Stroud bounce-back in 2025 seem to have been dashed against the rocks of a shaky offensive line and simple inaccurate passing over the first two weeks of the season. Stroud has a fantastic option in the top receiver role with Nico Collins delivering quality on most slates but the quarterback has failed to stand out for early production and is trailing badly in most advanced metrics. Stroud has thrown just 25.5 times per game, completing 16 of those passes for under 200 yards per game over the first two contests, throwing just one touchdown and an interception while gaining a steady 7.7 yards per pass attempt on limited intended air yards. Stroud does have appeal with a bit of quality on the ground, he managed 6.6 yards per rush attempt on 4.5 tries per game early this season but his output in that area is curbed by bad play up front and a tendency to be running for his life rather than operating in premium designed packages. Stroud is QB13 by points on both sites, he is QB16 as a low-end option on DraftKings but climbs the value board on the blue site as QB8 by points-per-dollar for just $6,700. Given a pairing with Collins for just $14,500 is in play, the Texans are on the board for at least +1 stacks despite a poor overall rating.
Running Backs
Nick Chubb is up to 4.1 yards per rush attempt with 1.4 yards after contact per attempt over 12.5 carries per game in the season’s first two contests, he reached paydirt in what was mostly looking like a low-end performance in Week 2, finishing the game with 43 yards on the ground and 29 more in the passing attack. Chubb gained 60 yards on 13 carries in Week 1 but did not score. The running back still seems far from renewed, he is going to get by mostly on volume in a shared backfield that slants mostly in his direction but he will be at best a volatile touchdown-dependent tournament play. Chubb is just RB24/24 and RB24/19 across DraftKings and FanDuel this week.
Woody Marks is a low-ranked second man on the depth chart, he just inside or just outside of the top-40 running backs depending where we are looking, the appeal is limited at best. Marks picked up just 2.8 yards per rush attempt with three carries in each of the first two games, he broke a big 37-yard gain on a catch on his lone target over eight routes run last week and could see a bit of involvement in that aspect of the game. Dare Ogunbowale played 15 snaps with the offense, mostly working as a blocker on passing downs, and was targeted two times in Week 1, he caught both passes for 17 yards and added nine more yards on two carries, but did not factor into scoring. He dipped to just nine plays with the offense and 19 on special teams in Week 2 with the team seeming to favor Marks.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Nico Collins is an elite receiver in any sense, he is playable in and out of Texans stacks and ranks as WR6 by points on both sites. Collins does cost a pretty penny, dipping him to WR28 by value on DraftKings but he holds somewhat strong as WR13 by FanDuel value. Collins has drawn 7.0 targets per game and picked up nine chances last time out, seeing an average depth of 8.4 yards and a 35.34% air yards share over two contests. The receiver has a touchdown on the board already though he caught just three of nine targets in Week 2, with some uncatchable targets in the mix. Collins has seen four chances in the red zone in just two games, he is easily the top target in this offense and has critical mass scoring potential on any slate, particularly against an offense that was just exposed by a similarly talented top receiver and an emergency fill-in quarterback.
Christian Kirk is reportedly set to return to action after missing the first two weeks of the season. Kirk played eight games last year, catching 27 passes and posting 379 yards with a touchdown for Jacksonville, technically putting him in a “revenge” spot for those who love to chase the wildly unquantifiable. Kirk is an OK receiver, he has one season of better than 1,000 yards with 1,108 on 84 catches in 2022, adding eight touchdowns to the mix to make it easily his best year to date. The 27-year-old receiver should fill the second slot in this offense adequately, but he is not a top-end talent like this team previously offered in the second and third slots. Kirk is a playable WR47/56 and WR47/46 across sites but no more than that, and potentially far less.
Dalton Schultz slots in as TE18/18 and TE20/18 after seeing 4.5 targets per game over two contests. Schultz has not scored, he draws just a 5.0-yard average depth of target for 12.93% of the team’s air yards but has been limited to 30 and 28 snaps, running 20 and 22 routes, over the first two games. Schultz has three catches in each game, with 28 and 29 yards respectively. The tight end has not been targeted in the red zone this season, a bit of a concern if the pattern holds after a season in which he scored just twice in 17 games. Schultz is a touchdown-dependent low-cost mixer in stacks of Texans that are less than necessary.
Jayden Higgins and Xavier Hutchinson have seen deep targets for big play opportunities with a 14.0 and a 12.4-yard ADOT respectively. Higgins caught two of three passes for 32 yards in Week 1 and caught his lone target for 28 yards in Week 2. Hutchinson was targeted twice in Week 1, he caught them both for 30 yards and ran once for another five yards. In Week 2 Hutchinson caught two passes for 29 yards on 20 routes over 27 snaps with the offense. Both players have been involved but Hutchinson has seen slightly more targets and routes, they are mixers at best and neither ranks particularly high despite some big play potential on the deep looks.
The Texans are just Stack 19 by points on DraftKings and Stack 20 by points on FanDuel, they fall to Stack 26, the bottom of the board on DraftKings, but climb to Stack 14 as a cheap option on FanDuel. Nico Collins is extremely interesting in any format and any lineup, whether stacked with Stroud or on his own. The FanDuel pairing of Stroud and Collins does have inexpensive upside.
Indianapolis Colts
Game Total: 43.5 / IND -4.0 (23.75)
Offense: 52.55% rush / 47.45% pass / 31.0 ppg / 4.5 ypa rush / 9.3 ypa pass
oppDEF: 5.5 ypa rush / 6.5 ypa pass / 26.5 ppg / 2.67% sack / 4.11% int
Key Player: Daniel Jones
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Jonathan Taylor, Tyler Warren, Michael Pittman Jr., Alec Pierce, Josh Downs, Adonai Mitchell (large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Tony Pollard, Calvin Ridley, Elic Ayomanor, Chig Okonkwo
Game Notes: Tyler Warren is off of the injury report and expected to play.
Quarterback
Daniel Jones is an utterly stunning second-ranked in fantasy scoring at the quarterback position over two games in 2025 and we would not be more surprised had the Colts trained an escaped orangutan to play quarterback and found success that way. Jones was a disaster in his years in New York, despite a few quality games for DFS scoring, primarily from his rushing ability. Despite some strong metrics over two starts we are far more inclined to believe the large sample and expect less from the quarterback going forward. Jones ranks in the bottom-half of the league in highly accurate throw rate and off-target rate and has done more scoring on the ground with three rushing touchdowns than he has in the air with two passing touchdowns. Overall, the quarterback has been undeniably good for fantasy purposes and could be again this week against a Titans defense that rates in the middle of the board early in 2025. Jones ranks as QB10 by points on both sites, he is QB9 by value on DraftKings where he remains cheap at $5,400, his $7,800 price on FanDuel is a different story, pushing him to QB22 by value on that site.
Running Backs
Jonathan Taylor continues to be a wrecking ball on the ground with 5.5 yards per rush attempt on a ridiculous 21.5 carries per game over the first two. Taylor has somehow failed to score despite 118 yards per game and 3.4 yards after contact per rush attempt, elite numbers across the board. The running back has a touchdown in the passing game, in which he has seen just 2.5 targets per game but broke a big scoring play. Taylor gained 215 yards from scrimmage on a massive 25 carries and two targets in Week 2, with 165 of that coming on rushing attempts and 50 yards on two catches. The running back is in strong position against a team that has so far allowed 5.5 yards per rush attempt to rank 30th in the league. Taylor is RB3/4 on DraftKings and RB3/8 on the FanDuel board and is a high-priority option across slates.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Michael Pittman Jr. dipped somewhat in Week 2, posting a mere 40 yards on 4-5 receiving over his 31 routes run on 56 snaps. The receiver saw similar targeting and opportunity in Week 1 and came away with 80 yards and a touchdown on six grabs, he is highly capable with that volume and could take on a larger role if one were available in the deep passing attack. While Daniel Jones has not exactly helped Pittman find success, his ability to at least get the ball downfield, albeit with an unpredictable spread of accuracy, keeps the trio of Pittman, Josh Downs, and Alec Pierce in business. Pittman operating at a lighter average depth of target than in 2024 with just a 7.0-yard ADOT over his 6.5 chances per game.
As usual, Alec Pierce is a ridiculous downfield weapon who is drawing a 17.6-yard average depth of target for 26.65% of the air yards share on just four targets per game. Josh Downs has seen just a 6.5-yard ADOT on the season, he operates more as the team’s underneath option and makes gains after the catching while also working into scoring plans, he picked up two targets in the red zone in Week 2 but failed to score. Downs had a solid 51 yards on six catches over eight targets, picking up a 29.6% target share on his 27 routes run. Pierce sees less volume but more big play potential in most weeks, though he did jump from three targets in Week 1 to five last week, catching four of them for 68 yards. Pierce has seen a red zone chance in each of the first two games and has low-owned low-cost scoring potential on any slate. While neither receiver rates particularly well, either is a capable dart throw with a slight preference to Pierce’s big play ability, and either functions as a member of a +2 stack of Colts.
Tyler Warren is injured and may not make it for Week 3, though he picked up two practices late in the week and seems to be trending in the right direction. Warren has been productive as a rookie, putting up more than 70 yards in each of his first two games, though he has not found the end zone. Warren caught seven of nine targets over 27 routes in his debut, a solid 2.81 yards per route run, and added four more for 79 yards on seven targets over 34 routes for 2.32 yards per route run in Week 2. If he takes the field Warren is an appealing option in stacks and as a standalone at a relatively weak position, he is TE4 by points and TE7 by value on DraftKings and leaps to TE3 across the board on the FanDuel slate where he costs just $5,600.
The Colts are Stack 13 by points and Stack 6 by value on DraftKings, they are Stack 12 across the board on FanDuel and present playable upside once again in Week 3. Any of the skill players can stand on their own in a non-stacked lineup, with Jonathan Taylor as easily the most appealing in that role, and the team stacks well with any other options across the industry given their abundance of options at every skill position at a variety of prices.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Game Total: 44.0 / JAC -1.0 (22.5)
Offense: 44.36% rush / 55.64% pass / 26.5 ppg / 5.7 ypa rush / 6.2 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.4 ypa rush / 6.9 ypa pass / 17.0 ppg / 9.46% sack / 0.0% int
Key Player: Trevor Lawrence
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Brian Thomas Jr. (Q), Travis Etienne Jr., Travis Hunter, Bhayshul Tuten (Q, on/off), Dyami Brown, Brenton Strange, Parker Washington (on/off)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Nico Collins, Christian Kirk (Q), Dalton Schultz, Nick Chubb
Game Notes: Brian Thomas Jr. expects to play as of Saturday night
Quarterback
Other than a still-concerning lack of connection with top receiver Brian Thomas Jr., Jacksonville quarterback Trevor Lawrence had a much better Week 2 than Week 1. The quarterback completed 19 of 31 passes for just 178 yards with one touchdown and an interception in the season’s first game, he thew the ball 42 times and gained 271 yards through the air despite completing only 24 of those attempts in Week 2. Lawrence connected for three touchdown passes but still lost another two to interceptions, he can be better than this but it is a start to something hopefully big. The quarterback has all of the necessary skills and demonstrated talent at this level two seasons ago, he simply has not taken the next necessary step. If he is able to begin finding Thomas with more frequency that growth will be far more likely. Lawrence is facing a mid-ranked pass defense with his mid-ranked accuracy ratings, it should be an interesting matchup with the quarterback throwing for a fairly high volume. The Jaguars are a playable stack but not a priority and Lawrence rates accordingly as QB11/10 and QB11/11.
Running Backs
Travis Etienne Jr. has had an interesting start to his campaign, playing well enough in Week 1 that the team shipped Tank Bigsby out of town, though the presence of potential standout Bhayshul Tuten may have had even more to do with that. Etienne followed up 143 Week 1 rush yards on 16 carries with 71 on 14 tries, adding 18 yards in the passing game with a touchdown reception for his lone score of the season. Etienne is an interesting option at the position as long as the volume holds in the 18-20 range, if he cedes carries to Tuten and steps backward into a job share he will fall back toward initially low public expectations. For this week, Etienne is RB18/19 and RB18/20, playable across the industry but, like his quarterback and stack, not a priority.
Tuten checks in as RB30/32 and RB30/31, he is a light dart throw with a bit of explosive potential. The running back has churned out 4.8 yards per rush attempt on his limited 5.5 carries per game to this point, picking up 2.8 yards after contact per rush attempt and he scored on a passing play while gaining 32 yards in Week 2. Tuten picked up 10 potential targets over 18 snaps with the offense last week, his volume is still going to be limited overall but he is on the board for limited value that likely requires a touchdown at $4,900/$5,200.
Receivers & Tight Ends
While Dyami Brown has eight catches and 109 yards with a score over two weeks, star receiver Brian Thomas Jr. has caught just five passes for 60 yards and has not seen the end zone, a pattern that is in no way indicative of anything more than happenstance. Thomas is by far the team’s best receiver and first read option, he was targeted a whopping 12 times in Week 2, coming away with only four catches for 49 yards. The receiver saw a 30.8% target share on the 39 routes he ran last week and a 22.6% share on 31 routes the week before, he is extremely involved in everything Jaguars and is the top priority skill player in this offense both in stacks and as a standalone player. Thomas draws a tough individual matchup in Week 3 but his individual talents should win out eventually, if he dips in public ownership he gains in playability.
Travis Hunter played 42 snaps with the offense and ran 28 routes last week, drawing six targets and catching three of them for 22 yards. The rookie two-way star was better in Week 1, catching six of eight targets for 1.06 yards per route run compared to just 0.79 yprr last week. Hunter’s two-way play will hamper his offensive production most weeks, but the player is undoubtedly highly talented. Hunter has worked mostly underneath on just a 6.6-yard ADOT over the first two games, he could provide PPR scoring value rather than big play GPP potential in the long term. Hunter is WR38/42 and WR44/41 across sites.
Dyami Brown does have a touchdown on the board and has drawn 5.5 targets per game to start the season. Brown has drawn 20.52% of the team’s air yards on a 10.1-yard ADOT, he is competitive for +2 stacking shares with tight end Brenton Strange who is an interesting option with plenty of routes run and nine targets over the first two games. Brown gained 2.08 yards per route run in Week 1 and 1.78 yprr in Week 2 while adding routes and snaps in the second game. The receiver is a mixer and will remain so given his position on the depth chart but he stands to produce consistent value as a cheap depth dart, primarily within Jaguars +2 stacks.
The Jacksonville stack drops into this week’s slate as a limited Stack 15/19 on DraftKings and Stack 16/20 on FanDuel with playable skill players looking more appealing than the whole.
Los Angeles Chargers
Game Total: 45.5 / LAC -3.0 (24.25)
Offense: 43.59% rush / 56.41% pass / 23.5 ppg / 3.4 ypa rush / 9.2 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.5 ypa rush / 6.9 ypa pass / 20.5 ppg / 10.14% sack / 0.0% int
Key Player: Justin Herbert
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Ladd McConkey, Keenan Allen, Quentin Johnston, Omarion Hampton, Tyler Conklin, Najee Harris
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Courtland Sutton, Troy Franklin, JK Dobbins, Marvin Mims Jr., RJ Harvey (on/off)
Game Notes: Will Dissly is out.
Quarterback
Justin Herbert leads a high-flying Chargers passing attack that has thrown the ball 30.5 times per game on the season with a terrific 9.2 yards per pass attempt on 9.6 intended air yards per attempt. Herbert has thrown five touchdown passes in two games with no interceptions lost yet and he ranks in the top-third of the league by completion percentage over expectation. Herbert is a strong downfield thrower with options at his disposal, including the returned and renewed Keenan Allen. Herbert leads a playable stack against a defense that has allowed 6.9 yards per pass attempt while generating an aggressive 36.1% pressure rate and coming away with seven early sacks. This will be an interesting matchup for the quarterback, he will have to uncork deep balls with precision timing to avoid the pass rush and beat a tough Denver defense but he has plenty of tools in play. Herber is QB5 by points but QB17 by value on DraftKings, he is highly ranked in both categories on FanDuel as QB5/QB9.
Running Backs
Omarion Hampton has been a limited rusher overall early in the season. The rookie gained just 3.1 yards per rush attempt on 11.5 carries per game over the first two contests, adding little in the passing attack and providing unimpressive numbers up and down the board. Hampton saw just eight carries for 24 yards in Week 2 after handling 15 carries for 48 yards on 50 snaps in his first game. With his snap count dipping from 50 to 34 and Najee Harris adding eight snaps week-over-week, the lurking veteran could be a concerning presence for the late first round pick. It is far too early to give up on Hampton but he is not a DFS priority in Week 2, his team takes to the air far too frequently for him to warrant much consideration, he lacks involvement in the passing game, and he has been inefficient and unproductive early. Hampton is RB21/17 and RB22/13 across sites.
Najee Harris gained just 28 yards on eight carries last week, adding two catches for 20 yards, he lacks regular involvement and would be limited to scoring dart throws for cheap touchdowns. While he did see a red zone carry in Week 2 there is no urgency to get Harris the ball when it comes time to pick up six, this is a low-end RB39/42 and RB38/41 across sites.
Receivers & Tight Ends
The Chargers wide receiver room is outstanding and the team is aggressive in the passing attack. Ladd McConkey checks in as the top projected option on the Week 3 slate but Keenan Allen is rapidly closing the gap and wins out by a mile in the value conversation. So far this season, McConkey has failed to score while drawing 7.0 targets per game and gaining a solid 8.7 yards per target, second on the team. McConkey garners a 22.01% air yards share with a 9.2-yard ADOT on the season, he is an effective receiver all over the field and can go get it for his high-end quarterback. While McConkey has yet to see a red zone target, he does have a strong 26.7% first-read share on the season and will eventually work his way into scoring territory. The entire team is in a tough matchup for passing upside against Denver this week but they still rate as clear options given the upside for passing volume and quality. McConkey is WR9 by points but WR26 by value on DraftKings and WR9/21 on FanDuel.
Keenan Allen has drawn 8.5 targets per game over the first two contests to lead the team, and he has two touchdowns in two games in his return to the Chargers. Allen ran 25 routes and drew a 28.0% target share on routes run for seven opportunities last week, catching five of them and scoring his second touchdown of the season. The wide receiver has gained 2.26 yards per route run overall this season and has seen a 19.2% first-read share with a red zone target in each game, he is an excellent option who will continually be underrated by DFS gamers. Keenan Allen is WR26 by points but WR2 by value on DraftKings, he is WR21 by points but WR6 by value on FanDuel and is a priority value receiver on both sites despite stout coverage.
Quentin Johnston is an explosive big play receiver whose 10.7 yards per target leads the team over two games. Johnston has three touchdowns and a team-leading 34.47% air yards share on a terrific 14.4-yard average depth of target, he is a major weapon in the passing attack and Herbert has been aggressive in finding him early in 2025. Johnston gained 2.27 yards per route run over the first two contests and picked up two red zone targets in the first game but none in the second. While he will draw challenging coverage this week, Johnston could shake loose for an under-owned scoring play given the regular chances he draws in this offense. Johnston is WR37/53 on DraftKings and WR34/29 on FanDuel this week.
With Will Dissly out it should be Tyler Conklin seeing most of the opportunities at tight end. Conklin has a 46% snap share on the season but has drawn just two targets in two games. He did catch both Week 1 chances for 50 yards and added another two yards on a rushing play but did not touch the ball over 27 snaps and 10 routes run in Week 2. Conklin should see a few chances to produce but he is easily the lowest priority player in this offense in Week 3.
The Chargers are facing a tough defense, they slot in as a playable and probably low-owned Stack 12 by points and Stack 10 by value on DraftKings while landing as Stack 10 by points and Stack 9 by value on FanDuel, at worst their receivers are still easy to reach in standalone roles if they are not stacked.
Los Angeles Rams
Game Total: 44.5 / LAR +3.0 (20.75)
Offense: 43.10% rush / 56.90% pass / 23.5 ppg / 4.4 ypa rush / 8.8 ypa pass
oppDEF: 5.0 ypa rush / 6.0 ypa pass / 18.5 ppg / 3.08% sack / 1.59% int
Key Player: Matthew Stafford
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Puka Nacua, Davante Adams, Kyren Williams (on/off), Tyler Higbee, Jordan Whittington (large field), Tutu Atwell (large field), Blake Corum (on/off)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Saquon Barkley, AJ Brown, DeVonta Smith, Dallas Goedert, Jahan Dotson
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Matthew Stafford does not rate as highly as his receivers in one of those paradoxical situations for correlated scoring potential. Stafford checks in as QB21/25 and QB21/21 but his top two wide receivers both rank in the top-12 by fantasy points. The quarterback has thrown 31 passes per game over two contests, connecting for three touchdown passes with one interception. Two of those three touchdown passes have gone to backup tight end Davis Allen, frustrating fantasy owners to no end. That trend should not continue, eventually Stafford will find higher-value targets like Puka Nacua and Davante Adams, the latter of whom has a touchdown on the board already this season. Stafford has been firing the ball frequently to both receivers with solid upside for yardage, catches/PPR value, and touchdown potential on both sites. The quarterback has the potential to outperform his rankings on any slate, his stack ranks as the fifth-best option for scoring potential this week and he has thrown for an excellent 8.8 yards per pass attempt early in 2025. Stafford rates among the top-5 in completion percentage over expectation as well as several accuracy metrics, he remains a strong passer with good weapons.
Running Backs
Kyren Williams, as usual, slots in as a volume dependent running back with limited action in the passing game. Williams gained just 3.8 yards per rush attempt over the first two games, carrying the ball 17.5 times per contest with a touchdown in the first game of the year. Williams typically lives and dies for fantasy scoring by his ability to find the end zone, his limited efficiency can be problematic when he does not, given just two targets on average in the passing game so far this year. Williams is a mid-board RB20/23 and RB21/24 across sites.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Puka Nacua is an excellent high-volume wide receiver who operates on a mid-grade depth of target that has been at 8.3 yards so far this season. Over 10.0 targets per game that amounts to a 34.37% air yards share, and Nacua has delivered a tremendous 11.1 yards per target and 110.5 yards per game, though he has failed to reach the end zone. Nacua caught 10 passes on 11 targets for 130 yards over 23 routes in Week 1, a ridiculous 47.8% target share on those opportunities, he followed that performance with a 33.3% target share on 27 routes in Week 2, catching eight of nine targets for 91 yards. The third-year receiver is a strong option for PPR scoring and general fantasy across any format, he is WR2 by points on both sites this week and slots in as WR10 by value on DraftKings and WR8 by value on the FanDuel slate.
Davante Adams is WR11/12 on both sites this week, he is an excellent option next to Nacua in +2 builds, on his own in a variety of Rams stacks, or as a standalone option in other lineups for the sheer value. Adams has been, at worst, 1A to Nacua’s 1 in the pecking order with the Rams so far this season. The veteran receiver has drawn 10.5 targets per game and gained 7.5 yard per target over two contests, drawing a significant 43.06% air yards share and scoring an early touchdown. Adams still gains separation regularly on his routes, he is far from done and remains a premium play at the position in any format.
Tyler Higbee went untargeted in Week 1 on just 19 routes run but drew four chances and caught them all on 20 routes run in Week 2. Higbee gained 37 yards but did not score last week, he is almost entirely touchdown dependent given the volume that must flow through all of Nacua, Adams, and Kyren Williams in this offense. Higbee is TE26/27 and TE28/29 across sites. Similarly, depth receivers on this team are highly limited by the lack of opportunity.
The Rams are Stack 5 by points but Stack 22 by value on DraftKings, they are Stack 5 by points but Stack 17 by value on the FanDuel slate and their elite scoring potential may be best deployed by playing the pass-catchers as standalone scorers in stacks that create value in other ways.
Las Vegas Raiders
Game Total: 44.0 / LV +3.5 (20.25)
Offense: 33.86% rush / 66.14% pass / 14.5 ppg / 2.9 ypa rush / 7.0 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.9 ypa rush / 6.8 ypa pass / 16.5 ppg / 5.56% sack / 0.0% int
Key Player: Geno Smith
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Jakobi Meyers, Brock Bowers (Q), Tre Tucker, Ashton Jeanty, Michael Mayer (on/off), Dont’e Thorton Jr. (large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Terry McLaurin, Deebo Samuel, Zach Ertz, Jacory Croskey-Merritt
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Geno Smith had one of his patented high completion rate heavy yardage low touchdown performances in Week 1, completing 24 of 34 attempts for 362 yards but managing just one touchdown pass while throwing one interception in the process. Smith cratered in Week 2 with just 180 yards on 24-43 passing while throwing zero touchdowns against three interceptions in a devastatingly bad fantasy performance. The quarterback is better than that but may not be called upon to do much against a Washington team rolling out Marcus Mariota at quarterback. Depending on the play of the opposing quarterback, it could be an easier-than-expected week for the Raiders, though they still check in as three-point underdogs in Week 3. Washington has given up 6.8 yards per pass attempt with limited pressure so far this season, Smith could succeed against that defense but projects for just an average overall performance. The quarterback ranks as QB16/12 and QB16/20 across sites.
Running Backs
Ashton Jeanty has failed to inspire in his first two NFL games, gaining just 2.7 yards per rush attempt with 1.1 yards before and 1.6 yards after contact per attempt to date. Jeanty scored on the ground last week and has been involved in the early passing game but his production has fallen far behind expectations. The first round running back draws a defense that has held opponents to just 3.9 yards per rush attempt, the 12th-ranked mark in the league over two games. Jeanty picked up just 38 yards on 19 carries over 53 attempts in Week 1, he was not limited by volume. He saw fewer chances in Week 2, carrying the ball just 11 times for 43 yards. The running back ran 19 routes in Week 1 and 18 the following week, picking up a few targets but returning just 0.11 yards per route run in Week 1 and 0.06 in Week 2 with three total yards on five catches. Jeanty looks like a mixer as RB13/20 on DraftKings and RB14/14 on FanDuel this week.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Brock Bowers is free of injury in Week 3 after playing both of the early games with questionable designations. Bowers caught five passes on eight targets over 23 routes and 31 snaps in Week 1 then picked up far fewer yards on the same catch and target volume over 15 additional routes and 18 additional snaps in Week 2. The tight end is an elite option who should be expected to see the ball a few more times over that many routes run, he ranks as TE2 by points on both sites and is TE11 by value on DraftKings and TE5 by value on FanDuel. Bowers has not scored this season but he found the end zone five times as a rookie while catching 112 passes and gaining 1,194 yards last season and he picked up a red zone target last week. Bowers will score in this offense, he remains the top option in a limited passing game.
Jakobi Meyers is WR16/11 and WR15 by points but WR4 by value on FanDuel where he is an appealing $6,200 option with touchdown-scoring potential. Meyers picked up 11 targets per game in this offense over the first two weeks, catching 7.0 and posting 82.5 yards per game on a strong 28.35% air yards share, though he has not found the end zone. With 2.01 yards per route run and a 32.7% first read share, Meyers is a compelling value receiver at worst and the top priority wide receiver and second-priority pass-catcher (or skill player) in stacks of this offense. The receiver put up 1,027 yards on 87 catches in 15 games last year, his first time reaching a four-figure yardage total. Meyers score four times last season but was in the end zone eight times in 16 games in this offense the year before, he is a volume-driven value option with PPR potential given the aggressive early targeting.
Tre Tucker saw eight chances over 45 routes run in Week 2, a 17.8% target share on those routes. Tucker caught just three of those chances for 12 yards, he was better on 36 routes over which he was targeted three times and caught two passes for 54 yards and a score in Week 1. By any measure he is at best the fourth-priority in this offense, but Tucker does offer big play potential given an 11.2-yard ADOT and 19.16% air yards share to start the season.
Michael Mayer provides tight end depth behind Bowers, he drew three targets per game over the first two weekends of football, but the better depth option could be Dont’e Thornton Jr. who has quietly seen 31.93% of the air yards with a ridiculous 25.6-yard average depth of target for 23.0 yards per target on his three catches this season. Thornton caught two of four chances over 21 routes for 2.14 yprr in Week 1 then slipped to just 0.49 yprr given 41 routes in Week 2, catching just one pass for 20 yards. Still, there is big play potential from a receiver who will be almost entirely unowned, which is always at least noteworthy when discussing large field GPP play. Thornton is a low-expectation dart at one good deep ball on either slate, he does not rate well for general playability.
The Raiders are just Stack 14 by points on both sites and they rate lower than that by value across the board. Still, there is quality lurking in Brock Bowers for the sheer scoring potential and Jakobi Meyers for the volume and PPR scoring
Minnesota Vikings
Game Total: 41.5 / MIN -3.0 (22.25)
Offense: 47.37% rush / 52.63% pass / 16.5 ppg / 4.4 ypa rush / 7.3 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.7 ypa rush / 6.4 ypa pass / 21.5 ppg / 3.33% sack / 4.60% int
Key Player: Carson Wentz (JJ McCarthy is OUT)
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Justin Jefferson, TJ Hockenson, Jordan Mason, Jalen Nailor, Adam Thielen
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Chase Brown, Mike Gesicki, Noah Fant, Andrei Iosivas
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Minnesota is another team lacking their starting quarterback in Week 3 with JJ McCarthy out once again with an injury. This time the team will have capable veteran backup Carson Wentz take the reins in an offense that largely revitalized Sam Darnold just last season. Wentz has not been overly active in recent seasons, playing in three games with Kansas City last year and two with the Rams the year before. He has thrown 43 passes in the past two seasons. Still, the quarterback is capable, he peaked in 2017 with 33 touchdown passes and seven interceptions but throew for 3,563 yards and 27 touchdowns as recently as 2021 and one could not ask for a more primed offense for him to join. Wentz is a wildcard on this slate as QB22 by points but QB2 by value on DraftKings for only $4,000, he is a $6,000 option on FanDuel where he lands as QB22/5.
Running Backs
Jordan Mason is expected to be the point of the spear in the Vikings ground game this week with veteran Aaron Jones on the shelf. Jones is officially on IR so this job belongs to Mason for at least four games, we have seen this movie before, the explosive back tends to succeed in this role. Mason gained a terrific 5.2 yards per rush attempt and ran for 789 yards on 153 carries in San Francisco in a partly full-time role as an injury stopgap just last season. The explosive rusher has gained 4.1 yards per attempt on 12 carries per game, including 2.5 yards after contact per attempt so far in 2025, he is a strong buy as RB7 by points and RB1 by value on DraftKings and RB5/1 on the FanDuel board against a mid-ranked rush defense. Mason is a strong option in stacks and as a standalone play in other lineups as a potentially elite running back value.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Justin Jefferson remains intact at the top of the Minnesota receiving board. The superstar has had a challenging start to his season playing alongside the still-developing McCarthy. Jefferson caught just four of seven targets over 24 routes in Week 1 and three of six opportunities over 29 routes run in Week 2. The star did get into the end zone in the season’s first game but he failed to score or contribute much beyond the handful of yards in the second game. Jefferson will need to stand tall for Wentz to succeed, he was a gigantic part of the Darnold success formula last season with 10 touchdown catches, if he can connect with Wentz he can rocket up the board quickly and carry the quarterback and this team with him. Jefferson is the linchpin in anything to do with the Vikings this week, he is a crucial part of stacks and a premium standalone option.
TJ Hockenson slots in as the team’s second-most frequently targeted pass catcher, though that amounts to just 3.5 opportunities per game so far. The tight end has delivered just 3.9 yards per target on his 6.6-yard ADOT and has failed to score over the first two games, coming away with just 27 yards over his 42 routes run. Hockenson, like Jefferson, will need to step up to help Wentz get going, he should see an uptick in volume with the change at quarterback and could be in line for a productive day. Hockenson is yet to see a target in the red zone but he should be a fixture in close for scoring situations, particularly while the versatile Jones is out of the picture at running back.
Adam Thielen and Jalen Nailor rank similarly on both sites, they have both been limited early in the season with Thielen failing to catch his lone target in Week 1 and coming away with two catches on three chances last week while Nailor has four total catches on his eight opportunities. Between the two, it is Nailor who is slightly favored for chances over the veteran Thielen in his return to Minnesota. Neither has gotten into the end zone and both operate on big-play-adjacent ADOTs of 15.8 for Theilen and 13.0 for Nailor. While it is less likely that both receivers will connect with Wentz this week, it is not impossible, there is plenty of talent remaining here and the shake up at quarterback could draw it loose. Still, these two receiver rank just inside the top-60 positionally.
The Vikings are an interesting value play this week, particularly with the extreme value on their quarterback on the DraftKings slate where they land as Stack 10 by points and Stack 1 by value. On FanDuel, Minnesota is somewhat more expensive but they still rate as a strong play as Stack 11 by points and Stack 7 by value.
New England Patriots
Game Total: 44.5 / NE +1.0 (21.75)
Offense: 38.21% rush / 71.01% pass / 23.0 ppg / 3.9 ypa rush / 7.5 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.4 ypa rush / 9.3 ypa pass / 31.5 ppg / 5.17% sack / 3.64% int
Key Player: Drake Maye
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Kayshon Boutte, Stefon Diggs, DeMario Douglas, Hunter Henry, Mack Hollins (large field), Rhamondre Stevenson (on/off), TreVeyon Henderson (on/off)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Jaylen Warren, DK Metcalf, Jonnu Smith, Calvin Austin III, Kenneth Gainwell (on/off)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Drake Maye was a strong buy recommendation across our content in a good spot last weekend and he delivered a strong performance with 230 yards on 19-23 passing and a pair of touchdown throws. Maye was a pick last week because of the opportunity to punch a ticket with his legs, which he did, carrying the ball in for a score on one of his 10 rushing attempts while gaining 31 yards. Maye checks into this week as a solidly ranked option against a Steelers defense that was gutted by Justin Fields in Week 1, he could be in line for another good day as QB6/4 on DraftKings and QB6/6 on FanDuel.
Running Backs
Rhamondre Stevenson and TreVeyon Henderson have split duties in the backfield with Henderson gaining 4.6 yards per attempt on fewer tries and Stevenson putting up his typical mediocrity at 3.8 yards per attempt. Both players have been loosely involved in the passing attack with four targets per contest each and neither has a touchdown of any sort to this point in the season. Between the two, Stevenson sees the larger workload, he played 65% of the snaps over the first two games with 12.5 touches per contest. Stevenson ranks in the middle of the pack in explosive runs and missed tackles, he is a low-ranked mixer as a starting running back and requires touchdowns to find success. Henderson has drawn steady chances in the passing game while lacking efficiency and explosiveness to date. The running back has not had much chance to get things going and the lack of volume is unappealing for DFS scoring outside of the potential to poach a touchdown. With both backs ranked outside of the positional top-20 there is only limited appeal in this space.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Stefon Diggs played 29 snaps and ran 38 routes in Week 1, picking up seven targets and catching six of them for a less-than-relevant 57 yards. The veteran receiver followed that performance with four catches on five targets over 28 snaps while running only 15 routes last week, a strong 33.3% target share on those routes but a less than impressive overall route share. Diggs is caught up in a bit of a blender with the Patriots fielding several capable wide receivers, he is likely to ultimately win out in numbers but it might be a tight race that is a frustrating weekly fantasy situation. The receiver is a mixed option unless he finds the end zone, he is not particularly expensive but lands as WR33/23 and WR36/39 across sites.
Kayshon Boutte was the hot commodity on last week’s waiver wire after posting a 103-yard performance in Week 1, he immediately fell on his face to the tune of one catch for 16 yards on his lone target over 21 routes run in Week 2, though that catch did go for a touchdown that alleviated some of the pain of the light Sunday. Boutte is another receiver who will live and die with his volume, he is talented and should see downfield targeting when his number is called, so far he has a 17.0-yard ADOT that is pushing a 31.94% air yards share in his direction even after the weak performance last weekend. Boutte could end up the team’s leading receiver, he has a 15.7% first-read share on the season while gaining 1.98 yards per route run, he is a fair play as WR42/37 and WR35/24 across sites, picking up the most value as a FanDuel dart.
DeMario Douglas is a lower-end receiver just inside of the top-50 positionally in Week 3. Douglas caught two passes for -2 yards but scored a touchdown in Week 1, he caught one pass for eight yards in Week 2 with targets dropping from a solid seven the first time out to just one last week. Overall, Douglas should remain involved in the rotation of receivers but he should ultimately land third behind both Diggs and Boutte, the third year receiver posted 621 yards on 66-87 receiving with three touchdowns last year. The other depth option is deep threat Mack Hollins, who caught a cheap touchdown pass in Week 1 but has seen just two targets per game on a 7.3-yard ADOT that is a limiting factor for his typical scoring potential. Neither receiver has much appeal other than a dart throw but Douglas has a bit more expectation of volume.
Hunter Henry stands as TE13/14 and TE12/10 he is at the fringes of playability and requires a touchdown to make value. Henry drew 5.5 targets per game over the first two contests of the season, coming away with four catches on eight targets over 37 routes run in Week 1 but dipping to just 20 routes run over 47 snaps while catching just one of three targets in Week 2. Henry did see a red zone target in the limited action last weekend, he will see his number called in that situation from time to time which helps overall value. The tight end scored just twice last season but had six touchdowns in only 14 games the year before. Henry is a value flier at the tight end spot on either site.
The Patriots rank as Stack 24/20 and Stack 24/19 across sites, they are an uninspiring play in Week 3 but their quarterback is talented enough to drag them to success against a vulnerable opposing defense.
New Orleans Saints
Game Total: 41.5 / NO +7.5 (17.0)
Offense: 38.24% rush / 61.76% pass / 17.0 ppg / 4.4 ypa rush / 5.3 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.4 ypa rush / 7.0 ypa pass / 17.0 ppg / 5.41% sack / 5.71% int
Key Player: Spencer Rattler
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Alvin Kamara, Chris Olave, Juwan Johnson, Rashid Shaheed, Brandin Cooks, Kendre Miller (on/off)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Q), Cooper Kupp, Kenneth Walker III, Zach Charbonnet (D), Tory Horton (Q)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Saints quarterback Spencer Rattler had an unexpectedly good performance in Week 2, throwing for 207 yards and three touchdowns on 25-34 passing. Rattler was not amazing but he was competent and that can be enough when it comes with a few scores. The quarterback has solid weapons in the passing game but is more likely to post games like his Week 1 performance in which he threw for 214 yards and zero touchdowns on 46 pass attempts. Rattler ranks in the bottom half of most passer metrics, though he did stand out with a top-10 rating in catchable target rate last week. The quarterback is unlikely to continue his success against a capable Seattle pass defense that has held opposing quarterbacks to low marks over the first two weeks. Rattler is QB23 by points but QB14 by value at his cheap DraftKings price, he is QB23/19 on FanDuel.
Running Backs
Alvin Kamara returned to his typically outstanding volume in Week 2 after a more limited first game saw him carry the ball just 11 times and catch two of two targets. In the second game, the running back was handed 21 carries and another six chances via targeting, giving him 27 potential (and actual) touches for the game and putting him back on the elite tier of running back options. Kamara is off to a strong start with a top-10 explosive run rate and steady targeting in the pass game, he should continue to produce whenever the volume holds, though the Seattle defense has stuffed the run, allowing just 3.4 yards per attempt over two games this season. Kamara ranks as RB10/11 on DraftKings and RB12/21 at a higher relative price on the blue site. The running back remains a star and can bend slates to his will when he sees nearly 30 potential touches, but he will need to find success in the passing game this week, which puts some dependence on Rattler’s performance.
There is very little volume for capable backup rusher Kendre Miller in this offense, outside of a cheaply poached touchdown he does not provide value unless Kamara exits unexpectedly.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Chris Olave has garnered a 40.0% air yards share over two games, seeing a 9.5-yard ADOT on 11.5 targets per game as the team’s leading option. Olave remains a strong talent, one of his main problems is simply staying healthy and active, he is a productive receiver whenever he takes the field. Olave has drawn a 27.5% target share and 28.1% first-read share as the leading weapon for limited Spencer Rattler, though he has yet to find the end zone despite a pair of red zone targets. Olave has exactly 54 yards in each of the first two contests this season, at worst he is a volume play given back-to-back games with double-digit targeting. The receiver is WR28 by points but WR16 by value on DraftKings, he is WR27/25 on the FanDuel slate.
Rashid Shaheed is a deep threat in the passing attack, he has a 9.6-yard ADOT and 24.77% air yards share with a touchdown in his pocket over the first two games. Shaheed was a steadily involved deep threat when healthy in six games last season, scoring three times, following up five-touchdown 719-yard second season in 2023. The receiver is at best the second option in the passing attack and likely third or fourth behind Kamara and Juwan Johnson, but he has value as a big play threat who can get down the field for Rattler. Shaheed is a mid-ranked WR43/38 and WR43/40 across sites.
Juwan Johnson had a strong Week 2, running 34 routes on 65 snaps and picking up nine targets for five catches and 49 yards with his first touchdown of the season. Johnson averaged a strong 1.95 yards per route run in the season’s first game and 1.44 last week, he should remain steadily involved after seeing 21 targets over the season’s first two contests. Johnson has a massive 31.5% first read share in the Saints offense to this point in the season, he has been a safety valve for the limited Rattler and has seen three red zone targets over two games. Johnson is TE7/6 and TE5/7 but will draw more popularity after the huge volume over two contests, he is no secret in Week 3 and the public popularity could outpace the value he provides.
The Saints are a low caliber Stack 18 by points and Stack 15 by value on DraftKings, they are even worse as Stack 21/23 on the FanDuel slate where they do not rate well at all, the padding from full PPR scoring on DraftKings creates most of the difference from site to site.
New York Jets
Game Total: 43.5 / NYJ +6.5 (18.50)
Offense: 55.05% rush / 44.95% pass / 21.0 ppg / 4.7 ypa rush / 6.8 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.3 ypa rush / 7.7 ypa pass / 19.5 ppg / 5.71% sack / 0.0% int
Key Player: Tyrod Taylor (Justin Fields is OUT)
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Breece Hall, Garrett Wilson, Mason Taylor, Tyler Johnson, Arian Smith, Jeremy Ruckert
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Bucky Irving, Mike Evans, Emeka Egbuka, Rachaad White, Cade Otton, Sterling Shepard
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Yet another team turning to their understudy, the Jets will have veteran Tyrod Taylor as the signal caller in Week 3. After finding success with Justin Fields on the ground in Week 1, the quarterback dipped to just a 3-11 passing performance while rushing for 49 yards on five carries before exiting last week’s game, with Taylor filling in and finishing the game with seven completions on 11 pass attempts for 56 yards and a touchdown. Taylor has ability on the ground as well, he ran for 21 yards on three carries last weekend and picked up 197 yards on 38 carries in his last truly relevant action, playing in 11 games for the Giants in 2023 and rating highly in accuracy metrics during the limited run. Taylor is a mixer option with high-level skill players surrounding him, it would not be stunning to see him succeed from a DFS perspective, though he does not rate well as a cheap QB225/20 and QB24/25.
Running Backs
Breece Hall has had one up and one down game so far this season. The running back gained 107 yards on 19 carries with another 38 on a pair of catches in Week 1 but lost a touchdown to backup Braelon Allen on limited action. In the season’s second game, Hall carried the ball just 10 times for 29 yards and gained only nine more on his two catches over 14 routes run. The talented running back need steady volume to find true success, he gained 4.7 yards per rush attempt this season but when the game script cuts opportunities down it is difficult to recover at Hall’s fairly high price point for DFS. Hall is carrying a sturdy 2.38 yards after contact per attempt and has forced a 21% missed tackle rate on the season, he has all the talent needed to succeed but he will be hard-pressed against a Tampa Bay defense that has allowed just 3.3 yards per rush attempt while stopping running backs cold over two games. Hall is RB14/12 and RB13/15 across sites and looks like a far lower-end option than last week.
Braelon Allen has virtually no appeal with just 2.5 yards per rush attempt and 4.0 carries per game, even with his poached Week 1 touchdown he lacks quality and volume.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Garrett Wilson is the leading option on the Jets, there is a strong chance that he is best deployed as a standalone player in other lineups to represent Gang Green this week. Wilson has garnered a ludicrous 51.62% air yards share on 8.5 targets per game and a 9.4-yard average depth of target, he has a touchdown on the board early in the season and has seen steady route shares while posting 3.06 yprr in Week 1 and 1.56 in Week 2. Wilson caught four passes for 50 yards last week, though he was targeted eight times on his 32 routes. The receiver will live and die with the quality of Taylor’s throws but this is technically a more accurate quarterback than Fields, it will be interesting to see the impact that could have on Wilson’s scoring while Fields is out with a concussion. Wilson drops into Week 3 as WR14/20 and WR14/18 across sites.
Tyler Johnson is the nominal second option in the passing attack with Josh Reynolds out of action. Johnson has been targeted just 1.5 times per game but has drawn a 14.0-yard ADOT that puts him in big play territory, though those chances have amounted to just 31 yards on two catches over 14 routes in Week 1 and zero catches on one target over 31 routes last week. Johnson could see a minor uptick in quality with Taylor throwing him passes, but this is a very low-end option behind the high-volume skill players in the top two spots.
Arian Smith and Allen Lazard are similarly lousy options in this offense. Smith has one catch on 22 routes over 28 snaps with the offense in two games and Lazard went untargeted over 10 routes on 22 snaps in Week 2 after a DNP in Week 1. This is not a quality passing attack outside of the Wilson option.
Mason Taylor could be the second-best option as a pass-catcher for this team. The tight end caught his lone target in Week 1 and one of two last week, gaining 25 total yards on 46 routes run, an unimpressive total but one that also includes a red zone opportunity that went unconverted. Taylor is a low volume option positionally, he does not rate well in what is unlikely to be a high-powered offense this week, he is just TE21 by points but he does crest to TE10 by value on DraftKings. On FanDuel, the limited option is just TE26/25.
The Jets are Stack 25/14 and Stack 25/24 across sites, they lack true appeal but could benefit somewhat from the more accurate quarterback taking over. Tyrod Taylor has had success at the NFL level in the past, he could produce on Sunday, at least enough to keep both Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson as playable options, if not to drive the stack to success. Hall and Wilson are easily played out of stacked lineups but there is only mixed appeal in stacking this team.
Philadelphia Eagles
Game Total: 44.5 / PHI -3.0 (23.75)
Offense: 60.0% rush / 40.0% pass / 22.0 ppg / 3.9 ypa rush / 5.6 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.2 ypa rush / 6.1 ypa pass / 14.0 ppg / 11.76% sack / 1.67% int
Key Player: Jalen Hurts
Setting: at least one / exactly two / at most two (allows for “naked” Hurts lineups)
Team Group: Saquon Barkley, AJ Brown, DeVonta Smith, Dallas Goedert, Jahan Dotson
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Puka Nacua, Davante Adams, Kyren Williams, Tyler Higbee
Game Notes: Dallas Goedert is no longer on the injury report
Quarterback
Jalen Hurts leads an elite Eagles offense against a Rams defensive unit that has allowed 4.2 yards per rush attempt and 6.1 yards per pass attempt on the season, they will be challenged for quality but seem likely to rise to the occasion and meet their 23.75-point implied team total. Hurts has thrown the ball just 22.5 times per game to start the season, averaging 5.6 yards per pass attempt and only 126.5 yards with zero passing touchdowns over two contests. For any other star quarterback the lack of production in the passing game would be alarming, while it is certainly noteworthy with Hurts, the quarterback simply sees such immense rushing value that he is able to overcome the lighter weeks for fantasy scoring, though last week was nothing special with only 101 yards on 15-22 passing and just one rushing touchdown on 15 yards over nine carries. Hurts ran the ball in twice while failing to throw for a touchdown in Week 1 but at least gained 6.6 yards per pass attempt in that matchup. The Rams are rolling out a pass defense that is aggressively focused on single-high coverage which should benefit Hurts and star receiver AJ Brown who excels against this coverage, this could be a good bounce-back opportunity for the tandem with Brown still looking to get the season underway in Week 3. Hurts is QB2 by points on both sites but dips to QB19 and QB14 on DraftKings and FanDuel respectively.
Running Backs
Superstar Saquon Barkley is RB4 by points on both sites, he is RB13 and RB11 by value across DraftKings and FanDuel. Barkley has been held to just 3.7 yards per rush attempt over two games to start his season, a major step down from his elite production last year but it remains very early. The running back still sees outrageous volume and scoring opportunities, he averaged 20.0 carries and 3.5 targets over the season’s first two contests and is unrivaled for potential touches and production once he truly gets going. Barkley has two rushing touchdowns on the season while gaining 2.0 yards after contact per rush attempt, he is one of the most dynamic options in football and should be heavily involved on the ground and in the passing attack once again, particularly with the continued absence of top backup Will Shipley.
AJ Dillon was not relevant with three carries as the backup in Week 2, he ran one route and went untargeted, he is a highly unlikely contributor behind Barkley.
Receivers & Tight Ends
AJ Brown is coming off of back-to-back weak performances but he has a chance to excel against the Rams if Hurts is actively throwing the ball this week. Brown caught just one pass for eight yards on a single target in the Week 1 game, despite running 31 routes over 54 snaps. He ran 23 routes on 56 snaps in Week 2 and pushed his target volume up to eight opportunities, bringing in five of those but gaining only 27 yards in the process. Brown is quite a bit better than his 1.17 yards per route run in that contest, he has major scoring potential and came away with seven touchdowns in each of the last two seasons, though he does share a bit of that opportunity with 1A receiver DeVonta Smith. Hurts is WR12 by points on both sites, he is WR15 by value on DraftKings and WR11 by value on FanDuel with a bit of hope that he slips to lower-than-he-should ownership levels off of the two light performances.
Devonta Smith is an excellent running mate for Brown, he is a steady deep threat with an 11.2- yard average depth of target over the season’s first two games and has drawn 4.5 opportunities per game to match the targeting that Brown has seen. Smith caught four passes for 53 yards on six targets over 24 routes in Week 2, posting 2.21 yards per route run after a disappointing 0.5 in Week 1, a game in which he caught three of three targets for only 16 yards. There is no question about the talent among the top two Eagles receivers, they are both excellent options who win their fair share of routes and provide plenty of scoring potential. Smith has a 30.8% first-read rate on the season, though Brown led the way at a 43.8% first-read opportunity in Week 2. The receiving duo is excellent as a tandem in stacks or individually paired with their quarterback or in standalone roles. Smith is WR17 by points on both sites but climbs on the value mark as WR9 on DraftKings and WR7 on FanDuel, he is an intriguing option on both sites.
Jahan Dotson was the forgotten man in the offense in the team’s Week 1 game, though he fell short of a truly relevant performance on that Showdown slate after catching three of three targets for 59 yards and an excellent 2.81 yards per route run. Dotson would have bent the slate had he hit paydirt for a score on his 21 routes over 28 snaps but he dipped to just one target over 19 routes run on 21 snaps with the offense in the team’s less productive Week 2 game. Dotson will only see scraps as far as the target shares go but he is the clear third receiver in this offense with a 41.0% snap share over two weeks and he can get down the field, given a 10.5-yard ADOT and 17.07% air yards share over two games. Dotson is a low-end mixer in +2 stacks, he does not rank as a relevant play outside of that role.
Tight end Dallas Goedert is expected to rejoin the offense after a one week absence with a knee injury. Goedert is a heavily involved pass-catcher in this Eagles offense, he had 42 catches on 52 targets last season, gaining 496 yards and scoring twice in just 10 games, staying on the field is Goedert’s primary challenge as an NFL player. In seven seasons the tight end has never played a full complement of games, averaging just 13.3 per season. Still, he is a productive pass-catcher when healthy, Goedert has averaged 11.7 yards per catch for his career with 3.4 touchdowns per season in the limited action, he is TE16/22 and TE18/21 and rates as a touchdown-dependent dart at the position. Goedert is best deployed in stacks of Eagles rather than as a standalone play.
Philadelphia ranks as Stack 2 by points and Stack 9 by value on DraftKings, they are Stack 2 by points and Stack 8 by value on the FanDuel slate, the lack of output over two games should not be concerning, we know what this team is capable of and the competition should push them to more scoring in Week 3.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Game Total: 44.5 / PIT -1.0 (22.75)
Offense: 36.28% rush / 63.72% pass / 25.5 ppg / 3.0 ypa rush / 7.1 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.0 ypa rush / 10.3 ypa pass / 23.5 ppg / 12.0% sack / 3.03% int
Key Player: Aaron Rodgers
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: DK Metcalf, Calvin Austin III, Jonnu Smith, Jaylen Warren, Pat Freiermuth (on/off)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Kayshon Boutte, Stefon Diggs, DeMario Douglas, Hunter Henry, Rhamondre Stevenson (on/off), TreVeyon Henderson (on/off)
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Veteran signal caller Aaron Rodgers was a leading “Below” option in our Above/Below article last Sunday morning and he met our low expectations with a lousy follow up to his standout Week 1 performance. After a wildly unexpected four touchdown day in his Steelers debut, taking a bit of revenge against the Jets in the process, Rodgers dipped to just one touchdown pass while losing two interceptions in Week 2 against the Seahawks. Rodgers threw the ball 33 times in that contest, completing just 18 passes for 203 yards after firing 22-30 for 244 yards in the first game. The quarterback will have a few moments throughout the season but expectations should remain skeptically low. Rodgers threw 28 touchdowns with 11 interceptions over 17 games in New York last season, throwing for 3,897 yards or 6.7 per attempt, one of his career-low marks. While Rodgers is not washed, he is nowhere near a peak contender on a weekly basis, at best he is a price and matchup dependent option. Rodgers draws a New England pass defense that has yielded a ridiculous 10.3 yards per pass attempt to sit at the bottom of the league so far in 2025, so this could prove to be one of those quality opportunities even with Rodgers landing in the bottom-half of passers in categories such as CPOE and highly accurate throw rate. The veteran quarterback is QB17 by points on both sites this week, he is QB13 by points-per-dollar value on DraftKings but remains QB17 by value on the FanDuel board.
Running Backs
The Steelers ground attack is led by Jaylen Warren who has drawn a 52.0% snap share over two games this season. Warren is seeing 12.5 carries and another three chances per game in the passing attack but he does not have standout volume numbers. The running back has been held to just 3.4 yards per rush attempt but has found a few big gains in the passing game and remains an explosive option with upside for a fair price. Warren looks particularly strong as a value play on DraftKings, where he lands as RB15 by points but RB7 by value, he is RB15/10 on the FanDuel board and functions well outside of Steelers stacks. Warren gained 134 yards from scrimmage last week on 18 touches from 18 opportunities, he ran 17 routes over 34 snaps and drew a solid 23.5% target share on those routes. Warren seems to be pulling away from the crowd in the Pittsburgh backfield but there are productive options behind him as-needed.
Kenneth Gainwell is a limited RB33/33 and RB32/33 across sites in Week 3. The running back is Warren’s direct backup, he drew five carries in Week 2 after seeing seven in Week 1, adding chances in the passing game in both contests. Gainwell has seen an average of 10.5 potential touches over the two games, which keeps him alive as a very cheap very long dart throw option at running back, who would be almost required to score a touchdown to make value. Gainwell did pick up a red zone carry in Week 2, though he failed to convert, his likely path to scoring comes via happenstance spelling Warren at the right moment, or if something befalls the starter.
Kaleb Johnson has been uninvolved in his first two NFL games, playing just two snaps with the offense in each contest despite the investment of third round draft capital.
Receivers & Tight Ends
The Steelers’ middling receiver room is led by veteran DK Metcalf, who scored his first touchdown in a Steelers uniform in Week 2, catching three of six targets over 37 routes for 20 yards. Pittsburgh targeted Metcalf seven times for 11.9 yards per target and 2.52 yards per route run in a far better Week 1 performance as Rodgers’ strong play elevated all of his receivers, but he was not one of the four different touchdown scorers in that game. Metcalf should remain a top option in the passing attack, he has a 24.4% first-read share over two games despite lacking separation on routes. Against the scuffling Patriots secondary, the lead receiver could be in for a productive day though he is more of a compiler in this form with others doing more downfield work, Metcalf has a 22.12% air yards share but it comes on just a 5.6-yard average depth of target this season.
Calvin Austin III is the go-to option as a deep threat in this attack. Austin has a massive 52.42% air yards share after two games, reaching a 17.3-yard ADOT and drawing 5.0 targets per contest with a touchdown in the Week 1 game. Austin is an interesting mix-in value receiver with big play scoring potential, like a Pittsburgh version of Alec Pierce to some degree, his up-and-down nature was on display in Week 2. After posting 70 yards and a touchdown on 4-6 receiving over 29 routes run in Week 1, Austin dipped to just one catch on four targets over a big uptick to 38 routes run, posting a disappointing 0.58 yards per route run. On such a deep average target the quality will be a bit of a roller coaster but the peaks for such a receiver can be bountiful. Austin is WR58/59 and WR59/60 but he has an appreciably higher ceiling on the big play potential.
Roman Wilson lands behind the team’s two-headed tight end attack in terms of target share, though he has played 27.0% of the snaps over two games Wilson has drawn just two total targets. The receiver does have an appealing 11.5-yard ADOT but there is very little opportunity to pay off even a $3,000/$4,100 price tag.
Jonnu Smith and Pat Freiermuth are individually productive tight ends who will cut into one another to some degree this season. Over two games, Smith has drawn 5.0 targets per game to his counterpart’s 3.5 chances, but both players have been steadily involved. Smith has a touchdown on the board with 4.2 yards per target on a -0.4-yard ADOT while Freiermuth has gotten down the field more with a 7.1-yard ADOT and a 15.15% air yards share, returning 8.4 yards per target. Both tight ends are on the board for productivity but the presence of each limits the other when it comes to touchdown potential at the position. Smith leads slightly as TE17/19 and TE15/19 to Freiermuth’s TE20/13 and TE21/23, though the latter’s DraftKings value mark has appeal at just $3,100, given his touchdown-scoring potential.
The Steelers are Stack 22 by points on both site but they make major value moves on DraftKings as Stack 11 by points-per-dollar potential. They are Stack 21 by value on the FanDuel slate where they are far less affordably priced. Jaylen Warren is of particular appeal and can be utilized in a standalone role as a value-based running back on either site.
Seattle Seahawks
Game Total: 41.5 / SEA -7.5 (24.5)
Offense: 48.25% rush / 51.75% pass / 22.0 ppg / 3.7 ypa rush / 7.9 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.2 ypa rush / 6.5 ypa pass / 23.0 ppg / 10.53% sack / 0.0% int
Key Player: Sam Darnold
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Q), Cooper Kupp, Kenneth Walker III, Tory Horton (Q), AJ Barner (on/off), Elijah Arroyo (on/off)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Alvin Kamara, Chris Olave, Juwan Johnson, Rashid Shaheed, Brandin Cooks
Game Notes: Jaxon Smith-Njigba is reportedly likely to play as of mid-morning on Sunday. Zach Charbonnet is doubtful and has been removed, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been added to the injury report and is questionable with an illness
Quarterback
Sam Darnold’s return to Earth was widely predicted ahead of this season and has largely come to pass over two games. Darnold ranks in just the middle of most advanced metrics, though his 7.9 yards per pass attempt and 8.3 intended air yards per attempt hold up nicely overall. The quarterback was limited in Week 1, throwing for just 150 yards on 16-23 passing without a score or a turnover. Darnold had a much stronger game against a gettable Steelers defense in Week 2, throwing for 295 yards with a pair of touchdown passes but also losing two interceptions along the way. The quarterback broke out in fill-in duty for Minnesota last season, throwing 35 touchdown passes and just 12 interceptions, he is off to a light start by comparison but has sturdy weapons in the Seattle offense and should see good weeks as a low-owned value quarterback play at worst. Darnold slots in as QB14 by points but QB7 by value on DraftKings, he is QB14/15 on the FanDuel slate.
Running Backs
Kenneth Walker III has this backfield mostly to himself for a change, with 1A running back Zach Charbonnet out for Week 3. Walker gained a terrific 105 yards on just 13 carries in Week 2, scoring a touchdown in the process, he added 13 yards on his lone catch and target of the day. Walker ran eight routes in Week 2 but was slightly more invovled with three targets over 10 routes in addition to his 10 carries in Week 1. With Charbonnet out of action, all of those numbers should go up somewhat for the starting running back. Walker has gained an outstanding 5.4 yards per rush attempt with 2.3 yards after contact per attempt on the season, he is a premium option who seems likely to get fairly popular across the industry this week. Walker is RB9 by fantasy points on DraftKings and lands as RB3 by value, he is RB8 by points and RB4 by value on the FanDuel slate.
Receivers & Tight Ends
With back-to-back games over 100 receiving yards, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the ground running almost exactly where he left off at the end of a standout second season in 2024. “JSN” ran 21 routes over 38 snaps in Week 1, catching nine of 13 targets for a ridiculous 5.9 yards per route run and 124 yards. The receiver ran 32 routes over 42 snaps in Week 2, drawing nine targets and gaining 103 yards on his eight catches for 3.22 yards per route run and 11.4 per target. While he has not punched the ball into the end zone yet in 2025, this is a receiver who scored six times while gaining 1,130 yards with Geno Smith at the helm last season, he should excel throughout the year as the connection with Darnold grows. “JSN” is WR4 by points on both sites, he holds value as well as WR3 by points-per-dollar on DraftKings and WR5 in that regard on FanDuel.
Cooper Kupp has also not found the end zone in the season’s first two games, though his second contest was far better than the first. Kupp debuted to just two catches on three targets over 21 Week 1 routes, he pushed those marks to seven catches for 90 yards on 26 routes and nine targets last week, gaining 3.46 yards per route run. Darnold’s first two touchdown passes went down the depth chart but there should be room for Kupp to succeed going forward, he has a 6.7-yard ADOT to open the season and should work well as a volume receiver underneath.
Tory Horton is an inexpensive downfield dart throw at a cheap unowned touchdown, a feat he has already accomplished once this season. Horton has a terrific 19.8-yard ADOT on the season, garnering 17.79T of the air yards on just two targets per game, though that actually amounts to five targets over 17 routes run last week, of which he caught two for 32 yards and the score, he was untargeted over 14 routes in Week 1.
AJ Barner has the team’s other receiving touchdown in the first two weeks. Barner and Elijah Arroyo are less-than-premium options at the position with Barner leading the way with 23 routes run last week and 18 the week before. The tight end gained 1.13 yprr and scored in last week’s game, he caught one of two targets for no gain the week before. Arroyo ran 18 routes on 25 snaps in Week 2, catching two of three targets for 31 yards and is at least as interesting as Barner.
The Seahawks are Stack 9 by points and Stack 4 by value on DraftKings where several options check in somewhat inexpensively. The Stack 9/10 rating on FanDuel is a bit lighter while remaining highly playable. There is a strong chance that Kenneth Walker III will be popular but worthwhile in and out of Seattle stacks this week, he has been very good early in the season and should spike additional opportunities. This is a team that has enough skill to carry them to slate-winning DFS days throughout the season, while they are not the top priority of the slate they should not be ignored.
San Francisco 49ers
Game Total: 45.5 / SF -2.5
Offense: 44.29% rush / 55.71% pass / 21.5 ppg / 3.2 ypa rush / 7.5 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.8 ypa rush / 5.4 ypa pass / 17.5 ppg / 3.81% sack / 0.99% int
Key Player: Mac Jones (Brock Purdy has been limited in two practices and is now Questionable)
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Christian McCaffrey, Ricky Pearsall, Jauan Jennings (Q), Jake Tonges, Brian Robinson Jr. (on/off), Kendrick Bourne (large field), Luke Farrell (on/off, large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: James Conner, Marvin Harrison Jr., Trey McBride, Michael Wilson, Trey Benson (on/off)
Game Notes: Mac Jones is confirmed as starting.
Quarterback
Coming into Saturday morning, the expectation remains that Brock Purdy will miss his second straight game while dealing with multiple injuries. Purdy was out for Week 2 with Mac Jones taking over, which would be the situation again this week. Jones stepped in and threw for a terrific 279 yards with three touchdown passes and zero interceptions in his most relevant performance in some time. The quarterback will see a defense that has limited opponents to just 5.4 yards per pass attempt on the season however, which will be a different challenge than last week’s contest. Jones is an experienced but lower-end talent at the position, he never met the promise of his rookie season again and rated just in the middle of the board by most metrics in last week’s game. The quarterback is surrounded by premium skill players and could ride the wave to productivity, particularly for touchdown passes, but expectations should be tempered with Jones ranking as QB15 by points and QB6 by value on DraftKings and QB15/12 on FanDuel.
Running Backs
Christian McCaffrey is RB2 by points on both sites coming into Week 3, he has gained a steady but not special 3.5 yards per rush attempt over 17.5 carries per game with a highly limited 0.7 yards per attempt after contact. McCaffrey sees major upside in PPR scoring, given his 8.5 targets per game. The dynamic running back has gained 7.4 yards per target on a 2.5-yard ADOT out of the backfield to start the year, scoring on a passing play in Week 2. Despite the limited explosiveness he has displayed this season, the running back has crested the 100 yards from scrimmage mark in both games and remains a premium play on any given slate. McCaffrey could see additional touches if leading wide receiver Jauan Jennings is out for Week 3.
Brian Robinson Jr. is the direct backup in this offense, he carried the ball nine times in Week 1 and six last week, picking up two targets in the first game and one last time out. This is a low-volume touchdown-dependent backup who will see a few games with added volume through the season, if anything happens to McCaffrey he would immediately spike major potential as a wildcard play. Robinson is a low-ranked dart throw at the position at best.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Ricky Pearsall rates slightly higher than the currently Questionable Jauan Jennings, with the players trading quality performances over the first two games. Pearsall stood out in Week 1, gaining 108 yards on seven targets over his 33 routes run for 3.27 yprr. He dipped to just 56 yards and 1.51 yprr with four catches for 56 yards in Week 2 while Jennings went from catching only two passes on five targets over 22 routes run to five catches for 89 yards and a touchdown on his 38 routes run in Week 2. The receiver was targeted 10 times in the passing game last week and should see ongoing volume and value. There is a back-and-forth that will be in play all season and, with McCaffrey demanding major volume, there is a chance that someone goes unfed in this offense on a weekly basis. Still, either of Pearsall or Jennings, assuming he is active, makes for a strong play in Week 3. If Jennings does not go, Pearsall would see a major bump in quality with expectations of added chances in the passing game. Pearsall ranks as a particularly interesting WR30/WR9 on the FanDuel slate for just $5,600. Jennins is WR32/WR17 on the DraftKings slate, where he is the more appealing option, though both players are deployable on either site.
Star tight end George Kittle remains out of action, putting Jake Tonges back on the board as a cheap positional play. Tonges caught four of five targets over 29 routes for 1.07 yards per route run in Week 2 and he scored on one of his three Week 1 receptions, though he is overall a lower-end play at the position. Tonges is TE24/21 and TE17/16 across sites.
Kendrick Bourne is WR79/82 and WR74/75 and is nothing more than a depth option behind several demanding volume spots. Bourne was targeted three times on 24 routes run, and gained 1.33 yprr in the first contest of his season last week, he should meet similar expectations this week.
The 49ers are a strong option even with missing pieces, they rate as Stack 7 by points on both sites and come up as Stack 8 by value on DraftKings and Stack 5 by value on FanDuel. Christian McCaffrey can operate successfully in or out of 49ers stacks and both of the lead receivers in the offense can do the same, particularly at their cheap value prices.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Game Total: 43.5 / TB -6.5 (25.0)
Offense: 41.41% rush / 58.59% pass / 21.5 ppg / 5.1 ypa rush / 5.5 ypa pass
oppDEF: 4.4 ypa rush / 7.4 ypa pass / 32.0 ppg / 8.06% sack / 0.0% int
Key Player: Baker Mayfield
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Mike Evans, Emeka Egbuka, Bucky Irving, Rachaad White (on/off), Cade Otton, Sterling Shepard, Ryan Miller (on/off, large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Breece Hall, Garrett Wilson, Mason Taylor, Braelon Allen (on/off), Tyler Johnson (large field), Arian Smith (large field)
Game Notes: Emeka Egbuka will play with no limitations
Quarterback
The Jets have been picked apart for 7.4 yards per pass attempt over the first two games of 2025 and now they face the elite passing game of Tampa Bay with Baker Mayfield at the helm. Mayfield has thrown the ball 35.0 times per game for a surprisingly low 5.5 yards per pass attempt on an excellent 9.1 intended air yards per attempt for the season, which should normalize his overall per-attempt production as the season marches onward. Mayfield has thrown five touchdown passes and zero interceptions against the Falcons and Texans. The quarterback threw three touchdowns on an efficient 17-32 passing for 167 yards in Week 1 and added 215 yards on 25-38 passing with two scores in Week 2. Mayfield ranks in the top third of quarterbacks in highly accurate throws as well as passer rating but his accuracy has been spotty to start the season. The quarterback has outstanding pass catchers and running backs in play, the Buccaneers are highly stackable on any given slate, though standout rookie Emeka Egbuka has been questionable after missing practice time this week.
Running Backs
Bucky Irving was a breakout who eventually claimed the lead role from Rachaad White as expected in this offense last season, he has opened 2025 gaining just 3.5 yards per rush attempt but adding 5.8 yards per target over 5.0 targets per game in the passing attack to pad fantasy scoring. Irving is the lead option on the ground and in the air out of the backfield but he has not completely eliminated White from the equation, as the latter showed in a strong Week 2 “remember me?” game that saw him gain 65 yards and score a touchdown on 10 rush attempts while adding two catches but gaining only one yard for the receiving effort. Irving played 43 snaps in Week 1 and 53 last week, while White was limited to more specialized work on passing downs, playing just 14 and 21 snaps week-to-week. Irving is RB5 by points and RB9 by value on DraftKings, he is RB7 by points but RB2 by value on the FanDuel slate.
Rachaad White is RB29/28 and RB29/30 across sites, he is as playable as he was last time out but probably makes a more compelling case for Showdown shares than full lineup action most weeks.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Mike Evans should be viewed as a potentially explosive upside option until he actually delivers, he has seen tough coverage early in the season and that should be the case again in Week 3. Evans gained just 51 yards on five catches over eight targets on 33 routes in Week 1 and 56 yards on five catches on 11 targets and 40 routes in Week 2. The 1.55 and 1.40 yprr marks are “fine” but below expectation for such a high-quality receiver. Evans ran into tough coverage matchups on an individual basis in Weeks 1 and 2 and will see a lot of Sauce Gardner in Week 3, while we tend to not get hung up on individual defensive coverage it is worth noting that the challenging matchups resulted in limited output despite Evans posting his typically excellent marks for separation and route wins while leading the team with a 44.22% air yards share and a 14.1- yard ADOT. Evans will be elite this season, potentially as soon as this week but more likely starting in Week 4.
If Egbuka plays he has already proven to be a quality option with touchdowns in each of the first two contests this season. The rookie receiver caught four passes in each game, scoring twice in Week 1 and once last week while playing 52 and 67 snaps and running 37 and 43 routes. Egbuka has been excellent to start his career, though his 0.67 yards per route run last week should be monitored and would stand out more had he not hit paydirt. Egbuka is a mid-first-round pick with pedigree, he should continue to be heavily involved in the passing game until, and likely after, Chris Godwin returns in the coming weeks. The rookie is dealing with a groin injury but seems likely to take the field despite being officially questionable, he is WR24 by points but WR50 by value at $6,300 on DraftKings, at the same raw price on FanDuel he is WR23/22.
Sterling Shepard and Ryan Miller are the next options up in the passing game, though most of the volume goes to the premium receivers and the running back position. Between these two, Shepard is the more involved, he drew four targets over 39 routes while playing 75.0% of the snaps last week and has caught seven passes on 10 targets overall this season. Miller played just 15 snaps with the offense last week, catching his lone target for 20 yards and a touchdown, he is listed as a wide receiver on DraftKings but fills the tight end position on the FanDuel slate.
Cade Otton is TE14/12 and TE14/15 and would derive value primarily from a touchdown catch. Otton has seen 3.5 targets per game on a 6.6-yard ADOT to start the 2025 season, his production has not been special with 0.69 yards per route run in Week 2 and 0.0 in Week 1, when he caught zero of his three targets. Otton is a low-end play who sees very little volume given the demands of his teammates but he does have a red zone target on the board, meaning there is a touch of potential when scoring time arrives. Otton is a dart throw at best, but he is a playable one.
The Tampa Bay offense lands with quality again in Week 3, they are Stack 4 by points on DraftKings but Stack 16 by value on the site, they hold value on FanDuel as Stack 3 across the board. Both Mike Evans and Bucky Irving are playable independent of stacks, Egbuka is as well but he could prove more limited depending on his injury status. All of the skill players should be heavily involved in stacking with this squad.
Tennessee Titans
Game Total: 43.5 / TEN +4.0 (19.75)
Offense: 39.50% rush / 60.50% / 15.5 ppg / 3.8 ypa rush / 4.7 ypa pass
oppDEF: 5.4 ypa rush / 5.8 ypa pass / 18.0 ppg / 4.69% sack / 4.92% int
Key Player: Cam Ward
Setting: exactly one
Team Group: Calvin Ridley, Elic Ayomanor, Tony Pollard, Chig Okonkwo, Chimere Dike (very large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Jonathan Taylor, Michael Pittman Jr., Tyler Warren, Alec Pierce, Josh Downs, Adonai Mitchell
Game Notes:
Quarterback
Cam Ward was slightly better in Week 2 than his low-end Week 1 performance but he has yet to reach “good” or even “OK” status after being selected first overall in this year’s draft. Ward is learning on the fly in the developing Titans offense, he threw 28 passes in Week 1, completing only 12 of them for 112 yards and no scoring but, importantly, no turnover. The rookie threw for 175 yards and his first touchdown on 19-33 passing in Week 2 and seems to be developing an important connection with fellow rookie Elic Ayomanor who caught the touchdown pass. Ward ran the ball four times but gained just 2.0 yards per rush attempt in Week 2, he did not run the ball at all in Week 1. The quarterback is very cheap at $4,900/$6,400 across sites but he is low rated and should not make much of an impact as QB24/22 and QB25/4 across sites.
Running Backs
Tony Pollard gained 4.0 yards per rush attempt while seeing terrific volume early in 2025. Pollard has averaged 20.0 touches over two games, putting him among the elite running backs when it comes to sheer chances. While he has not scored a touchdown this season, the running back has found productivity with a cheap 92 rushing yards in Week 2 and 89 yards from scrimmage in Week 1. Pollard has seen a whopping 89.0% snap share over two games and ranks in the top handful of running backs in yards after contact per attempt. After seeing the Broncos and Rams to start his season, the running back should be relieved to have a Colts defense that has given up a 29th-ranked 5.4 yards per rush attempt to opponents over two games this season. Pollard is an interesting optino as RB11 by points and RB6 by value on DraftKings, he is RB11 by points and RB3 by value on the FanDuel slate.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Calvin Ridley is still the top option in this passing attack, given his 26.8% first read share and 28.06% air yards share over two games but he has yet to produce much quality. Ridley draws a strong 10.0-yard ADOT down the field but has been held to just 6.0 yards per target on 7.0 chances per game. The receiver has faced stiff coverage and has failed to win routes early in the season, limiting his overall quality while Cam Ward explores other options in the offense. Ridley will remain a priority in stacks of Titans but he is already diminished somewhat by the emergence of Ayomanor and needs to develop a connection with his rookie quarterback in short order to stay relevant. Ridley is WR21 by points but WR6 by value on DraftKings and he soars from WR18 by points to WR1 by value on the FanDuel board.
Elic Ayomanor is a sizable speedy rookie receiver who has stood out as an impressive option over two games. Ayomanor got in the end zone last week while gaining 1.44 yards per route run on a 26.8% first read share. The rookie ran 27 routes in Week 1 and was targeted seven times but came away with just two catches for 0.48 yards per route run. He climbed to 2.24 yprr on 4-6 receiving for 56 yards and the score in Week 2. Ayomanor has become a favored option for this offense and should continue to produce but will ride the wave of Ward’s quality throughout. Ayomanor is WR44 by points but WR5 by value at $3,700 on DraftKings, he is too cheap on the site and is a quality value dart with scoring potential. He is WR38/23 with far less value on FanDuel.
Chig Okonkwo has been targeted five times per game over the season’s early action, catching 3.5 passes per game for 5.r yards per target for steady but unspectacular production. Okonkwo has not scored this season and found the end zone just twice in 17 games last year. Okonkwo has skills but limited numbers in his three seasons, peaking with three touchdowns as a rookie and 528 yards on 54 catches in his second season. The tight end is in play as a positional mixer but not much more, he is TE12/8 on DraftKings and TE13/9 on FanDuel this week.
Tyler Lockett gained just 2.3 yards per target on a 6.8 yard ADOT over two games to open his run with the Titans, he has been far more limited than the player some may remember from salad days in Seattle. Lockett is a low-end WR80/84 and WR86/92, he lacks quality on this slate.
The Titans are Stack 20 by points but leap to Stack 5 by value on DraftKings, they are similarly ranked as Stack 18 by points but Stack 4 by value on the FanDuel slate, with an unfair amount of weight on the rookie passer. This is a spot that may still be best deployed for cheap skill player one-offs around Pollard, Ridley, and Ayomanor.
Washington Commanders
Game Total: 44.0 / WAS -3.5 (23.75)
Offense: 39.23% rush / 60.77% pass / 19.5 ppg / 5.3 ypa rush / 6.0 ypa pass
oppDEF: 3.2 ypa rush / 7.2 ypa pass / 16.5 ppg / 7.59% sack / 1.37% int
Key Player: Marcus Mariota (Jayden Daniels is out)
Setting: at least one / exactly two (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Team Group: Terry McLaurin, Deebo Samuel, Zach Ertz, Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Chris Rodriguez Jr. (on/off), Jeremy McNichols (on/off), Jaylin Lane (large field), Luke McCaffrey (very large field)
Opposing Setting: at most one / exactly one (these can be alternated in a variety of lineup builds)
Opposing Group: Ashton Jeanty, Jakobi Meyers, Brock Bowers (Q), Tre Tucker, Dont’e Thornton Jr.
Game Notes:
Quarterback
The final team on our board is also the final team starting a backup quarterback in Week 3, quite the early-season theme. Marcus Mariota will take over for injured star Jayden Daniels, he is a value-based play as QB19 by points but QB1 by value for only $4,000 on DraftKings and as QB18/QB3 on FanDuel. Mariota got into just three contests as an Eagles backup last season, throwing 23 passes for 164 yards with a touchdown and an interception. The quarterback’s last truly relevant action came the season before, he played in 13 games for Atlanta, throwing for 2,219 yards with 15 touchdowns and nine interceptions while gaining 7.4 yards per pass attempt. Mariota gained 438 yards and scored four times on the ground in those games to pad fantasy scoring further, he can fill the dynamic quarterback role in the Washington offense but expectations should be mostly held in check even against a Las Vegas defense that has yielded 7.2 yards per pass attempt this year.
Running Backs
The Commanders will hand the ball primarily to Jacory “Bill” Croskey-Merritt in the backfield. The rookie running back should see a solid uptick in chances with the team suffering the loss of nominal starter Austin Ekeler late in Week 2. “Bill” had four touches and five potential chances in Week 2 after a 10-carry debut saw him blast the Giants inept defense for 82 yards and a touchdown. The explosive running back was a darling of the “sleeper” pick expert community during draft season and looks set to pay off those shares with DFS value up next. “Bill” is RB22/16 on DraftKings and RB19/9 on the FanDuel slate but he is threatened for touches by both Jeremy McNichols and Chris Rodriguez in backup roles, though neither of those options has DFS appeal.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Terry McLaurin will get to reboot expectations with Mariota at the helm. McLaurin was targeted 6.5 times per game over the first two contests, though he picked up nine chances in Week 2, gaining 5.8 yards per target on an excellent 14.4-yard ADOT for 33.27% of the team’s air yards. McLaurin is learning to share with his new teammate Deebo Samuel who drew 9.0 targets per game over the first two but operates more underneath and has garnered a 15.12% air yards share. Samuel has found the end zone and a lot of activity early in his Commanders career, he gained 6.7 yards per target over the first two, but the team needs McLaurin to get going for the season. The top receiver on the team has caught just seven passes for 0.82 yards per route run in Week 1 and 1.0 in Week 2 while failing to score or crack 50 receiving yards in either game.
Deebo Samuel has been sturdy in early action with his new team, drawing steady targeting in his typical role as a gadget player who breaks plays after the catch. Samuel has seen a 4.7-yard ADOT to open the year, with seven catches and 6.7 yards per target for the season on a 27.9% first-read share. Samuel carried the ball once out of the backfield but should continue to see situational rushing attempts to pad his dynamic scoring. The playmaker punched the ball in for a rushing touchdown on that lone Week 1 carry and converted his Week 2 red zone target, he should provide scoring and yardage value with even more PPR potential all season. Deebo Samuel slots in as WR27/45 and WR26/35 at a high price on both sites.
Zach Ertz is the third option in the passing attack. The steady veteran tight end gives unspectacular lower-owned potential to any lineup stacking the Commanders and he has touchdown-dependent value as a standalone tight end in other lineups. Ertz has scored in each of the first two games of the year, drawing five targets on 30 routes in Week 1 and pushing that to eight targets on 43 routes run last week. The productive pass-catcher caught six balls for 64 yards and the score last week and stands to produce again with the targetable Raiders defense on the other side of this matchup. Ertz should see a spike in opportunities and production against the Raiders’ heavy zone defense.
The Commanders are Stack 17 by points but Stack 12 by value on DraftKings and Stack 17/11 on the FanDuel slate.
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