The Friday night 11-game MLB DFS main slate features a true wealth of pitching with several very compelling spots on the mound. The situation at the plate is somewhat more murky, only the Yankees are blasting through the top of the power index in their premium matchup against Colin Rea at their home hitter’s haven. New York drops to 10th by collective fantasy point projections with their up-and-down lineup overall, but the power cannot be ignored for DFS purposes. The board immediately drops precipitously to the Red Sox against Kyle Bradish, the Angels against Logan Allen, and the Rangers against Paul Blackburn, before reaching a somewhat surprisingly low-ranked Braves team in their game against Mitch Keller. Each of those excellent offenses, and the Angels, are facing pitchers who qualify as at-worst moderately talented. The Mets draw Dallas Keuchel further down the power board, Keuchel has made a career of limiting power and inducing groundballs but the Mets shoot their way up to first overall by fantasy point projections collectively against the ghostly image of what was once a productive lefty. The Astros are being held in check by Blake Snell. The Twins rank in the middle of the board for power against Kodai Senga but he answers back with a slate-leading pitching projection and a tremendous ceiling for strikeouts. The same is true of the Rockies against left-handed rookie Kyle Harrison in San Francisco late in the evening, despite their flaws against lefties the Rockies are pulling OK power and run creation marks given the few homers that Harrison has allowed in his otherwise spectacular start, but he has a massive ceiling against the worst team in baseball against lefties (and righties) and may well be our favorite overall pitching spot of the entire season on paper. Getting to a broad spread both on the mound and at the plate is the approach for a large slate with options in every direction.
Main Slate Power Index – 9/8/23
The power index represents a team’s opportunity for home run upside in the matchup against the scheduled starting pitcher. This is not a direct guideline for stacking, but it can be utilized to determine the most likely sources of power-based contact, hitters who are not homering are frequently hitting doubles and driving in runs, and providing valuable MLB DFS scoring. The “Full” column averages our home run opportunity score for each player in the lineup from 1-9, while the “Top 6” column averages only hitters 1-6, where teams typically place their most significant bats.
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