Humpday baseball brings us a divided day with a large afternoon slate and a split main slate starting at 6:40 ET and featuring seven games on FanDuel and DraftKings joining for the final six games at 7:05 ET. The slate is looking ripe for power. There are several clunky pitchers on the back end of rotations and pitchers making fill-in starts who should be targeted for both power and run creation. The obvious spot at the top of the board looks like a very strong option on both sites, but the frustrating Twins lineup could once again be in a situation where they provide individual home run upside but strike out too much and find themselves unable to sequence and create the scoring events needed to support a full stack.
UPDATE NOTE
We are dropping in an afternoon update to revise our numbers for the Twins after looking a bit deeper into the matchup against Hunter Brown. When we allow a bit more of his recent production into the model, the Twins’ marks for power took a noteworthy dive, Brown has been excellent at limiting launch angle and opposing home run upside over his 10 starts this year.
Main Slate Power Index – 5/31/23 – DraftKings & FanDuel Main Slates
The power index represents a team’s opportunity for home run upside in the matchup against the scheduled starting pitcher. This is not a direct guideline for stacking, but it can be utilized to determine the most likely sources of power-based contact, hitters who are not homering are frequently hitting doubles and driving in runs, and providing valuable MLB DFS scoring. The “Full” column averages our home run opportunity score for each player in the lineup from 1-9, while the “Top 6” column averages only hitters 1-6, where teams typically place their most significant bats.
