MLB DFS: DraftKings & FanDuel Slate Notes – Monday Main Slate 4/8/24

The Monday slate features premium selections on both sides of the game with ace-caliber pitching and several excellent spots for stacking hitters. The slate has Coors Field in play in addition to a double-digit power index mark for the Braves against the ghost of Julio Teheran and for the Dodgers’ top-6 against Bailey Ober. The Diamondbacks are pulling in the slate’s second-highest total at Coors Field, they look like a strong option on the stacking board and several other teams are lurking with upside including usual suspects like the Astros and Rangers, with the Mets, Mariners, Rays, and Cubs looking interesting in their competitive matchups. We are in quick picks mode for today’s article with an early afternoon show to run through everything in detail.

Don’t miss our Hitter Projections, including custom Home Run ratings for each player, and Pitcher Projections for more on the top opportunities today.

Note: All analysis is written utilizing available projected lineups as of the early morning, pay close attention to confirmed lineups and adjust accordingly. This article is posted and updated as it is written, so if a game has not been filled in, check back in a few minutes. Update notes are provided as lineups are confirmed to the best of our ability. Still, lineup changes are not typically updated as lock approaches, so stay tuned to official news for any late changes.

MLB DFS: Game by Game Main Slate Notes – 4/8/24

Seattle Mariners (+107/3.93) @ Toronto Blue Jays (-116/4.16)

  • Jose Berrios checks in at $9,600 on FanDuel where he is an OK option at a high price but his $7,100 price tag on DraftKings has to be considered a bargain. Berrios is a pitcher who has been just a bit better than league average through his career, which is useful but shows that he has been somewhat overrated in spots. The righty has two serviceable starts on the board in 2024, posting just a 17% strikeout rate with a 2.25 ERA and 3.80 xFIP over his 12 innings. In 189.2 innings over 32 outings last year, Berrios had a 23.5% strikeout rate with a 3.65 ERA and 4.01 xFIP. For the cheap price, against a Mariners team with a 28.8% collective strikeout rate this season, Berrios seems like a prime value target on DraftKings and is, at worst, playable on FanDuel
  • The Mariners strike out a ton at the plate and they have not been strong for run creation over the season’s first handful of games. Even star Julio Rodriguez has been slow out of the gate, after 42 plate appearances he is slashing .205/.262/.231 and has been 48% worse than average creating runs in the irrelevantly small sample. JP Crawford is the best option to pair with Rodriguez, he got on base at a .380 clip ahead of the star last season but sits at just .209 over his first 43 plate appearances this year. Jorge Polanco has a home run and little else so far this season, Mitches Haniger and Garver have combined for one home run over their 63 plate appearances in the heart of the order, Garver fills a better position and is the more realistic option, we have not seen premium Haniger since 2021. Cal Raleigh offers similar power potential to Garver at the catcher spot but they cannot stack together in DraftKings lineups. Luke Raley brings a bit of sneaky left-handed pop to the late lineup but he has been at a -3 WRC+ over his 20 plate appearances this year while striking out 40.0% of the time. Over 405 plate appearances last year, he had a 130 WRC+ with 19 home runs and struck out 31.5% of the time.
  • Righty Luis Castillo is fairly priced at $9,500/$9,400 against a Blue Jays squad that is both top-heavy and disappointing over the season’s first few games. Castillo has a 6.75 ERA through his first two starts, pitching 10.2 innings. His 3.25 xFIP is the more honest number, and he has a 24% strikeout rate in the tiny sample. Last year, Castillo had a 27.3% strikeout rate with a 3.34 ERA and 3.81 xFIP over 33 starts and 197.0 innings, he is a strong choice from the top end tonight.
  • Toronto has already been no-hit this season and they have some higher strikeout rates for the pitcher to chase after the first few hitters in the lineup. The stars atop Toronto’s projected batting order are off to OK starts, both George Springer and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. have a pair of home runs and a 117 WRC+ over 46 and 45 plate appearances respectively. For $3,100/$4,600 and $3,200/$5,000, they are somewhat discounted from standard value but this is not a great matchup. Bo Bichette has an 84 WRC+ with a .194/.306/.290 triple-slash over his first 36 chances this year, he was a .306/.339/.475 hitter last season and has plenty of upside for just $2,900 on FanDuel and $4,800 on DraftKings. Justin Turner is also cheap in the heart of the lineup while Cavan Biggio and Daulton Varsho are moderately playable lefties.

Play: Jose Berrios value on DraftKings, OK mid-range shares on FanDuel. Luis Castillo on both. Only minor/secondary shares of either stack

New York Mets (+186/4.15) @ Atlanta Braves (-205/5.98)

  • Veteran Charlie Morton is a reasonable option for success, but his $10,000 price tag on both sites feels somewhat heavy. The Mets have not been good to start the season and they are in a lost season caught between what was supposed to be a juggernaut build and a tear-down/rebuild. Morton worked 5.2 innings in his first start of the season, he can be expected to chase the quality start and win bonuses where applicable. Over 163.1 innings last season, the righty had a 25.6% strikeout rate with a 3.64 ERA and 4.27 xFIP
  • Pete Alonso has a 10.66 in the home run model today, he is the key Mets hitter for power upside and has led the league in home runs since his debut season. Brandon Nimmo and Francisco Lindor are projected to hit ahead of Alonso in the lineup, they make the top options for correlated scoring in stacks and both have individual quality, they combined for 55 home runs and created runs 26% better than average as a duo last year. Francisco Alvarez is off to a strong start with a home run on the board and a WRC+ 59% better than average in his tiny sample of 29 plate appearances, the catcher is a strong option in stacks of Mets. Brett Baty and Starling Marte are playable options with fantasy scoring upside, the bottom third of the lineup is weaker.
  • Julio Teheran signed with the Mets after camp, he made 11 starts last season and pitched to a 4.40 ERA and 4.67 xFIP with a 4.51% home run rate coming on a 10% barrel rate and 89.8 mph of exit velocity on average, he is a target for Braves bats.
  • The Braves are playable from top to bottom in stacks and as individuals in this matchup. Ronald Acuna Jr. is off to a slow start with just a 79 WRC+, we are betting the over the rest of the way. The super-duper-star has a 14.77 in our home run model tonight. Ozzie Albies has a pair of home runs and a stolen base on the board over just 37 plate appearances, he has a 10.74 in tonight’s home run model. Austin Riley fills third base for $3,900/$5,400 which is a bit cheap for his upside, Riley has hit the high-30s for home runs over each of the past two seasons and has two on the board already this year. Matt Olson is tonight’s overall home run pick at 14.17, he has three homers already and Marcell Ozuna follows him in the projected lineup with four long balls already cracked this season. Michael Harris II is a multi-category star, Orlando Arcia is cheap for a 17 home run catcher from 2023 and a player off to a .387/.424/.548 start with a 165 WRC+. Travis d’Arnaud is a backup catcher with power who can always be deployed at a fair price, and Jarred Kelenic has power potential from the left side.

Play: Braves bats/stacks aggressively, some shares of both Mets bats and Charlie Morton across a full set of lineups but Morton is not the best points-per-dollar buy

Los Angeles Dodgers (-131/4.57) @ Minnesota Twins (+121/4.03)

  • Bailey Ober is looking a bit like a target on this slate, he does not project well for $8,600/$7,800 against the elite Dodgers and they are drawing extremely strong projections against the righty. Ober had a disastrous first start of this season, he was a solid option last year with a 3.43 ERA, a 4.20 xFIP and a 25.3% strikeout rate but allowed a 3.81% home run rate over 26 starts.
  • The Dodgers are stackable from top to bottom on any given slate in almost any matchup. Mookie Betts has five home runs and a 255 WRC+ over his first 56 plate appearances, Shohei Ohtani has a pair of homers and a 154 WRC+, and Freddie Freeman has a home run and a 166 mark for run creation over 53 plate appearances. Each of the stars has stolen a base so far as well, they are the top three options for offense on most slates and they are an outrageously expensive but talented stack. Will Smith is one of baseball’s best catchers, he is out to a .415/.444/.512 start with a 165 WRC+ over 45 plate appearances this year. Max Muncy has a 10.11 in the home run model and Teoscar Hernandez lands at 9.57, they are a potentially devastating lefty-righty power combo in the middle of the lineup at fair MLB DFS pricing. James Outman has 20-20 talent with potential for more, Chris Taylor is a strong utility option at a fair price, and Gavin Lux is an interesting left-handed infield bat off to a slow start, the bottom of the lineup has more talent than they have shown to this point in the new season, they are a good way to average down the prices of the stars above them.
  • Lefty James Paxton had an OK first outing, pitching five innings, striking out five, and walking five. Paxton did not allow any runs in the start. The southpaw is facing a Twins squad that is striking out at a 23.4% clip to start the season, they have several extreme strikeout targets in the lineup and Paxton has been a strong strikeout pitcher throughout his career. In a comeback season last year, he had a 24.6% strikeout rate over 96.0 innings. For $8,600/$8,700 Paxton is a good option as a pricey SP2 or a cheap SP1.
  • The Twins are only a mid-grade stacking option, star Byron Buxton has a 12.84 in the home run model, Paxton did allow a 4.38% home run rate in the small sample last year. Beyond Buxton the Twins offer quality in Carlos Correa, who has a 206 WRC+ over his first 30 plate appearances this year, and a few decent veteran bats like Carlos SantanaRyan JeffersKyle Farmer, and Max Kepler. The lineup has playable power potential, but the Twins are not good at stringing runs together via sequencing. Only Correa has been above average over the season’s first few games. Willi Castro is a cheap multi-position option with speed at the bottom of the projected lineup, he had 33 stolen bases in 409 plate appearances last year and is a compelling flexible wraparound.

Play: James Paxton, Dodgers bats/stacks aggressively

Philadelphia Phillies (-102/4.52) @ St. Louis Cardinals (-106/4.57)

  • Miles Mikolas has a low-end projection but costs just $5,300 on DraftKings, making him at least a consideration for cheap innings pitched. The righty is not a strong strikeout pitcher, he had a 15.9% rate over 201.1 innings and 35 starts last season, posting a 4.78 ERA and 4.76 xFIP. Mikolas is more of a target for Phillies hitters, they have a fair total and an excellent lineup but getting six clean innings for a hitter price on the mound at SP2 would provide a strong forklift for lineup quality if Mikolas can succeed.
  • Kyle Schwarber has a 12.19 in the home run model to lead the Phillies projected lineup. Schwarber has a pair of home runs on the board already and hit 47 of them last season. Trea Turner is cheap at $3,200 on FanDuel and costs $5,800 on DraftKings, he is off to another slow start but his multi-category value can shine through on any given slate and we are betting on a faster turnaround this season. Bryce Harper is a star by any measure, he is a $3,900/$5,700 option and is probably $300 too cheap on DraftKings tonight. Harper has three home runs and a steal with a 161 WRC+ so far and is carrying an 8.34 in tonight’s home run model. JT RealmutoAlec BohmBryson Stott, and Nick Castellanos are a playable stack on their own through the heart of the lineup, they make for excellent combinations with the team’s stars from the first three spots. Realmuto is off to the best start with a 137 WRC+ over 33 plate appearances but the whole group was above average for run creation last year. Brandon Marsh and Johan Rojas are affordable options in the outfield from the bottom of the lineup, the Phillies are playable from 1-9 in this matchup.
  • Righty Spencer Turnbull has a devastating new sweeper that he deployed aggressively in his first start, punching out seven Reds over 5.0 innings while allowing an unearned run on three hits. Turnbull will be challenged by a quality Cardinals lineup that is playable on the other side but he is a consideration for shares at just $7,700/$6,900 tonight.
  • Stackable Cardinals hitters typically come from the quality group atop the lineup. Brendan Donovan is still cheap at $3,200/$3,900 despite a good start, his triple-position eligibility on FanDuel is far better than his outfield-only status on DraftKings. Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado surround Nolan Gorman in the next three spots, Gorman has a 2.59 in our home run model tonight to lead the team while the two right-handed veterans are at 2.18 and 2.08 respectively. Turnbull has been good at limiting home run power over his brief career, allowing 24 homers to 1,332 batters faced (1.8%) since his 2018 debut with Detroit. With a bit of a power drain potentially in store, the Cardinals are diminished for overall stacking appeal. Beyond the key bats up top, Willson Contreras and Jordan Walker are the most interesting hitters while the others are more value plays as necessary.

Play: Phillies bats/stacks, Spencer Turnbull value on both sites, Miles Mikolas SP2 value on DraftKings if needed

Houston Astros (-136/4.88) @ Texas Rangers (+125/4.22)

  • Andrew Heaney is a roller coaster starter, the lefty made 28 starts last year, posting a 4.15 ERA with a 4.58 xFIP and 23.6% strikeout rate over 147.1 innings. Heaney allowed a 3.59% home run rate on a 10.2% barrel rate with 90.1 mph of exit velocity, he is highly targetable with the excellent Astros lineup. Houston ranks well for power and points tonight. Heaney is affordable at $7,800/$7,500 but he does not project to a playable mark in this spot despite a strong 4.2 innings in his first start of the season.
  • Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker remain elite in lefty-lefty matchups, they are the two priorities in this lineup with Jose Altuve not far behind. Altuve leads off and has a 229 WRC+ with three home runs in his first 44 plate appearances. Alvarez has three long balls already and Tucker has hit two and stolen a base. The top three hitters are all well-above-average run-creators over a full season. Alex Bregman is off to a .171/.275/.229 start with a 56 WRC+ in 40 plate appearances, he will come around and his price has dipped to just $2,800/$4,700 at third base. Yainer Diaz has crushed the early part of the season, he is still affordable at $3,000/$4,200 but the prices are climbing for the excellent young backstop. Chas McCormick has a 113 WRC+ despite a slow-ish start at the plate, he is a good option in the outfield for only $2,800/$4,000. Jose Abreu is at -37 with zero home runs again, outside of some outbursts in the second half last season he has been mostly lousy for multiple years. Jeremy Pena has a 164 WRC+ with a pair of homers and a stolen base, he is playable late in the batting order.
  • Framber Valdez is an elite lefty for $9,300/$8,000, he has a 2.19 ERA and 3.74 xFIP with a 20% strikeout rate but a 12% walk rate over 12.1 innings in his first two starts this season and has kept opposing launch angles to -6.2 degrees to start the season. Valdez has led baseball in ground ball rate over the past few seasons, he is extremely difficult to hit home runs against and typically saps power and run creation from opponents. When he is on form for strikeouts and limiting walks, the lefty can pitch deep into ballgames, chasing all bonuses. Valdez has a tough opponent in the Rangers but his projection is at least playable with a strong ceiling at his prices tonight.
  • Texas bats could break through against Valdez on the right night but he is good at draining the home run potential. Even in the hard-hitting Rangers lineup, no one breaks through even halfway to the “magic number” in the home run model tonight. Marcus SemienCorey Seager, and Adolis Garcia are the three prime targets for shares when stacking Rangers, they are elite run creators with power and speed and they are fairly priced for the difficult matchup. Wyatt Langford tore through Spring Training but now has a .237/.286/.316 triple-slash with a .079 ISO and 64 WRC+ over his first 42 plate appearances in the Show, the rookie is a cheap addition to the top of this lineup for DFS purposes. Jonah HeimEzequiel Duran, and Evan Carter are playable targets down the lineup.

Play: Astros bats/stacks, Framber Valdez

Arizona Diamondbacks (-160/5.93) @ Colorado Rockies (+147/4.69)

  • We would not play Kyle Freeland in this spot
  • The Diamondbacks are carrying a 5.93-run implied team total that sits second to only the Braves tonight. Arizona is stackable from 1-9 in this game, the team has good mid-range power up and down the lineup with Christian Walker leading the squad at 33 homers last season. Walker costs $4,200/$5,200 at first base across sites, Ketel Marte has three home runs and a 157 WRC+ to start the season, Corbin Carroll is very pricey but very talented, he is off to a cold start but should be very popular in this spot. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is affordable at $3,900/$5,300 in the outfield, he has three home runs with a .262 ISO early in the season. Eugenio Suarez hit 22 home runs last year and 31 each of the two seasons before, he has major power from the right side. Randal Grichuk has made seven plate appearances but should be a regular for Arizona going forward, the righty has cheap power in the heart of the order. Gabriel Moreno is a premium catcher at just $3,100/$4,200 in this spot, he should be more expensive at Coors Field and makes for a compelling catcher one-off in non-Coors lineups. Blaze Alexander and Kevin Newman are playable parts in the projected batting order.
  • Zac Gallen is an excellent starter but he is pitching at Coors Field and has been down about 1.5 mph of velocity, a meaningful amount, on his fastball early in the season. Over two starts Gallen has a 0.82 ERA but a 4.35 xFIP with just a 20.9% strikeout rate and an 11.6% walk rate, he has not looked like himself on the mound in the small sample and Coors if not a good get-right spot for $9,800. At $8,200 on DraftKings the righty is at least in consideration for shares, he had a 3.47 ERA and 3.49 xFIP with a 26% strikeout rate and 5.6% walk rate over 210.0 innings in 34 starts last year.
  • Rockies bats get the traditional bump from this ballpark but this is a bad team and if Gallen bounces back tonight they could have another game like what they did against Ryan Pepiot on Sunday. Colorado offers Charlie Blackmon who has good veteran on-base skills for corrleated scoring ahead of Brendan Rodgers, who is at -10 WRC+ over the first 35 plate appearances he has made in 2024 and Ryan McMahon who has homered twice so far and hits from the left side. McMahon hit 23 home runs last season and has respectable potential at $3,500/$4,500 in Coors games. Nolan Jones and Kris Bryant are the team’s two best bats but they are both off to very slow starts this season, effectively lowering their prices in this spot. Jones and Bryant are interesting targets for $3,300/$4,900 and $3,100/$4,700 with mixed first base and outfield eligibility across sites. The bottom of the Rockies lineup has cheap upside with Ezequiel TovarMichael Toglia, and Brenton Doyle offering a blend of power and speed, each of the three has two home runs on the board already this season.

Play: bats bats bats

Tampa Bay Rays (-139/4.64) @ Los Angeles Angels (+128/3.96)

  • Lefty Tyler Anderson gets the start for Los Angeles tonight, he worked seven innings of clean ball in his first start but his underlying 4.24 xFIP seems more honest for that game. Anderson had a 5.43 ERA and 5.52 xFIP with an 18.9% strikeout rate and 10.2% walk rate over 141.0 innings in 25 starts last year. For $8,000/$7,600, Anderson seems a bit overpriced to provide value against a strong Rays lineup.
  • Tampa Bay ranks in the middle of the stacks board tonight, they have targetable quality against a gettable lefty starter. Yandy Diaz has a home run with a 105 WRC+ early but is not off to a blazing start to match last year’s quality, he will get rolling soon. Diaz slashed .330/.410/.522 with a 164 WRC+ last year. Harold Ramirez is a good bat-to-ball hitter with line-drive power, he had a 54% hard-hit rate in 434 plate appearances last year and created runs 28% better than average. Randy Arozarena is a multi-category star who has a pair of home runs and stolen bases on the board early in 2024. Arozarena is cheap at $5,100 on DraftKings and effectively priced at $3,500 on the blue site. Isaac Paredes hit 31 home runs last year and he has three already in 2024. Amed Rosario is a good addition in the mold of many under-the-radar Rays acquisitions over the years, he is off to an OK start this season. Curtis MeadJose CaballeroJose Siri, and Rene Pinto are a mix of options late in the lineup, Caballero has four stolen bases this season and Siri has already hit a home run and swiped six bags.
  • Righty Zach Eflin is a good target for pitching shares against a bad Angels team tonight. Eflin is too cheap at $8,800 on FanDuel and $9,000 on DraftKings, his FanDuel price is particularly noteworthy. Eflin has been just OK over his first two starts of 2024, working 12.0 innings and striking out 20.0% but walking just 4.0% and pitching to a 5.25 ERA and 4.17 xFIP. Eflin has allowed a bit of premium contact early in the season but worked to just a 2.70% home run rate over 177.2 innings and 31 starts last year. The righty had a breakout campaign in 2023, pitching to a 3.50 ERA and 3.13 xFIP with a 26.5% strikeout rate. The opposing Angels have Mike Trout and not much else, they have struck out at a 24.6% rate to start the season.
  • Los Angeles is not a good stack. Anthony Rendon is disinterested atop the lineup, Nolan Schanuel offers quality and pairs well with Mike Trout at a cheap price, and Brandon Drury can join Taylor Ward for mid-range right-handed power in the heart of the lineup but this team is very low-priority most nights. Miguel Sano and Logan O’Hoppe are another pair of right-handed power bats late in the lineup. Sano has not homered in his first 23 plate appearances back in the Show but O’Hoppe has one on the board after hitting 14 in just 199 plate appearances last year. Mickey Moniak and Zach Neto are bare-bones options late in the lineup.

Play: Zach Eflin, Rays bats/stacks as a mid-range option. 

Chicago Cubs (+122/3.54) @ San Diego Padres (-132/4.04)

  • Veteran right-hander Yu Darvish is making his fourth start of the season, he has a 2.30 ERA with a 3.46 xFIP and a 25% strikeout rate over the first three. Darvish has generated a 12% swinging-strike rate in the small sample while looking mostly like Yu Darvish on the mound. For $9,200/$8,400 the starter is cheap on DraftKings and fairly priced on the FanDuel slate pitching in his pitcher-friendly home park against a quality Cubs lineup.
  • Chicago has been fun to start the season, the lineup has plenty of quality for power and run creation through at least the first seven spots most nights for MLB DFS play. Ian Happ opens the projected batting order, he has a 156 WRC+ over 43 plate appearances in 2024 and had a 118 mark with 21 homers and 14 steals in an underrated 2023. Seiya Suzuki has hit everything hard to start the season, he has a pair of home runs with a dozen runs batted in, creating runs 33% better than average in the small sample. Cody Bellinger and Christopher Morel have lefty-righty thunder in the heart of the lineup, they each have two home runs to start 2024. Dansby Swanson offers quality at a fair price from the shortstop position, he has a pair of homers and a stolen base with a 167 WRC+ over 37 plate appearances. Michael Busch provides a bit of left-handed power for just $2,800 on both sites, Nico Hoerner adds some speed and correlated scoring potential, while Mike Tauchman and Yan Gomes are bolt-on options in the last two spots.
  • Javier Assad costs $7,600/$7,400 tonight, he has a barely-playable projection for the cheap price but he is not pushing overly strong projections in the direction of the Padres in what looks something like a neither-side spot. Assad did not allow runs in his first start but he was not overly impressive either, the Padres lineup has had some quality early in the season, forced to decide between the two we would easily take the bats.
  • Xander Bogaerts has a stolen base and a 75 WRC+ over 51 plate appearances, he has cooled after a hot first few games. Fernando Tatis Jr. has a 140 WRC+ with three homers and two stolen bases in his 51 plate appearances, the star is worth his $3,900/$5,500 and is probably too cheap on DraftKings. Jake Cronenworth is slashing .304/.353/.435 with a 121 WRC+ but still seems miscast as a three-hitter. Cronenworth is affordable for DFS and hits in a prime position though, his $2,800/$3,800 is useful when stacking the Padres’ top five. Manny Machado has hit two home runs but has done little else, his .196/.288/.370 start to the season has led to an 89 WRC+ but he has massive appeal on most slates and costs just $4,900 on DraftKings tonight. Ha-Seong Kim had a great year in 2023, his price is down to $3,100/$4,200 after a cool start to this season. Luis Campusano is a targetable catcher late in the lineup, joining Jackson Merrill and Graham Pauley to stretch this from a top-heavy squad to a full team.

Play: Yu Darvish, Cubs bats/stacks, Padres bats/stacks, both in fairly small doses

Washington Nationals (+184/3.12) @ San Francisco Giants (-203/4.47)

  • Lefty Blake Snell leads today’s pitching projections against a Nationals team that he has checked to just a 3.12-run implied team total and a +184 underdog. Snell took a while to find a home in the offseason, he will be making his Giants debut tonight but he worked to a 31.5% strikeout rate over 180.0 innings in 32 starts last season while pitching to a 2.25 ERA and 3.62 xFIP. Snell is one of the few true aces left standing early in the 2024 season, he seems well worth the $10,500/$10,300 against a Washington team that is better against left-handed pitching, but that returns them only to average overall levels against one of the best arms in the game.
  • CJ Abrams has been awful against same-handed pitching in his career, he is a great young player in a bad spot tonight. Lane Thomas hits lefties extremely well, he is the top Nationals bat tonight. Jesse Winker and Joey Gallo are tough fits against the elite southpaw, one or both could sit out in the confirmed lineup and they do not make good targets for stacking. Joey Meneses has a decent right-handed bat but lacks power, Keibert Ruiz is a catcher who puts the ball in play frequently, making him playable at cheap prices in a bad spot. If Riley Adams plays he is another hitter who has excelled against lefties in his short sample. The balance of the Nationals lineup is not filled with quality.
  • Trevor Williams had a 5.55 ERA and 5.22 xFIP with a 5.16% home run rate and just a 16.8% strikeout rate last year, he is not a good option on the mound even against the free-swinging Giants.
  • Jung Hoo Lee has a 57 WRC+ early in his career, over 45 plate appearances he has slashed just .205/.267/.282 but this is not the first time we have seen a KBO star take a moment to find his footing. Lee has good enough bat-to-ball skills that he is playable at cheap pricing in stacks of Giants hitters, the rookie has struck out in just 8.9% of his plate appearances so far. LaMonte Wade has a 126 WRC+ to start the season, he was at 122 for last year and got on base at a .373 clip with 17 home runs. Jorge Soler wrecked 36 homers last season, he has two on the board this year and a 10.38 in the home run model tonight against a pitcher who had a problem with the long ball last season. Soler is our top priority bat in the Giants lineup tonight. Michael Conforto is off to a .351/.415/.703 start with three home runs and a 202 WRC+ over his first 41 opportunities, a return to form would be welcome for Conforto who struggled through 2023 after missing all of the prior season. The outfielder is still cheap at $4,000 on DraftKings, FanDuel has anticipated his resurgence with a $3,600 price tag. Matt Chapman has a pair of home runs but not much else so far this season, he is cheap for the home run upside tonight however, Thairo Estrada and Mike Yastrzemski are playable options late in the lineup, with Patrick Bailey and Nick Ahmed rounding things out. While they do not project like a true “late-night hammer” type of play, the Giants are an interesting bunch against a lousy pitcher tonight, it would not be shocking to see runs and power on display in support of Snell, the true priority from the late game.

Play: Blake Snell, Giants bats/stacks

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