This tool seeks the holy grail of MLB DFS: home runs. These selections are intended to provide an informed choice for a potential home run from each team, but they are not necessarily the highest-ranked player on that team. This is done for several reasons, not the least of which is to keep this writer somewhat sane by not repeating the same take on superstar hitters each day. Additionally, the analysis will consider lineup spots, pricing, and other situational factors when making selections.
MLB DFS: Home Run Picks – April 21, 2026
Scale: 5-10 Average; 10-20 Good; 20-25 Very Good; 25+ Great –
Note: HR probabilities from Fangraphs’ new game-by-game simulation tool have been added for reference for today’s HR picks, this may become an ongoing feature and we will see strong correlation in most cases.
The Athletics: Nick Kurtz — 11.64 (FG: 6.7%)
Arizona Diamondbacks: Ketel Marte — 9.98 (FG: 4.8%)
Baltimore Orioles: Weston Wilson — 5.45 (FG: 3.1%)
Chicago Cubs: Seiya Suzuki — 9.90 (FG: 4.0%)
Chicago White Sox: Munetaka Murakami — 10.84 (FG: 5.4%)
Colorado Rockies: Hunter Goodman — 10.63 (FG: 5.0%)
Kansas City Royals: Sal Perez — 9.84 (FG: 4.2%)
Los Angeles Angels: Mike Trout — 12.95 (FG: 5.4%; FG bonus: Adell 6.7%(!))
Los Angeles Dodgers: Max Muncy — 5.02 (FG: 3.9%)
Minnesota Twins: Matt Wallner — 7.42 (FG: 3.6%)
New York Mets: Bo Bichette — 6.68 (FG: 2.8%)
Philadelphia Phillies: Kyle Schwarber — 22.26 (FG: 5.0%)
Pittsburgh Pirates: Oneil Cruz — 10.84 (FG: 4.4%)
San Diego Padres: Ramon Laureano — 11.81 (FG: 3.6%)
San Francisco Giants: Rafael Devers — 6.08 (FG: 4.0%)
Seattle Mariners: Randy Arozarena — 7.44 (FG: 3.9%)
Texas Rangers: Jake Burger — 5.08 (FG: 3.4%)
Toronto Blue Jays: Jesus Sanchez — 7.58 (FG: 3.3%)
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MLB DFS Home Run Call: Adolis Garcia — Philadelphia Phillies (FG: 5.5%)
See our Hitter Projections page for full HR ratings for every player on the slate.
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