MLB DFS: DraftKings & FanDuel Main Slate Strategy Overview & Live Show Link – Thursday 8/31/23

Welcome to Three Game Thursday and a play-what-you-want slate! The tiny MLB DFS slate on DraftKings and FanDuel has six playable pitchers available on both sites, with a very high peak of Spencer Strider and then everyone else falling into a tightly packed second tier. Strider is the only expensive starter at $12,000/$12,500, Lance Lynn and Braxton Garrett are both at easy-to-reach prices and the other three options are downright cheap, allowing for a comprehensive set of combinations that is genuinely a play-anything setup for tournaments tonight.

Don’t miss our Suggested Stacks feature and our Power Index for more on the top opportunities at the plate tonight.

Join us at 4:00 ET for a rundown on today’s slate.

Note: All analysis is written utilizing available projected lineups as of the early morning, pay close attention to confirmed lineups and adjust accordingly. This article is posted and updated as it is written, so if a game has not been filled in, check back in a few minutes. Update notes are provided as lineups are confirmed to the best of our ability. Still, lineup changes are not typically updated as lock approaches, so stay tuned to official news for any late changes.

MLB DFS: Game by Game Main Slate Overview – 8/31/23

Miami Marlins (-155/4.76) @ Washington Nationals (+142/3.84)

Nationals righty Joan Adon takes the mound with a 5.25 ERA but a 4.68 xFIP in his 24 innings over four starts this season. Adon has a 20.8% strikeout rate with a 6.3% walk rate and a sparkling 0.96 WHIP in the small sample, but he has allowed a 4.17% home run rate on 90.7 mph of exit velocity and 44.9% hard hits. Adon was better at limiting home runs in 64.2 innings and 14 starts last season, over which he had a 7.10 ERA and 5.06 xFIP with a 17.7% strikeout rate and a 12.6% walk rate, so in many ways, this season’s small sample is a big step forward for the pitcher. Adon has made 17 starts in AAA this season as well, he has a 4.62 ERA and 4.79 xFIP with a 20.7% strikeout rate and 10.4% walks at that level. Adon is a limited starter in a vacuum, but on tonight’s thin pitching slate he is not off the board at $5,400/$6,400 against the Marlins, he projects second from the bottom of a tightly packed board that has only six points of separation between the bottom projection and second-best, with a wider gap to reach Spencer Strider’s peak.

The Marlins are highly playable against Adon in the first of our both-sided situations. Luis Arraez is a terrific leadoff hitter who gets on base at a .391 clip and creates runs 27% better than average over his 536 plate appearances, though he has dipped quite a bit in quality since his outrageous start to the season. Jorge Soler is listed in the projected lineup after missing yesterday’s game with lingering hip soreness, if he plays he is the team’s best option for power with a 9.79 in our home run model. Soler has 35 long balls in another terrific power-hitting campaign, he has a .274 ISO on 15.1% barrels and 47.5% hard hits and costs just $5,300/$3,300. Josh Bell has a 5.05 in the home run moel, he is up to 19 on the season with a 105 WRC+ but still has some lingering disappointment in his triple-slash from his time in Cleveland. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has a 9.9% barrel rate with 43.3% hard hits and 13 home runs in his 275 plate appearances, he has also added 17 stolen bases in the small sample. Chisholm is a star talent in the outfield, he costs just $5,000/$3,000 in the matchup which is a bit of a bargain for his ceiling. Jake Burger has 27 home runs and a .270 ISO on the season but he delivers power inconsistently and has a limiting .303 on-base percentage. Burger mashes when he makes contact, he has a 17.2% barrel rate and 48.1% hard hits to go with the counting stats, and he costs just $4,100/$3,000 at a thin third base tonight. Bryan De La Cruz and Jesus Sanchez have sturdy bats late in the lineup with decent triple-slash numbers and mid-range power, De La Cruz has 16 homers and a 95 WRC+ over his 523 plate appearances while Sanchez has hit 10 home runs in 308 chances, and has created runs 12% better than average. Nick Fortes and Jon Berti have been well below average for run creation on the season, and Berti has not been nearly as aggressive on the basepaths with just 13 steals to last year’s 41.

Lefty Braxton Garrett lands second on the board in our pitching projections on the short slate, he has a 24.3% strikeout rate and a minuscule 3.8% walk rate on the season while pitching to a 3.96 ERA and a terrific 3.22 xFIP. Garrett has induced a 12.1% swinging-strike rate and he has a 31.1% CSW% over 134 innings and 25 starts. The lefty has allowed a bit of premium contact but he typically keeps the ball in the yard effectively by limiting launch angles, Garrett has allowed a 3.24% home run rate on 47.7% hard hits but only a 6.9-degree launch angle and 8.2% barrels. The power issues could potentially play into the Nationals’ knack for hitting left-handed pitching but Garrett is a highly-talented option with a good chance at chasing both bonuses on this slate. The Nationals are also adept at limiting strikeouts, Garrett had only three over six innings in a matchup against them in his most recent start, he allowed three earned runs on seven hits, including a home run. While that outing is in no way predictive for tonight’s success, it does give a reasonable baseline for where the strikeout floor may fall, Garrett has more than enough talent to work six clean innings and find a few additional strikeouts in tonight’s rematch, he is a high-priority option for $8,700/$8,200. Combining Garrett with any of the inexpensive pitchers on the board allows access to lineups including several high-end hitters but he is also inexpensive enough to pair with Strider on the two-starter site.

Nationals hitters are typically better against left-handed pitching, they have potential but do not project overly well against the talented Garrett. On a three-game slate, everything is on the board but the Nationals lineup will probably draw some attention, it is no secret that they have been good on this side of splits at this point and they are easy to reach in terms of pricing. Washington’s active roster sits 11th in baseball with a 111 WRC+ collectively against lefties and they limit strikeouts to a spectacular 17.6% with a .157 ISO pushing a moderate amount of power. CJ Abrams leads off on most nights, he has excelled in that spot in the batting order this season but he drops precipitously with only a 55 WRC+ in 146 plate appearances against same-handed pitching this season. Abrams has hit three home runs and stolen seven bases while facing lefties but his .178/.264/.295 triple-slash in the split is difficult to swallow atop the lineup. Lane Thomas has a 165 WRC+ in 173 plate appearances against lefties this season, he is very good in the split and he has had the team’s strongest overall season in 2023. Thomas has 20 home runs with eight of them coming on this side of splits in only a quarter of his total plate appearances. The right-handed outfielder has stolen 17 bases while creating runs 14% better than average overall and he costs just $4,900/$3,200. Joey Meneses is slashing .285/.332/.417 with a 104 WRC+ and 11 home runs on the season, he has a 42.2% hard-hit rate and strikes out at just an 18.7% clip. Against lefties, Meneses has created runs nine percent better than average but only two of his home runs have come in 164 chances on this side. Keibert Ruiz has a ridiculous 4.6% strikeout rate against lefties over 131 chances this season and he has walked just 4.6% of the time in the split as well, meaning he is constantly putting the ball in play when facing southpaws. Ruiz has a .314/.359/.446 triple-slash with a 120 WRC+ but only one of his home runs and a .132 ISO on this side. For just $4,000/$2,600, Ruiz is a tremendous option at the catcher position on both sites tonight. Carter Kieboom has made a dent in his 27 plate appearances after not playing in the Show at all last season. Kieboom fills third base for just $3,100/$2,900, he has three home runs with a .385 ISO on 10% barrels in the tiny sample this season and he hit six home runs in 249 chances in 2021. Ildemaro Vargas slots in at second or third base for $2,800 on DraftKings and he adds shortstop to that mix for $2,300 on the blue site. Vargas has a 69 WRC+ over 218 plate appearances this season but he jumps to an above-average 104 in his limited 85 plate appearances against lefties. Vargas has three home runs and a surprising .207 ISO with a .268/.294/.476 triple-slash against southpaws, he has clear value given the low cost and multi-position eligibility for what will likely still be a somewhat sneaky bat in this lineup. Riley Adams adds a second catcher option to the mix when the team faces lefties, he has four home runs in 149 plate appearances with a .207 ISO and 121 WRC+ overall this season. Three of the catcher’s home runs have come in just 70 plate appearances against lefties and Adams is slashing .349./.414/.603 with a .254 ISO in the split, though he does strike out at a 27.1% clip that defies the team trend. Alex Call and Jacob Young round out the projected lineup, Call has a 107 WRC+ with three home runs and a sturdy triple-slash in his 143 plate appearances against lefties and Young has had only two chances in the split so far. The Nationals are sure to pick up some popularity in this spot but several of the interesting options later in the lineup will still be lightly owned despite being keys to the team’s success in this split.

Play: everything – Braxton Garrett, Marlins bats/stacks, Nationals bats/stacks, Joan Adon value darts in that order

Update Notes: 

San Francisco Giants (+115/4.09) @ San Diego Padres (-125/4.51)

Righty Pedro Avila has the Giants checked to just 4.09 implied runs in Vegas as a fairly strong favorite tonight. Avila is making just his third start of the season, he has worked 27.1 innings in a hybrid role. Avila is yet to complete the fifth inning, he worked 4.1 while allowing five runs on five hits and striking out four of 20 Brewers in his most recent outing with a 0.2 inning relief appearance between that start and the previous 4.0 inning outing, a successful appearance in bulk relief against the Diamondbacks. Avila peaked with two early August appearances in which he struck out seven Rockies in 4.0 innings at Colorado and then followed it up with seven more against the Dodgers in 4.2 innings. Avila has a bit of a ceiling if he can manage to work five innings, he is a stronger option on the DraftKings slate where the doubt about booking a quality start is a non-factor. Avila projects third on the thin pitching slate on the back of a 27.4% strikeout rate with a 2.63 ERA and 3.31 xFIP in the small sample. The righty has induced a 15% swinging-strike rate with a 29.8% CSW% this season and he has limited home runs to just 0.85% with a 5.6% barrel rate. The Giants are a free-swinging bunch, their projected lineup has a 27.2% strikeout rate on the season, and on an anything-goes slate Avila is easily on the board on both sites, but he is far better as a cheap DraftKings SP2.

Of course, we are playing San Francisco bats right back in the other direction against the limited home starter and the Padres bullpen arms that will follow. San Francisco is drawing home run marks that rank second as a unit on our stacks board tonight, though they drop to the bottom of the collective fantasy point projections in a both-sided situation. LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to lead off against the righty, he has a .374 on-base percentage with a 121 WRC+ for the season and he has hit 13 home runs on 40.6% hard hits and 10.1% barrels. Wade is cheap for his talent, he has cooled since a strong push early in the season but he still had a very good 15.2% walk rate that supports the on-base percentage and run creation for correlated scoring potential even when he is not hitting for power. For $3,500/$2,600 on a very short day at first base, Wade’s 9.19 in the home run model and potential to just score a few runs on a day where that could matter have clear value. Wade is followed by toolsy infielder Thairo Estrada, who fills second base for $4,300 on DraftKings and adds shortstop eligibility for just $3,100 on FanDuel. Estrada has made 411 plate appearances this year, he has 10 home runs and 19 stolen bases while creating runs four percent better than the league average, he was similarly productive last season. Estrada’s moderate power is shining through in the home run model tonight, his 10.35 sits second on this team and he is the overall home run pick for the day. The team’s power-hitting lefties in the outfield and Mitch Haniger are also good options for dingers in this slate, they are all cheap for mix-in purposes allowing them to be used as one-offs or they can be rostered together in a fairly deep power stack. Haniger has made only 164 plate appearances this season, the right-handed outfielder has four home runs and a 45.5% hard-hit rate with 10.9% barrels in the small sample. Haniger hit 11 homers in 247 chances last year and had an impressive 39 in a full season in 2021. Joc Pederson leads the team and ranks third overall on the entire slate with a 12.21 in the home run model, he is a very good option for power. Pederson has a dozen home runs in 336 plate appearances with a .185 ISO on 12.5% barrels and 50.9% hard hits and he costs a mere $4,000/$2,600. Catcher Patrick Bailey hits from both sides of the plate, he has seven home runs but a 98 WRC+ in 292 plate appearances. Mike Yastrzemski is the other powerhouse lefty outfielder to pair with Pederson, he costs just $3,100/$2,700 and is particularly cheap on the DraftKings slate. Yastrzemski has 11 home runs in 289 chances, a .204 ISO, a 47% hard-hit rate, and a 105 WRC+ on the season, he is a very good discounted bat who helps access pairings of Spencer Strider and premium hitters across lineups on both sites. JD Davis has cooled badly at the plate but much of his success has come in same-handed matchups and he does have sneaky power potential on any given slate. Davis is down to a 9.4% barrel rate and 45.8% hard-hit rate after excelling in those areas earlier in the season. Those marks are still good but they are well down from the 16.2% barrels and 55.6% hard hits he posted in 365 opportunities last year. Davis has 15 home runs and a 102 WRC+ over 472 chances this season. Wade Meckler costs $2,600/$2,500 in the outfield, he has a 99 WRC+ in his first 45 plate appearances and he has a highly regarded hit tool as a recent call-up at just 23. Meckler was slashing .336/.431/.450 with a 148 WRC+ in his 174 AA plate appearances this season, he began the year in high-A. Paul DeJong costs just $2,900/$2,400 at shortstop, this is too low. DeJong is a proven veteran power bat, he has 14 home runs in just 376 plate appearances this season, though his ISO sits at just .152 and his premium contact has been lousy with 31.9% hard hits and a 7.2% barrel rate. The shortstop also strikes out at a 30.6% clip, so we can see the reasoning behind his discounted price point at the bottom of the lineup, but the actual power output is appealing. The 30-year-old infielder hit 19 home runs in 402 chances in 2021, he had 30 in a full 664 plate appearances in 2019, 19 in 490 chances the year before that, and 25 as a rookie a long but not so distant six seasons ago in 2017, he is neither washed up nor incapable of hitting for power at very low ownership and extremely low prices tonight.

The Giants have righty Ryan Walker on the mound to open this game ahead of what should be a bulk relief appearance by lefty strikeout artist Sean Manaea who is not lacking for potential on an extremely short slate. Assuming Manaea gets in the game at all, he should work at least four or five innings, and he has a 28.5% strikeout rate with a 10.9% swinging-strike rate on the season. The southpaw has a 5.05 ERA but a far better 3.85 xFIP on the season and he has allowed a 2.93% home run rate on 37.6% hard hits but 10.2% barrels. For just $5,000 where quality starts are not a factor there is definite appeal in rostering Manaea as a cheap high-ceiling SP2 by comparison to some of tonight’s other options at that spot. On FanDuel, for $7,300, Manaea needs a few things to work in his favor, not the least of which would be a bit of continued slippage from Spencer Strider in the top spot, but he is not off the board even without the potential to book the quality start bonus.

Padres bats are clearly in play, they have some of the highest-end raw talent on the slate given the four stars in the heart of their lineup and a few very good options in other spots. Ha-Seong Kim is one of those easily playable parts, he is a very good option in the infield in the midst of a tremendous season. Kim has 17 home runs and 29 stolen bases with a .278/.370/.439 slash line, he has struck out at just a 19% rate and walks 12.4% of the time to support correlated scoring potential. Kim costs just $4,900 at second or third base on DraftKings, he adds shortstop to that mix for only $3,100 on the blue site tonight. Fernando Tatis Jr. has a 12.27 to sit second overall in the home run model for $5,800/$3,900, he has 20 long balls and 23 stolen bases on the season. Tatis has taken a bit of a quality dip in his return to action this year, in 2021 he had 42 home runs and 25 stolen bases in 546 opportunities, he is shy of that mark by only 28 plate appearances this year but he has still been a very good option with a 50.8% hard-hit rate and 11.5% barrels. Juan Soto is the better player but he is cheaper on both sites at $5,600/$3,400, the FanDuel price is borderline insulting for a player of Soto’s caliber. The outfielder has created runs at a team-leading 46% better than average this year, he is tied for the team lead with Manny Machado at 25 home runs, and he has a 12.5% barrel rate and 56% hard-hit rate both of which are simultaneously terrific and team-leading, he strikes out at just a 19.3% clip and walks 18.9% of the time to support a .402 on-base percentage, there is not much he does poorly at the plate. Machado costs $5,200/$3,400 at third base, he has a 112 WRC+ with a .205 ISO and the 25 home run total in a bit of a down season on the whole, his typically excellent triple-slash has taken a dip from .298/.366/.531 to .249/.315/.454 this season. Xander Bogaerts is similarly underperforming on the whole while still providing quality in spots for MLB DFS and providing a slightly above-average run creation mark for the season. The shortstop has a 104 WRC+ with 15 homers and 13 stolen bases but he is down to .259/.330/.394 after going .307/.377/.456 last year and .295/.370/.493 the year before. Bogaerts is still a priority bat when stacking Padres and the shortstop spot is somewhat thin tonight, he is a strong buy at $4,700/$2,800 despite the struggles this year. Garret Cooper costs $2,900/$2,400 at first base, he has a 10.4% barrel rate with 41.4% hard hits and 14 home runs in just 388 plate appearances this year, he has realistic but inconsistent power from the right side to throw at Manaea. Luis Campusano or Gary Sanchez make for a good inexpensive option at catcher, Sanchez has massive but inconsistent power, while Campusano is in the projected lineup with a .293/.336/.485 triple-slash and five home runs in his 107 opportunities. Matthew Batten costs $2,600/$2,000 at first or third base on DraftKings but only the hot corner on FanDuel, he has two homers in his 34 chances at the MLB level this season. Batten had 12 homers and 27 stolen bases in 413 AAA plate appearances this year, but he is playing as a 28-year-old at that level, he was similarly advanced for the level in 2021 and 2022 when he had strong seasons, there is clear athleticism that translates in the stolen base totals if nothing else, and he is very cheap at the bottom of the stackable lineup. Trent Grisham hits ninth, the lefty outfielder is a nearly everyday player for the Padres, over 479 plate appearances he has a 91 WRC+ with 12 home runs and 12 stolen bases he is sitting on the Mendoza line at .200/.312/.357 with a 29.4% strikeout rate. Grisham does walk at a 12.9% clip and he should be better for power given his terrific 13.3% barrel rate and 41.3% hard hits, but he does not deliver frequently. The outfielder is both cheap and unpopular at the bottom of a Padres stack that could provide critical value with a high ceiling on the right night.

Play: everything – Padres bats/stacks, Giants bats/stacks for power & value, Sean Manaea value, Pedro Avila value, both with more potential as cheap SP2 options on DraftKings

Update Notes: 

Atlanta Braves (-139/4.64) @ Los Angeles Dodgers (+128/3.96)

This slate starts at 7:05 ET with the Miami at Washington game. That contest will likely be over before the Giants vs. Padres game commences at 9:40 ET and then gamers will have another half-hour of one-game action before the game with all of the day’s premium options gets underway from Los Angeles at 10:10. The Braves and Dodgers are squaring off in a battle of National League titans and two of the best lineups in all of baseball. The teams will also have the night’s two most talented pitchers on the mound, though they project at opposite ends of the board with pricey but spectacular Spencer Strider dominating the projections even against the stingy and powerful Los Angeles lineup and Lance Lynn occupying the basement against the loaded Braves. Lynn has a clear path to a ceiling score on the right night, we have seen the starter dominate high-end lineups time and again throughout his long tenure in the league and he has a 25.8% strikeout rate with a 13.5% swinging-strike rate on the season, just because he projects at the bottom of a six-man board against baseball’s best lineup does not mean he is out of play for only $8,800/$9,500 tonight. By the same token, Strider is no lock for success as a $12,000/$12,500 top-shelf selection, while his 38.1% strikeout rate and 19.7% swinging-strike rate continue to amaze, he has allowed a 9.1% barrel rate and 2.90% home runs in his 153.1 innings and 26 starts this season. The home run rate is still excellent, but it is up from 1.33% last season when we need to pick nits with the fantastic pitcher. Strider has a 3.46 ERA but a more honest 2.88 xFIP this season, he is the day’s top option but the Dodgers are a very good low-strikeout lineup.

Atlanta is favored and they carry a 4.64-run implied total to the Dodgers’ 3.96 mark but that is a lot closer than they have been to most teams when Strider pitches this season. The run total is also notably about half what it was yesterday in Colorado to put the opportunity for the Braves in clear perspective. Atlanta is excellent on any given slate, they have an unfair amount of power in the lineup with seven of their nine regular starters carrying 20 or more home runs and the bottom two hitters at 16 and 12 respectively. The Braves entire projected starting lineup is at least 11% better than average for run creation on the season, with leadoff superstar Ronald Acuna Jr. representing the pinnacle at 65% ahead of the curve. Acuna is spectacular at baseball, he has 29 home runs and 61 stolen bases while playing every day. The outfielder is priced down after leaving Coors Field but only to $6,700/$4,900, he is a big ticket item in this matchup and he has a 12.05 in the home run model tonight. Atlanta leads the power index once again, obviously, with five hitters above the “magic number” for power against Lynn’s 5.16% home run rate and 10.2% barrel rate allowed on the season. The righty has struggled throughout the year, his ERA sits at an unsightly 5.56 but his xFIP is far better at 4.08. The power is targetable with Braves hitters up and down the lineup, Ozzie Albies is a premium option at second base for $5,400/$4,000, he has 28 home runs and 11 steals with a 120 WRC+ and .239 ISO and he strikes out at just a 16.5% clip behind Acuna’s amazing 11.9%. Austin Riley has a 12.6% barrel rate and 48.2% hard hits with 31 homers and a .227 ISO in another outstanding season at third base. He joins lefty slugger Matt Olson in the heart of the daily lineup, Olson has mashed 43 home runs in 591 plate appearances and he has a .319 ISO on the season. The first baseman is pricey but worthwhile at $6,300/$4,400, he has created runs 54% ahead of the curve this year and he has a 17.2% barrel rate and 57.5% hard hits to lead the powerhouse team. Marcell Ozuna has a 10.44 in the home run model, Albies is at 10.55, Riley 11.31, and Olson leads the way at 15.07. Ozuna has hit 31 home runs with a .267 ISO while slashing .267/.339/.533 and reminding the world how good he is this season. The outfielder has a 15.9% barrel rate and 48.7% hard hits on the season and he strikes out just 23% of the time which is low for the fantastic power output. Eddie Rosario slots in with 20 homers and a .225 ISO in the books, catcher Sean Murphy has 20 dingers and a .252 ISO in the seventh spot and his price has dipped to just $5,100/$3,600, and the lineup rounds out with Orlando Arcia and Michael Harris II, our favorite eighth and ninth hitters in the game this season. The average WRC+ for the Braves projected starting lineup is 30% better than average and their average starter has 26 home runs this season, this lineup is outrageously good.

The Dodgers lineup is not equal to the Braves, but they are pretty damn good themselves. Both Mookie Betts and former Braves first baseman Freddie Freeman are as good as anyone in the Atlanta lineup. Betts and Freeman are both chasing Acuna for the NL MVP Award, this could be a big series for determining who takes it home this year. Betts has created runs 75% better than average this year and Freeman is at 69% ahead of the curve. Betts fills three positions on FanDuel for $4,500 and two on DraftKings at $6,500, he has 36 home runs and 10 stolen bases with a 13.7% barrel rate and a terrific 15.5% strikeout rate with 13.1% walks. Freeman limits strikeouts just as effectively at 16.3% while drawing walks at a 9.8% clip with a 41.1% hard-hit rate and 11.5% barrels. He has hit 25 home runs while stealing 17 bases and slashing a premium .338/.413/.586 on the year with a .247 ISO. Freeman costs $6,200/$4,200 putting him slightly more in reach than Olson in high-end lineups. Will Smith is a $5,500/$3,400 catcher with a better spot in the lineup than his direct competitor on the other side of this game. Smith hits for power but not as much or as truly as Murphy, he has 17 home runs and a .189 ISO on just 39.6% hard hits and 7.2% barrels this season but he is a terrific overall hitter who strikes out at just a 15.7% clip with a 12% walk rate. Smith has a .366 on-base percentage and he has created runs 27% better than average this year. He hit for more power last year with 24 long balls and a .205 ISO in 578 opportunities at the plate, the catcher is a strong option in Dodgers stacks on both sites. Max Muncy has a cheap $4,800/$3,800 price tag that is a great fit across lineups both in stacks and as a one-off option for power. Muncy has a 5.34 to sit second on the team against the fantastic pitcher on the mound tonight, he has 31 home runs and a .281 ISO on 16.3% barrels and 47.9% hard hits this season but he does strike out at an aggressive 26.7% rate with a three true-outcomes 15.7% walk rate. David Peralta is slashing .272/.307/.398 with a 90 WRC+ that needs him to reach first base more frequently, he has good left-handed pop in his bat for cheap pricing but is probably the weakest of the trio that also includes Jason Heyward for $2,700/$2,400 and James Outman for $3,500/$2,800 in the outfield. All three are typically in the lineup together against righties, though they will be more limited than usual against the dominant Strider tonight. Any of the three, or any two, can be paired with any of the team’s top four when stacking Dodgers. Heyward has a .219 ISO with 13 home runs and a 125 WRC+ in his managed sample of 297 plate appearances and Outman has 17 homers with 14 steals and a 120 WRC+ in 457 chances. Enrique Hernandez and Michael Busch round out the lineup as low-end mix-in options against a premium pitcher, they are lower priorities than some of the other late-lineup hitters on the other five teams on the slate, but they are not out of play on a day where anyone could make a difference. Hernandez has a 70 WRC+ in 430 plate appearances between Boston and Los Angeles this season, he has eight home runs and a .114 ISO with a limited 4.2% barrel rate but a good 19.8% strikeout rate. Busch has made just 73 plate appearances, he has a 30.1% strikeout rate and a 48 WRC+ to this point but he has a highly regarded bat and he was at 24 home runs in his 424 plate appearances at AAA this season.

Play: everything – Spencer Strider, Braves bats/stacks, Dodgers bats/stacks, Lance Lynn in that order

Update Notes: 

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