NBA DFS Projections
The projections below are created from our custom NBA model for DraftKings and FanDuel. Projections will be updated for any injury/inactive news that breaks before lock as best as possible. In the future, we plan to provide player rates “if starting” for ease of adjustment in the absence of timely updates.
Notes will be provided between updates as time allows, long-term absences in the OUT section will only be updated for relevant changes, and players who have been out for extended periods will not be listed every day until there is news of their return, which will be highlighted. Bold text in the “Update Notes” line will be the most recent reporting, if the status line next to the time stamp is red and says “pending” the update to include the bold text news is in the works; if it says “updated” in green, all of the news has been accounted for in the current projections. When in doubt or unavailable, we recommend @underdog_nba for any breaking news.
Last updated: 8:45 pm ET – 1/5/24- updated
Update Notes: Wendell Carter Jr. and Goga Bitadze are out, Anthony Black will start. Trey Murphy is available. Dalen Terry is starting for Chicago. Wendell Carter Jr., Anthony Black, and Goga Bitadze are all game-time decisions. Patrick Williams & Alex Caruso are OUT. Grant Williams is also OUT. Kevin Durant is confirmed OUT, Eric Gordon and Nas Little are also out. Luka Doncic is OUT, Dereck Lively is out. Patrick Williams & Alex Caruso have been downgraded to questionable. Bruce Brown is available. Kevin Durant is reportedly NOT expected to play. Lonnie Walker IV and Dennis Smith Jr. are available. Robert Covington is out. Andrew Nembhard is out. Al Horford is out.
Probable: Reggie Jackson, Dennis Smith Jr., Lonnie Walker IV, Alex Caruso, Zach LaVine, Nikola Vucevic, Patrick Williams, Cody Zeller (available)
Questionable: Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown, Andrew Nembhard, Al Horford, Malachi Flynn, Robert Covington, Furkan Korkmaz, Trey Murphy III, Tari Eason, Luka Doncic, Dereck Lively, Markieff Morris, Grant Williams, Kevin Durant, Eric Gordon, Nassir Little, Wendell Carter Jr.
Out: Tari Eason, De’Andre Hunter, Mitchell Robinson, De’Anthony Melton, Landry Shamet, Darius Garland, Evan Mobley, Gordon Hayward, Mark Williams, Torrey Craig, Dillon Brooks, Deandre Ayton, Moses Brown, Jabari Walker (doubtful), Dante Exum, Richaun Holmes, Jimmy Butler, Haywood Highsmith, Caleb Martin (doubtful), Markelle Fultz, Gary Harris, Joe Ingles, Jonathan Isaac, Franz Wagner
| Player | TEAM | OPP | FD Pos | FD$ | FD | DK Pos | DK$ | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | DEN | MIN | C | $12,100 | 61.46 | C | $11,300 | 61.99 |
| Jalen Brunson | NY | IND | PG | $10,100 | 49.67 | PG | $9,500 | 51.14 |
| Anthony Edwards | MIN | DEN | SG/SF | $10,300 | 48.82 | SG/SF | $9,200 | 50.24 |
| Josh Hart | NY | IND | SF/PF | $8,700 | 41.32 | SF/PF | $7,800 | 42.15 |
| Tyrese Haliburton | IND | NY | PG | $9,500 | 39.04 | PG | $8,700 | 40.39 |
| Jamal Murray | DEN | MIN | PG | $8,100 | 39.01 | PG | $7,600 | 40.37 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | MIN | DEN | PF/C | $7,600 | 37.11 | PF/C | $6,900 | 39.14 |
| Donte DiVincenzo | NY | IND | SG/SF | $7,800 | 36.43 | SG/SF | $7,000 | 36.73 |
| Pascal Siakam | IND | NY | PF | $7,700 | 36.23 | SF/PF | $7,500 | 36.51 |
| Aaron Gordon | DEN | MIN | PF | $6,700 | 34.67 | PF | $6,200 | 34.77 |
| Myles Turner | IND | NY | C | $7,100 | 35.00 | C | $6,600 | 34.37 |
| Michael Porter | DEN | MIN | SF/PF | $6,200 | 30.39 | SF/PF | $6,500 | 31.52 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | NY | IND | PF/C | $5,900 | 30.76 | C | $6,000 | 30.34 |
| Rudy Gobert | MIN | DEN | C | $7,300 | 30.01 | C | $6,300 | 29.35 |
| Mike Conley | MIN | DEN | PG | $6,100 | 26.99 | PG | $5,700 | 27.33 |
| T.J. McConnell | IND | NY | PG | $5,600 | 24.76 | PG | $5,100 | 24.59 |
| Aaron Nesmith | IND | NY | SF/PF | $4,900 | 23.24 | SG/SF | $4,900 | 23.29 |
| Jaden McDaniels | MIN | DEN | SF/PF | $4,200 | 21.97 | SF | $4,300 | 21.57 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | DEN | MIN | SG | $4,500 | 20.98 | SG | $4,400 | 20.60 |
| Alec Burks | NY | IND | PG/SG | $4,300 | 20.07 | PG/SG | $3,900 | 20.49 |
| Obi Toppin | IND | NY | PF | $4,400 | 19.56 | PF/C | $4,200 | 20.01 |
| Naz Reid | MIN | DEN | C/PF | $4,000 | 19.22 | PF/C | $4,500 | 19.28 |
| Andrew Nembhard | IND | NY | SG/PG | $4,800 | 18.65 | PG/SG | $4,600 | 19.23 |
| Precious Achiuwa | NY | IND | PF/C | $4,500 | 19.12 | PF/C | $4,300 | 18.51 |
| Miles McBride | NY | IND | PG | $4,400 | 18.11 | PG/SG | $4,000 | 18.34 |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | MIN | DEN | SG/SF | $3,900 | 17.75 | SG/SF | $4,000 | 17.81 |
| Isaiah Jackson | IND | NY | C/PF | $3,700 | 18.95 | C | $3,100 | 17.52 |
| Christian Braun | DEN | MIN | SG/SF | $3,700 | 14.26 | PG/SG | $3,400 | 14.30 |
| Ben Sheppard | IND | NY | SG | $3,600 | 12.61 | PG/SG | $3,300 | 13.46 |
| Justin Holiday | DEN | MIN | SG | $3,600 | 12.61 | SG/SF | $3,200 | 12.61 |
| Reggie Jackson | DEN | MIN | PG | $3,600 | 7.44 | PG | $3,100 | 8.17 |
| Kyle Anderson | MIN | DEN | PF/SF | $3,600 | 7.01 | SF/PF | $3,400 | 6.78 |
| Jericho Sims | NY | IND | C | $3,500 | 4.05 | C | $3,000 | 3.83 |
| Peyton Watson | DEN | MIN | SF/PF | $3,500 | 1.50 | PF/C | $3,000 | 1.42 |
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