NBA DFS Projections
The projections below are created from our custom NBA model for DraftKings and FanDuel. Projections will be updated for any injury/inactive news that breaks before lock as best as possible. In the future, we plan to provide player rates “if starting” for ease of adjustment in the absence of timely updates.
Notes will be provided between updates as time allows, long-term absences in the OUT section will only be updated for relevant changes, and players who have been out for extended periods will not be listed every day until there is news of their return, which will be highlighted. Bold text in the “Update Notes” line will be the most recent reporting, if the status line next to the time stamp is red and says “pending” the update to include the bold text news is in the works; if it says “updated” in green, all of the news has been accounted for in the current projections. When in doubt or unavailable, we recommend @underdog_nba for any breaking news.
Last updated: 7:05 pm ET – 1/6/24- updated
Update Notes: Embiid & Robert Covington are OUT. Paul Reed will start. Joel Embiid is reportedly not on the court for early warmups. Joel Embiid’s status remains unconfirmed and a game-time decision. a few rate-based changes have been made in the update. Joel Embiid has been downgraded to questionable/game-time decision and the line has moved by 2 points in Vegas in response. Andrew Nembhard is out. Andrew Nesmith & Isaiah Jackson are expected to play available.
Probable:
Questionable: Isaiah Jackson, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Robert Covington,
Out: Bruce Brown, Mitch Robinson, Landry Shamet, Tobias Harris, Furkan Korkmaz, DeAnthony Melton, Dillon Brooks, Tari Eason
| Player | TEAM | OPP | FD Pos | FD$ | FD | DK Pos | DK$ | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | DEN | MIN | C | $12,100 | 61.46 | C | $11,300 | 61.99 |
| Jalen Brunson | NY | IND | PG | $10,100 | 49.67 | PG | $9,500 | 51.14 |
| Anthony Edwards | MIN | DEN | SG/SF | $10,300 | 48.82 | SG/SF | $9,200 | 50.24 |
| Josh Hart | NY | IND | SF/PF | $8,700 | 41.32 | SF/PF | $7,800 | 42.15 |
| Tyrese Haliburton | IND | NY | PG | $9,500 | 39.04 | PG | $8,700 | 40.39 |
| Jamal Murray | DEN | MIN | PG | $8,100 | 39.01 | PG | $7,600 | 40.37 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | MIN | DEN | PF/C | $7,600 | 37.11 | PF/C | $6,900 | 39.14 |
| Donte DiVincenzo | NY | IND | SG/SF | $7,800 | 36.43 | SG/SF | $7,000 | 36.73 |
| Pascal Siakam | IND | NY | PF | $7,700 | 36.23 | SF/PF | $7,500 | 36.51 |
| Aaron Gordon | DEN | MIN | PF | $6,700 | 34.67 | PF | $6,200 | 34.77 |
| Myles Turner | IND | NY | C | $7,100 | 35.00 | C | $6,600 | 34.37 |
| Michael Porter | DEN | MIN | SF/PF | $6,200 | 30.39 | SF/PF | $6,500 | 31.52 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | NY | IND | PF/C | $5,900 | 30.76 | C | $6,000 | 30.34 |
| Rudy Gobert | MIN | DEN | C | $7,300 | 30.01 | C | $6,300 | 29.35 |
| Mike Conley | MIN | DEN | PG | $6,100 | 26.99 | PG | $5,700 | 27.33 |
| T.J. McConnell | IND | NY | PG | $5,600 | 24.76 | PG | $5,100 | 24.59 |
| Aaron Nesmith | IND | NY | SF/PF | $4,900 | 23.24 | SG/SF | $4,900 | 23.29 |
| Jaden McDaniels | MIN | DEN | SF/PF | $4,200 | 21.97 | SF | $4,300 | 21.57 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | DEN | MIN | SG | $4,500 | 20.98 | SG | $4,400 | 20.60 |
| Alec Burks | NY | IND | PG/SG | $4,300 | 20.07 | PG/SG | $3,900 | 20.49 |
| Obi Toppin | IND | NY | PF | $4,400 | 19.56 | PF/C | $4,200 | 20.01 |
| Naz Reid | MIN | DEN | C/PF | $4,000 | 19.22 | PF/C | $4,500 | 19.28 |
| Andrew Nembhard | IND | NY | SG/PG | $4,800 | 18.65 | PG/SG | $4,600 | 19.23 |
| Precious Achiuwa | NY | IND | PF/C | $4,500 | 19.12 | PF/C | $4,300 | 18.51 |
| Miles McBride | NY | IND | PG | $4,400 | 18.11 | PG/SG | $4,000 | 18.34 |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | MIN | DEN | SG/SF | $3,900 | 17.75 | SG/SF | $4,000 | 17.81 |
| Isaiah Jackson | IND | NY | C/PF | $3,700 | 18.95 | C | $3,100 | 17.52 |
| Christian Braun | DEN | MIN | SG/SF | $3,700 | 14.26 | PG/SG | $3,400 | 14.30 |
| Ben Sheppard | IND | NY | SG | $3,600 | 12.61 | PG/SG | $3,300 | 13.46 |
| Justin Holiday | DEN | MIN | SG | $3,600 | 12.61 | SG/SF | $3,200 | 12.61 |
| Reggie Jackson | DEN | MIN | PG | $3,600 | 7.44 | PG | $3,100 | 8.17 |
| Kyle Anderson | MIN | DEN | PF/SF | $3,600 | 7.01 | SF/PF | $3,400 | 6.78 |
| Jericho Sims | NY | IND | C | $3,500 | 4.05 | C | $3,000 | 3.83 |
| Peyton Watson | DEN | MIN | SF/PF | $3,500 | 1.50 | PF/C | $3,000 | 1.42 |
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