NBA DFS Projections
The projections below are created from our custom NBA model for DraftKings and FanDuel. Projections will be updated for any injury/inactive news that breaks before lock as best as possible. In the future, we plan to provide player rates “if starting” for ease of adjustment in the absence of timely updates.
Notes will be provided between updates as time allows, long-term absences in the OUT section will only be updated for relevant changes, and players who have been out for extended periods will not be listed every day until there is news of their return, which will be highlighted. Bold text in the “Update Notes” line will be the most recent reporting, if the status line next to the time stamp is red and says “pending” the update to include the bold text news is in the works; if it says “updated” in green, all of the news has been accounted for in the current projections. When in doubt or unavailable, we recommend @underdog_nba for any breaking news.
Last updated: 7:34 pm ET – 2/5/24- updated
Update Notes: Toronto are confirmed to be starting Immanuel Quickley, Bruce Brown, Gary Trent Jr., Scottie Barnes, and Jakob Poeltl once again (no changes). Sasha Vezenkov is confirmed out. Tobias Harris will play. Zion Williamson, Herb Jones, and Larry Nance Jr. are all active. LeBron James & Anthony Davis are both available. Andrew Wiggins is confirmed out. Paul Reed may potentially be limited in to an unspecified amount of minutes by continued illness on Monday (note: we have limited Reed to 19 minutes in projections, given the uncertainty, he played a similar game over the weekend. Reed’s fantasy points can be re-applied at a rate of +1 per minute to adjust for your expectations) Dorian Finney-Smith is out. Saddiq Bey is active. De’Andre Hunter is active. Dario Saric is active. Leaky Black will start for Charlotte. Evan Mobley will be limited to 26 minutes. Tobias Harris is a game-time decision. Ivica Zubac is out. Cody Martin and Frank Ntilikina are out. Dennis Smith Jr. is available.
Probable: Dario Saric, Dennis Smith Jr.
Questionable: Tobias Harris, Anthony Davis, LeBron James, Cody Martin, Frank Ntilikina, Sasha Vezenkov, Jarrett Allen, Darius Garland, Ivica Zubac, Saddiq Bey, De’Andre Hunter, Herbert Jones, Larry Nance Jr., Zion Williamson
Out: Dereck Lively II, Dante Exum, Nicolas Batum, Robert Covington, Joel Embiid, De’Anthony Melton, Cam Reddish, Jarred Vanderbilt, Gabe Vincent, LaMelo Ball, Gordon Hayward, Kyle Lowry, Mark Williams, Tristan Thompson, Chris Paul, Gary Payton II, Andrew Wiggins (doubtful), Dorian Finney-Smith, Day’Ron Sharpe, Ben Simmons, Clint Capela, RJ Barrett, Jontay Porter
| Player | TEAM | OPP | FD Pos | FD$ | FD | DK Pos | DK$ | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | DEN | MIN | C | $12,100 | 61.46 | C | $11,300 | 61.99 |
| Jalen Brunson | NY | IND | PG | $10,100 | 49.67 | PG | $9,500 | 51.14 |
| Anthony Edwards | MIN | DEN | SG/SF | $10,300 | 48.82 | SG/SF | $9,200 | 50.24 |
| Josh Hart | NY | IND | SF/PF | $8,700 | 41.32 | SF/PF | $7,800 | 42.15 |
| Tyrese Haliburton | IND | NY | PG | $9,500 | 39.04 | PG | $8,700 | 40.39 |
| Jamal Murray | DEN | MIN | PG | $8,100 | 39.01 | PG | $7,600 | 40.37 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | MIN | DEN | PF/C | $7,600 | 37.11 | PF/C | $6,900 | 39.14 |
| Donte DiVincenzo | NY | IND | SG/SF | $7,800 | 36.43 | SG/SF | $7,000 | 36.73 |
| Pascal Siakam | IND | NY | PF | $7,700 | 36.23 | SF/PF | $7,500 | 36.51 |
| Aaron Gordon | DEN | MIN | PF | $6,700 | 34.67 | PF | $6,200 | 34.77 |
| Myles Turner | IND | NY | C | $7,100 | 35.00 | C | $6,600 | 34.37 |
| Michael Porter | DEN | MIN | SF/PF | $6,200 | 30.39 | SF/PF | $6,500 | 31.52 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | NY | IND | PF/C | $5,900 | 30.76 | C | $6,000 | 30.34 |
| Rudy Gobert | MIN | DEN | C | $7,300 | 30.01 | C | $6,300 | 29.35 |
| Mike Conley | MIN | DEN | PG | $6,100 | 26.99 | PG | $5,700 | 27.33 |
| T.J. McConnell | IND | NY | PG | $5,600 | 24.76 | PG | $5,100 | 24.59 |
| Aaron Nesmith | IND | NY | SF/PF | $4,900 | 23.24 | SG/SF | $4,900 | 23.29 |
| Jaden McDaniels | MIN | DEN | SF/PF | $4,200 | 21.97 | SF | $4,300 | 21.57 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | DEN | MIN | SG | $4,500 | 20.98 | SG | $4,400 | 20.60 |
| Alec Burks | NY | IND | PG/SG | $4,300 | 20.07 | PG/SG | $3,900 | 20.49 |
| Obi Toppin | IND | NY | PF | $4,400 | 19.56 | PF/C | $4,200 | 20.01 |
| Naz Reid | MIN | DEN | C/PF | $4,000 | 19.22 | PF/C | $4,500 | 19.28 |
| Andrew Nembhard | IND | NY | SG/PG | $4,800 | 18.65 | PG/SG | $4,600 | 19.23 |
| Precious Achiuwa | NY | IND | PF/C | $4,500 | 19.12 | PF/C | $4,300 | 18.51 |
| Miles McBride | NY | IND | PG | $4,400 | 18.11 | PG/SG | $4,000 | 18.34 |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | MIN | DEN | SG/SF | $3,900 | 17.75 | SG/SF | $4,000 | 17.81 |
| Isaiah Jackson | IND | NY | C/PF | $3,700 | 18.95 | C | $3,100 | 17.52 |
| Christian Braun | DEN | MIN | SG/SF | $3,700 | 14.26 | PG/SG | $3,400 | 14.30 |
| Ben Sheppard | IND | NY | SG | $3,600 | 12.61 | PG/SG | $3,300 | 13.46 |
| Justin Holiday | DEN | MIN | SG | $3,600 | 12.61 | SG/SF | $3,200 | 12.61 |
| Reggie Jackson | DEN | MIN | PG | $3,600 | 7.44 | PG | $3,100 | 8.17 |
| Kyle Anderson | MIN | DEN | PF/SF | $3,600 | 7.01 | SF/PF | $3,400 | 6.78 |
| Jericho Sims | NY | IND | C | $3,500 | 4.05 | C | $3,000 | 3.83 |
| Peyton Watson | DEN | MIN | SF/PF | $3,500 | 1.50 | PF/C | $3,000 | 1.42 |
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