NBA DFS Projections
The projections below are created from our custom NBA model for DraftKings and FanDuel. Projections will be updated for any injury/inactive news that breaks before lock as best as possible. In the future, we plan to provide player rates “if starting” for ease of adjustment in the absence of timely updates.
Notes will be provided between updates as time allows, long-term absences in the OUT section will only be updated for relevant changes, and players who have been out for extended periods will not be listed every day until there is news of their return, which will be highlighted. Bold text in the “Update Notes” line will be the most recent reporting, if the status line next to the time stamp is red and says “pending” the update to include the bold text news is in the works, while all non-bold news has been updated in the previous run; if it says “updated” in green, all of the news has been accounted for in the current projections. When in doubt or unavailable, we recommend @underdog_nba for any breaking news.
Last updated: 7:42 pm ET – 3/1/24- updated
Update Notes: Keon Ellis will start for Sacramento. Anthony Edwards is active. De’Aaron Fox is OUT, Davion Mitchell “likely” starter. John Konchar and Luke Kennard are confirmed out, and GG Jackson is available. Moses Brown is available, Deandre Ayton is confirmed out. Aaron Nesmith is active. De’Aaron Fox is a game-time decision. Ben Sheppard is questionable. Kelly Oubre Jr. and KJ Martin are both OUT, Mo Bamba and Kyle Lowry are starting. GG Jackson “on track to play” while Luke Kennard “remains doubtful”. Donovan Mitchell & Caris LeVert are both out, Darius Garland sees a strong uptick, Max Strus and Isaac Okoro will start. Luka Doncic is available. Klay Thompson will start for Brandin Podziemski who is OUT. Brandon Miller is OUT, Seth Curry will start in his place. Kelly Oubre Jr. is a game-time decision. Grant Williams is available.
Probable: Grant Williams
Questionable: KJ Martin, Kelly Oubre Jr., Caris LeVert, Donovan Mitchell, Luka Doncic, Chris Boucher, Aaron Nesmith, Moses Brown, GG Jackson, De’Aaron Fox, Anthony Edwards
Out: LaMelo Ball, Nathan Mensah, Mark Williams, Robert Covington, Joel Embiid, Kenny Lofton Jr., DeAnthony Melton, Terquavion Smith, Brandin Podziemski, Andrew Wiggins, Doug McDermott, Dyson Daniels, Deandre Ayton (doubtful), Malcolm Brogdon, Scoot Henderson, Shaedon Sharpe, Desmond Bane, Jaren Jackson Jr., Luke Kennard (doubtful), John Konchar (doubtful), Scotty Pippen Jr., Derrick Rose, Marcus Smart, Kyle Anderson (doubtful)
Slate Note: There is NO LATE SWAP on DraftKings tonight.
| Player | TEAM | OPP | FD Pos | FD$ | FD | DK Pos | DK$ | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | DEN | MIN | C | $12,100 | 61.46 | C | $11,300 | 61.99 |
| Jalen Brunson | NY | IND | PG | $10,100 | 49.67 | PG | $9,500 | 51.14 |
| Anthony Edwards | MIN | DEN | SG/SF | $10,300 | 48.82 | SG/SF | $9,200 | 50.24 |
| Josh Hart | NY | IND | SF/PF | $8,700 | 41.32 | SF/PF | $7,800 | 42.15 |
| Tyrese Haliburton | IND | NY | PG | $9,500 | 39.04 | PG | $8,700 | 40.39 |
| Jamal Murray | DEN | MIN | PG | $8,100 | 39.01 | PG | $7,600 | 40.37 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | MIN | DEN | PF/C | $7,600 | 37.11 | PF/C | $6,900 | 39.14 |
| Donte DiVincenzo | NY | IND | SG/SF | $7,800 | 36.43 | SG/SF | $7,000 | 36.73 |
| Pascal Siakam | IND | NY | PF | $7,700 | 36.23 | SF/PF | $7,500 | 36.51 |
| Aaron Gordon | DEN | MIN | PF | $6,700 | 34.67 | PF | $6,200 | 34.77 |
| Myles Turner | IND | NY | C | $7,100 | 35.00 | C | $6,600 | 34.37 |
| Michael Porter | DEN | MIN | SF/PF | $6,200 | 30.39 | SF/PF | $6,500 | 31.52 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | NY | IND | PF/C | $5,900 | 30.76 | C | $6,000 | 30.34 |
| Rudy Gobert | MIN | DEN | C | $7,300 | 30.01 | C | $6,300 | 29.35 |
| Mike Conley | MIN | DEN | PG | $6,100 | 26.99 | PG | $5,700 | 27.33 |
| T.J. McConnell | IND | NY | PG | $5,600 | 24.76 | PG | $5,100 | 24.59 |
| Aaron Nesmith | IND | NY | SF/PF | $4,900 | 23.24 | SG/SF | $4,900 | 23.29 |
| Jaden McDaniels | MIN | DEN | SF/PF | $4,200 | 21.97 | SF | $4,300 | 21.57 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | DEN | MIN | SG | $4,500 | 20.98 | SG | $4,400 | 20.60 |
| Alec Burks | NY | IND | PG/SG | $4,300 | 20.07 | PG/SG | $3,900 | 20.49 |
| Obi Toppin | IND | NY | PF | $4,400 | 19.56 | PF/C | $4,200 | 20.01 |
| Naz Reid | MIN | DEN | C/PF | $4,000 | 19.22 | PF/C | $4,500 | 19.28 |
| Andrew Nembhard | IND | NY | SG/PG | $4,800 | 18.65 | PG/SG | $4,600 | 19.23 |
| Precious Achiuwa | NY | IND | PF/C | $4,500 | 19.12 | PF/C | $4,300 | 18.51 |
| Miles McBride | NY | IND | PG | $4,400 | 18.11 | PG/SG | $4,000 | 18.34 |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | MIN | DEN | SG/SF | $3,900 | 17.75 | SG/SF | $4,000 | 17.81 |
| Isaiah Jackson | IND | NY | C/PF | $3,700 | 18.95 | C | $3,100 | 17.52 |
| Christian Braun | DEN | MIN | SG/SF | $3,700 | 14.26 | PG/SG | $3,400 | 14.30 |
| Ben Sheppard | IND | NY | SG | $3,600 | 12.61 | PG/SG | $3,300 | 13.46 |
| Justin Holiday | DEN | MIN | SG | $3,600 | 12.61 | SG/SF | $3,200 | 12.61 |
| Reggie Jackson | DEN | MIN | PG | $3,600 | 7.44 | PG | $3,100 | 8.17 |
| Kyle Anderson | MIN | DEN | PF/SF | $3,600 | 7.01 | SF/PF | $3,400 | 6.78 |
| Jericho Sims | NY | IND | C | $3,500 | 4.05 | C | $3,000 | 3.83 |
| Peyton Watson | DEN | MIN | SF/PF | $3,500 | 1.50 | PF/C | $3,000 | 1.42 |
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