NBA DFS Projections
The projections below are created from our custom NBA model for DraftKings and FanDuel. Projections will be updated for any injury/inactive news that breaks before lock as best as possible. In the future, we plan to provide player rates “if starting” for ease of adjustment in the absence of timely updates.
Notes will be provided between updates as time allows, long-term absences in the OUT section will only be updated for relevant changes, and players who have been out for extended periods will not be listed every day until there is news of their return, which will be highlighted. Bold text in the “Update Notes” line will be the most recent reporting, if the status line next to the time stamp is red and says “pending” the update to include the bold text news is in the works; if it says “updated” in green, all of the news has been accounted for in the current projections. When in doubt or unavailable, we recommend @underdog_nba for any breaking news.
Last updated: 8:40 pm ET – 12/29/23 – updated
Update Notes: Michael Porter Jr. and Reggie Jackson are available. Bradley Beal is available and starting on a “minutes progression plan.“Nassir Little is out, Josh Okogie is out. Michael Porter Jr. is a game-time decision. Luke Kornet is starting for Boston, his minutes have been directly swapped with Neemias Queta from the previous update. Goga Bitadze is starting in a late change, and Wendell Carter Jr. is OUT, this was not projected before lock (note: this situation was updated to facilitate correct sim environments with the 7:30 lock). Donovan Mitchell is available. Sam Merill is available. Jae’Sean Tate is starting, Jeff Green is also starting, and Tari Eason is playing off of the bench. Jayson Tatum is OUT, Jrue Holiday and Jaylen Brown will play, Kristaps Porzingis is confirmed out. Giannis will play. The Celtics have had no status changes. Jonathan Isaac is out. Danilo Gallinari is out. Donovan Mitchell appears to be on track to play. Nic Claxton and Dorian Finney-Smith are available. Jaylin Williams is available.
Probable: Nic Claxton, Dorian Finney-Smith, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Nassir Little (available), Reggie Jackson
Questionable: Danilo Gallinari, Gary Harris, Jonathan Isaac, Donovan Mitchell, Sam Merrill, Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday, Jayson Tatum, KJ Martin, Tari Eason, Bradley Beal, Josh Okogie, Jaylin Williams, Michael Porter Jr.
Out: Mitch Robinson, Jericho Sims, Markelle Fultz, Joe Ingles, Darius Garland, Evan Mobley, De’Andre Hunter, Al Horford, Kristaps Porzingis (doubtful), Nicolas Batum, Joel Embiid, Dillon Brooks, Jabari Smith Jr., Aaron Gordon,
| Player | TEAM | OPP | FD Pos | FD$ | FD | DK Pos | DK$ | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | DEN | MIN | C | $12,100 | 61.46 | C | $11,300 | 61.99 |
| Jalen Brunson | NY | IND | PG | $10,100 | 49.67 | PG | $9,500 | 51.14 |
| Anthony Edwards | MIN | DEN | SG/SF | $10,300 | 48.82 | SG/SF | $9,200 | 50.24 |
| Josh Hart | NY | IND | SF/PF | $8,700 | 41.32 | SF/PF | $7,800 | 42.15 |
| Tyrese Haliburton | IND | NY | PG | $9,500 | 39.04 | PG | $8,700 | 40.39 |
| Jamal Murray | DEN | MIN | PG | $8,100 | 39.01 | PG | $7,600 | 40.37 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | MIN | DEN | PF/C | $7,600 | 37.11 | PF/C | $6,900 | 39.14 |
| Donte DiVincenzo | NY | IND | SG/SF | $7,800 | 36.43 | SG/SF | $7,000 | 36.73 |
| Pascal Siakam | IND | NY | PF | $7,700 | 36.23 | SF/PF | $7,500 | 36.51 |
| Aaron Gordon | DEN | MIN | PF | $6,700 | 34.67 | PF | $6,200 | 34.77 |
| Myles Turner | IND | NY | C | $7,100 | 35.00 | C | $6,600 | 34.37 |
| Michael Porter | DEN | MIN | SF/PF | $6,200 | 30.39 | SF/PF | $6,500 | 31.52 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | NY | IND | PF/C | $5,900 | 30.76 | C | $6,000 | 30.34 |
| Rudy Gobert | MIN | DEN | C | $7,300 | 30.01 | C | $6,300 | 29.35 |
| Mike Conley | MIN | DEN | PG | $6,100 | 26.99 | PG | $5,700 | 27.33 |
| T.J. McConnell | IND | NY | PG | $5,600 | 24.76 | PG | $5,100 | 24.59 |
| Aaron Nesmith | IND | NY | SF/PF | $4,900 | 23.24 | SG/SF | $4,900 | 23.29 |
| Jaden McDaniels | MIN | DEN | SF/PF | $4,200 | 21.97 | SF | $4,300 | 21.57 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | DEN | MIN | SG | $4,500 | 20.98 | SG | $4,400 | 20.60 |
| Alec Burks | NY | IND | PG/SG | $4,300 | 20.07 | PG/SG | $3,900 | 20.49 |
| Obi Toppin | IND | NY | PF | $4,400 | 19.56 | PF/C | $4,200 | 20.01 |
| Naz Reid | MIN | DEN | C/PF | $4,000 | 19.22 | PF/C | $4,500 | 19.28 |
| Andrew Nembhard | IND | NY | SG/PG | $4,800 | 18.65 | PG/SG | $4,600 | 19.23 |
| Precious Achiuwa | NY | IND | PF/C | $4,500 | 19.12 | PF/C | $4,300 | 18.51 |
| Miles McBride | NY | IND | PG | $4,400 | 18.11 | PG/SG | $4,000 | 18.34 |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | MIN | DEN | SG/SF | $3,900 | 17.75 | SG/SF | $4,000 | 17.81 |
| Isaiah Jackson | IND | NY | C/PF | $3,700 | 18.95 | C | $3,100 | 17.52 |
| Christian Braun | DEN | MIN | SG/SF | $3,700 | 14.26 | PG/SG | $3,400 | 14.30 |
| Ben Sheppard | IND | NY | SG | $3,600 | 12.61 | PG/SG | $3,300 | 13.46 |
| Justin Holiday | DEN | MIN | SG | $3,600 | 12.61 | SG/SF | $3,200 | 12.61 |
| Reggie Jackson | DEN | MIN | PG | $3,600 | 7.44 | PG | $3,100 | 8.17 |
| Kyle Anderson | MIN | DEN | PF/SF | $3,600 | 7.01 | SF/PF | $3,400 | 6.78 |
| Jericho Sims | NY | IND | C | $3,500 | 4.05 | C | $3,000 | 3.83 |
| Peyton Watson | DEN | MIN | SF/PF | $3,500 | 1.50 | PF/C | $3,000 | 1.42 |
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