NFL DFS Projections – Week 16
The projections below are created from our custom NFL model for DraftKings and FanDuel. DraftKings projections include bonuses for players projected to achieve them in our model. Projections will be updated for any injury/inactive news that breaks prior to lock.
last updated: 11:35am ET – 12/24/23 – updated
Notes: Jayden Reed is out.
| Player | POS | TEAM | OPP | FD$ | FD | DK$ | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geno Smith | QB | SEA | DET | $7,600 | 16.46 | $5,900 | 16.66 |
| Jared Goff | QB | DET | SEA | $7,700 | 16.09 | $6,400 | 16.27 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | SEA | $8,800 | 15.60 | $8,200 | 18.92 |
| Will Levis | QB | TEN | MIA | $6,700 | 14.82 | $5,200 | 15.04 |
| De'Von Achane | RB | MIA | TEN | $7,800 | 14.51 | $7,200 | 15.89 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | SEA | $7,500 | 14.07 | $6,900 | 15.76 |
| David Montgomery | RB | DET | SEA | $7,300 | 13.92 | $6,400 | 14.62 |
| Tyler Huntley | QB | MIA | TEN | $6,400 | 13.57 | $5,500 | 13.57 |
| Kenneth Walker III | RB | SEA | DET | $7,000 | 12.99 | $6,300 | 13.90 |
| Tyreek Hill | WR | MIA | TEN | $8,000 | 12.25 | $7,900 | 15.53 |
| Tony Pollard | RB | TEN | MIA | $6,600 | 12.13 | $6,000 | 13.18 |
| DK Metcalf | WR | SEA | DET | $8,300 | 11.39 | $6,800 | 13.58 |
| Jameson Williams | WR | DET | SEA | $6,000 | 9.57 | $5,600 | 11.23 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | DET | $6,200 | 9.11 | $5,500 | 9.11 |
| Sam LaPorta | TE | DET | SEA | $6,500 | 9.01 | $5,700 | 11.57 |
| Calvin Ridley | WR | TEN | MIA | $6,100 | 8.55 | $5,900 | 10.67 |
| Tyler Lockett | WR | SEA | DET | $5,700 | 8.40 | $5,000 | 10.38 |
| Jaylen Waddle | WR | MIA | TEN | $6,300 | 8.07 | $5,800 | 10.50 |
| Tyjae Spears | RB | TEN | MIA | $5,200 | 7.69 | $4,900 | 9.01 |
| DeAndre Hopkins | WR | TEN | MIA | $5,600 | 7.44 | $5,300 | 9.37 |
| Tennessee Titans | D | TEN | MIA | $4,500 | 7.05 | $3,100 | 7.05 |
| Miami Dolphins | D | MIA | TEN | $3,800 | 6.70 | $3,200 | 6.70 |
| Tyler Boyd | WR | TEN | MIA | $4,900 | 6.56 | $4,200 | 7.99 |
| Detroit Lions | D | DET | SEA | $4,000 | 6.20 | $2,900 | 6.20 |
| Zach Charbonnet | RB | SEA | DET | $5,400 | 5.34 | $6,200 | 6.32 |
| Noah Fant | TE | SEA | DET | $5,100 | 5.31 | $3,500 | 6.66 |
| Seattle Seahawks | D | SEA | DET | $3,500 | 4.95 | $2,800 | 4.95 |
| Chig Okonkwo | TE | TEN | MIA | $5,000 | 3.39 | $3,700 | 4.83 |
| Jonnu Smith | TE | MIA | TEN | $4,900 | 3.32 | $3,300 | 4.46 |
| Josh Whyle | TE | TEN | MIA | $4,500 | 3.00 | $2,500 | 3.36 |
| Jaylen Wright | RB | MIA | TEN | $4,900 | 2.89 | $4,200 | 3.31 |
| Jeff Wilson Jr. | RB | MIA | TEN | $5,000 | 2.75 | $4,300 | 2.84 |
| Tim Patrick | WR | DET | SEA | $4,300 | 2.31 | $3,200 | 3.43 |
| Brock Wright | TE | DET | SEA | $4,600 | 2.26 | $3,200 | 2.76 |
| Treylon Burks | WR | TEN | MIA | $4,300 | 2.12 | $3,100 | 2.94 |
| Jake Bobo | WR | SEA | DET | $4,300 | 2.00 | $3,000 | 2.45 |
| Kalif Raymond | WR | DET | SEA | $4,700 | 1.74 | $3,400 | 2.60 |
| Malik Washington | WR | MIA | TEN | $4,000 | 1.67 | $3,000 | 2.04 |
| Braxton Berrios | WR | MIA | TEN | $4,200 | 1.51 | $3,000 | 1.94 |
| Pharaoh Brown | TE | SEA | DET | $4,000 | 1.43 | $2,500 | 1.77 |
| Nick Vannett | TE | TEN | MIA | $4,400 | 0.92 | $2,500 | 1.11 |
| Kenny McIntosh | RB | SEA | DET | $4,600 | 0.89 | $4,100 | 1.01 |
| Laviska Shenault Jr. | WR | SEA | DET | $4,200 | 0.74 | $3,000 | 0.90 |
| Julian Hill | TE | MIA | TEN | $4,300 | 0.63 | $2,500 | 0.89 |
| Durham Smythe | TE | MIA | TEN | $4,100 | 0.60 | $2,500 | 1.18 |
| Craig Reynolds | RB | DET | SEA | $4,700 | 0.51 | $4,000 | 0.63 |
| Dee Eskridge | WR | MIA | TEN | $4,200 | 0.48 | $3,000 | 0.60 |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine | WR | TEN | MIA | $4,000 | 0.43 | $3,000 | 0.74 |
| Parker Hesse | TE | DET | SEA | $4,000 | 0.39 | $2,500 | 0.50 |
| AJ Barner | TE | SEA | DET | $4,200 | 0.39 | $2,500 | 0.73 |
| Allen Robinson II | WR | DET | SEA | $4,000 | 0.26 | $3,000 | 0.58 |
| Julius Chestnut | RB | TEN | MIA | $4,000 | 0.18 | $4,000 | 0.30 |
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