NFL DFS Projections
The projections below are created from our custom NFL model for DraftKings and FanDuel. DraftKings projections include bonuses for players projected to achieve them in our model. Projections will be updated for any injury/inactive news that breaks prior to lock.
Last updated: 8:03 pm ET – 12/18/23 – updated
Note: Drew Lock is expected to start. Drew Lock is warming up with Seattle starters and Geno Smith is not yet on the field, be prepared to pivot, Lock projects for 13.18 on FanDuel and 13.21 on DraftKings IF he makes the start. Reporters are noting that, while he is active, there has been no confirmation that Geno Smith is starting tonight, we are assuming he is unless notified otherwise. Both Jalen Hurts AND Geno Smith will be active after all. Jalen Hurts & Geno Smith are both questionable to play. Reporting has Smith as “unlikely” and needing “a significant improvement if he is going to play”, while Hurts’ situation remains murky, we are currently projecting Drew Lock to start for Seattle while leaving Hurts as the starter for Philadelphia until further notice. If Hurts does not play, Marcus Mariota will get the start for the Eagles.
| Player | POS | TEAM | OPP | FD$ | FD | DK$ | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geno Smith | QB | SEA | DET | $7,600 | 16.46 | $5,900 | 16.66 |
| Jared Goff | QB | DET | SEA | $7,700 | 16.36 | $6,400 | 16.54 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | SEA | $8,800 | 15.64 | $8,200 | 18.96 |
| De'Von Achane | RB | MIA | TEN | $7,800 | 14.99 | $7,200 | 16.37 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | SEA | $7,500 | 14.28 | $6,900 | 15.97 |
| David Montgomery | RB | DET | SEA | $7,300 | 14.12 | $6,400 | 14.83 |
| Will Levis | QB | TEN | MIA | $6,700 | 13.90 | $5,200 | 14.11 |
| Tyler Huntley | QB | MIA | TEN | $6,400 | 13.61 | $5,500 | 13.61 |
| Kenneth Walker III | RB | SEA | DET | $7,000 | 12.99 | $6,300 | 13.90 |
| Tyreek Hill | WR | MIA | TEN | $8,000 | 12.46 | $7,900 | 15.74 |
| Tony Pollard | RB | TEN | MIA | $6,600 | 11.59 | $6,000 | 12.64 |
| DK Metcalf | WR | SEA | DET | $8,300 | 11.42 | $6,800 | 13.61 |
| Jameson Williams | WR | DET | SEA | $6,000 | 9.57 | $5,600 | 11.23 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | DET | $6,200 | 9.11 | $5,500 | 9.11 |
| Sam LaPorta | TE | DET | SEA | $6,500 | 9.04 | $5,700 | 11.60 |
| Calvin Ridley | WR | TEN | MIA | $6,100 | 8.41 | $5,900 | 10.53 |
| Tyler Lockett | WR | SEA | DET | $5,700 | 8.40 | $5,000 | 10.38 |
| Jaylen Waddle | WR | MIA | TEN | $6,300 | 8.19 | $5,800 | 10.62 |
| Tyjae Spears | RB | TEN | MIA | $5,200 | 7.69 | $4,900 | 9.01 |
| DeAndre Hopkins | WR | TEN | MIA | $5,600 | 7.33 | $5,300 | 9.26 |
| Miami Dolphins | D | MIA | TEN | $3,800 | 7.14 | $3,200 | 7.14 |
| Tyler Boyd | WR | TEN | MIA | $4,900 | 6.51 | $4,200 | 7.93 |
| Tennessee Titans | D | TEN | MIA | $4,500 | 6.48 | $3,100 | 6.48 |
| Detroit Lions | D | DET | SEA | $4,000 | 6.15 | $2,900 | 6.15 |
| Zach Charbonnet | RB | SEA | DET | $5,400 | 5.36 | $6,200 | 6.35 |
| Noah Fant | TE | SEA | DET | $5,100 | 5.31 | $3,500 | 6.66 |
| Seattle Seahawks | D | SEA | DET | $3,500 | 4.79 | $2,800 | 4.79 |
| Chig Okonkwo | TE | TEN | MIA | $5,000 | 3.34 | $3,700 | 4.78 |
| Jonnu Smith | TE | MIA | TEN | $4,900 | 3.32 | $3,300 | 4.46 |
| Josh Whyle | TE | TEN | MIA | $4,500 | 3.00 | $2,500 | 3.36 |
| Jaylen Wright | RB | MIA | TEN | $4,900 | 2.89 | $4,200 | 3.31 |
| Jeff Wilson Jr. | RB | MIA | TEN | $5,000 | 2.78 | $4,300 | 2.88 |
| Tim Patrick | WR | DET | SEA | $4,300 | 2.33 | $3,200 | 3.45 |
| Brock Wright | TE | DET | SEA | $4,600 | 2.26 | $3,200 | 2.76 |
| Treylon Burks | WR | TEN | MIA | $4,300 | 2.07 | $3,100 | 2.90 |
| Jake Bobo | WR | SEA | DET | $4,300 | 2.01 | $3,000 | 2.45 |
| Kalif Raymond | WR | DET | SEA | $4,700 | 1.74 | $3,400 | 2.60 |
| Malik Washington | WR | MIA | TEN | $4,000 | 1.67 | $3,000 | 2.04 |
| Braxton Berrios | WR | MIA | TEN | $4,200 | 1.51 | $3,000 | 1.94 |
| Pharaoh Brown | TE | SEA | DET | $4,000 | 1.43 | $2,500 | 1.77 |
| Nick Vannett | TE | TEN | MIA | $4,400 | 0.92 | $2,500 | 1.11 |
| Kenny McIntosh | RB | SEA | DET | $4,600 | 0.89 | $4,100 | 1.02 |
| Laviska Shenault Jr. | WR | SEA | DET | $4,200 | 0.75 | $3,000 | 0.90 |
| Julian Hill | TE | MIA | TEN | $4,300 | 1.01 | $2,500 | 1.27 |
| Durham Smythe | TE | MIA | TEN | $4,100 | 1.15 | $2,500 | 1.73 |
| Craig Reynolds | RB | DET | SEA | $4,700 | 0.53 | $4,000 | 0.66 |
| Dee Eskridge | WR | MIA | TEN | $4,200 | 0.48 | $3,000 | 0.60 |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine | WR | TEN | MIA | $4,000 | 0.43 | $3,000 | 0.74 |
| Parker Hesse | TE | DET | SEA | $4,000 | 0.39 | $2,500 | 0.50 |
| AJ Barner | TE | SEA | DET | $4,200 | 0.39 | $2,500 | 0.73 |
| Allen Robinson II | WR | DET | SEA | $4,000 | 0.26 | $3,000 | 0.58 |
| Julius Chestnut | RB | TEN | MIA | $4,000 | 0.18 | $4,000 | 0.30 |
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