MLB DFS Hitter Projections
The projections below are created from our custom MLB model for DraftKings and FanDuel. Projections will be updated for any injury/lineup change that breaks before lock as best as possible, lineups will be confirmed and updated as they are released.
Notes will be provided between updates as time allows. Bold text in the “Update Notes” line will be the most recent reporting, if the status line next to the time stamp is red and says “pending” the update to include the bold text news is in the works, while all of the non-bold news has been updated in the previous run; if it says “updated” in green, all of the news has been accounted for in the current projections. When in doubt or unavailable, we recommend @underdog_mlb for any breaking news.
Last updated: 2:39 pm ET – 7/16/24- updated
Update Notes: Corey Seager was added to the American League bench, he is not available on FanDuel but he is on the DraftKings slate. Carlos Correa‘s zero projections were removed from the table, he is not available tonight. A matchup correction has been made for the NL home run model. All projections are based on two plate appearances per player, bench players are normalized to an average lineup spot. Pitchers are projected for 1.0 innings each. Note that this impacts the scale for the HR model listed below, 3-5 should be considered a “very good” chance for the allocated opportunity.
Roster Notes: Jose Altuve, Kyle Tucker, Carlos Correa, Rafael Devers, and Logan Gilbert will NOT appear for the American League team tonight. Fernando Tatis Jr., Tyler Glasnow, Zack Wheeler, Ryan Helsley, Ranger Suarez, and Chris Sale will NOT appear for the National League team tonight.
The projections table includes FanDuel and DraftKings hitter projections and a rating for each player in our custom HR model (Scale: 5-10 Average; 10-20 Good; 20-25 Very Good; 25+ Great). The “Status” column indicates whether a lineup is the projected (“P”) version or if it is the confirmed (“C”) game lineup for each team.
| Player | Hand | Team | Game | FD POS | FD$ | FDpts | DK POS | DK$ | DKpts | HR | Order | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | L | LAD | LAD@NYM | OF | 4800 | 17.85 | 1B/OF | 6500 | 14.72 | 12.84 | 1 | C |
| Mookie Betts | R | LAD | LAD@NYM | 2B/SS/OF | 4000 | 12.22 | OF | 5200 | 9.70 | 6.00 | 2 | C |
| Teoscar Hernandez | R | LAD | LAD@NYM | OF | 3500 | 12.18 | OF | 5000 | 9.56 | 7.58 | 3 | C |
| Freddie Freeman | L | LAD | LAD@NYM | 1B | 3200 | 10.74 | 1B | 4600 | 8.44 | 5.11 | 4 | C |
| Tommy Edman | B | LAD | LAD@NYM | SS/2B/OF | 3100 | 9.78 | SS/OF | 3700 | 7.77 | 5.34 | 5 | C |
| Kike Hernandez | R | LAD | LAD@NYM | 1B/2B/3B/SS/OF | 2900 | 7.06 | 1B/OF | 3300 | 5.66 | 3.02 | 6 | C |
| Max Muncy | L | LAD | LAD@NYM | 3B | 3900 | 10.85 | 3B | 4800 | 8.13 | 6.27 | 7 | C |
| Will Smith | R | LAD | LAD@NYM | C | 3100 | 8.15 | C | 3900 | 6.39 | 4.58 | 8 | C |
| Andy Pages | R | LAD | LAD@NYM | OF | 2600 | 6.92 | OF | 2800 | 5.55 | 3.15 | 9 | C |
| Francisco Lindor | B | NYM | LAD@NYM | SS | 4300 | 13.41 | SS | 5600 | 10.54 | 9.41 | 1 | C |
| Brandon Nimmo | L | NYM | LAD@NYM | OF | 3200 | 10.28 | OF | 4000 | 7.98 | 6.33 | 2 | C |
| Mark Vientos | R | NYM | LAD@NYM | 3B/1B | 3600 | 11.96 | 3B | 4300 | 9.30 | 10.16 | 3 | C |
| Pete Alonso | R | NYM | LAD@NYM | 1B | 3700 | 10.55 | 1B | 4700 | 8.11 | 8.48 | 4 | C |
| Jesse Winker | L | NYM | LAD@NYM | OF | 2800 | 9.18 | OF | 3100 | 7.21 | 3.71 | 5 | C |
| Starling Marte | R | NYM | LAD@NYM | OF | 2800 | 7.96 | OF | 3400 | 6.55 | 2.81 | 6 | C |
| Tyrone Taylor | R | NYM | LAD@NYM | OF | 2500 | 7.62 | OF | 2700 | 6.19 | 1.94 | 7 | C |
| Jeff McNeil | L | NYM | LAD@NYM | 2B/OF | 2600 | 6.87 | 2B/OF | 2500 | 5.47 | 3.16 | 8 | C |
| Francisco Alvarez | R | NYM | LAD@NYM | C | 2300 | 6.86 | C | 2900 | 5.44 | 3.61 | 9 | C |
| Gleyber Torres | R | NYY | NYY@CLE | 2B | 3100 | 9.04 | 2B | 4100 | 7.30 | 3.11 | 1 | C |
| Juan Soto | L | NYY | NYY@CLE | OF | 4400 | 15.19 | OF | 6100 | 11.57 | 8.08 | 2 | C |
| Aaron Judge | R | NYY | NYY@CLE | OF | 4700 | 19.43 | OF | 6300 | 13.77 | 10.98 | 3 | C |
| Jazz Chisholm | L | NYY | NYY@CLE | OF/2B/3B | 3000 | 11.84 | 3B | 4900 | 9.44 | 4.72 | 4 | C |
| Giancarlo Stanton | R | NYY | NYY@CLE | OF | 3500 | 11.17 | OF | 4500 | 8.58 | 6.60 | 5 | C |
| Anthony Rizzo | L | NYY | NYY@CLE | 1B | 2800 | 6.65 | 1B | 3100 | 5.35 | 2.33 | 6 | C |
| Anthony Volpe | R | NYY | NYY@CLE | SS | 3100 | 7.66 | SS | 3600 | 6.31 | 1.93 | 7 | C |
| Austin Wells | L | NYY | NYY@CLE | C | 2700 | 7.73 | C | 3500 | 6.01 | 2.80 | 8 | C |
| Alex Verdugo | L | NYY | NYY@CLE | OF | 2700 | 6.05 | OF | 3000 | 4.89 | 2.07 | 9 | C |
| Steven Kwan | L | CLE | NYY@CLE | OF | 3400 | 10.03 | OF | 4400 | 8.16 | 4.44 | 1 | C |
| Kyle Manzardo | L | CLE | NYY@CLE | 1B | 2400 | 9.12 | 1B | 2500 | 7.22 | 3.53 | 2 | C |
| Jose Ramirez | B | CLE | NYY@CLE | 3B | 4100 | 13.88 | 3B | 6000 | 10.90 | 8.91 | 3 | C |
| Josh Naylor | L | CLE | NYY@CLE | 1B | 3000 | 10.25 | 1B | 3800 | 7.95 | 7.10 | 4 | C |
| Lane Thomas | R | CLE | NYY@CLE | OF | 3300 | 9.79 | OF | 4200 | 7.80 | 3.87 | 5 | C |
| Daniel Schneemann | L | CLE | NYY@CLE | 2B/SS/3B/OF | 2300 | 7.50 | SS/OF | 2300 | 5.92 | 2.21 | 6 | C |
| Andres Gimenez | L | CLE | NYY@CLE | 2B | 2900 | 6.72 | 2B | 3500 | 5.60 | 1.83 | 7 | C |
| Austin Hedges | R | CLE | NYY@CLE | C | 2100 | 4.03 | C | 2000 | 3.25 | 0.90 | 8 | C |
| Brayan Rocchio | B | CLE | NYY@CLE | SS | 2500 | 5.91 | SS | 2600 | 4.67 | 1.58 | 9 | C |
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